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Will The GOP Pick up Ted Kennedy's Seat?

MM, it looks like that other market is just for funsies. Quoting from their home page:

Getting Started

1. Sign up to trade and create your own market. Begin with $5,000 in virtual currency.
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The IEM and InTrade are actual real-dollar markets, not "virtual currency".
 
MattusMaximus said:
Will he be certified in time to "kill" the health care legislation, or not? I read that the certification process could take up to two weeks in MA (don't know why), and if this is indeed the case a GOP upset in this race would not effect the outcome of the Senate vote on health care reform. Surely the GOP will cry "dirty tricks", and they might be right, but I have a really hard time believing that if the shoe were on the other foot it wouldn't go down the same way.
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Al Franken.

Of course, complaining about activities that they themselves engaged in a year ago isn't really hypocracy for some strange reason that only applies to Republicans.
 
When asked what experience she has in foreign policy, and whether she had done significant traveling, Coakley responded:



Her sister can see the Middle East from her house?:D
 
I think the main problem for Coakley is she seemed to be taking the election for granted, and came across as thinking the seat was her inheritance from Kennedy and she didn't have to work for it. I think this turns off a lot of voters. And Brown is fairly moderate, definitely on the left end of the GOP spectrum. And his daughter was in the final 24 of American Idol a few years ago! :)
 
WildCat said:
And Brown is fairly moderate, definitely on the left end of the GOP spectrum.
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You do know that Scott Brown has tied himself to the Tea Party crowd, right? Well, he has hosted at least one Tea Party event, then claimed not to remember who they were when more mainstream press folks asked.

Everything I have seen of him screams hard right. Out of idle curiousity, what makes you think he is moderate?
 
Random said:
You do know that Scott Brown has tied himself to the Tea Party crowd, right? Well, he has hosted at least one Tea Party event, then claimed not to remember who they were when more mainstream press folks asked.

Everything I have seen of him screams hard right. Out of idle curiousity, what makes you think he is moderate?
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This is the latest meme:

Brown’s score puts him at the 34th percentile of his party in Massachusetts over the 1995-2006 time period. In other words, two thirds of other Massachusetts Republican state legislators were more conservative than he was. This is evidence for my claim that he’s a liberal even in his own party. What’s remarkable about this is the fact that Massachusetts Republicans are the most, or nearly the most, liberal Republicans in the entire country!
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WildCat said:
I think the main problem for Coakley is she seemed to be taking the election for granted, and came across as thinking the seat was her inheritance from Kennedy and she didn't have to work for it. I think this turns off a lot of voters. And Brown is fairly moderate, definitely on the left end of the GOP spectrum.
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Yup, I agree 100%. This kind of hubris has sunk more than one politician over the years... it's always interesting to see that some people never seem to learn from the mistakes of others.

If Coakley wins, which is still more likely than not, I hope that this serves as a serious wake-up call for her (and the Dems in general) about not taking anything for granted.

If she loses, a distinct possibility at this point it seems, then I hope the Democrats learn a thing or two about picking more decent candidates who are serious about running for office. Perhaps they need to get kicked in the ass a bit in order to right the ship, so to speak.

Still, it will be interesting to see (if Brown wins) how he relates to the Tea Party crowd once in office. I can see them getting pissed off if he doesn't take the hard-line conservative stance they'd like to see in Congress. Of course, that kind of stance won't sit well with the wider MA populace.

As I said... :popcorn6
 
Brainster said:
ETA: InTrade now has Coakley at 56, Brown at 45.
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Now it's Coakley 60.0 and Brown 37.0

I wonder if the announcement that President Obama is going to be in MA on Sunday has had an effect? As I stated earlier, I think the GOP base is already pretty much maxxed out on motivation, so a backlash from Obama visiting cannot motivate them any more. However, a good old inspiring speech by Obama could do wonders for motivating Democratic voters and kick-starting liberal GOTV efforts in the state.

ETA: Btw, to put on my partisan hat, if you're interested in GOTV efforts to help the Dems hold onto the seat... http://my.barackobama.com/CoakleyN2N
 
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MattusMaximus said:
Now it's Coakley 60.0 and Brown 37.0

I wonder if the announcement that President Obama is going to be in MA on Sunday has had an effect? As I stated earlier, I think the GOP base is already pretty much maxxed out on motivation, so a backlash from Obama visiting cannot motivate them any more. However, a good old inspiring speech by Obama could do wonders for motivating Democratic voters and kick-starting liberal GOTV efforts in the state.
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Well, it got Chicago the Olympics... oh, wait!
 
MattusMaximus said:
Zing! ;)

Brainster, what are we going to do for fun after this special election is over?
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Wait until the next one comes around.:D

That's the thing about politics; there always some election coming up. It's like following sports.
 
Coakley dismisses Curt Schilling as "another Yankee fan":



InTrade now has it at 54-47 Coakley. Will Red Sox nation rise up and smite Martha for heresy against the god of the Bloody Sock?
 
Not really Coakley's latest ad, but it might be her best hope:


InTrade has the race dead even.

ETA: Just refreshed: Brown 55, Coakley 45. The fat lady is moving towards the front of the stage.
 
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Whiplash said:
Yes, it's confusing because, on the one hand, they are often going out of their way to practically beg for her to be the candidate. Statements about how it would mean certain victory for Obama. It would be the worst move the GOP could ever make. Please, please GOP, NOMINATE HER!

And yet.. they beat her down viciously, which demonstrates that they fear her. You don't go to that much effort to destroy someone who is actually zero threat to you whatsoever.. and that you actually WANT as a nominee. That doesn't even make any sense. They want her to run, so they can beat her.. but also doing all they can to destroy her, so she can't win. It's mind boggling.
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They don't fear her but the people that are backing her. The liberals are always fearful of someone coming along on a White horse.

A populist revolt is their worst nightmare.
 
Random said:
You do know that Scott Brown has tied himself to the Tea Party crowd, right? Well, he has hosted at least one Tea Party event, then claimed not to remember who they were when more mainstream press folks asked.

Everything I have seen of him screams hard right. Out of idle curiousity, what makes you think he is moderate?
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So this makes him a brownshirt?
 
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