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Cont: The sinking of MS Estonia: Case Reopened Part VI

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What do you mean 'no evidence'? Half the survivors testified independently of each other in their signed statements to the police of having heard what sounded like an explosion or a series of explosions, together with a shudder and a violent list, the massive hole in the hull, the eye witnesses seeing a military truck being loaded at the last minute, delaying departure by fifteen minutes, the communications blackout...how does that qualify as 'no evidence'? Sheesh. Talk about arguing 'on paper'.
Because eyewitness testimony is notoriously unreliable, the sounds could easily have been the banging of the bow visor, and there's no evidence from the reports of the disaster that show anything other than what was explained already.

You know that people on 9/11 reported hearing "explosions" too right? That they thought that they had heard bombs going off in the towers? Those people were simply mistaken about the reason for the sound they heard. They heard loud bangs from the damage inflicted to the towers and the destruction of support structures inside the towers before and during the collapses. They were absolutely correct in saying that they had heard noises, but they were wrong in attributing the noises to bombs.

You know that we would require actual physical evidence for any of the wild speculation that you've suggested in the thread? It's all well and good to point to people hearing something they claimed sounded like an explosion and seeing a military truck, but if examination of the wreckage shows no explosive damage, residue or other evidence of explosives, we know those people were mistaken.

Where did the 'accusation' re Charlie Sargent come from unless someone was leaking information?

1. Because it was a paranoid high control group with people jockying for positions of power within the organisation. It's no coincidence that the person who accused him was also trying to establlsh himself in a leadership role at the time and was pushing for his own vision of what C18 should be.

2. Even if someone WAS passing information to the security services, that is not evidence that C18 was founded by MI5.

C18 was founded by the BNP, particularly it's more violence-oriented members as a security group to stop BNP marches getting the crap kicked out of them by anti-fascists, as had been happening. They thought if they had a notorious paramilitary wing of their "political party" that it would stop people turning up and putting the boot in, or even prevent people protesting their activities at all.
 
What do you mean you 'don't believe your story about Bildt telling everyone it must have been a big wave'? It was in all the national papers by the next day. The same morning Bildt was demanding all ferries should have their bow visors checked and Kari Lehtola the Finnish appointee is quoted as saying it was caused by 'a few strong waves'.

The two highlights are not the same thing at all, and they're also not the same thing as:
Your claim that you don't believe Bildt said it was the bow visor the same day
That you seem to think that "a few strong waves" and "the bow visor", which were only part of the explanation offered anyway are the same as claiming it was "a big wave" is extremely revealing.
 
You claim they spontaneously launched an obviously impossible kidnap plot before those facts were established. What's their motive?

Think about it. Your military guys are expecting a military delivery on that ferry. Your military guys realise the said vessel has suddenly sunk at the exact halfway point of the journey (in international waters), the third mate only just managed to get a mayday through to a nearby cruise ship that happened to be passing; a communications failure. Of course you are going to immediately slap on a Section D notice (news blackout other than primary facts). The Swedish newspapers reported nine were rescued in the early hours and taken to Stockholm. No-one said they were 'kidnapped' at that stage. IMV they were likely remanded for questioning and what happened after that no-one knows, but they were listed as survivors originally. But we have a clue in that CIA could demand Sweden hand over suspected terrorists. or activists.
 
What do you mean you 'don't believe your story about Bildt telling everyone it must have been a big wave'? It was in all the national papers by the next day.

It was only three days ago that I responded to this, linking back to where I provided the facts around this.


Obviousely my final wish did not come true.
 
https://sv.wikipedia.org/wiki/Försvarsmaktens_förtjänstmedalj_(1995–2009)

Truth is stranger than fiction. The Victoria Cross, like the Mannerheim Cross is only awarded for valour in war.
That would be the Swedish Armed Forces Medal of Merit, yes?

1. That award is not actually reserved for combat or war only.

2. Svensson is not listed here under those who received the medal.

Now that is only Wikipedia (although that's what you linked to, of course) so if you have a more authoratative list where he is present please do share.
 
Why are all your speculations on the activities of intelligence services like something straight out of a pulp spy novel and not at all connected to the real world?
 

53172928635_4dc8d83e17_z.jpg


53172694184_96194853b5_z.jpg
 
Because eyewitness testimony is notoriously unreliable, the sounds could easily have been the banging of the bow visor, and there's no evidence from the reports of the disaster that show anything other than what was explained already.

You know that people on 9/11 reported hearing "explosions" too right? That they thought that they had heard bombs going off in the towers? Those people were simply mistaken about the reason for the sound they heard. They heard loud bangs from the damage inflicted to the towers and the destruction of support structures inside the towers before and during the collapses. They were absolutely correct in saying that they had heard noises, but they were wrong in attributing the noises to bombs.

You know that we would require actual physical evidence for any of the wild speculation that you've suggested in the thread? It's all well and good to point to people hearing something they claimed sounded like an explosion and seeing a military truck, but if examination of the wreckage shows no explosive damage, residue or other evidence of explosives, we know those people were mistaken.



1. Because it was a paranoid high control group with people jockying for positions of power within the organisation. It's no coincidence that the person who accused him was also trying to establlsh himself in a leadership role at the time and was pushing for his own vision of what C18 should be.

2. Even if someone WAS passing information to the security services, that is not evidence that C18 was founded by MI5.

C18 was founded by the BNP, particularly it's more violence-oriented members as a security group to stop BNP marches getting the crap kicked out of them by anti-fascists, as had been happening. They thought if they had a notorious paramilitary wing of their "political party" that it would stop people turning up and putting the boot in, or even prevent people protesting their activities at all.

Again you are 'arguing on paper'. The correct place to determine 'witness reliability' is at a court hearing and under cross-examination. People aren't stupid; they know all about the various cognitive biases and philosophical issues about recounting personal experience.

It is laughable that someone on the internet thinks they know better than someone who was actually there.

Given that the 'accident' was only ever assessed by the JAIC panel who only met every two months and their meetings were barely minuted, do you seriously believe this takes the place of a proper investigation instead one by computer simulation?
 
[qimg]https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/53172928635_4dc8d83e17_z.jpg[/qimg]

[qimg]https://live.staticflickr.com/65535/53172694184_96194853b5_z.jpg[/qimg]


Those seem to be edited. Where did you get them? Are the originals available?
 
That would be the Swedish Armed Forces Medal of Merit, yes?

1. That award is not actually reserved for combat or war only.

2. Svensson is not listed here under those who received the medal.

Now that is only Wikipedia (although that's what you linked to, of course) so if you have a more authoratative list where he is present please do share.

That is because Ken Svensson was not posthumous!!!

Try again:

Recipient of the Armed Forces Merit Medal in gold with sword
Alvar Älmeberg (pilot) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Gösta Blad (navigator and signalman) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Herbert Mattson (flight engineer) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Carl-Einar Jonsson (FRA, group leader) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Ivar Svensson (FRA, telegrapher) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Erik Carlsson (FRA, telegrapher and Russian interpreter) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004.
Bengt Book (FRA, Telegraphist) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Börje Nilsson (FRA, telegraph operator from Malmö ) on the downed DC3 13 June 1952, awarded posthumously 13 June 2004. [ 1 ]
Ensign Kenneth Svensson, surface salvager at the sinking of M/S Estonia on September 27, 1994, assigned on January 15, 1996.
[ 2 ] wiki

Note the posthumous awards were guys who were downed in their planes by the USSR in the 1950-s cold war, and their deaths were for many decades classified secret, with not even their own close families knowing what had become of them (although the Swedish government did, all along). Hence the posthumous awards in 2004 when the scandal came to light and was declassified.
 
Again you are 'arguing on paper'. The correct place to determine 'witness reliability' is at a court hearing and under cross-examination. People aren't stupid; they know all about the various cognitive biases and philosophical issues about recounting personal experience.

Except that they often don't, and it's regularly shown that people wildly overestimate their ability to accurately recall things and how reliable eyewitness testimony is.

Also, why does it have to be a court of law? If there is eyewitness testimony that suggests one possibility, but the physical evidence shows that it did not happen that way, the eyewitness was clearly mistaken. It's not hard.
It is laughable that someone on the internet thinks they know better than someone who was actually there.

Why? People "on the internet" are operating with all the information available. There were people who were present on 9/11 who claimed they heard bombs. I, someone on the internet, knows that they did not hear bombs, because no bombs were used.

Why am I less correct than someone who just happened to be present?

Sure, being present gives a person the potential for additional information and the experience itself, but that doesn't make them objective, it doesn't mean they're correct, and it certainly doesn't make their pronouncements beyond reproach.

It's basic psychology, people will layer their experiences with their own personal bias. Happens all the time. People mistake car backfires for gunshots. Did they hear a bang? Sure, but that doesn't mean a gun was fired.

Did they hear banging on the Estonia? Sure, but that doesn't mean it was explosions. It provides a possibility to be investigated certainly, but if the investigation is done and finds no evidence for explosions, then the eyewitness was mistaken about their explanation for the noise.
Given that the 'accident' was only ever assessed by the JAIC panel who only met every two months and their meetings were barely minuted, do you seriously believe this takes the place of a proper investigation instead one by computer simulation?

You do know these people are actually experts, right? That experts are way more well informed than someone who is not an expert who happened to be on the ferry at the time?



Also, dropping Combat 18 now? Going to admit you were wrong?
 
The two highlights are not the same thing at all, and they're also not the same thing as:

That you seem to think that "a few strong waves" and "the bow visor", which were only part of the explanation offered anyway are the same as claiming it was "a big wave" is extremely revealing.

The JAIC do say in their report conclusion the accident was caused by a strong wave. How do you get around that?
 
That is because Ken Svensson was not posthumous!!!

Nor are most of the others listed on the page. Did you misunderstand the part that said " This with the † indicates that the Swedish Armed Forces Medal of Merit was awarded posthumously"?
 
That is because Ken Svensson was not posthumous!!!

Nor are all the recipients on the list provided. It even highlights those that were.

Thank you for providing a list though. You didn't actually address my point though, that being that it is not an award given only for actions in combat.
 
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