My own poor offerings...
But briefly my stance on Iraq...
1) I don't believe there is even a remote link between 9/11 and Iraq
2) I think the United Nations should have invaded Iraq and disposed of Saddam a long time ago
3) I don't think the US should leave until it is stable
Now, those are merely my personal opinions on those issues, from which to give you some background to my ideas... I'm not interested right now in discussing whether my stances above are "right" or "accurate" or "moral".
We all know terrorism existed before the US went on its world invasion tour. We all know the hatred that keeps terrorism burning is hatred of the west - not a reaction to specific events. We know that hatred is well and burning, and actions of the west will not make those people change their minds.
We also know these terrorists use whatever event is pertinent to "justify" their hatred.
A quick glance at Middle-East media will show when there's no event available they just make stuff up or return to historic events and emotional rhetoric.
So, to the claim that Iraq is fueling terrorists. (I purposefully leave out Afghanistan - the UN confirmed that it was the USA's Article 51 right to invade Afghanistan and get rid of the Taliban and Al Qaeda. I hope our small contribution helps)
There are two questions, it seems to me.
1) Is Iraq a strong enough "pertinent event" that it influences more non-Terrorists to become Terrorists than other pertinent events and general rhetoric that Terrorists use for recruitment?
2) Are those people being directly recruited due to Iraq carrying out Terrorism against the west OUTSIDE Iraq?
Now, I don't know the answer to either of these, and I suspect no one else does either. And they are important questions to answer.
But most of us are fairly smart, and can probably make conclusions as to what is likely (admitting that we could be GROSSLY incorrect).
If I may be as bold as to offer an unsupported answer to each question...
1) Yes, Iraq is spectacular enough that it could influence more people than otherwise. However, I don't think that increase would be significant, simply because their culture is one of blind hatred. If you buy into terrorism you really need to buy into their blind hatred of the west. Iraq justifies attacking the west, IMHO. I don't think it justifies blind hatred.
2) The stats show a drastic increase in global terrorism since 9/11, and especially since the invasion of Iraq. But it appears that the enormous majority are happening IN Iraq. It appears that most of the terrorism that Iraq fuels is LOCAL Terrorism. Indeed, Iraq appears to be drawing international terrorists to it - which means away from the west.
I'd like to propose something I've considered for a long time. I believe Iraq is a positive for the west. I believe it draws away terrorists. Al Qaeda was born out of a war against the USSR in Afghanistan. Since then Osama's mujahedeen have flocked like moths to a flame to every major conflict involving muslims. The Balkans. Somalia. And so forth.
They want to destroy the west, but they can't resist the temptation of western armed forces running in amok in Muslim lands. So instead of hitting more soft targets - civilians - they go after our very STRONGEST targets. And the thing is, they cannot defeat our armed forces. I don't think these terrorists could defeat the US Armed Forces (let alone all western armed forces) in a million years. Their damage is pitiful. How many US troops lost in Iraq now? And how many did the US lose scrapping over the tiny island of Iwo Jima?
The armed forces are a wall. If we put them out somewhere that will incite terrorists to attack, it distracts them from their real target - our civilians.
It appears to be working.
Now. It means a horrible taks for our armed forces. It means putting them out there to be hit, not to liberate countries, or bring democracy, or even to secure resources. The entire war is a decoy. But it means they are protecting the nation with their lives, and that is their job.
I think the west should be honest about this. Acknowledge what is really going on. Forget moral justifications for invasions. Admit that what the armed forces are doing is far greater. This is "forward defense" at its finest.
If the west pull their military out of these high profile places, the hatred won't go. Worse, our withdrawal will inspire them. They will think they actually CAN beat us. And they'll come looking for blood. In our cities.
But that is only my opinion. I could be grossly wrong.
-Andrew