Anybody think there are Aliens (UFO)?

Summary of the above-linked article:

Emergency caller: "There's a bright stationary object in the sky! It's been there a half-hour! Can you send someone around to take a look?"

Police arriving at the scene: "Yeah, it's the moon."

:eek:
 
Vortigern99 is persistent if nothing else.

If you won’t seek the evidence when presented as a weblink in a post, perhaps I can help you out. The following was a random selection from a list of Blue Book Unknowns (Note: these are not from the Special Report No, 14. unknowns… their website is not functioning at the moment of writing… which had a degree of rigour imposed far above what made this list). I simply opened the pdf file, scrolled about a third of the way through and selected these reports as they happened to be in the window. As I say, just a random selection.

I ask you Vortigren, where in the following reports is the information that allows you to conclude that they are explicable as any of the “mundane, terrestrial and/or cosmological” events you list.

May 24, 1952. Zuni, New Mexico. 1:27 a.m. Pilot of
TWA airliner Brass saw 2 reddish torpedo-shaped
objects appear in front of the aircraft. (Project 1947;
FUFOR Index)
18 secs 1
431. May 25, 1952. Randolph AFB, Texas. 9:27 p.m.
(CST). USAF navigator in charge of navigation
section of Combat Crew Training School, Capt. J. S.
J., his wife, and pilot Lt. P. H., saw a group of about
12 orange-white tear-drop shaped lights, points
forward, in 3 groups of 4 objects moving from W to E
at high speed 2,000 mph at 10,000 ft at 70°
elevation. Heard deep soft intermittent noise.
(McDonald files; Jan Aldrich; cf. Ruppelt p. 140;
FUFOR Index)
3 secs 3
432. 1227 May 25, 1952. Walnut Lake, Mich. 9:15 p.m. John
Hoffman, family, friends [and others?] saw a large
white circular object having dark sections on its rim,
fly straight and level, appearing red when behind a
cloud. [Same witness(es) as in April 27, June 18,
1952, cases??] (Berliner)
30 mins 7
433. May 26, 1952. North Korea. 3:20 a.m. (GMT).
USAF pilot and radar observer flying in an F-94C jet
fighter saw and radar tracked a bright white object
that accelerated to high speed, and tracked by
ground radar. (Weinstein; FUFOR Index)
12 secs 3+ RV ground
and air
radars
434. 1232 May 28, 1952. Saigon, French Indo-China (10°46’ N,
106°43’ E). 10:30 a.m. Many in crowd watching a
ceremony saw a white-silver disc-shaped object fly
straight and fast. (Berliner)
2 mins many
435. 1233 May 28, 1952. Albuquerque, New Mexico. 1:45-2:40
p.m. (PST). City fire department employees Romero
and Atterbury saw 2 circular objects, one shiny silver
and the other orange or light brown, 3 times
performing fast maneuvers. (Berliner)
55 mins 2
436. 1233 May 28, 1952. E of Albuquerque, New Mexico [and
Okla. ?]. 8:10 [8:20? 8:40?] p.m. (MST). USAF
crews of 5 B-29 bombers saw green spherical objects
[fireballs?]. (Project 1947; FUFOR Index)
5+
437. 1236 May 29, 1952. San Antonio, Texas. 7 p.m. USAF
pilot Maj. D. W. Feuerstein [Weinstein?], on ground,
saw a bright tubular object tilt from horizontal to
vertical for 8 mins, then slowly return to horizontal,
again tilt vertically, accelerate, appear to lengthen
and turn red. (Berliner; FUFOR Index)
14 mins 1
438. May 30, 1952. Japan Sea, S of Oshima island, Japan


The point is that some (not all) of these reports simply defy prosaic explanation. That is not to say that they might not have one in the end - just that, as presented, on the information available, we cannot come to a “mundane” conclusion.

You also mention the Zamora case as “Hot air balloons”.

Excerpt from Officer Lonnie Zamora's Report From Project Blue Book (http://www.nicap.dabsol.co.uk/zamora2.htm).

Suddenly noted a shiny type object to south about 150 to 200 yards. It was off the road. At first glance, stopped. It looked, at first, like a car turned upside down. Thought some kids might have turned over. Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat.
At this time I started moving my car towards them quickly, with idea to help. Had stopped about only a couple seconds. Object was like aluminum--it was whitish against the mesa background, but not chrome. Seemed like O in shape and I at first glance took it to be overturned white car. Car appeared to be up on radiator or on trunk, this first glance.
The only time I saw these two persons was when I had stopped, for possibly two seconds or so, to glance at the object. I don't recall noting any particular shape or possibly any hats, or headgear. These persons appeared normal in shape--but possibly they were small adults or large kids.
Then paid attention to road while drove towards scene. Radioed to sheriff's office "Socorro 2 to Socorro, possible 10-44 (accident), I'll be 10-6 (busy) out of the car, checking the car down in the arroyo."
Stopped car, was still talking on radio, started to get out, mike fell down, reached back to put up mike, then replaced radio mike in slot, got out of car and started to go down to where I knew the object (car) was.
Hardly turned around from car, when heard roar (was not exactly a blast), very loud roar--at that close was real loud. Not like a jet--knows what jets sound like. Started low frequency quickly, then roar rose in frequency (higher tone) and in loudness--from loud to very loud. At same time as roar saw flame. Flame was under the object. Object was starting to go straight up--slowly up. Object slowly rose stright up. Flame was light blue and at bottom was sort of orange color From this angle, saw the side of object (not end, as first noted). Difficult to describe flame. Thought, from roar, it might blow up. Flame might have come from underside of object, at middle, possibly a four feet area--very rough guess. Cannot describe flame further except blue and orange. No smoke, except dust in immediate area.
As soon as saw flame and heard roar, turned away, ran away from object but did turn head toward object. Bumped leg on car--back Fender area. Car facing southwest. Glasses fell to ground, left them there. ran to north--car between him and object.
Object was oval, in shape. It was smooth--no windows or doors. As roar started, it was still on or near ground. Noted red lettering of some type (see illustration). Insignia was about 2 1/2' high and about 2' wide I guess. Was in middle of object. . .Object still like aluminum-white.
After fell by car and glasses fell off, kept running to north, with car between me and object. Glanced back couple of times. Noted object to rise to about level of car, about 20 to 25 feet guess--took I guess about six seconds when object started to rise and I glanced back. I ran I guess about halfway to where I ducked down--about fifty feet from the car is where I ducked down, just over edge of hill. I guess I had run about 25 feet when I glanced back and saw the object level with the car and it appeared about directly over the place where it rose from.
I was still running and I jumped just over the hill--I stopped because I did not hear the roar. I was scared of the roar, and I had planned to continue running down the hill. I turned around toward the object and at same time put my head toward ground, covering my face with my arms. Being that there was no roar, I looked up, and I saw the object going away from me. It did not come any closer to me. It appeared to go in straight line and at same height--possibly 10 to 15 feet from ground, and it cleared the dynamite shack by about three feet. Shack about eight feet high.
Object was travelling very fast. It seemed to rise up, and take off immediately across country. I ran back to my car and as I ran back, I kept an eye on the object. I picked up my glasses (I left the sun glasses on ground), got into the car, and radioed to Nep Lopez, radio operator, to "look out of the window, to see if you could see an object." He asked what is it? I answered "It looks like a balloon." I don't know if he saw it. If Nep looked out of his window, which faces north, he couldn't have seen it. I did not tell him at the moment which window to look out of.


So… the last paragraph is where the “Balloon” explanation comes from. This despite the fact that all of the officer’s description to that point clearly indicates that this was no balloon (the flame was coming out the bottom for example). Officer Zamora wanted his fellow officer to quickly find the object in the sky and so he described a familiar shape so that the other officer would immediately have a reference point – not because he thought that was what it was. So we see how disingenuous your balloon explanation really is Vortigern…
My point is that there are reports of things that defy explanation and these we must term UFO. Ergo: UFOs exist. All the speculation in the world and all the making of lists of possible explanations will not add explanatory information to the existing UFO reports to allow conclusions to be drawn. Neither will merely listing EXPLAINED sightings help. EXPLAINED sightings are just that - IFOs (Identified Flying Objects) - and we are NOT interested in those. It is the reports themselves that are critical to the matter at hand and the Identified object reports differ both quantitatively and qualitatively from the unidentified object reports.
 
Rramjet, thank you for posting the information. FYI, I did not follow the link you supplied because I've read #14 before, in whole and in summary, in a variety of books and on-line articles. IOW, I'm familiar with the reports and have been for years. Where I failed to explain this in my earlier posts, I apologize.

Rramjet, I've asked for evidence and you've provided anecdotes. Anecdotes and eyewitness testimony are a form of evidence; however, you appear to believe that no person in authority would ever misidentify a mundane, cosmological, atmospheric or terrestrial event; that no person in authority could ever suffer from the known and documented human phenomena of hallucination, perceptual distortion, regional/cultural expectation, accidental embellishment of fact, or the impermanence of memory; that no person in authority would ever make a willingly fraudulent claim.

Rramjet, these known and documented human behaviors and conditions alone are sufficient to provide possible explanations of every single anecdote you've offered. Extraterrestrial visitation has no physical evidence, no independent verification, no records deriving from studies employing the rigors of scientific scrutiny, spanning decades, which show it be a real and legitimate event, as do the psychological and/or perceptual conditions I've listed in the preceding paragraph.

When combined with the number of atmospheric/cosomological phenomena I've previously listed -- including, especially, meteors in all their forms, and experimental military aircraft -- these psychological and perceptual conditions easily explain the many anecdotes you've offered.

Human beings sometimes report seeing things that aren't there. Sometimes human beings suffer from medical and/or psychological conditions that distort their perception. Sometimes human beings mistake real things for imaginary ones, and/or mix up facts when later recalling the events. And sometimes human beings lie.

Even if every anecdote you've provided from #14 and elsewhere could be shown somehow to be 100% accurate and correct, there is still no concrete evidence that the explanation for these sightings is "extraterrestrial visitation". There might be some energetic phenomena of which we are not yet aware, such as the recently-discovered infra-red "sprites" which occur during lightning storms. There might be some aircraft that some nation of the world was developing in secret. Etc. Resorting to the claim of "ET visitation" is a spurious leap into a realm of the imagination for which there remains no solid, non-hoaxable, unambiguous evidence... which has been my original and sole claim.
 
"Glasses fell to ground, left them there."

Now you’re being just plain silly. What on earth could be the point of your statement? The officer’s glasses were ON (presumably) when he described what the object was in as much detail as he could.

Yours is a typical fundamentalist, uncritical insinuation (how could he describe things properly when he did not have his glasses on). Just like the “Balloon” explanation, it has no basis in fact. It is a typical antirational “mudslinging” exercise. Can’t dispute the facts, so you pick on some ordinary, meaningless in context statement and make a mountain from a molehill. Really BlackKat, you should try and be more critical when posting in such forums as this where at least a ”pretence” of critical mindedness is aspired toward.

I've read #14 before, in whole and in summary, in a variety of books and on-line articles.

Strange, because as far as I know it has never been publicly available in “in whole” before the website I pointed toward…and even that does not seem to be working… I stand to be corrected…

“Anecdotes”? Uh oh. That is just your way of attempting to belittle the reports of eyewitnesses. To deny they are “evidence” at all. Well, eyewitness accounts stand up in court and they have a large role to play in scientific research. Sure they are fallible, but so is everything that humans do. They are no more nor less reliable than any report by anybody about anything. Your implication is that they are so unreliable that they cannot be believed as accurate descriptions. And that amounts to denying that humans can observe anything and report reliably. And that is patently a false conclusion. We actually are very good observers. We are fallible in many ways, but those ways are well documented and understood and can be allowed for.

I don’t deny mistaken identity occurs, but there are so many reports from independent witnesses across time and place that report exactly the same things that we must eventually begin to see that “something” is occurring that is outside our current conception of “reality”. The evidence is overwhelming and if people cannot see that …well…Festinger had a point I guess…

And I have NEVER claimed the reports to be evidence of anything at all, especially the ET hypothesis. All I contend is that all these reports amount to a body of evidence that SOMETHING is going on that we don’t understand. In the end we have so many people report similar experiences that we just have to take notice and all the post hoc rationalisation in the world cannot stand in for properly conducted research. I simply call for research to find out WHAT.

In the end we seem to be of the same opinion, that there is no rational support for the ET hypothesis, but you go further, to attempt to conclude, on the flimsiest of many assumptions, that we CAN explain ALL UFO reports. And THAT I contend is just as nonsensical as concluding ET. The very same uncritical thought processes lead to both conclusions. And that is my point. I am trying to instil some rigour of thought process here, some seem to get it…others… well… not so much :)
 
<snip>

You also mention the Zamora case as “Hot air balloons”.

Excerpt from Officer Lonnie Zamora's Report From Project Blue Book (http://www.nicap.dabsol.co.uk/zamora2.htm).

Suddenly noted a shiny type object to south about 150 to 200 yards. It was off the road. At first glance, stopped. It looked, at first, like a car turned upside down. Thought some kids might have turned over. Saw two people in white coveralls very close to the object. One of these persons seemed to turn and look straight at my car and seemed startled--seemed to jump quickly somewhat.

At this time I started moving my car towards them quickly, with idea to help. Had stopped about only a couple seconds. Object was like aluminum--it was whitish against the mesa background, but not chrome. Seemed like O in shape and I at first glance took it to be overturned white car. Car appeared to be up on radiator or on trunk, this first glance.

The only time I saw these two persons was when I had stopped, for possibly two seconds or so, to glance at the object. I don't recall noting any particular shape or possibly any hats, or headgear. These persons appeared normal in shape--but possibly they were small adults or large kids.
Then paid attention to road while drove towards scene. Radioed to sheriff's office "Socorro 2 to Socorro, possible 10-44 (accident), I'll be 10-6 (busy) out of the car, checking the car down in the arroyo."

Stopped car, was still talking on radio, started to get out, mike fell down, reached back to put up mike, then replaced radio mike in slot, got out of car and started to go down to where I knew the object (car) was.

Hardly turned around from car, when heard roar (was not exactly a blast), very loud roar--at that close was real loud. Not like a jet--knows what jets sound like. Started low frequency quickly, then roar rose in frequency (higher tone) and in loudness--from loud to very loud. At same time as roar saw flame. Flame was under the object. Object was starting to go straight up--slowly up. Object slowly rose stright up. Flame was light blue and at bottom was sort of orange color From this angle, saw the side of object (not end, as first noted). Difficult to describe flame. Thought, from roar, it might blow up. Flame might have come from underside of object, at middle, possibly a four feet area--very rough guess. Cannot describe flame further except blue and orange. No smoke, except dust in immediate area.

As soon as saw flame and heard roar, turned away, ran away from object but did turn head toward object. Bumped leg on car--back Fender area. Car facing southwest. Glasses fell to ground, left them there. ran to north--car between him and object.

Object was oval, in shape. It was smooth--no windows or doors. As roar started, it was still on or near ground. Noted red lettering of some type (see illustration). Insignia was about 2 1/2' high and about 2' wide I guess. Was in middle of object. . .Object still like aluminum-white.

After fell by car and glasses fell off, kept running to north, with car between me and object. Glanced back couple of times. Noted object to rise to about level of car, about 20 to 25 feet guess--took I guess about six seconds when object started to rise and I glanced back. I ran I guess about halfway to where I ducked down--about fifty feet from the car is where I ducked down, just over edge of hill. I guess I had run about 25 feet when I glanced back and saw the object level with the car and it appeared about directly over the place where it rose from.

I was still running and I jumped just over the hill--I stopped because I did not hear the roar. I was scared of the roar, and I had planned to continue running down the hill. I turned around toward the object and at same time put my head toward ground, covering my face with my arms. Being that there was no roar, I looked up, and I saw the object going away from me. It did not come any closer to me. It appeared to go in straight line and at same height--possibly 10 to 15 feet from ground, and it cleared the dynamite shack by about three feet. Shack about eight feet high.

Object was travelling very fast. It seemed to rise up, and take off immediately across country. I ran back to my car and as I ran back, I kept an eye on the object. I picked up my glasses (I left the sun glasses on ground), got into the car, and radioed to Nep Lopez, radio operator, to "look out of the window, to see if you could see an object." He asked what is it? I answered "It looks like a balloon." I don't know if he saw it. If Nep looked out of his window, which faces north, he couldn't have seen it. I did not tell him at the moment which window to look out of.


So… the last paragraph is where the “Balloon” explanation comes from. This despite the fact that all of the officer’s description to that point clearly indicates that this was no balloon (the flame was coming out the bottom for example). Officer Zamora wanted his fellow officer to quickly find the object in the sky and so he described a familiar shape so that the other officer would immediately have a reference point – not because he thought that was what it was. So we see how disingenuous your balloon explanation really is Vortigern….

Finally a case to discuss (I have not forgotten your curious faith in the UFO(s) at Brentwoods you have been attempting to support in the "Evil Randi is Bad" thread, http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?p=5105108#post5105108,)
but there is only so much time in the my life for this nonsense).

It is disingenuous to say "the last paragraph is where the “Balloon” explanation comes from" as pretty much everything else the Zamora says screems HOT AIR BALOON. He gives quite a good description for someone who has never seen one before.

It was an experimental hot air balloon with a wicker basket designed and flown in the Socorro area by Raven Industries at this very time. Raven's Logo amazingly looks just like the insignia the Zamora recorded.


As Jim Winker and legendary hot-air balloonist Don Piccard, respectively, concur:

"I can't do much but agree that all evidence points to a hot air balloon".
Both of those are (c) James Easton, November, 2003, whose site, www.ufoworld.co.uk, seems to be down.

I can't seem to call Easton's full report from elsewhere out of the plethora of believer sites on Google or any other support for the above right now (or from my hard drive where I thought I had saved it.)

Possibly you could spend an hour of your time and research it for us?

Got any other examples you would like to discuss?
 
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Strange, because as far as I know it has never been publicly available in “in whole” before the website I pointed toward…and even that does not seem to be working… I stand to be corrected…

The USAF released a fact sheet about the Blue Book project in 1985. Various parcels of information, including summaries of its contents, have been published in UFO books and magazines since that time. I don't know how long the actual, detailed reports have been available to the public (on-line or at the National Archives), but I read the reports you offered above a year or two ago via a link supplied to me by a friend, SMiles, who runs a paranormal website.

“Anecdotes”? Uh oh. That is just your way of attempting to belittle the reports of eyewitnesses. To deny they are “evidence” at all. Well, eyewitness accounts stand up in court and they have a large role to play in scientific research. Sure they are fallible, but so is everything that humans do. They are no more nor less reliable than any report by anybody about anything. Your implication is that they are so unreliable that they cannot be believed as accurate descriptions. And that amounts to denying that humans can observe anything and report reliably. And that is patently a false conclusion. We actually are very good observers. We are fallible in many ways, but those ways are well documented and understood and can be allowed for.

I see that you do not have a complete understanding of the rigors of scientific scrutiny, which include controls against human error, along with independent corroboration of data, and peer review -- none of which is available in a purely anecdotal/eyewitness account of a given event. Despite your protests to the contrary, uncorroborated anecdotes are indeed far less reliable than documented observations by a team of researchers investigating a hypothesis and reaching conclusions, which are then read, studied, vetted and repeated by unrelated investigators. That is science, and if you reject those processes then you are opening yourself to uncritical acceptance of the most ludicrous claims.

I don’t deny mistaken identity occurs, but there are so many reports from independent witnesses across time and place that report exactly the same things that we must eventually begin to see that “something” is occurring that is outside our current conception of “reality”. The evidence is overwhelming and if people cannot see that …well…Festinger had a point I guess…

I don't see "exactly the same things" in the reports you've offered. I see a wide variety of objects that defy your attempts to classify them all as somehow unified. Meteors and atmospheric phenomena come in many shapes and colors, as do satellite debris, hallucinations and experimental aircraft. You want to talk evidence, give me some that cannot be mistaken, hoaxed or ambiguous, and then we'll discuss the possibilities as to what it might be.

And I have NEVER claimed the reports to be evidence of anything at all, especially the ET hypothesis. All I contend is that all these reports amount to a body of evidence that SOMETHING is going on that we don’t understand. In the end we have so many people report similar experiences that we just have to take notice and all the post hoc rationalisation in the world cannot stand in for properly conducted research. I simply call for research to find out WHAT.

I said "we don't have concrete evidence of ET visitation" and you accused me of not looking for it. Using logical reasoning, this appears to be an admission on your part that you believe in ET visitation. If you do not, great. Why then did you accuse me of not looking for evidence of it after I asserted there was none? It's illogical, and I tire of your word games and efforts to save face after your arguments have been demolished.

In the end we seem to be of the same opinion, that there is no rational support for the ET hypothesis, but you go further, to attempt to conclude, on the flimsiest of many assumptions, that we CAN explain ALL UFO reports. And THAT I contend is just as nonsensical as concluding ET. The very same uncritical thought processes lead to both conclusions. And that is my point. I am trying to instil some rigour of thought process here, some seem to get it…others… well… not so much. :)


You're oversimplifying my arguments in an attempt to craft a straw man that you can then triumphantly and pointlessly smash. I have never said "we CAN explain ALL UFO reports". That is your wording and I do not agree with it. If I have not been clear up to now, allow me to clarify. We have many possible explanations for the existing photos, videos and anecdotal reports, each of which must be considered and rejected before coming to the conclusion that ETs are visiting the Earth. That's it and that's all.

If there were a single video, photo or anecdote that could not be explained with any of the myriad mundane explanations I've offered, then we could talk about what else the thing might be. But we can't because there isn't. At the end of the day there is no concrete, unambiguous, non-haoxable evidence for ET visitation.

Yes, "something" is going on. But each instance of that "something" might be as simple as hallucination or as as complex as an as-yet unknown energetic source. As I already said in an above post, but which you chose to ignore in preference to your ridiculous straw men:

Vortigern99 said:
Even if every anecdote you've provided from #14 and elsewhere could be shown somehow to be 100% accurate and correct, there is still no concrete evidence that the explanation for these sightings is "extraterrestrial visitation". There might be some energetic phenomena of which we are not yet aware, such as the recently-discovered infra-red "sprites" which occur during lightning storms. There might be some aircraft that some nation of the world was developing in secret. Etc.
 
Now you’re being just plain silly. What on earth could be the point of your statement? The officer’s glasses were ON (presumably) when he described what the object was in as much detail as he could.

Yours is a typical fundamentalist, uncritical insinuation (how could he describe things properly when he did not have his glasses on). Just like the “Balloon” explanation, it has no basis in fact. It is a typical antirational “mudslinging” exercise. Can’t dispute the facts, so you pick on some ordinary, meaningless in context statement and make a mountain from a molehill. Really BlackKat, you should try and be more critical when posting in such forums as this where at least a ”pretence” of critical mindedness is aspired toward.

Aside from the fact that what he describes seeing and hearing does, as others have pointed out, is a dead ringer for the description of the filling and launching of a hot air balloon. The roar of the burner, the shape, etc.

The fact that he specifically says he was not wearing his glasses, whatever the prescription might have been, opens the possibility they he couldn't see much at all clearly. That is hardly a meaningless statement as you try to make it when it could potentially lead the witness to become functionally blind.

If a nigh deaf man was relating to you a conversation he overhead after dropping his hearing aid on the ground and not putting it back in would you take his tale at face value?
 
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Does anybody on this site think/believe/know if there have been ETs that have visited Earth? If not, do you think that all of the reports/photos, etc. have plausible explanations, even the ones that can't be explained due to a lack of data?

To be fair, I will go on record as saying that I think there is a more probable than not possibility that there were or are.

I tend to side with history, on this.

Regardless of the "debunking" (proposing alternative 'possibilities') of the evidence, it would seem that, there is and always has been something 'up there'...

Traces of unconfirmed sightings litter the historical record.

That said, I see no reason to require that these things be "extra-terrestrial". Their here now, and according to history they've always been here. They simply live where we don't frequent, and or have yet to fully explore, terrestrially speaking.
 
Finally a case to discuss (I have not forgotten your curious faith in the UFO(s) at Brentwoods you have been attempting to support in the "Evil Randi is Bad" thread, http://www.internationalskeptics.com/forums/showthread.php?p=5105108#post5105108,)

I have attempted nothing of the kind Gord. This is a typical fundamentalist debunker line of attack. Assign to your opponent a set of beliefs or motivations you KNOW they do not ascribe to - I have written so MANY times now - in this thread and in another - :) that I subscribe to NO theory concerning UFOs EXCEPT that there seem to be reports for which we have no prosaic explanation. Full stop. It is people like you Gord who seem to see things that are not there.

If you think Zamora’s description “screams” hot air ballon then I don’t know what reality you come from. How BIG is a hot air balloon Gord? The size of a car? Since when do hot air balloons shoot flames from their base toward the ground? I think you will find this website of interest Gord (http://www.aerostar.com/hotair/hot_air_history02.htm) “your” Raven Industries is the parent of this company (Aerostar is it’s hot air balloon division).

Moreover, Zamora did not know what a hot air balloon was? How long have hot air balloons been around in the broad public domain of knowledge? (that would be since 1783 Gord) And remember “Around the World in 80 days”? It was a VERY popular story. And if this really WAS a case of “men in a hot air balloon” why did they not so much as wave a greeting to the officer - and why indeed did they “flee” the scene on the approach of a law officer when that action alone could so easily have lead to charges being laid…especially considering the location… and so risk damage to the (still fledgling) company’s reputation? You really do make some of the most ridiculous claims sometimes. You are clutching at straws Gord.

And as for Raven Industries “logo” looking like the one Zamora described… Now you are simply making things up Gord… If I thought for one second you had any of this from first hand investigation, I would call you a liar outright. But since you do not even bother to do the basic research, then I can only assume you are the dupe of second hand information. Here is the basic research you SHOULD have done Gord (but I have now conducted on a promise to you elsewhere) (http://www.ravenind.com/ravenCorporate/Anniversary/home_50yrs.htm).

And here is a reproduction of the design Zamora saw … ummm, oh...I cannot directly insert an image... and my file size is 25kb so I cannot attach it... ummm.... try this (http://www.cufon.org/contributors/chrisl/socorro.htm) ...yeah, that site actually works...okay, moving on....

You will also note that nowhere on the company’s website, nor in any of their literature does in mention “tiny” balloons being test-flown in the Socorro New Mexico region by a company that is (and always was) operationally based the whole contiguous US away – in South Dakota.

Now… I have simply and efficiently dealt with the “hot air balloon” fallacy in relation to the Zamora case (although it did take some time – but I promised you that anyway). And in particular, according to the evidence, Raven Industries had nothing whatsoever to do with it (it supplies extensive histories about what it WAS involved in – and Socorro New Mexico is just not there Gord…). Do you have any other “explanation” you would like to try on for size? Based on the evidence, the hot air balloon hypothesis certainly does not fit.

I suppose people such as you have to so desperately clutch at straws based on second hand accounts because all it would take from me is just ONE SINGLE INEXPLICABLE CASE to disprove all your precious “mundane” or “prosaic” UFO explanations. You on the other hand cannot conclusively prove your hypothesis even with millions of “identified” cases. That’s science Gord… and as you so pointedly demanded of me elsewhere… Deal with it!

I don't know how long the actual, detailed reports have been available to the public (on-line or at the National Archives), but I read the reports you offered above a year or two ago via a link supplied to me by a friend, SMiles, who runs a paranormal website.

But the reports I offered are from the Blue Book unknowns, NOT the Special Report unknowns…do you even read what I have written? Moreover, Blue Book Special report No. 14 is NOT available through the National Archives…You REALLY should get your facts straight before you make false and misleading claims.

I see that you do not have a complete understanding of the rigors of scientific scrutiny…

Ughh, Get an education Vortigern. I suggest you start with Chalmers’ “What Is This Thing Called Science”. You might gain an appreciation of what science really IS (and what it is NOT). ALL science begins with observation and just because an observation is “anecdotal” does not mean it is not a legitimate starting point for research.

You want to talk evidence, give me some that cannot be mistaken, hoaxed or ambiguous, and then we'll discuss the possibilities as to what it might be.

Here you display your ignorance of the logic behind the scientific method. There is nothing in this world that could satisfy that condition Gord. EVERYTHING is ambiguous. EVERYTHING (for example) can be explained as delusions. The whole of humankind might be totally deluded as to what reality is. ALL their precious scientific theories COULD be wrong. You strict condition is not and cannot be applied in science Vortigern.

Moreover, it betrays in you a double standard. If I asked you to show me a report where the explanation could not have been mistaken, hoaxed or otherwise ambiguous you will soon see why I state this.

I said "we don't have concrete evidence of ET visitation" and you accused me of not looking for it. Using logical reasoning, this appears to be an admission on your part that you believe in ET visitation.

Ummm… okay…please explicate your “logical reasoning” to show how you arrived at that conclusion. You cannot? Then PLEASE do not say you are applying logical reasoning when you are NOT. Ughhh, talk is cheap, practice is another thing altogether.

You're oversimplifying my arguments in an attempt to craft a straw man that you can then triumphantly and pointlessly smash.

Pots and kettles Vortigern. Another “typical” debunker trick (in fact it is a tried and true political stunt). Accuse your opponent of the very thing you do and sit back and watch the feathers fly. I won’t bite.

Oh…and by the way…just what IS this “straw man” of mine you allude to? Where in any of my posts have I set “him” up? Are you just saying things because they SOUND like they might mean something?

If there were a single video, photo or anecdote that could not be explained with any of the myriad mundane explanations I've offered, then we could talk about what else the thing might be. But we can't because there isn't. At the end of the day there is no concrete, unambiguous, non-haoxable evidence for ET visitation.

Again you misunderstand the process of logic that underpins science and reapply your double standard. Your conditions are too strict. ANYTHING can be explained in your terms. It is BECAUSE you apply such conditions that people get away with such stuff as “We never went to the moon, it was ALL a hoax – simply because under your rules the moon expeditions CAN be described and explained in terms of a hoax. Don’t you see the point here. Please tell me you do. Just because it CAN be described by your terms, does not mean you have proved your explanation to be correct. Your spurious logic represents a REAL danger to serious scientific endeavour and takes us backward toward the dark ages. Your logic ALLOWS the moon landings to become hoaxes. THAT is the danger of your logic.

Aside from the fact that what he describes seeing and hearing does, as others have pointed out, is a dead ringer for the description of the filling and launching of a hot air balloon. The roar of the burner, the shape, etc.

But See Above… your statement is yet ANOTHER antirationalist trick - that of selective sampling of the evidence. You select only those bits that support your hypothesis and ignore those that do not…you make Festinger a proud man indeed!

The fact that he specifically says he was not wearing his glasses, whatever the prescription might have been, opens the possibility they he couldn't see much at all clearly.

Again you simply ignore the evidence. Officer Zamora had his glasses ON when he saw the object and his subsequent description relates to a period of time when he WAS wearing them… are you being deliberately obtuse or wilfully ignorant?

If a nigh deaf man was relating to you a conversation he overhead after dropping his hearing aid on the ground and not putting it back in would you take his tale at face value?

If the deaf man overheard the conversation BEFORE he dropped his hearing aid, then, all other things being equal, I would take his word for it. Get your timeline straight BlackKat and don’t “cherrypick” evidence to suit your own purposes.

That said, I see no reason to require that these things be "extra-terrestrial". Their here now, and according to history they've always been here. They simply live where we don't frequent, and or have yet to fully explore, terrestrially speaking.

I object outright your categorical “Their (sic) here now”, but otherwise an interesting hypothesis (and an interesting observation on the nature of “debunking” as “proposing alternative possibilities – the key word is of course “possibilities” – something the “debunkers” somehow illogically twist into a categorical).
 
Summary of the above-linked article:

Emergency caller: "There's a bright stationary object in the sky! It's been there a half-hour! Can you send someone around to take a look?"

Police arriving at the scene: "Yeah, it's the moon."

:eek:

One of Seti's brighest minds mistooken a UFO...get ready....for the moon! Ths proves that people, regardless of credentials, are unreliable!
 
I have attempted nothing of the kind Gord. This is a typical fundamentalist debunker line of attack. Assign to your opponent a set of beliefs or motivations you KNOW they do not ascribe to - I have written so MANY times now - in this thread and in another - :) that I subscribe to NO theory concerning UFOs EXCEPT that there seem to be reports for which we have no prosaic explanation. Full stop. It is people like you Gord who seem to see things that are not there.

If you think Zamora’s description “screams” hot air ballon then I don’t know what reality you come from. How BIG is a hot air balloon Gord? The size of a car? Since when do hot air balloons shoot flames from their base toward the ground? I think you will find this website of interest Gord (http://www.aerostar.com/hotair/hot_air_history02.htm) “your” Raven Industries is the parent of this company (Aerostar is it’s hot air balloon division).

Moreover, Zamora did not know what a hot air balloon was? How long have hot air balloons been around in the broad public domain of knowledge? (that would be since 1783 Gord) And remember “Around the World in 80 days”? It was a VERY popular story. And if this really WAS a case of “men in a hot air balloon” why did they not so much as wave a greeting to the officer - and why indeed did they “flee” the scene on the approach of a law officer when that action alone could so easily have lead to charges being laid…especially considering the location… and so risk damage to the (still fledgling) company’s reputation? You really do make some of the most ridiculous claims sometimes. You are clutching at straws Gord.

And as for Raven Industries “logo” looking like the one Zamora described… Now you are simply making things up Gord… If I thought for one second you had any of this from first hand investigation, I would call you a liar outright. But since you do not even bother to do the basic research, then I can only assume you are the dupe of second hand information. Here is the basic research you SHOULD have done Gord (but I have now conducted on a promise to you elsewhere) (http://www.ravenind.com/ravenCorporate/Anniversary/home_50yrs.htm).

And here is a reproduction of the design Zamora saw … ummm, oh...I cannot directly insert an image... and my file size is 25kb so I cannot attach it... ummm.... try this (http://www.cufon.org/contributors/chrisl/socorro.htm) ...yeah, that site actually works...okay, moving on....

You will also note that nowhere on the company’s website, nor in any of their literature does in mention “tiny” balloons being test-flown in the Socorro New Mexico region by a company that is (and always was) operationally based the whole contiguous US away – in South Dakota.

Now… I have simply and efficiently dealt with the “hot air balloon” fallacy in relation to the Zamora case (although it did take some time – but I promised you that anyway). And in particular, according to the evidence, Raven Industries had nothing whatsoever to do with it (it supplies extensive histories about what it WAS involved in – and Socorro New Mexico is just not there Gord…). Do you have any other “explanation” you would like to try on for size? Based on the evidence, the hot air balloon hypothesis certainly does not fit.

I suppose people such as you have to so desperately clutch at straws based on second hand accounts because all it would take from me is just ONE SINGLE INEXPLICABLE CASE to disprove all your precious “mundane” or “prosaic” UFO explanations. You on the other hand cannot conclusively prove your hypothesis even with millions of “identified” cases. That’s science Gord… and as you so pointedly demanded of me elsewhere… Deal with it!

Ramjet old pal cool your rockets.

I really don't have time to attempt to continue your education.

You claim that you are only a disinterested believer looking for truth. However, like a dog when someone tries to take its favourite bone, you cling to foolish belief in a case like Zamora.

Just a few points -- his estimate of size is based on his perception he saw a car. Without any known object of fixed size you cannot size objects beyond a few feet. If you assume that the figures he saw were adult humans (confirmed by their shoe prints) then the object is big enough to be a balloon.

His description of a load roaring sound followed by silence is the exact description of a PROPANE POWERED hot air balloon taking off. He gets a few details wrong but PROPANE POWERED hot air balloons were not common at the time.

He says it looked like a balloon. It was a balloon. Why does this disturb you so much?

James Easton is a UFO researcher. He has followed up on what happened at Socorro. Done actual research rather than repeating over and over and over that the "case" cannot be explained. His website is down and has been for some time. Maybe he is dead. I don't know.

But most of what you claim above is wrong.

Some information is available in this thread:
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/UFORL/message/1820

Stop reading the believer sites and do some real research.

:i:
 
(Joe Nickell’s “double blind” requirement here is just plain silly – a red herring – no scientific research would ever be done if that were a standard requirement)
:eye-poppi

Randi himself is a proponent of “woo”
:eye-poppi

Why should this be so?
…and please DON’T tell me delusion… in our heart of hearts we know that is not an explanation at all, simply because we cannot define “delusion” as a scientific concept so broad as to cover the totality of UFO experiences (or manifestations). Some people might be “deluded” sure, but most “witnesses” seem to be very ordinary, if not highly qualified, rational people.
So what’s going on?
Many many different things. No one explanation can possibly cover all circumstances. Some reports may be delusion. Some may be misidentifications of terrestrial phenomena. Some may be optical illusions. Some may be aircraft. Some may be something else.

To conclude that any given sighting is of an extraterrestrial spaceship, one would have to rule out all other possibilities. Since we can't do that, we can't make that conclusion.
 
But the reports I offered are from the Blue Book unknowns, NOT the Special Report unknowns…do you even read what I have written? Moreover, Blue Book Special report No. 14 is NOT available through the National Archives…You REALLY should get your facts straight before you make false and misleading claims.

Here are the facts: I've read the Blue Book reports you posted. I read them sometime in the last two years, via a link my webmaster friend offered me. I've already said I don't know how long they've been available. Your accusation that I've made "false and misleading claims" is both discourteous and untrue. If you care to pursue this angle, it will be an egregious waste of both our times. The ball is in your court here.

Ughh, Get an education Vortigern. I suggest you start with Chalmers’ “What Is This Thing Called Science”. You might gain an appreciation of what science really IS (and what it is NOT). ALL science begins with observation and just because an observation is “anecdotal” does not mean it is not a legitimate starting point for research.


Your emotional grunting and demands that I educate myself are grossly unnecessary. As a layman student of biology, cosmology and physical science, I am familiar with the scientific method. While we're handing out book recommendations, I suggest Sagan's The Demon Haunted World, which sheds light on the processes of critical thinking that you have evidently overlooked.

Whereas science does indeed begin with observation, conclusions are based on data collected with controls in place that protect that data from human error; these data and conclusions are then reviewed, vetted and repeated by unrelated investigators. Which element of the sentence "Anecdotes don't meet these standards" do you fail to comprehend?

Here you display your ignorance of the logic behind the scientific method. There is nothing in this world that could satisfy that condition.... EVERYTHING is ambiguous. EVERYTHING (for example) can be explained as delusions. The whole of humankind might be totally deluded as to what reality is. ALL their precious scientific theories COULD be wrong. You strict condition is not and cannot be applied in science Vortigern.

You have now strolled off the bridge of reason and plummeted into the murky waters of feverish ranting. Nothing in the above screed has anything to do with science and it is you, sir, who betray your vast and vacuous ignorance of its methods. "Everything can be explained by delusions"? "Nothing could satisfy the condition" that non-hoaxable evidence be brought to the table before accepting a given claim? Who do you think you're kidding with this pseudo-philosophical garbage? I'm talking about the standards of scientific inquiry, with which you claim to be familiar but which you evidently would not recognize if it was tattooed in bold caps to your forehead.

Moreover, it betrays in you a double standard. If I asked you to show me a report where the explanation could not have been mistaken, hoaxed or otherwise ambiguous you will soon see why I state this.

Such reports are published in peer-reviewed journals such as Science on a weekly basis. One such instance is the recent discovery of water on the moon. (A brief summary of this can be read at: http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2009/924/1) This finding might seem dubious at first, since no recent physical collection of the substance has been made, but was discovered using imaging technology which maps mineral content, and could be objected to on the basis that the technology is imperfect, the machines used to collect the data flawed, etc. However, on closer scrutiny we find that three separate pieces of equipment all reported the exact same findings, and in fact going back ten years, a probe sent to Saturn recorded the same information as it rocketed past our moon. Additionally, NASA scientists examining lunar rocks brought back from moon missions in the 1970s discovered moisture on those samples, but at the time concluded that the water came from terrestrial "contamination" rather than from the moon itself. Now of course that thinking has been reversed. These are five separate corroborating collections of data all pointing to the same conclusion, all upholding the hypothesis that there is indeed water on the moon.

Contrast all of the above with what you would have us accept as "evidence" -- namely the eyewitness testimony of non-expert observers -- and you may begin to see how completely absurd your expectation is. It's tantamount to a USAF pilot claiming he saw water on the moon, and when critics point out that there is no evidence for it, the claimant responds: "EVERYTHING is ambiguous! EVERYTHING can be explained as delusions! The whole of humankind might be totally deluded as to what reality is! ALL your precious scientific theories COULD be wrong! You strict condition is not and cannot be applied in science! Uggghhhhhh!!!11!!11"

Show us the data. Simple observation/anecdotes/eyewitness testimony is not sufficient to qualify as data.

Ummm… okay…please explicate your “logical reasoning” to show how you arrived at that conclusion. You cannot? Then PLEASE do not say you are applying logical reasoning when you are NOT. Ughhh, talk is cheap, practice is another thing altogether.

It strikes me as unusual that you would type out a question to me and then answer it in the next sentence, as though we're having an immediate exchange of dialogue and I've given a response. It's just weird, you know?

Anyway, let's see if you can follow this simple syllogism:

1. Vortigern99 asks: "Where is the evidence for alien visitation?"
2. Rramjet responds (a direct quote): "Methinks you don’t look for the evidence - because it DOES exist. Look at the “Unidentified” category of reports in “Blue Book Special Report No. 14."
3. Ergo, Rramjet believes there is evidence of alien visitation.

Would you mind explaining where I've tripped up? Thanks.

Pots and kettles Vortigern. Another “typical” debunker trick (in fact it is a tried and true political stunt). Accuse your opponent of the very thing you do and sit back and watch the feathers fly. I won’t bite.

Oh…and by the way…just what IS this “straw man” of mine you allude to? Where in any of my posts have I set “him” up? Are you just saying things because they SOUND like they might mean something?


Here's your straw man. You claimed I said: "we CAN explain ALL UFO reports". But that is your wording; I never said that, nor wrote it, and I do not agree with it. My position is that we have many possible explanations for the existing photos, videos and anecdotal reports, each of which must be considered and rejected before coming to the conclusion that ETs are visiting the Earth. Are you able to discern the difference?


Again you misunderstand the process of logic that underpins science and reapply your double standard. Your conditions are too strict. ANYTHING can be explained in your terms. It is BECAUSE you apply such conditions that people get away with such stuff as “We never went to the moon, it was ALL a hoax – simply because under your rules the moon expeditions CAN be described and explained in terms of a hoax. Don’t you see the point here. Please tell me you do. Just because it CAN be described by your terms, does not mean you have proved your explanation to be correct. Your spurious logic represents a REAL danger to serious scientific endeavour and takes us backward toward the dark ages. Your logic ALLOWS the moon landings to become hoaxes. THAT is the danger of your logic.

Wow. So, the rigors of the scientific method represent a "REAL danger" and lead to claims that the moon landings were hoaxes. Okay, gotcha. I'll try to keep that in mind.
 
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Oh dear. Speculation again. BOTH sides of the argument in this forum seem somewhat uneducated and uncritical. (disappointing, but I have come to expect such in this forum)


umm,. that was me joking about Star Wars being 'the way it really is'
sorry. (speculation? more like stupidty)

re crop circles, not that I really know, but saying, "They cannot all be hoaxes" seems an awful lot like personal incredulity, no?

How do you know they arent all man made?
Thats the most logical conclusion, barring better evidence..

No matter how elaborate a crop circle it is always too easily within the realm
of possibility for man to have created. Have you been Chartres?
 
And as for Raven Industries “logo” looking like the one Zamora described… Now you are simply making things up Gord… If I thought for one second you had any of this from first hand investigation, I would call you a liar outright. But since you do not even bother to do the basic research, then I can only assume you are the dupe of second hand information. Here is the basic research you SHOULD have done Gord (but I have now conducted on a promise to you elsewhere) (http://www.ravenind.com/ravenCorporate/Anniversary/home_50yrs.htm).

And here is a reproduction of the design Zamora saw … ummm, oh...I cannot directly insert an image... and my file size is 25kb so I cannot attach it... ummm.... try this (http://www.cufon.org/contributors/chrisl/socorro.htm) ...yeah, that site actually works...okay, moving on....

To be fair I didn't look through the whole of the Raven website, but I'm presuming the original 'outdated' Raven logo isn't reproduced anywhere on it. So taking the Socorro logo and the Original Raven Logo and putting them side by side, there is a very slight resemblance, if only in the top part.
smredsym.jpg
raven_logo.gif

Not that it is in any way conclusive but it is providing verification instead of pointing people toward nothing and then claiming because you've shown them nothing that nothing exists.
 
The point is that some (not all) of these reports simply defy prosaic explanation. That is not to say that they might not have one in the end - just that, as presented, on the information available, we cannot come to a “mundane” conclusion.

Oh, so close. If only you hadn't insisted on dropping the extraneous "prosaic" and "mundane" you'd have almost had it. The actual point is that some of those reports defy explanation. This is simply because there is not enough information. And in the vast majority it is impossible that there ever will be. The thing is, eyewitness reports and anecdotes are pretty much useless for investigating UFOs. It's just not possible to accurately judge distances, sizes and speeds of some unidentified airborne object, and it's not possible to replicate the observations or perform any measurements because, rather obviously, we don't know what it was or why it was there.

The problem you, along with so many others, have is where you go from there. Seeing many cases where we don't know, and never can know, what caused them, you assume that they are somehow connected, and start coming up with weird and wonderful explanations for what could be causing such a widespread and widely varying phenomenon.

However, you miss out the critical point. The majority of cases do have mundane explanations. Mostly they are so obvious that they don't even get classed as UFOs. People see something that's almost certainly an aeroplane and just don't think any more of it, for example. Even out of cases that are reported as UFOs, most have mundane explanations that get figured out eventually. whether it's something that needs a bit of study or simply some idiot seeing the Moon.

So the situation is that most UFOs are established to result from a wide variety of completely unrelated, but entirely mundane, phenomena. Your assumptions are therefore completely unsupported and completely unnecessary - all solved cases have mundane explanations so there is no reason to assume differently for unsolved ones, and solved cases are the result of many different causes so there is no reason to assume unsolved ones are all related.

Until you realise and accept that your entire argument boils down to simply "Sometimes we don't, therefore something really weird, incredibly unlikely and quite possibly impossible must be going on.", there's really little point in you continuing to argue.
 
One of Seti's brighest minds mistooken a UFO...get ready....for the moon! Ths proves that people, regardless of credentials, are unreliable!
You may want to rescan your sentences before you post.

That first sentence reads,

SETI bright mind, "Look, the moon!"
SETI brighter mind, "No. That's a UFO."
:D
 
I object outright your categorical “Their (sic) here now”, but otherwise an interesting hypothesis (and an interesting observation on the nature of “debunking” as “proposing alternative possibilities – the key word is of course “possibilities” – something the “debunkers” somehow illogically twist into a categorical).

They ARE 'around'/up there/in the heavens, 'today' as they were yesterday...

What is your objection, again?

Debunking is supposed to be identifying inaccuracies or 'problems' with the evidence used to arrive at a given conclusion. When and if this fails, “debunking” becomes instead “proposing alternative possibilities". Thusly, fully arming the skeptic to deny just about any reality.
 
Ramjet old pal cool your rockets.

Yeah…perhaps I should take a Bex and a good lie down :) – but then it certainly has got the joint “jumping”!

I am not “disinterested” as you put it, I am extremely interested, it is just that I do NOT leap to any unfounded conclusions nor selectively “cherry-pick” evidence to suit my own purposes.

just a few points -- his estimate of size is based on his perception he saw a car. Without any known object of fixed size you cannot size objects beyond a few feet. If you assume that the figures he saw were adult humans (confirmed by their shoe prints) then the object is big enough to be a balloon.

Please Gord, you are being obtuse. “Without any known object of fixed size you cannot size objects beyond a few feet.” Jeez… the officer obviously knew the area well. He would have had a pretty good conception of the size of things in the lay of the land. He was pretty darn close to the thing. If he stated he thought it was about the size of a car (and he knew cars pretty well… he was driving one) then there is NO reason to doubt his testimony on those grounds.

. If you assume that the figures he saw were adult humans (confirmed by their shoe prints) then the object is big enough to be a balloon.

You ASSUME? Gord, please... Zamora stated he thought “possibly they were small adults or large kids”. What earthly legitimate reason have we to doubt his appraisal? …and “confirmed by their shoe size”? Oh come on… They could have been dwarves with very large feet (for example) Gord…

His description of a load roaring sound followed by silence is the exact description of a PROPANE POWERED hot air balloon taking off. He gets a few details wrong but PROPANE POWERED hot air balloons were not common at the time.

(shakes head) Zamora stated “At same time as roar saw flame. Flame was under the object” and “Flame was light blue and at bottom was sort of orange color” (Note: the orientation of the colours) Now WHAT hot air balloon points its flame TOWARD the ground Gord? Please get a grip and just read the report. STOP ignoring the report to spout tired old misconceptions and misrepresentations of the FACTS of the matter. Now I really DO have to take a Bex and a good lie down… your statements are completely exasperating because they misrepresent the evidence as told by Zamora himself.

He says it looked like a balloon. It was a balloon. Why does this disturb you so much?

I have explained the context for his “balloon” statement. Jeez Gord, See that cloud in the sky? It looks like an elephant. Does that mean it IS an elephant. According to you it IS an elephant simply because it LOOKS like one.

James Easton? He follows your brand of logic in his “investigations” Gord?

But most of what you claim above is wrong.

Where Gord? Where? I could be wrong (probably am…but) You have neither tackled nor directly refuted even one of my statements in all my posts. All you spout is fallacious overgeneralisations and misrepresentations of documented fact. You make so many unfounded assumptions it borders on the ludicrous. The most basic is you assume it cannot be, therefore it is not. (AND according to your logic a cloud can be an elephant!).

Some information is available in this thread:
http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/UFORL/message/1820

That would be (in relation to Raven Industries and hot-air balloons in the Socorro region):
“The CIA can neither confirm nor deny the nonexistence of
records responsive to your request. Such information -
unless it has been officially acknowledged - would be
classified for reasons of national security under
Executive Order 12958.”

So how do you then make something out of nothing Gord? You truly amaze me. You are worse than a “true believer” Gord. You see conspiracies at every turn. Even though there is ABSOLUTELY NO EVEDINCE to link Raven to Soccoro, you persist in stating there is. How come?

Stop reading the believer sites and do some real research.

I don’t think I have EVER read a “believer” site Gord. I bypass (what I assume are) such sites and go directly to the original testimony. THAT is what I base my judgements on Gord. Nothing else.

Many many different things. No one explanation can possibly cover all circumstances. Some reports may be delusion. Some may be misidentifications of terrestrial phenomena. Some may be optical illusions. Some may be aircraft. Some may be something else.

To conclude that any given sighting is of an extraterrestrial spaceship, one would have to rule out all other possibilities. Since we can't do that, we can't make that conclusion.

I agree entirely arthwollipot. You are right on the money here.


But Vortigern. Don’t you get it? All that we see COULD be delusion. We COULD be entirely mistaken in our beliefs (ALL of them). The water on the moon… ALL instruments COULD have a fatal flaw – and remember, according to you, the human observers are fatally flawed in ANY observation they make. Their observations cannot be relied on as evidence – even the reading of the data from their instruments is not reliable because their perception is so flawed in so many ways. Just because it is unlikely, does not mean that it is not the case.

1. Vortigern99 asks: "Where is the evidence for alien visitation?"
2. Rramjet responds (a direct quote): "Methinks you don’t look for the evidence - because it DOES exist. Look at the “Unidentified” category of reports in “Blue Book Special Report No. 14."
3. Ergo, Rramjet believes there is evidence of alien visitation.

Would you mind explaining where I've tripped up? Thanks.

First, you have NOT looked at those No. 14 reports! Yet you originally stated that you DID. “I did not follow the link you supplied because I've read #14 before”. I pointed out that the reports I supplied were from the Blue Book Unknowns, NOT the Special report unknowns, many of the Blue Book unknowns were later reclassified as “known” in the Special report.

But there is one point I must give you here. It seems I misspoke when I claimed “because it DOES exist”. I overreached in frustration and my typing did not precisely convey what I really meant. What I meant to convey was that there was evidence for UFOs and that many PRESENT as if they were alien visitations. That is not the same thing as believing that UFOs ARE evidence for alien visitation. I agree with arthwollipot. We cannot conclude that at all.

Here's your straw man. You claimed I said: "we CAN explain ALL UFO reports". But that is your wording; I never said that, nor wrote it, and I do not agree with it.

Ughh, you really should have provided the link to the post here because I would like to have seen that in its original context. I cannot accept your “evidence” of a straw man based on evidence that is not supported. I cannot remember posting that statement and if your modus operandi holds true, it will have been cherry picked out of context to support your own biases and will not be a true reflection of the meaning in context. I need that post to be sure…

Moreover, with this statement you acknowledge that there ARE UFO reports for which we have no explanation?

Wow. So, the rigors of the scientific method represent a "REAL danger" and lead to claims that the moon landings were hoaxes. Okay, gotcha. I'll try to keep that in mind.

No you won’t. You don’t even understand my meaning, so how could you “keep that in mind”? I stated that the conditions (of evidence) you apply are too strict and the logic underpinning those conditions then allow (for example) the moon landings to be classified as hoaxes. The conditions you apply are that humans are too fallible in perception and memory and too easily open to delusion, with a definite propensity toward hoaxing, to be believed when they “merely” report observations they have made. Following that line of reasoning I recognise that others could then claim that if this holds true, then how can we trust ANY observation or report about anything at all really, then maybe even the moon landings were hoaxed for nefarious (unknown but not unknowable) reasons. Maybe the scientists have got it wrong (and we know from history that this is a regular occurrence), they are humans too and perhaps they have been just as duped in their observations and taken in by the reports of the moon landing as any of us have been on so many other things. And besides, it is NOT strictly the scientific method we are talking about here Vortigern, it is the logical process itself. You cannot have it both ways. You cannot apply the misperception, misremembering, hoax “explanation” to one side without it equally applying to the other. Many UFO reports are made by expert observers (and scientists to boot) and many reports are (seemingly) confirmed by photos (inc. video) and RADAR… Do you claim that ALL such reports are unreliable?

How do you know they arent all man made?
Thats the most logical conclusion, barring better evidence..

No matter how elaborate a crop circle it is always too easily within the realm
of possibility for man to have created. Have you been Chartres?

Yes, I tend to agree that they are of human origin, BUT that is an opinion and I cannot categorically state that as a “truth”. “How do you know that they ARE all man-made?” is an equally legitimate question.

No, never been to Chartres. Where is it and what’s there?


Umm…even the “old” logo looks nothing like the Zamora description… and was the original logo red in colour? But thanks for posting that. It is an interesting comparison.

Not that it is in any way conclusive but it is providing verification instead of pointing people toward nothing and then claiming because you've shown them nothing that nothing exists.

Huh? What the…? I seem to remember Gord doing just that (see above) but me, Did the links I provided not work or something? I don’t understand your meaning here.

Oh, so close. If only you hadn't insisted on dropping the extraneous "prosaic" and "mundane" you'd have almost had it. The actual point is that some of those reports defy explanation. This is simply because there is not enough information. And in the vast majority it is impossible that there ever will be. The thing is, eyewitness reports and anecdotes are pretty much useless for investigating UFOs. It's just not possible to accurately judge distances, sizes and speeds of some unidentified airborne object, and it's not possible to replicate the observations or perform any measurements because, rather obviously, we don't know what it was or why it was there.

I tend to agree, except for “It's just not possible to accurately judge distances, sizes and speeds of some unidentified airborne object,” That is just a fallacy. You should have prefixed it with “Under certain specific conditions…” (which we know and understand) and there are certainly UFO reports where size and distance judgements ostensibly SHOULD have been able to be made accurately.

….you assume that they are somehow connected, and start coming up with weird and wonderful explanations for what could be causing such a widespread and widely varying phenomenon.

First, people report similar experiences – are they “connected” – the reports in and of themselves might suggest a connection. Second, I have ALWAYS denied that we could conclude anything by way of explanation about UFOs (Unidentified…), it is others in this forum who try to come up with weird and wonderful explanations, not I.

However, you miss out the critical point. The majority of cases do have mundane explanations.

I don’t miss that point at all. I have stated previously MANY TIMES that I believe we cannot explain ALL UFO reports by way of the mundane. My whole contention has revolves around that point.

So the situation is that most UFOs are established to result from a wide variety of completely unrelated, but entirely mundane, phenomena. Your assumptions are therefore completely unsupported and completely unnecessary - all solved cases have mundane explanations so there is no reason to assume differently for unsolved ones

Major Fallacy warning! Logic 101. All the crows I have seen are black, therefore all crows are black. That’s one of the most basic of logical errors you have fallen victim to there Cuddles. Sorry…

Until you realise and accept that your entire argument boils down to simply "Sometimes we don't, therefore something really weird, incredibly unlikely and quite possibly impossible must be going on.", there's really little point in you continuing to argue.

Now you reveal yourself to have not understood my posts at all. I am pointing out the logical fallacies in arguments here. I have NEVER claimed “weird, incredibly unlikely and quite possibly impossible” as you have just done! (you even managed to slip in a tortured tautology there…well done Cuddles…)

UFOs exist. To deny it is to deny the bleeding obvious. But then… there is a whole industry of vested interests built on the “denial” process and its momentum is very hard to sway. All I am asking is that you look with a critical eye and an open mind at the evidence.
 

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