Clancie said:
Yes, I've said that. The difference is that I feel there are various possible explanations for that--only one of them being cold reading.
See to me, while I keep my mind open to other possibilities cold-reading makes the most sense. It does not require me to posit the afterlife, telepathy/psi/esp, and it also works perfect for why these performances are poor, where other explanations like mediumship have to start invoking, "not enough time for a good reading", "bad communication with sitter via phone", "not a good format for what JE does". While several are possible, to me, only cold-reading is likely.
I know. But I think if mediumship is real, there's no reason why communication would be so straightforward and so easy all the time as you expect. It makes sense to me that "the process" would be difficult (if there is a process

).
So you agree that you've provided nothing that should convince me that mediumship communication should be difficult, yet you still accept it as part of the process. You just turned my question back on me stating that you don't see why it would be straightforward and easy. Why do you think this? What evidences have been provided to you that make you think it should be a difficult process of communication aside from the hearsay of mediums? Why do you accept that it would be difficult? I look at it logically and can't really find a good reason to think it should be so horrible vague and complex like mediums make it out to be. I can't say for sure one way or the other, but nothing has been provided to make me pitch my tent in the difficult communication process camp.
I do agree with you that his great special hits are relatively rare. But I think the hits that don't seem consistent with cold reading techniques are quite commonplace.
On this we clearly disagree. On several transcripts presented on here we've disagreed on just whether or not JE's more run of the mill hits are outside of the possibilities of cold-reading. I can't see how people think they don't fall within the realm of cold-reading. Its likely we'll never convince each other on these particular items as their subjective in a manner to each of our opinions.
No. I think they're both inconsistent.
Obviously, but is one largely more inconsistent than the other in your opinion?
Well, I would have said "cold reading" except that (1) there are many things in his readings that imo aren't explained as cold reading; (2) I find the hot reading theory weak; (3) mediumship remains a possible explanation for the "unexplained".
(1)I've yet to see a convincing list of these items, and am skeptical that they are indeed common enough to be termed "many".
(2)I've never subscribed a whole lot to the hot reading theory myself. Its cannot be ruled out obviously because of a lack of controls, but everything I've seen of JE has been close enough to cold-reading and just lucky guess' within cold-reading, that I haven't had to invoke the hot-reading rule.
(3)I agree its on the list, but its on the bottom of mine.
Seriously, I just don't know. You could say it's all cold reading, but to me, when I look at the details of many readings, the things that don't appear to be cold reading have to be explained some other way. I think mediumship remains a possibility and should be considered as such.
So you're completely divided on the issue? I would say that my position is clear on this, I'm of the opinion that mediumship hasn't been proven and that he's more than likely cold-reading, or using some other mundane technique, and I think this position is clear upon reading my posts. The fact that you've been on the other side of most of my arguements would be seen to me that while you perhaps have doubts, you either think mediumship is potentially more possible, or you want it to be more possible. This is of course my opinion, but from all my discussions with you, I don't see you as one completely split down the middle on whether he's cold-reading or doing mediumship, you've almost always argued from the mediumship angle. Just a personal observation.