Badly Shaved Monkey said:
What I find most scary about homeopaths is their complete lack of doubt.
I've been reading through these threads BSM is talking about, and he's right.
There are three or four people there who repeatedly ask the homoeopaths to think about a falsifiable trial - not the sort of thing they usually do, in which any outcome at all is interpreted within the basic assumption that the remedies have a physiological effect, but something for which a negative result would actually support the view that they do
not have such an effect.
It has been explained to them that this may be seen as a "thought experiment", and that
any real world effect is capable of being tested like this even if you are absolutely certain that you will get a positive result. (As one poster said, I'm absolutely convinced that insulin has an effect on the body, but I'd be perfectly happy to test that for you by injecting 10 units into that laboratory rat and watching to see what happens - I'd also put every penny I could scrape up on the rat's demise.)
There have been relatively few responses to this, but the salient point of virtually all the homoeopaths has been the statement that their starting point is the assumption that the remedies
do have an effect on the body, and that it is virtually impossible for them even to consider that this might not be so.
This seems to be at the root of the conflict. The sceptics are prepared to question anything, and do. As BSM said, the sceptic attitude is that it all seems very unlikely, and so far the working hypothesis is that the remedies have
no effect, but nevertheless, show us the evidence and we will consider it. People have been wrong before. However, the homoeopaths regard this request for evidence as insulting
per se, and the default position that failing such evidence the assumption will be in the negative as even more insulting, and meeting of minds there definitely is not.
They seem genuinely unable to grasp why they should even consider performing the very simple and cheap test which has been outlined to them about four times, and which, if positive, would be the most enourmous coup for homoeopathy (not to mention putting them in line for the JREF million). Simple. Take 20 homoeopaths, each of whom is confident that he or she can prove a remedy of their own choice. Each of them is given, randomly, either exactly what they specify, or a chemically identical placebo. All they have to do is say which they got. If all or nearly all of them got it right, we'd really have to start rewriting the textbooks! If even a significant majority got it right it would surely trigger a huge wave of replication attempts. However, if the accuracy was only chance, it would blow an enormous hole in the very fabric of homoeopathy. If the provings, on which they base the entire "like cures like" edifice, are illusionary, the whole thing starts to unravel.
And that's the crux of it all. We as medical scientists simply cannot imagine continuing to practice a discipline with such a vital confirmatory test unperformed. They as homoeopaths simply cannot imagine performing the test, for fear that a negative result will put them out of business.
Is it any wonder that hard words tend to be exchanged?
Rolfe.