No. But if you had evidence that pipeline leaks were incredibly rare on average, that might help your case.
More Than 300 A Year: New Analysis Shows Devastating Impact of Pipeline Spills
I'm sure you can find a right wing site that refutes this data?
Don't have to, because the claim I was addressing is much, much more specific and universal:
The pipeline eventually WOULD leak and pollute the water.
Build it, run it for a month, shut it down and then remove it - that would be enough to falsify the statement. Alternatively, reroute the water (a pipe would be handy) so that even if there was a spill, there is no way to get to the water.
Hard core predictions about the future are like that. We can get to "pretty likely" but certainty, as expressed in that claim, is right out.
Let's say we were serious about estimating risk instead of just being knee-jerk pro-indian. The number of leaks per year (the basis for the article you cited - thanks) wouldn't do it. Why? Because we are interested in the probability of a leak in the pipeline close enough to the lake to matter. So, for a start, we'd want to look at "leaks per mile of pipe" or something similar and see how many miles are within the "harm zone." Then, we'd probably want to look at the type of pipe and the environmental conditions. Maybe add in the maintenance schedule and possible mitigations put in place - this is likely to be relevant because newer designs may incorporate lessons learned.
I imagine all of the stuff I mentioned (and more) is in the environmental impact statement filed for this pipeline. I am not qualified to analyze such a thing, but certainly would neither claim the pipe must leak, nor it cannot leak.
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