Houla Massacre, Syria: What If?

Witnesses observing mass killings and human right abuses on both sides does not mean that they all wrong. Just different sides of a bloody civil war.

This is two bloody massacres in the place of one. Only one can have happened. The other is wrong. Not everyone.

The primary difference is whether the outside supporters of either side will ignore, downplay, or dismiss the killings of one side in order to help justify their support. Which is effectively encouraging the impunity of the worst kinds of war crimes from both sides.

Thanks. See post *84 forward here.

Understandably, some people's biases are more important to them than the people actually affected by the fighting.

Yep. More later. Thanks for some comments.
 
Not all all does it mean that. It means that you admit that we treated both sides neutrally in collecting and presenting the information (just in case you still didn't get it: That wiki was created by me and the information there is 99% collected by CL and myself). That says nothing about the validity you or I give to any of the sources. This really can't be too hard to understand, can it?

I am sorry, but I do not see it as neutral.
 
I am sorry, but I do not see it as neutral.


What the hell? You came back guns blazing from the visit to our wiki and boasted how strong one set was against the other. Again: IT WAS US WHO COLLECTED BOTH! That's the state of evidence as far as we honestly found it. If Caustic Logic hadn't posted the SPIEGEL set, nobody here would know about it. And if I wouldn't have found it by chance and told him about it, he wouldn't know as well (I didn't bother to post it here because I learned what to expect and saw no reason). And if I hadn't spent some time this afternoon incorporating the first of the set into our wiki, we couldn't look at the differences between what Maryam said weeks ago to SPIEGEL and initially to the UN observers.

Ridiculous.
 
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You have some good points.

That right there is rare. Thanks much.

I guess other things that infuriate me are the changing attitudes towards HRW and Amnesty and the UN depending on what story is being told. This happens with those of the left and the right, the pro Israel and the Pro Palestine, the Islamophobes and the anti semites.

Yeah,it'scomplex. On the whole, I find them very biased towards speaking to and believing rebel sources no matter what. However, they also can and do sometimes pass on good information from either side, video analysis, whatever. I'll cite it if so, aware of it can look like cherry picking. Maybe it is. But I refuse to accept the painted marble "cherries"

There is a great bias from all sides and I am in no way saying you are the only one. Quite frankly some of the posters here have disgusting attitudes towards other human beings but that doesnt make them wrong all the time as it doesn't always make you wrong (despite the many assumptions and cherry picking you tend to do).

At the worst, a professional bias to balance out the one nearly everyone else has been cultured with. And increrasingly I fear, the mass bias gets ugly, fascist, and evil.

A better balance from both sides would help the issues at hand as you are doing nothing for the people affected here. I thought maybe the silly stuff you posted during the Libya uprising threads might have opened your eyes a little. Maybe they have, but I haven't seen it yet. I see some talent being wasted? That is all.

Working on the best spending, haven't fully got it yet. A bit of waste in the meantime... Still only the one silly thing I can think of that you probably mean...
 
There are plenty of accounts of rebel war crimes on civilians, and primarily captured prisoners, as well as accounts of attacks and war crimes from Syrian regime forces as well. Reported from a wide range of news sources worldwide. It is reasonable to assume that many of those stories are true, and that there are major human rights abuses committed by both sides.

Could define precisely what you mean by "wide range". What parameters are you using?
 
I am sorry, but I do not see it as neutral.

Maybe not 100% - okay, not 100%. For my part, I acknowledge an underlying bias that might effect how I p[resent the accounts. However, compared to all other source, Syrian and outsider, it's a friggin' breakthrough. Both sets of witnesses laid out side by side, all called alleged. Who else has done that?
 
Maybe not 100% - okay, not 100%. For my part, I acknowledge an underlying bias that might effect how I p[resent the accounts. However, compared to all other source, Syrian and outsider, it's a friggin' breakthrough. Both sets of witnesses laid out side by side, all called alleged. Who else has done that?


That's why we asked for participation from "the other side", without success. ARRGH, i'll leave the diplomacy part to you. :mad:
 
That's why we asked for participation from "the other side", without success. ARRGH, i'll leave the diplomacy part to you. :mad:

It can be quite frustrating, I know. We get little respect. (Now the excuses why, instead of just granting a little respect...) I had more to say, but eh, better get to work.

Before I have any more on Houla itself, more murky massacre news:
The activist group, the Local Co-ordination Committee in Syria, says 77 people were killed in two separate mass killings in the Damascus suburbs of Jdeidet Artouz and Yalda.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/middle-east-live/2012/aug/02/syria-crisis-damascus-massacres-live

Rebels are mostly pushed out of Damascus, right? How far out, I wonder, relative to these possibly vulnerable 'burbs?

"Rebels and activists reported skirmishes in several parts of the country on Wednesday, including heavily Christian areas of Damascus that had been quiet..." [NYT]
Previously not rising up, or previously not overrun by those rising up? Again, how far out, relative to these other burbs?

Opposition figures drew special attention to the bodies in Jdeidet Artouz — sending an alert to reporters with a link to live-streaming video of a mass funeral procession and mass burial — just one day after rebels in Aleppo caused an outcry among rights groups and others over their videotaped public executions of men identified as pro-government militiamen.
[...]
the rebels and activists tried pivoting on Wednesday afternoon to an example of what they described as a regime “massacre.”

Susan Ahmad, a spokeswoman for the revolutionary council of Damascus, an anti-Assad group, argued in an interview that many of the victims in Jdeidet Artouz were civilians, and that the town had been a refuge for families fleeing the fighting in Damascus. “Almost all of the dead were extrajudicially executed,” she said.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/02/w...rian-troops-to-fight-crucial-battle.html?_r=1
 
SANA yesterday (mirrors pop up, one here):

Authorities Kill, Arrest Terrorists in Damascus Countryside

Authorities continued chasing armed terrorist groups in Jdaidet Artouz and Artouz in Damascus Countryside.

An official source told SANA reporter that the pursuing operation resulted in killing a number of terrorists and arresting dozens of them while some others surrender themselves and their weapons to the authorities.


Sounds like Tremseh.

edit: documents.sy from Monday:

* Pro-government activists say Syrian Army enters Jdeidet Artouz area, using armors, to vanish the militants in the area
* Jdeidet Artouz anti-government coordination say Syrian Army units raid this dawn on Jdeidet Artouz area of Damascus countryside; resulted in 50 victims and the arrest of dozens of people
* Heavy armed conflicts took place in Yelda, where sporadic clashes appeared yesterday between Syrian Army and Free Army militia in Bebbila town of Damascus countryside for the fourth day on a row


This is all countryside, not even suburbs.
 
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The seven witnesses in the interviews follow a pattern of accounts accepted by nearly all news networks except those that are directly affiliated with the Assad regime.

Here is one clearly indicating Shabiha involvement:

WITNESS V

The family of Muawiya Sayyid, the retired police officer, lived a few houses down the street. His daughter Maryam Sayyid was standing at the window inside the house, "when a group of soldiers approached from the waterworks for the first time, at about 4:30 p.m. They were shooting into the air and they banged against our door, but when no one responded they kept going. We felt safe. My father had been in the police for 30 years, most recently as a colonel. Nothing had ever happened to us in previous raids.

My brother was also in the house. He was a soldier and he had a broken leg, so he couldn't move. They didn't give him any time off for four months, because he was from Houla, which made him suspicious.

He had only been allowed to return home because of his broken leg. But we weren't afraid of the army. And if they were terrorists, how could they get here through the two checkpoints? What we were afraid of were the shells that had been raining down nearby for hours. It was still light outside, and our house is the last one on the street, so we were afraid to run away.

At about 6 p.m., we heard a tank on the street and men on a car who were chanting: 'Shabiha forever! With our blood and our souls, we sacrifice ourselves for you, oh Bashar!' We had never heard that before.

We were in the house, with my father in the room facing the street and everyone else in the room facing the back. At about 11 p.m., we could hear voices through loudspeakers, saying: 'All lights out! Including candles!' I went to my father in the other room. He had just heard the men standing downstairs in front of the door, and saying that they would take the women first and then kill everyone. I asked him what we should do. He said: 'Go! I'll go outside and try to stall them.'

There were 15 of us. We couldn't take Ahmed with us, because he was too sick. But we were so afraid and in such a hurry that we forgot Sarah, my 8-year-old sister. She was sleeping. When I realized that, I went back to the house with my sister-in-law. We heard the men saying: 'We want the women!' My sister-in-law said: 'There's nothing we can do. They're going to die.' She pulled me back, and we fled."
 
The main problem in this case is the credibility of the government accounts.

Especially given that they have been caught coercing the falsification of witness accounts in Aleppo

As well as an account of their falsifaction of witness accounts in this case:

Colonel Mohammed Tayyib Baqur, who served in the Syrian army for two-thirds of his life and deserted a few weeks ago, worked most recently in the political division of the Defense Ministry. He now reports that, on May 28, he received a call from Jamil Hassan, the head of Syrian Air Forces intelligence and one of the leading members of the regime: "He told me to come in on June 2. He pointed out that I was from Houla, and that an international conspiracy against Syria was underway. For that reason, he wanted me to find a few people, as poor as possible, from Houla or the surrounding area. I was to bring them to Damascus so that they could circulate the regime's version of the massacre. He said that the people from Houla would be paid, and so would I. Then he called his office manager and told him to give me 25,000 Syrian pounds."


The sole basis of the story coming out of the Assad Regime side which claims that the Houla massacre was a rebel attack only comes from SANA, ANNA, or regime supplied sources that are directly involved with the side that is accused of having carried out this massacre. Sources that have already been caught falsifying information, and are accounted to have been falsifying information on this incident as well.

Similarly to being caught cheating at cards, it does not mean that you are going to automatically cheat again, but your reputation as an honest card player is diminished. If you have already been caught cheating multiple times, and all of the players have exactly contradicting information as to what the cards should be, than the seven kings in Assad's hand may not be real.


Which is the same for this case. You have collected a lot of information, and put a lot of time into making the website, but you can hardly call it two equal accounts of witness information when the accounts that are given are not performed on an equal basis. One set of accounts comes solely from a source already found to be providing falsified accounts, while the other comes from a wide range of witnesses given to a wide range of sources.
 
One of the main alledged perpetraters of the plot especially concerning the direct involvement in the alledged falsification of witness accounts from the Assad regime story is Jamil Hassan, the head of Syrian Air Forces intelligence.

Given that the man is named, and in a prominent enough position to have public information availble on him, it seems like a good place to see whether there is validity to the claim that the government falsified witness accounts in this case as they have been caught doing in others.

An article on Bashar Al-Assad's inner circle reveals the following:

Jamil Hassan, head of Air Force Intelligence

Maj Gen Hassan replaced Abdul Fatah Qudsiya as head of Air Force Intelligence in 2009.

Though smaller than Military Intelligence, AFI is seen by some as the elite agency of Syria's intelligence empire. The agency owes its power to Hafez al-Assad, who was air force chief before coming to power in a coup. It plays a leading role in operations against Islamist opposition groups, as well as covert actions abroad, and has a reputation for brutality.

Gen Hassan, an Alawite, previously served as a security official in the eastern governorate of Deir al-Zour.

In late April 2011, personnel from Air Force Intelligence fired tear gas and live ammunition to disperse crowds of demonstrators who took to the streets in Damascus and other cities after noon prayers, killing at least 43 people, according to the US. In one incident in Nawa, PSD agents reportedly opened fire on a crowd of protesters waiving olive branches.

The next month, the EU said Gen Hassan was "involved in the repression against the civilian population" during the recent anti-government unrest, and imposed a travel ban and asset freeze on him.
 
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Here's a good piece with a number of video interviews of eyewitness accounts.

http://www.spiegel.de/international/world/a-look-back-at-the-houla-massacre-in-syria-a-845854.html

The seven witnesses in the interviews follow a pattern of accounts accepted by nearly all news networks except those that are directly affiliated with the Assad regime.

Here is one clearly indicating Shabiha involvement:

99074d54b459448e8.gif


Please read my post #603 and the discussion on the last page.

Your claim that the one set is only based on SANA/ANNA accounts is plain untrue, and a lot of the other set is based on unverifiable Skype/phone interviews from the rebel side which have been caught in falsehoods time and time again. It doesn't make it more diverse when more outlets quote those communications. Maybe read a bit more before commenting - check the strongest set of one side, Alex Thomson's visit to Taldou, against the strongest set of the other side - ANNA's visit to Taldou. It's not at all clear who fabricated what, and don't forget that the SPIEGEL interviews were made almost two months after the fact.
 
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[qimg]http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/imagehosting/99074d54b459448e8.gif[/qimg]

Please read my post #603 and the discussion on the last page.

Your claim that the one set is only based on SANA/ANNA accounts is plain untrue, and a lot of the other set is based on unverifiable Skype/phone interviews from the rebel side which have been caught in falsehoods time and time again. It doesn't make it more diverse when more outlets quote those communications. Maybe read a bit more before commenting - check the strongest set of one side, Alex Thomson's visit to Taldou, against the strongest set of the other side - ANNA's visit to Taldou. It's not at all clear who fabricated what, and don't forget that the SPIEGEL interviews were made almost two months after the fact.

When one side comes solely from government sources that have already been caught falsifying accounts, and the other comes from a wide range of witnesses from a wide range of sources, than you don't really have an alternative story to debate.

A nice collection of blatant government propaganda to be sure, but hardly anything factually relevant to this case.
 
When one side comes solely from government sources that have already been caught falsifying accounts, and the other comes from a wide range of witnesses from a wide range of sources, than you don't really have an alternative story to debate.


But it isn't true. That's not the case at all. Are you trolling or what? Seems like that given you come up with the SPIEGEL link after a page of discussion as if it were news, and pretend for a series of posts to not get what "neutral" is in regards to collecting information. You still not admitted it, btw.
 
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I also remind you that the UN report was after more than a month not able to tell which of the scenario's is true, so it's far from as obvious as you make it to be. You can find it linked on the wiki.
 
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HB, we've mentioned the Spiegel witnesses. That article tries hard to discredit the non-rebel witnesses, and makes up straw men about the Sayyid family converting to Shi'ism (only the Abdel Razaq family allegedly did). These accounts are being examined already (slowly so far)

The main problem in this case is the credibility of the government accounts.

Especially given that they have been caught coercing the falsification of witness accounts in Aleppo

I didn't see anything like that in there. Can you point it out? Or did you mean to post a different link?

As well as an account of their falsifaction of witness accounts in this case:

One of the possible rebel-supplied liars says the government lies. The other side has its own similar claims:
I only saw the observers from far, they were surrounded by armed men who put on the Syrian Arab Army’s uniforms. A lot of people were there and saw all of that, they were of chosen families and they were calling “we want to bring the regime down” and everybody knows they’re the armed men’s relatives. The armed men got into the houses and told the people that they must leave because this is a military zone now. I didn’t go anywhere, but a lot fled the after that.

Yes, she spoke to SANA, not CNN. She's an alleged witness.

The sole basis of the story coming out of the Assad Regime side which claims that the Houla massacre was a rebel attack only comes from SANA, ANNA, or regime supplied sources that are directly involved with the side that is accused of having carried out this massacre.

The bolded isn't fully true. But CNN isn't accused of being involved in the violence. So are they bias free? What did they have to say to explain away the other witnesses? Anything? I just see the rebel-supplied witnesses being called "the witnesses" and their accounts taken as straight truth.

Why did the regime decide to kill so many little kids right before Kofi Annan's visit? Why again at Qubeir just hours before a big UN meeting, and why at Treimseh during such a meeting? Each time, it brings pressure against the government to halt its massacres, makes it harder for Russia. This fits better with rebel execution, whatever you might say about media sources.

There are other serious questions like that you'd be hard pressed to answer, despite how easy it is to dismiss "regime sources."

Sources that have already been caught falsifying information, and are accounted to have been falsifying information on this incident as well.

Falsification would be troubling, but no magic ticket to prove everything they say is a lie, or the claims under consideration are. But I still haven't seen that here, aside from what Col. Baqur said.

Similarly to being caught cheating at cards, it does not mean that you are going to automatically cheat again, but your reputation as an honest card player is diminished. If you have already been caught cheating multiple times, and all of the players have exactly contradicting information as to what the cards should be, than the seven kings in Assad's hand may not be real.

HB, is Ali Al-Sayed a reliable witness to the massacre at Houla? (correct answer, no)

Have the rebels of Homs been caught lying here? (correct answer, yes)

I've carried out two detailed investigations so far. That's how they've come out so far.

Which is the same for this case. You have collected a lot of information, and put a lot of time into making the website, but you can hardly call it two equal accounts of witness information when the accounts that are given are not performed on an equal basis. One set of accounts comes solely from a source already found to be providing falsified accounts, while the other comes from a wide range of witnesses given to a wide range of sources.

Rebel-supplied, activist-supplied, spoken to after the rebel takeover of the town, speaking to the believe-all-rebel stories mainstream media. The other side has spoken to SANA, ANNA, the nun, Jurgen Todenhoffer, and that's about it. Many of the witnesses, especially the direct ones who saw the killing up-lose, were killed. The others who saw part of it from a distance are scared ****less, are few, and don't give names. Is that more or less realistic than the rebel witnesses who escaped from within the massacre homes, report "Alawite accents," slogans, songs, etc., freely give "their" names and "their" stories as they roll with the rebels, adopted almost like their own family members now?
 
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