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Moderated Dowsing By Edge

How about adding some sort of a control test? I watched the Randi in Australia video and in the first test, the dowsers were told where the water was before they started dowsing. Naturally, the dowsers all reported strong hits. For the rest of the test, they were not told where the water was and their dowsing was just as good as random chance.

This was important because it prevented them from making excuses for their poor results. How could they get a strong hit if the area was 'contaminated' or if the sunspots were interfering with their abilities? If that were true, they shouldn't have had a strong hit in the demonstration test, nor during the double-blind tests.

I would have like to have seen additional control tests made during the day. This way, the dowsers couldn't claim that their abilities were fading as time went on. One final control test at the end of the day would prevent this sort of excuse from the dowser, or perhaps, the test could be given througout the day to detemine when the dowser gets 'tired'.

I also agree that the dowser will be tested with a set of 10 cans, only one of which contains the target. Also, the number of tests should be large, 50 at least but 100 would be better. edge, you said you could hit 50% but how for how many trials?
 
edge:

Sorry, but I really do not think that JREF will accept your terms.

I can think of several reasons why, but in summary you want to define the test, have JREF pay expenses of the testing, and change the terms of the Challenge if you win. All of these things violate the Challenge.

Therefore, my advice is that you reconsider your application.
 
Well to be fair, one of those things, defining the test, IS the applicant's job.
 
Well to be fair, one of those things, defining the test, IS the applicant's job.

Not entirely.

The test has to be something both parties (the Claimant and JREF) agree to.

Simply having the Claimant outline the test and then have JREF go along without question or input would not be very wise.
 
(snip)
5. No one in the field, where the containers are set up will reach into they’re pockets at any time. I will have an observer to make sure no one tampers with the area that the tests are being done at when the tests are being done, because anyone can salt the ground with any metals and then I will get false readings.(snip)
11. You guys are so sure that this is a loosing proposition that you should have no problems with this.(snip).
On number 5, then the JREF should have an observer to observe your observer to make sure your observer does not make any surreptitious marks that would indicate the target container.

On number 11, since you are so sure this is a winning proposition, why not put up a couple of thousand dollars on your side? If you fail, it goes to a charity.
 
Under Article 3, the applicant allows all his test data to be used by the Foundation in any way Mr. Randi may choose. That means that Mr. Randi can pick and chose the data at will and decide what to do with it and what verdict to pronounce on it. Under Article 7, the applicant surrenders all rights to legal action against the Foundation, or Mr. Randi, no matter what emotional, professional or financial injury he may consider he has sustained. Thus even if Mr. Randi comes to a conclusion different from that reached by his judges and publicly denounces the test, the applicant would have no redress. The Foundation and Mr. Randi own all the data. Mr. Randi can claim that the judges were fooled. The implicit accusation of fraud would leave the challenger devoid of remedy.

I have no comment on your proposed protocol, except to say good luck.

But this interpretation of the Rules language is incorrect. The waiver specifically states that it will not affect the awarding of the prize money. This language is merely to prevent lawsuits on a claim that an unsuccessful test (if it fails) damaged the reputation of the applicant, for example. It also protects the foundation (in my opinion) if an applicant hurts himself in the test and then wants to sue.

You can probably have the JREF confirm that the waiver will not affect the awarding of the prize, and that Randi cannot "overrule" the results in the way you are concerned about.

N/A
 
Roger got it right!

My concern is with only rule 3. If I fail it will be like before and Randi will roast me, if I pass that is something else. All other knowledge that comes from this and or theory are credit to myself alone.....

It can be any container as long as it's plastic. The Folgers cans are thick.
Maxwell House will do.

The test has to be something both parties (the Claimant and JREF) agree to.

Boy Paj and Crossbow are both right.

Skeptator said,
On number 5, then the JREF should have an observer to observe your observer to make sure your observer does not make any surreptitious marks that would indicate the target container.

On number 11, since you are so sure this is a winning proposition, why not put up a couple of thousand dollars on your side? If you fail, it goes to a charity.

My observer can be on the other side of the park with binoculars. He can be scanned for electronics, there that ends that.

He doesn’t have to be near them, just close enough to say that some one has cheated. Just in case.

I'm not saying that I'm giving anything away if you prove me wrong, I have my own inefficiencies to deal with, like when I can't get to the gold for what ever reasons and knowing it's there. Doing the labor and still can’t get it.
But if you want to take a bet in the field I’ll be glad to oblige. I’ll bet every time I go I’ll get something, and you won’t, every time. In other words you won’t get anything and I will. It’s that hard to do. It doesn’t have to be here either.
But here I have proven this with friends that go with me mining so be forewarned.
You know what happens next? I let them dig or snipe in my areas and then they get color.
My skeptic friend thanked me for allowing him to actually get some,
I was taken a back. He’s’ a skeptic an atheist and a sicentolagist.

As far as charity I have given some thought to that.
Christian Children foundation and of course there's J.R.E.F. .

I figured if I win I would donate 100,000.00 or so, plus a major tithe.

I would give away another 100,000.00.Some of that to J.R.E.F.. Hell by the time I was done I would be broke again Ha haha.

Then I would have to research more and come up with something viable as theory and working model.
Or just retire.
I’ll let you geniuses’ figure out what I have proven if I win.

Ashless kinda knows what I’m talking about.
It’s not just about the first million.
But if it is, it won’t matter for me at that point.

You know what’s really cool though is I get to mine and actually get a chance at a million.
I won’t be here in Ca. forever, kinda Miss Fl.. Gas was way cheaper every where you go there’s a beach.

I’m still having a blast.
 
3. The target will be black sands, both magnetic and non magnetic, gold, lead, platinum, mercury coated gold, iron and what ever else is in the black sands. This is what is found in the creek with the gold.
Am I correct that what this means is that you'll be dowsing for "black sands", and if those sands contain anything at all, you win? You've cast a pretty wide net there...

What's to prevent you from salting the location in advance? Let's say, with the grit that collects along street curbs--which grit contains metals such as magnetic particles, platinum, mercury, iron, etc. as a result of automobile traffic...

My point is, your protocol lacks proper controls.
 
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Am I correct that what this means is that you'll be dowsing for "black sands", and if those sands contain anything at all, you win? You've cast a pretty wide net there...

What's to prevent you from salting the location in advance? Let's say, with the grit that collects along street curbs--which grit contains metals such as magnetic particles, platinum, mercury, iron, etc. as a result of automobile traffic...

My point is, your protocol lacks proper controls.
No, there will be 10 (or however many) coffee cans, 9 of them empty, one with black sands. Edge claims he will find that full coffee can 50% of the time.

I'm completely unimpressed, as I think you can potentially do the same without paranormal powers, the difference between a full and empty can being pretty large. I'm thinking bulging sides, no movement during wind, their response to footfalls, light transmittal, heck maybe even sound transmittal. It'd need to be tightened up, but the fundamental idea is sound, as far as I can tell.
 
No, there will be 10 (or however many) coffee cans, 9 of them empty, one with black sands. Edge claims he will find that full coffee can 50% of the time.

I'm completely unimpressed, as I think you can potentially do the same without paranormal powers, the difference between a full and empty can being pretty large. I'm thinking bulging sides, no movement during wind, their response to footfalls, light transmittal, heck maybe even sound transmittal. It'd need to be tightened up, but the fundamental idea is sound, as far as I can tell.
Ah, ok, it's a variation on the old "film can" trick, as seen on TV.

Randi won't fall for that one.
 
or place the cans under numbered cardboard boxes.

That also elliminates the "possibillity" of 'marked cans'
 
The plastic is pretty strong, they'll figure it out. Curnirs got a good idea.
 
Dear Sirs,
I am willing to take the test for dowsing again as James said that he can send people to the field to test me the last time I tested.
I knew then as now that one set of tests is not scientifically viable.
Had you succeeded you would have crowed that the test was scientifically viable. You'll do it if you succeed this time. But you won't succeed.

Many need to be done.
The test will take place in Hayfork California.
The tests will be done by the J.R.E.F. team the exact same way as done in the office with the exception of the following.
1. The containers will be plastic Folgers coffee cans, the 11-oz. version. Red with black lids. You can bring your own or use the ones I have.
How many containers? Ten? That makes a big difference in the scoring, you know.

Make sure they don't have gold paint on them.

3. The target will be black sands, both magnetic and non magnetic, gold, lead, platinum, mercury coated gold, iron and what ever else is in the black sands. This is what is found in the creek with the gold.
This is NOT like the previous test, because you used gold items (and a quartz crystal and other stuff) as targets. But I'm sure the JREF won't care what you use for a target.

5. No one in the field, where the containers are set up will reach into they’re pockets at any time. I will have an observer to make sure no one tampers with the area that the tests are being done at when the tests are being done, because anyone can salt the ground with any metals and then I will get false readings.
As before, you will be allowed to dowse the field before your test to ascertain that it is "clean" of dowsing readings. If you're worried about cheaters, make sure you have an observer by the video camera.

6. The J.R.E.F. has the right to check with any scanner, metal detector, or any other detector that there is nothing in the ground to aid me in the challenge.
In the previous dowsing challenges, that has not been necessary. They set it up so you can't cheat, even if you knew how.

7. I may do five tries one day and five tries the next if I feel that I must stop if overwhelmed with the impute that I feel.
I'm not sure they'll allow this. However, if you wish to cut short the number of tests, simply increase the number of false targets. If you can find your target in 100 potential targets, that will require many fewer trials than if you just used ten targets. As always though, I do not speak for JREF.

8. I do not want to know any correct or incorrect hits till the test is over.
No one will know. That's how double blind tests work. Speaking of which, you still haven't described how this test would be set up as a double-blind test.

9. I will hit 50% correct hits, but I will hope to do 70% at least, but we’ll stay with what we know here right now and that’s 50%.
Out of ten tests on ten targets each? That's a minimum of five correct in selecting the correct one out of ten targets? I'm sure this will be satisfactory. Law of average says you only get one out of ten correct. Good luck will get you two. Incredible luck will get you three. If you can do four, then you probably have enough to pass the preliminary test. In the final test, you will likely have to do many more tests though, assuming you make it to the final test, which I strongly doubt.

10. You can use the information any way you want, but not the theories that are to come from this when I win, those are mine.
You don't even have to tell anybody your theories. JREF has repeatedly stated that they don't care about your theories, only that you can do what you say. If you can somehow manage not to talk about them, then your secrets are safe.

11. You guys are so sure that this is a loosing proposition that you should have no problems with this.
This is not a part of the protocol, but just a comment. No need to give it a number. But there are a number of gaps in your protocol, primarily how many targets, how it will be double blinded, how you are going to perform the "open" test and probably some others. Thats what you have to work out with JREF once you send in your application.

12. J.R.E.F. will pay for the testers motel and gas expenses.
No they won't. You have been told this time and time again. It is quite clearly stated in rule 6.
Challenge Rules said:
All of the applicant's expenses such as transportation, accommodation, materials, assistants, and/or all other costs for any persons or procedures incurred in pursuit of the reward, are the sole responsibility of the applicant. Neither the JREF nor JR will bear any of the costs.
The testers are giving up their time without compensation. Nobody should have to shell out their own money to feed your delusions.

Under Article 3, the applicant allows all his test data to be used by the Foundation in any way Mr. Randi may choose. That means that Mr. Randi can pick and chose the data at will and decide what to do with it and what verdict to pronounce on it. Under Article 7, the applicant surrenders all rights to legal action against the Foundation, or Mr. Randi, no matter what emotional, professional or financial injury he may consider he has sustained. Thus even if Mr. Randi comes to a conclusion different from that reached by his judges and publicly denounces the test, the applicant would have no redress. The Foundation and Mr. Randi own all the data. Mr. Randi can claim that the judges were fooled. The implicit accusation of fraud would leave the challenger devoid of remedy.
Completely incorrect. The exact definition of what constitutes a successful test is set out in advance. It is a legally binding contract. You do realize, however, that this is just a preliminary test, right? True, no one has passed a preliminary test yet, but the rules quite clearly state that there must be a final test. The setup would be exactly the same, but you would be required to provide a more statistically significant sample, or for your case, more repetitions. At least that is the way I understand it.

13. Get rid of article 3 if I WIN! Do we have a deal? The foundation does not own all the data that comes from theory. The foundation can only use data that pertains to the test............Not theory. I will put this letter in the million-dollar challenge thread. So we can discuss it there.
That will be a deal killer, Edge. You don't get to change the rules. But remember, that the recordings are to make sure that nobody cheats. You need not reveal any of your "theories" either on the recordings or to anyone. They don't care. In fact, Randi told you this at your first test. The hardest thing for you will be to manage to make yourself shut up about your theories. We know how you love to talk.

Besides, you've discussed lots of them here. It is not as if they are secret.

14. When the protocol is agreed upon I will send in the application.
Mike Guska

THIS LETTER HAS BEEN SENT.
It doesn't work that way. Application first. Protocol afterwards. It states that clearly in the rules. There are a number of problems with your protocol though, so don't expect them to agree to it. Primarily, you seem to be laboring under the delusion that you get to change the rules of the challenge. We'll just add that to your rather long list of delusions.

On the plus side, you will have lots of new excuses and lies about how JREF is afraid to test you. That may make you feel better, but it won't harm JREF. I'm sure they've heard them all before.
 
My concern is with only rule 3. If I fail it will be like before and Randi will roast me....

Sounds to me like you should submit a challenge based on your ability to predict the future.

....I have my own inefficiencies to deal with....

Yep.

He’s’ a skeptic an atheist and a sicentolagist.

Hmmm.

I figured if I win I would donate 100,000.00 or so, plus a major tithe.

Benny Hinn will be very happy.

I’m still having a blast.

Delusions are great fun sometimes.
 
The plastic is pretty strong, they'll figure it out. Curnirs got a good idea.
There you go Mike, your being very reasonable. Please realize that JREF never, ever negotiates the contract, and that you cannot either. We really do want to see you tested again, most of us. Don't let this be the sticking point. If you win you will have $1M, which you rightly pointed out, is the tip of the iceberg. The challenge terms are normal and fair - you have to sign pretty much the same thing if you apply for the Guiness book of world records, for example. You get $1M, and JREF gets to publish the results. That's more than fair, you come out WAY ahead. Just go ahead and take the challenge.
 
Okay, so specify the total number of containers you'll be using (I assumed 10, nine without a target, one with a target).

A hit consists only of identifying the container with the target. It does NOT consist in identifying a container to the left or right or next to a container with the target.

The containers really ought to be completely identical (I noticed in the grocery store today that some coffee containers are different from others of the same brand--"New Improved Flavor" on some, not on others, and so on). Covering the containers with identical cardboard boxes would do it.

Edge, you know JREF will not change the terms of the challenge whether you win or lose. I'm with Roger--drop that demand.

And, as others have said, send in the application first, then worry about refining the protocol. Good luck!
 
So, Edge, have you been practicing under the same conditions that you hope will be adopted for the challenge?

If you have a friend fill up one can with the special sand and randomly place it (a deck of cards might be a good way of generating a random placement) among the other cans, then you can see how easy or hard it is to hit 50%.

Many applicants forget the very important step of testing themselves under controlled conditions before applying.
 

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