BobTheCoward
Banned
- Joined
- Nov 12, 2010
- Messages
- 22,789
Is Manafort's conviction proof of collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia? No. But it is an indicator, given that it's a man who risked life imprisonment to cover up one channel of communication between the Trump campaign and Russia and that's something that the judge - who has seen lots of evidence that is not yet public - says is "at the undisputed core of" the investigation.
Similarly, there's no proof that Trump has laundered money for Russia. But looking at what is known of his financial history turns up evidence for which the best explanation is that he was laundering money for Russia.
These things are not smocking guns. But all the evidence there is is inculpatory, and none of it is exculpatory. To me the balance of probability points quite firmly in one direction.
What do you base any of this on? Take the money laundering theory. You are saying that it is the best explanation from the financial history. For it to be the best explanation, you would need something like formal observation of similar histories and rate of laundering.