CaptainHowdy
Graduate Poster
- Joined
- Aug 15, 2012
- Messages
- 1,819
Armed men in vehicles chasing you down and you would still trust them not to murder you? I'll take my chances with actively defending myself if I'm blocked.
He wasn't blocked.
Armed men in vehicles chasing you down and you would still trust them not to murder you? I'll take my chances with actively defending myself if I'm blocked.
It only "stands to reason" if their actions that night were reasonable. They drove after Arbury and tried to corner him on the road, not reasonable.
They had been chasing him, and not shooting. It stands to reason they would have continued not shooting.
They were not sniping at moving targets. Travis did not fire till Arbery was lunging at him,
and there is no reason to think he would have started shooting towards his beloved neighbors houses, as that would have been what Arbery was running by. As in, right by their windows, that buckshot penetrates quite easily.
Watch how fast Arbury exits the construction site and hits the road. Couple seconds. Same thing in reverse, but Travis would be pointing towards his neighbors houses, making him hesitate.
Plus I gather you don't shoot, right? This is a shotgun, with a dozen or so spreading pellets, not a bullet. I also take it you never tried to hit a high speed moving target. Not the easiest thing either
Just to illustrate this point. I have been shot, by a shotgun, wielded by an inexperienced gun, multiple times whilst beating on the hills and have suffered not so much as a scratch. This is because I was beyond the effective range of the load.
The average runner will cover 50 metres in under 8 seconds. Depending on the round (not buckshot) he would have survived a hit at just past that range
But let's face it, Aubrey didn't have time to do the maths and consider this in the split seconds he had available so it's still the case that he was murdered and that the McMichaels are on the hook for this.
Oh, and "No it doesn't!" is my advance reply to any suggestions of "So, that means [insert ridiculous twisting of my words and intent] you racist"
Agreed. Arbery was already highly stressed from running for his life for over 4 minutes.
Second guessing what he should have done does him no good, and would do posters pontificating about it from their computer chairs no good either. If they ever find themselves running for their lives from multiple cars full of gun toting vigilantes they aren't going to have the luxury of thinking things through to the nth degree or the wits to remember that one discussion they had on ISF years ago.
You aren't making an attempt to blame Arbery for not performing the type of Sherlock Holmes movie calculations that some posters imagine would have been possible and would have somehow made him escape, win the girl, and have a witty one-liner to fling at the McMichaels as he turned the trap back on them. I'm certainly not going to accuse you of being a racist.
Arbery is running down the road with a vehicle behind him. He runs around the vehicle stopped on the road in front of him to be met by a man wielding a shotgun. That is blocked, by a truck and an armed man.He wasn't blocked.
Look at your clairvoyance! First off, how do you know he was stressed? As far as we know, no guns were out till the very end, when Travis steps out of the truck and the video captures the final moments. How do you know Arbery wasn't just thinking 'whats up with these weirdos?'
And 'running for his life for over four minutes'. I take it you don't run, either. A good runner will drop a ******* mile in that time. Now take a look back at the map upthread that traces the movements. He covers a couple hundred yards back and forth total. That would mean he was moving at a fairly leisurely trot. As I said, I think it's a fair bet that Arbery didn't realize he was in serious danger till just before the film rolls.
This interpretation explains the most, including why he continued to run straight at the truck. It was the first time a gun was in view. He was not intimidated by the weirdos before that.
Yeah, that's why some of us consider these things in advance. While you speculate on how stressed he was during for minutes of running, I'm thinking about a tactical takeaway that might help me to think a tiny bit faster in an emergency. On a related note, you still haven't answered what his optimum option was, as you are so contemptuous of what others opine. Have at it.
You think 'dont run towards a psycho with a shotgun with buddies backing him' is a ...what did you call it... Sherlock Holmes movie calculation? Well, to each his own level.
I would like those claiming that Arbery should have run off the road to take a look at the map and satellite view of Satilla Shores and Holmes Road, and tell me what his next move after that should have been, assuming he wasn't immediately shot as he left the road, and assuming the vehicles didn't leave the road to chase him.
Watch how fast Arbury exits the construction site and hits the road. Couple seconds. Same thing in reverse, but Travis would be pointing towards his neighbors houses, making him hesitate.
Plus I gather you don't shoot, right? This is a shotgun, with a dozen or so spreading pellets, not a bullet. I also take it you never tried to hit a high speed moving target. Not the easiest thing either
Just to illustrate this point. I have been shot, by a shotgun, wielded by an inexperienced gun, multiple times whilst beating on the hills and have suffered not so much as a scratch. This is because I was beyond the effective range of the load.
The average runner will cover 50 metres in under 8 seconds. Depending on the round (not buckshot) he would have survived a hit at just past that range
<snip>
If it was that hard then people wouldn't use shotguns and buckshot for deer hunting, where the range can be as much as fifty yards (possibly more), and the likelihood that the target is moving is not all that low.
But I gather you shoot, so you must know that.
And how would you know that the shotgun was not loaded with buckshot?
More to the point, how would Arbery know?
If someone is armed with a shotgun and threatening me my first assumption will not be that he's loaded out out with birdshot or rock salt and all I have to do is dance away a little ways and I'll be invulnerable.
You might react differently, but it is apparent that you have more faith in human nature than I do when it comes to armed assailants.
Watch how fast Arbury exits the construction site and hits the road. Couple seconds. Same thing in reverse, but Travis would be pointing towards his neighbors houses, making him hesitate.
Plus I gather you don't shoot, right? This is a shotgun, with a dozen or so spreading pellets, not a bullet. I also take it you never tried to hit a high speed moving target. Not the easiest thing either
As far as I know we don't whether or not Arbery knew they had guns before the video started. They could have brandished them already, or they could have yelled "stop of we'll shoot" or something similar. Or they could have told him they'd shoot him next time when the dad confronted him at the construction site. Or Arbery could have just surmised they have guns. But we don't have any of this info.
Still tough to come up with a scenario that makes what Arbery did the most prudent course of action.
DISCLAIMER: I don't defend what the McMichael's did, and I don't think all black people should be murdered.
And how would you know that the shotgun was not loaded with buckshot?
More to the point, how would Arbery know?
If someone is armed with a shotgun and threatening me my first assumption will not be that he's loaded out out with birdshot or rock salt and all I have to do is dance away a little ways and I'll be invulnerable.
You might react differently, but it is apparent that you have more faith in human nature than I do when it comes to armed assailants.
He wasn't blocked.