Miracle of the Shroud IV - The Phantom Image

Status
Not open for further replies.
So Hugh, moving along with the "paper" by Spicer.

He neglects to mention that this is consistent with a painted artefact.
He neglects to mention that this is consistent with a painted artefact.
He neglects to mention that this is consistent with a painted artefact and that there is insufficient room for one.
Yup, back to a levitating cloth. Who would have thunk?
He neglects to mention that this is consistent with a painted artefact.
Still all consistent with a painted artefact.

Why does he not mention this? It is because he started out with the conclusion and is attempting to make everything and anything fit that ordained conclusion.

Now, I'm still not finished with the introduction, there is more to follow, but by now what point is there in proceeding further with this nonsensical "paper"?

Not to mention, Spicer simply does not address the difference in the appearance of the cartoon on the CIQ as represented in contemporary accounts, and its appearance today.

Nor, as has been pointed out, does he test any of his guesses,
 
I disagree. I have been doing a point by point rebuttal of that risible "paper" which was demanded and ignored when presented. The excuse presented was the demands of dealing with mod traffic which we all know is pretty minimal here so I don't buy that for a millisecond.

Since what was demanded has been provided and ignored, I am not going to waste further time on that nonsensical "paper".

And someone quote me, I am likely on ignore.

QFT
 
And to reject that as having essentially no possibility of happening is somehow "the exact same error" as pulling numbers out of your nether regions.

Of course, I am still trying to understand: how does this radiation image result in a body having arms that are unrealistically long?

...and the antigravity blood?

...and the sized and gessoed nature of the surface of the CIQ?
 
Is it true that a conducting body between two insulating sheets in a vertical electric field tends to collect charges on the horizontal more than the vertical planes? Does anybody know?

A conducting body between two insulating shields assumes a charge in the direction of the field, dependent on the capacitances involved.

Hans
 
You did get it right, and I understand your reasoning. Given this calculation (and to be honest I still don't understand where the dividing comes in), and your figures, then yes, the presence of limestone on the Shroud increases the probability of it being authentic and decreases the probability of it being medieval. The same would no doubt apply to the blood. Your first, erroneous calculation suggested that the probability of authenticity would rise from 0.10 to 0.67, which was, as you now see, somewhat wishful; but the new calculation, that the probability of authenticity would rise from 0.10 to 0.17, is correct. However, as MRC Hans points out, the probability of a medieval cloth containing limestone is likely to be more than 50%, and nearly everybody on the site thinks that the likelihood of the shroud being authentic is less than 1%. By guessing 75% for the medieval limestone, 95% for authentic limestone, 1% for authenticity and 99% for a medieval origin, and entering them into your equation, we get a rise in the probability of authenticity from 0.010 to 0.013, which is hardly a ringing endorsement. However, by these calculations, your stated premise is justified. However I believe Jay Utah knows a great deal more about this formula than I do, and he does not think the equation you have used is appropriate in this case. It would be interesting to know exactly why...
Hugh,
- I agree...
 
...then yes, the presence of limestone on the Shroud increases the probability of it being authentic and decreases the probability of it being medieval.

No. If this is what you think the exercise shows, then you don't understand -- at a fundamental, qualitative level -- what Bayesian modeling is meant to reveal. And that makes your ignorant endorsement of Jabba's methods and assumptions all the more offensive.

However, by these calculations, your stated premise is justified.

The stated premise is justified only insofar as the initial priors and estimates of parametric likelihood reflect reality. The Bayesian model only tells us what would quantitatively follow from new information given the prior assumptions. It in no way validates or proves those assumptions.

You admit that Jabba simply made them up out of thin air. You endorse those estimates but, like he, give no rationale for them. And you take to task anyone who wants Jabba to be held accountable for them. This puts you squarely at enmity with most of the other participants in this thread.

However I believe Jay Utah knows a great deal more about this formula than I do, and he does not think the equation you have used is appropriate in this case. It would be interesting to know exactly why.

I have explained why, several times. You wrote it off as irrelevant without really understanding the science enough to know whether or not it was relevant. This is why I can't take you seriously anymore.
 
Last edited:
Come on hugh.

Since, for the entire known 700 year history of the CIQ it has been stored in largely limstone built edifices you have simply painted yourself into the extraordinary claim that no limestone was used in any edifice in which the CIQ was stored, Hugh.

This seems a prima facie bizarre claim since limestone was commonplace at the time as a building material and still is.

Yet somehow, you want to claim that it could not have originated from a painter, could not have originated from centuries of storage in limestone built sanctuaries and buildings and could only be derived from the levant 2,000 years ago.

And you have yet to address the Spicer claim of a levitating cloth.Or any of the rebuttals presented. Those are the very rebuttals which you demanded. Those are the rebuttals which you ignored. Face the facts.

You make great claim to be anti-authenticist but you plainly are not.
 
I have explained myself sufficiently. Address the explanation without further evasion.

Wasting your time. Jabba only responds to whichever is the most blessed respondent. Currently that would be hugh. How long hugh will put up with it remains to be seen. Eventually, hugh will get fed up with it. Then it will become whoever is the next victim.
 
ROFL.


...snip...
Edited by jsfisher: 
Edited for compliance with rules 0 and 12 of the Membership Agreement.

Well, you asked for it, so here goes:

One of the many hypotheses explaining how the image we see on the Shroud could have been made by a dead body lying in it was proposed in 2015 by Daniel S. Spicer, PhD, until recently Research Professor of Physics at Drexel University, Philadelphia, and now Emeritus Scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Centre.

Although he took half an hour to explain his idea at the St Louis Shroud Conference that year, in essence he considered the body as a conductor of electricity between two insulating plates, the enfolding linen cloth. In a vertical electric field, such an arrangement leads to charges gathering on the horizontal surfaces in preference to the vertical surfaces. Polar gas molecules such as water, ammonia and urea, or similar constituents of body fluids and/or embalming spices, would collect at these points, such that the transfer of such gases from one surface to the other would be more or less collimated, with the result that any image forming reactions were more or less vertically above the sites from which the gases stimulating them were emitted, and ‘wrap-around’ distortion largely, but not wholly, eliminated.

The validity of the hypothesis lies in the availability of a suitable electric field, the availability of appropriate chemical reactions, and the weakening of those reactions with respect to the distance of the cloth from the body.

Spicer lists no fewer than nine other hypotheses involving electric fields, but considers that his is the only one which reduces wrap-around distortion to an acceptable minimum. He presents numerous difficulties and unresolved issues, suggests simple laboratory experiments to clear them up, and makes predictions regarding their outcome. He is determined that his mechanism is a completely natural process with no miraculous overtones, although he himself is convinced that the Shroud is authentic.

Spicer’s paper, co-authored with E.T. Toton, can be found at http://www.shroud.com/pdfs/stlspicerpaper.pdf, and his presentation at the St Louis conference at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kl2iJCMuGho&feature=youtu.be&list=UUSv7BD9sKjIcA24ct1Hz_Aw


How was the electric field produced?
 
How was the electric field produced?

From the so called "paper"

A. An ambient atmospheric electric field typically of order 100-300V/m and pointed downward [12]
B. Average ambient electric fields typically found during thunderstorms ? 1-10kV/m pointed down-
ward
C. Radon vented into the tomb (values as high as 1 × 105 Becquerels found around Jerusalem [19]
during normal periods), possibly released during an earthquake, likely producing electric fields
pointed upward
D. Piezo-electric fields due to an earthquake [23, 6] with no a priori direction
2

Or in common parlance, "utter bollocks".
 
Thank you all for your recent comments. Some have indeed addressed the hypothesis, which is what I was hoping for, and other the hypothesiser, the nature of hypothesis, or some other issue altogether.

Having been asked by wardenclyffe what current authenticist thinking was - and thank goodness he did, given that his example was so extreme that even authenticists do not generally hold it - I wanted to choose one that specifically addressed the common idea - also completely fallacious - that authenticists think the image could have been the result of a cloth wrapped closely around the body.

I chose Dr Spicer’s hypothesis carefully. He is an indisputable physicist, and his hypothesis is therefore physically viable, and does not invoke any magic or miracle. However, as I told you before, I have examined it in considerable detail, from physical, chemical and biological points of view (which, to be fair, he does not pretend to be as confident in as in physics), and found it wanting. As some of you have tried to point out - and as Spicer admits - his idea depends on the existence of a specific electric field at a specific strength, so that although there is nothing wrong with his physics, one can fairly challenge the peculiar set of circumstances that were needed to achieve it. If one is attempting to recreate the events surrounding the burial of Jesus, one is entitled to make certain assumptions -such as the limestone tomb, the enveloping sheet, the removal of the body before putrefaction, and one may allow for other circumstances which are disputed, such as whether the body was in rigor mortis or whether it was washed, which do not conflict with Gospel accounts, and are not unreasonable within the scenario. None of this is special pleading. However, in order to produce the specific electric field required for the success of Spicer’s hypothesis, an even more particular coincidence of circumstances is required, and these I cannot find justified.

As for the chemistry, I have myself prepared various combinations of ammonia, urea, myrrh, aloes, saponin and dextrin, not to mention putrescine and cadaverine, all on a linen substrate, and have not observed the discolouration hoped for by theoretical, rather than practical authenticists, although I have not carried out ‘ageing’ experiments by putting all these preparations in an oven. For the biology, it is not easy to find documentation on gaseous emissions from traumatised corpses, but such as there is does not confirm that ammonia (the principal hope of the authenticist) is generated in anything near adequate quantities.

The above constitutes a skeptical examination, and refutation of, Spicer’s hypothesis. What’s more, it is addressed, not to those who think the shroud is medieval anyway and that therefore the whole idea must be wrong, but to those who, not understanding the flaws in the argument, think it must be correct. That, I think, is an important function, if not the most important function. of the skeptic: to face irrationality with rationality, and thereby make it untenable. Of course, no amount of rationality will persuade people who do not think rationality is necessary, but most authenticists think that their views are rational, and therefore can be persuaded by an explanation of where they are going wrong. Otherwise they are simply speaking to the converted.

Further, it is important that skeptics are not too arrogant. Just because an opponent holds a different belief does not mean he is an idiot. He may, as we have seen, be a practising scientist, so to think that he is unaware that a sheet wrapped round a face produces ‘Agamemnon Mask’ distortion (and many skeptics here think that authenticists as a group are indeed unaware of it) is silly, and leads to the setting up of all sorts of straw horses, which are easy to shoot down, but which are not views held by their opponents.

When I restarted active commentary on this thread, I was not expecting that the interminable Jabba-bashing would suddenly come to a halt, but I was hoping that there may be people here who could help understand, explain, and refute, those authenticist hypotheses with which I had difficulty myself. I also hoped that that I might find others interested in pursuing how, why and where the Shroud was made. However, I did not find that the case. Given Jabba’s Bayesian equation, of which I knew very little, I asked what was wrong with it. Not with the numbers, which I understood fine, but the equation itself, which did not, at least at first, cohere with my own rather simplistic experiments with coins. After a while, I found a worked example in wikipedia, which showed the equation in action, without clearly explaining why the quotient was necessary, or how it was derived. Still, it seemed to be a valid equation. Even JayUtah seemed to explain that the equation was fine but the numbers were not, until finally, in #3017, he made everything a great deal clearer. Sadly, posts were so thick and fast at that point that I missed it, which accounts for my nonsensical comment at #3022, and for which I apologise. But still, even that only turned up as a response to a fellow skeptic, rather than to Jabba or myself.

I'm sorry too, that I seem to claim more expertise on the Shroud than many of the commenters here. I can only judge by what I read, and from what I read, it seems that many here really do have no idea about current thinking in sindonological circles, and think authenticists cannot see the perfectly obvious (such as wrap around distortion), or all believe in miracles. There are major scientific conferences on the Shroud almost every year, and they are all reported on, in detail, at shroud.com. If the commenters on this thread want to address themselves to the Shroud, rather than exclusively to Jabba, they really ought to keep up to date.

Anyway, It's been fun but I think I'll give it a rest for a while. I thank particularly slowvehicle, JayUtah and RC Hans, among others, for often appreciating what I was up to, and for those who never understood, no hard feelings.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

ISF - Join now!

Every member here is approved by hand. No bots, no spam, just people who care about evidence and honest debate.

Membership is free!

Create your free account

Back
Top Bottom