No, it isn't demonstrated, but neither is the contrary.
Neither is it for Santa Claus or Russel's teapot, but there's no reason to assume the positive just because the contrary is not proven.
Like I said, I think it's just common sense that if you dress in a way that attracts attention, you're more likely to attract attention from all sorts of people, including rapists.
"Common sense" most of the time is just some stereotype that doesn't actually make sense. I think you'll find that for most of human history "common sense" -- that is, in the absence of an education and/or scientific data -- included stuff like magic, astrology, or that the Earth can't be round because then the people on the other side would fall off. Or it was common sense that you can divine stuff about someone in anything from tea leaves to handwriting to the shape of their skull.
Something being common sense but unsupported by data, just means you've happened to stumble upon a stereotype or occasionally prejudice, rather than something to be taken as true until disproven.
Additionally, it's making a lot of assumptions there, and even those don't add up to the peddled conclusion. E.g., if according to Dan Rottenberg
A) the big prize and male wiring there is conquering an UNwilling sex partner ("
Conquering an unwilling sex partner is about as much drama as a man can find without shooting a gun"), and
B) "
When you display legs, thighs or cleavage, [...] most men will see it as a sign that you want to get laid."
then it's not obvious at al why the latter would make it more likely. I mean his own argument boils down to conquering someone who's UNwilling is more rewarding somehow than conquering someone who is willing, and skimpy dresses mark one as willing. Wouldn't it then be even more drama and all to go for someone whose dress indicates that she's not willing to get laid? Like, dunno, someone in a nun dress?
It's one of those cases where "common sense" actually makes no sense whatsoever. You don't even need to check whether it's sound, as it's self-contradicting by itself.
Maybe for some reason rapists do not find attractive women attractive, but somehow I doubt it.
That contains already an assumption of what a rapist is looking for. How do you know? I mean even Dan Rottenberg there seems to disagree with you, since he thinks it's about drama, not about attractiveness.
But he's not an expert, so let's look at what an actual one says, namely Nicholas Groth, at the time director of Forensic Mental Health Associates, and based on studying some 3000 actual sex offenders over 25 years. For a start, what he says is that most of them were not sexually deprived at the time they raped someone, so in fact it's not at all some emergency way to get some sex. His classification actually puts most rapists in 3 categories:
- anger rape: pretty much revenge rape. It has nothing to do with the victim being pretty or attractive or sexy or anything, but with inflicting some punishment for some injustice that the rapist thinks the victim did him. Or that women generally did him. But apparently even "revenge" paints a wrong picture, as it can be "revenge" for not wanting to talk to him right now, or for some other woman dumping him in high school, or whatever.
(This, incidentally, is the category that Lara Logan's rape falls under. Those guys were just trying to dish some humiliating punishment in anger upon the "Jew".)
- power rape: just like it sounds. It's about feeling power over someone.
- sadism rape: these guys are turned on by inflicting as much trauma and harm as they can.
For none of those actual goals, looking sexy is much of a factor. That's not the itch that is being scratched. For someone looking for revenge, looking like a catholic schoolgirl can actually be the worst thing you can do, if he's after revenge for an ex-girlfriend who dressed like a catholic schoolgirl too. But generally it's random, because you don't know exactly what connection or behaviour will trigger an anger attack. For someone looking for a power trip, looking like the submissive type that tries to blend in the background, can actually just say "easy target." And for a sadist, well, it depends on the kind of trauma he's looking to inflict.
The reason for my first post on this discussion was to point out that there is a logical fallacy at work in many of the responses to this article, and I wish someone could help me to categorize it. Sure, it's possible that the way a woman dresses or acts is not a significant factor in her risk of rape compared to other factors, such as the risk of being in the wrong place at the wrong time. But it is fallacious to argue that one factor is not the (or a) cause because some other factor (criminal intent, opportunity) is the (or a) cause. Most things have multiple causes.
There is no fallacy. If something is unsupported as a cause, it's unsupported and that's that. Just because something doesn't fit the preconceived conclusion you want, doesn't make it a fallacy.