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Dawkins's comments re: tsunami disaster

jzs said:
Feel free to show me any dictionary that defines a prediction as a claim.

I did. Webster. Your call.

jzs said:
Most say something like: a prediction is the forming of an opinion about the future.

Not according to the dictionary.

jzs said:
And, as I've mentioned many times, that is the meaning which I am using.

And, as it has been proved, you invent your own language.
 
Pixel42: As it happens, I am a Doctor Who fan (and, let's face it, that remark is at least as pertinent to the subject under discussion as anything here from CFLarsen or jzs). However, this is the only board I have ever participated in, and I prefer to keep it that way.

I have every interest in promoting science and attacking pseudo-science, but no interest at all in promoting atheism (not being an atheist myself, and anyway not caring about other people's religious beliefs). This appears to put me in a small minority here, but that's fine by me. I once tried to suggest that it would be good if we could really ‘Be part of the JREF web community by engaging in intelligent discussions with both skeptics and non-skeptics from around the globe’, and have civilised, tolerant and constructive debates about topics on which we don't necessarily hold identical skeptical positions. I was told in very robust terms (by CFLarsen amongst others) that we do that already!
The only point where we part company is that I do still think Martin Kettle was right to ask the question.
I don't object to his questions; it's more the tone of his article. I felt that it was rather trite and journalistic, and it gave the impression that he was more interested in scoring points than seriously addressing the issues. That's never a good thing to do if you are really trying to change anyone's mind.


BillyJoe: Thank you for your kind words about my posts. Actually, it makes a nice change to have someone read them. You would scarcely credit this, but I once posted in Puzzles a full solution to a far from trivial problem that had taken me hours to work out. It was completely ignored by everyone for a couple of weeks, and then some little upstart had the cheek to announce that he had solved it and offer to share the fruits of his wisdom. :rolleyes:

Anyway, I agree with everything you have said here, especially about the ludicrous and embarassing 'Bright' campaign.
 
CFLarsen said:
First, no, you are not a skeptic.


You are no skeptic.


Second, it is extremely telling that you explain what you are not doing here.


Every new poster has to explain themselves to you? Go deflate your ego a bit...


Same thing:


None of your dictionary definitions defined a prediction as a claim. Try again..


It is blatantly clear that you are the one blowing smoke. And not from your mouth.

More critical and skeptical analysis from the Dane superhero we see..
 
Lucky: Today's Guardian contains a piece by the Rev Dr Giles Fraser which is the best response I've yet seen by a believer to the tsunami. You'll find it here if you're interested. It's not enough for me, but at least it acknowledges that there is a question that needs to be answered and makes an honest attempt to do so.

Unfortunately today's Guardian also includes this report

Salman al-Farizi is in no doubt about why Aceh was struck by a magnitude 9 earthquake and tsunami. It was no freak of nature, according to the Aceh commander of Laskar Mujahidin, one of Indonesia's most radical Islamist groups

"The Acehnese had betrayed Allah," he told the Guardian in a military tent that serves as the detachment's kitchen-cum-mosque at Banda Aceh airport. "They were not true to their faith.
... It is crucial that the survivors, and indeed all Muslims, understand that this was a warning from Allah," Mr Farizi said. "If they don't be come true Muslims then they will be struck down."
 
CFLarsen said:
I did. Webster. Your call.


I call foul, since none of your definitions define a prediction as a claim.


And, as it has been proved, you invent your own language.

"has been proved"[i/].

Still in dreamland, PseudoSkeptic?
 
jzs said:
You are no skeptic.

Because you so declare. We know, we know...

jzs said:
Every new poster has to explain themselves to you? Go deflate your ego a bit...

"New" poster, T'ai Chi? You are not a "new" poster, you have had several personae here.

jzs said:
None of your dictionary definitions defined a prediction as a claim. Try again..

Do take time to read what Webster said, before you so stupidly reject it:

Forecast
1 a : to calculate or predict (some future event or condition) usually as a result of study and analysis of available pertinent data; especially : to predict (weather conditions) on the basis of correlated meteorological observations b : to indicate as likely to occur
2 : to serve as a forecast of : PRESAGE
intransitive senses : to calculate the future
synonym see FORETELL

Prediction
1 : an act of predicting
2 : something that is predicted : FORECAST

When you predict something, you claim to know the future.

Do you understand now that you were wrong?

jzs said:
More critical and skeptical analysis from the Dane superhero we see..

Yawn. Do you have anything substantial to say here? Like why Tuskegee was such bad science?
 
jzs said:
I call foul, since none of your definitions define a prediction as a claim.

You can call it anything you like. It does not change the fact that you claimed to know the future.

jzs said:
"has been proved"[i/].

Still in dreamland, PseudoSkeptic?


Hey, go ahead, reject the evidence from the dictionary you demanded.
 
CFLarsen said:
Because you so declare. We know, we know...


So when you say something like that, we are expected to fawn over you and just accept the garbage you spew? Nope.


"New" poster, T'ai Chi? You are not a "new" poster, you have had several personae here.


Fine, whatever you want to say, new username. Whatever.


When you predict something, you claim to know the future.


I'm not getting that from your defintions. In fact, the world claim is not ANYWHERE in them. Try again...


Do you have anything substantial to say here?

Do you? Let me know.
 
CFLarsen said:
You can call it anything you like. It does not change the fact that you claimed to know the future.


Utter poppycock from the bully. I didn't claim to know the future, PseudoSkeptic.


Hey, go ahead, reject the evidence from the dictionary you demanded.

The definitions you provided do not even mention the word claim at all.
 
jzs said:
Utter poppycock from the bully. I didn't claim to know the future, PseudoSkeptic.

Asking someone to back up their claims is not "bullying", T'ai.

jzs said:
The definitions you provided do not even mention the word claim at all.

Do you understand that when you read a text, you also have to understand it, if you want to talk about its meaning?

You cannot merely look at the letters. Look beyond the letters, find the meaning.
 
jzs said:
On to the topic: is Patricio really saying that Tuskegee wasn't done in the name of science?
I guess you're refering to the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment?. I think you're missing the point by making up a false analogy. Religion has institutionalized dogma, censorship, hate, etc. It has perscuted and brought suffering to people, just for their ideas. On the other hand, science has been mis-used, indeed!; scientists have made mistakes, sure!, but the scope is totally different.
 
CFLarsen said:
Asking someone to back up their claims is not "bullying", T'ai.


The manner you do it in, is, PseudoSkeptic.


Do you understand that when you read a text, you also have to understand it, if you want to talk about its meaning?

I'll translate from PseudoSkeptic to English so others can understand your words:

'The defintions of "prediction" didn't specifically say "claim", so, since I want them to be the same, I'll twist the actual definitions, that don't mention the word "claim" at all, to try and convince people that "prediction" and "claim" are the same thing. Then I'll blab about the need to understand the meaning, hopeing people overlook the fact that that is what dictionaries do and the dictionaries I used didn't mention the word "claim" with "prediction".'


Look beyond the letters, find the meaning.


Right, and that is what dictionaries do. And your definitions didn't mention "claim" at all. Try again...
 
Patricio Elicer said:
I guess you're refering to the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment?. I think you're missing the point by making up a false analogy. Religion has institutionalized dogma, censorship, hate, etc. It has perscuted and brought suffering to people, just for their ideas. On the other hand, science has been mis-used, indeed!; scientists have made mistakes, sure!, but the scope is totally different.

Religion has no more institutionalized hate than anything else. It is up the the people doing religion or science, not religion or science itself. Religion and science are not entities that do stuff.

Patricio, glad to see you don't disagree that Tuskegee was done in the name of medical science.
 
jzs said:
The manner you do it in, is, PseudoSkeptic.

Oh, I am so sorry. Perhaps you could clarify under what rules we are allowed to pose questions to you?

jzs said:
Right, and that is what dictionaries do. And your definitions didn't mention "claim" at all. Try again...

So, you don't read beyond the letters. If that is your way out of the quagmire you put yourself in, fine with me.
 
CFLarsen said:
Oh, I am so sorry.


Apology accepted.


So, you don't read beyond the letters.

Again, dictionaries are the ones that give the meaning, not you, PseudoSkeptic. And the dictionary definitions didn't mention "claim" at all as you are desperately wishing they did.

Try again...
 
jzs,

Perhaps you could clarify under what rules we are allowed to pose questions to you?
 
Claus, there's no way to debate this person as long as he persists in making up his own definitions for words and then using them.

He just "makes it all up".
 
Lucky,

Lucky said:
BillyJoe: Thank you for your kind words about my posts. Actually, it makes a nice change to have someone read them.
I enjoy reading well thought out and clearly written posts. I also enjoy a few jokes and a bit of good natured by play. But I think we can do without the endless diatribes delivered back and forth and spilling over into and contaminating other threads. But they are easy to ignore - just gloss over jzs and CFLarsen's posts where they occur together in the same thread quoting each other.

Lucky said:
You would scarcely credit this, but I once posted in Puzzles a full solution to a far from trivial problem that had taken me hours to work out. It was completely ignored by everyone for a couple of weeks, and then some little upstart had the cheek to announce that he had solved it and offer to share the fruits of his wisdom. :rolleyes:
I think his name was BillyJoe. :D
In my defense, I was busy at the time and unable to read everything in each thread I responded to. I did then read your solution which was identical to but much more compact than mine. I remember retreating with my tail between my legs. :D Goddamn, and it took me ove an hour as well. :(

BillyJoe
 

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