HoverBoarder
Graduate Poster
- Joined
- May 18, 2011
- Messages
- 1,667
Mostly, but there are both Israeli citizens and sympathetic international media moaning about a Hamas "victory"... due to their unrealistic expectations. (Although this is starting to turn around as cooler heads gain reasonable perspective.)
Personally, I can't stand Likud, Lieberman or the Netanyahu administration. But in this case, I think they handled the crisis fairly well.
The IDF was able to eliminate a healthy portion of the Hamas command structure, weapons storage facilities and transport tunnels. The lion's share of their missile arsenal was bled out with very little actual results, due to the stunning effectiveness of Iron Dome- a system that just a few years ago was considered by some analysts to be a colossal waste of resources which would never have a significant role on the battlefield. And this was accomplished without having to resort to a ground assault.
From what I've read so far, the cease fire extracted no serious concessions from Israel. Halting targeted assassinations would naturally be included, and loosening restrictions on Palestinian movement was being planned before the crisis began. Meanwhile, shortly after the cease fire took effect, Mashaal stated that Hamas accepts 2 states based on the '67 borders and was willing to proceed without resorting to violence in any form. IIRC, this is the first time this stance has been put on record; it might have been a negotiated condition for the agreement.
Who knows... a few more of these spectacular Hamas "victories" and we may even live to see Israel recognized as a legitimate Jewish state.
Good post, and you were absolutely right in this.
Israel has made some minor concessions through easing some fishing limitations and farmer field access near borders. And they will likely be spared from having to ease aspects of the blockade that would prevent Hamas from more easily rearming for the next conflict as Hamas has predictably stated that they will not stop obtaining new arms to fire at Israeli citizens.
All of which points to a lull in the violence until the next escalation. As Jeffrey Goldberg in his article noted:
Seven Truths About Israel, Hamas and Violence
Hamas’s strategy in this latest conflict makes perfect sense. Hamas, which is the Palestine branch of the Muslim Brotherhood, is theologically committed to the obliteration of Israel and believes, as a matter of faith, that Jews are Allah’s enemies. Its leaders have believed, since the group’s inception, that Jews are soft (“We love death and they love life,” a Hamas leader once told me, and it is a commonly expressed thought). Hamas also believes that eventually misery and fear will drive most Jews to leave Israel, which it views as a Muslim waqf, or endowment, not merely the rightful home of the Palestinian people.
This strategy only works because Hamas leaders believe that the deaths of Palestinians aid their cause. As we have seen in this latest iteration of the Arab-Israeli war, every death of a Palestinian civilian is a victory for Hamas and a defeat for Israel. Palestinians in Gaza who dissent from this approach are often punished by Hamas.
A tactic that may help Hamas (and definitely helps Iran), but does not help the Gazan people. Until they can break that cycle, the result will likely be as Jeffery notes that:
The trends on both sides are almost entirely negative. The most likely outcome of this round: A cease-fire, a period of quiet and then a gradual return to shooting.
There are ways to solve this crisis beyond just a continual reoccurrence of violence and cease fires. All it would take is for someone with the credibility, support, and protection from the Gazan people to suggest a way of working with the Israelis, instead of just trying to kill them all.