Alareth
Philosopher
Life elsewhere in the universe - absolutely. Alien spacecraft coming here - not so much.
+1
Life elsewhere in the universe - absolutely. Alien spacecraft coming here - not so much.
I hate it when UFO nuts ask skeptics "you really think we are alone?", just because the skeptic does not accept anecdotal evidence as proof.
Bottom line?
UFOs exist.
THAT much we DO know.
What we DON'T know is the full explanation.
Sure we can apply post hoc rationalisation and call them misperceptions or hoaxes, or mis-rememberings, etc.,
However, even after we do this using rigorous scientific, critical and logical methodology, there REMAIN cases outstanding for which we have no explanation.
That is the bottom line.
It is up to researchers to discover what is going on to cause (for example) the abduction phenomena.
(But of course no funding is forthcoming because "debunkers" continue their fatuous "denial" and "ridicule" campaign).
It is too easy to say "Oh these people are all deluded!", but that EXPLAINS nothing!
HOW is it that millions of otherwise normal, healthy people are so "deluded"?
Certainly most are extremely traumatised by the "experience".
And given the public disbelief, ridicule and social stigma attached, there is certainly no good outcome for the majority of people having such experiences.
There just does not seem to be any motivation for such experiences in normal healthy people.
So WHY is it so?
The only way to resolve issues like this are via thorough peer reviewed scientific research.
Yes, because empirical evidence is such a pain in the ass.
I believe that most skeptics still consider the "it was all done by people and they've shown us that they can do it, they've admitted to doing it, and here's a website explaining how it was done" over any "unknown" hypothesis.I believe that most skeptics still consider the "unknown natural phenomena" explanation over the et Hypothesis
I believe that most skeptics still consider the "it was all done by people and they've shown us that they can do it, they've admitted to doing it, and here's a website explaining how it was done" over any "unknown" hypothesis.
I'm not saying that any UFO photos are fake, only that there is insufficient evidence that they are alien spacecraft.As far as the blurry ones go, are you saying all blurry UFO photos are fake because they’re blurry or because they are alleged to be UFOs, or both?
I was referring to crop circles. I think you were the one who brought up plasma vortices? I opined that neither plasma vortices nor UFOs were necessary to account for crop circles becase we already know what creates them. People.I was talking specifically about the "unknown" UFO cases
What is hindering you from seriously doing research?
And of those cases which would you reference as an example?
All in all, the evidence "from the dawn of mankind" is extremely poor in ever conceivable way.
Think about this. If you were able to build a spacecraft and travel to other worlds, would you:...
The body of evidence that supports alien visitation is greatly exaggerated. A majority, if not a totality, of "sightings" have a rational explanation - even if we do not currently know what that explanation is - that does not involve aliens visiting our little planet.
I hate it when UFO nuts ask skeptics "you really think we are alone?", just because the skeptic does not accept anecdotal evidence as proof.
Life elsewhere in the universe - absolutely. Alien spacecraft coming here - not so much.
Why is 'alien space-craft' the default position when anything in the sky cannot be identified?
Why do you feel the need to identify an object with your imagination when all empirical evidence is lacking?
I encourage you to read The Demon-Haunted World by Carl Sagan. It goes into this area in some depth.
It is interesting how these abduction experiences have changed over time...
As others have suggested, you are welcome to seriously research UFOs yourself...
However, you would have to come up with something more than anecdotal evidence...
...since these can be explained by over-active imaginations, people being fooled by hoaxes, and sleep paralysis.
Without empirical evidence, unidentified flying objects will remain just that: unidentified.
Ufo Nut: I have found proof that aliens are here!
Skeptic: Ok, i would be more than happy to take a look at it.
Ufo nut: (To afraid to present anecdote as proof) You think we are all alone in the universe? You are so ignorant!
Skeptic: But you didn't show me..
Ufo nut leaves
I believe that most skeptics still consider the "it was all done by people and they've shown us that they can do it, they've admitted to doing it, and here's a website explaining how it was done" over any "unknown" hypothesis.
But if we consider the age of the universe (4-5 billion is it estimated at?) and compare that with man's appearance on some earth approximately 2-3 million years ago there is a lot of room left for the possibility of much older life forms on distant galaxies...
Haven't you seen star wars? Wake up!! That is how it is!
I'm not saying that any UFO photos are fake, only that there is insufficient evidence that they are alien spacecraft.
I was referring to crop circles. I think you were the one who brought up plasma vortices? I opined that neither plasma vortices nor UFOs were necessary to account for crop circles becase we already know what creates them. People.
Excuse me. I was not talking about most skeptics, I was talking about my belief about most skeptics. I was talking about me, not them. They may well hold different opinions, in which case my belief about their opinions would be wrong.YOU believe... fine, but what gives YOU the right to speak for "most" skeptics and ascribe to them a set of beliefs that they MAY NOT HOLD.
Ughh, the arrogance, illogic and uncritical thinking of people in this forum is amazing!
Sure, but the hypothesis that any given crop circle was created by humans is far more parsimonious than invoking either otherwise-unknown meterological phenomena or unevidenced alien intervention. After all, we know that humans create crop circles, and we know how they do it. It's a much more reasonable assumption (although, yes, still an assumption) that humans created a given crop circle than some unknown phenomenon or aliens.Well stated! Here, here! At last a sensible comment!
And then you go and ruin the moment...
You people are just too uncritical and fundamentalist for your own purposes ("we already know what creates them").
Are you stating that you have evidence that all "crop-circles" are of human manufacture?
I'd like to see that! Remember I said ALL!
So merely citing examples where a "circle" IS known to be of human origin does not preclude a circle that is NOT.
Really? Doug and Dave came clean! They said that they'd done it, and showed the world how! What possible motivation could they have to lie about it? And yes, before you ask, I will admit that it is possible that they lied about creating the first crop circles. But once again I will rely on parsimony - the explanation that requires a minimum of additional entities. You might be familiar with the principle of parsimony - it is commonly called Occam's Razor. If you have evidence that Doug and Dave lied about creating crop circles, I suggest you present it. Then also you will need to present evidence that all of the other groups around the world who create crop circles are also lying.And remember also I know (as some forum readers might not) the UK "Dad and Dave" story (Ha Ha - sorry an "in" joke for us Aussies) of manufacture has not stood up against the evidence - so don't give me that line of BS either please.
I reference The Condon Report.
http://ncas.org/condon/
In our study we gave consideration to every possibility that we could think of for getting objective scientific data about the kind of thing that is the subject of UFO reports. As the preceding summary shows, and as is fully documented in the detailed chapters which follow, all such efforts are beset with great difficulties. We place very little value for scientific purposes on the past accumulation of anecdotal records, most of which have been explained as arising from sightings of ordinary objects. Accordingly in Section I we have recommended against the mounting of a major effort for continuing UFO study for scientific reasons.
This conclusion is controversial. It will not be accepted without much dispute by the UFO amateurs, by the authors of popular UFO books and magazine articles, or even by a small number of academic scientists whose public statements indicate that they feel that this is a subject of great scientific promise.
We trust that out of the clash of opinions among scientists a policy decision will emerge. Current policy must be based on current knowledge and estimates of the probability that further efforts are likely to produce further additions to that knowledge. Additions to knowledge in the future may alter policy judgments either in the direction of greater, or of less attention being paid to UFO phenomena than is being done at present.
We hope that the critical analysis of the UFO situation among scientists and government officials that must precede the determination of official policy can be carried out on a strictly objective basis.
There's more but what will you do with these?
arthwollipot;5126181I'm not saying that [i said:any[/i] UFO photos are fake, only that there is insufficient evidence that they are alien spacecraft.
That's a fair statement, I would agree.
I was referring to crop circles. I think you were the one who brought up plasma vortices? I opined that neither plasma vortices nor UFOs were necessary to account for crop circles becase we already know what creates them. People
Excuse me. I was not talking about most skeptics, I was talking about my belief about most skeptics. I was talking about me, not them. They may well hold different opinions, in which case my belief about their opinions would be wrong.
Sure, but the hypothesis that any given crop circle was created by humans is far more parsimonious
- then it is much more reasonable that it was created by the mechanisms that we already know about.
If you have evidence that Doug and Dave lied about creating crop circles, I suggest you present it. Then also you will need to present evidence that all of the other groups around the world who create crop circles are also lying.
And as for being uncritical, I think you'll find that the UFO proponents are far more uncritical than I am.
After all, they do not apply the principle of parsimony which implies that known, terrestrial phenomena are more likely to be the correct answer than supernatural ones or alien invasions.
Wait a minute...maybe I missed your point in providing those links, but at least this report concludes:
Rramjet, your tone of writing will not help you pursue this matter. At least not with me. I'm not interested in insults and bickering. Thanks for your reply and goodbye.
Resources, money, peer reviewed process, all these things are unavailable to the serious researcher.
Going to provide any of that for me?
No? I thought not.
Really, If you are inclined to make such foolish statements you need to be able to "put your money where your mouth is" or not make them all.
I call a spade a spade.
If people do not read my posts and at least make a token effort to understand the meaning of my writing before replying, then I am free to call their intelligence into question, along with their powers of comprehension, critical thinking and logic.
I don't know why people assume there is no chance of intelligent life anywhere else in the unimaginable vastness of the universe when we cavemen are here.
What assumptions must we make about human circlemakers?SECOND: In fact, because, the "human" origin explanations require MULTIPLE hypotheses and MULTIPLE complex and as yet often UNEXPLAINED behaviours, THEY must be considered to be NOT parsimonious, especially because of the many and varied assumptions that have to be made in conjunction.
And how can something probably be a fact?It is probably a fact then that the ET hypothesis IS the most parsimonious explanation because it has the fewest assumptions (and if it looks like a rat and smells like a rat, then maybe it IS a rat).
If you are appealing to parsimony that is...
Such as their diagrams/plans, their filmed confessions and demonstrations of crop circle making?I say YOU need to present evidence that Doug and dave DID create the crop circles.
Actually they never said that, it was a misrepresentation by the crop circle researchers to build a strawman. Along with the statement often applied to Doug & Dave that they claimed to have invented crop circles... which they have also never claimed. Contrary to the protestations of the un-researched crop circle researchers, Doug & Dave have always reported being inspired to make circles by the Australian Tully UFO nests event of the 1960's.Any fool can seek publicity by stating "Oh I did that!" but until YOU provide evidence that they DID make crop circles and were not simply hoaxers (after all, they initially took credit for ALL crop circles...was THAT not a lie...?) then you cannot cite them as examples of human origin.
The biggest crop circle ever made was made only this year:As for all the other groups who create them, where are the groups claiming responsibility for some of the more extraordinary "circles".
Where are the photos of them doing it.
Where are their explanations of how they did it and how much time it took them and what manpower and resources were needed.
Even though film footage exists of teams with nothing more than planks and rope making formations?And we need SPECIFICS here for particular known circles, not just the "oh, all you need is a few planks and some rope and a dark night..." general baloney.THAT is evidence of NOTHING)
But when that evidence is provided, you people bury your head in the sandPerhaps these groups are HOAXERS as well.
Until YOU,. yes you, provide evidence for YOUR hypothesis, I am entitled to dismiss it as untested and call for research to be conducted.
You cannot propose an hypothesis and expect people to believe it without backing it up with solid evidence.
To do so would be to hold a double standard - because you are constantly rattling on about Ufologists needing to provide evidence - so WHERE is yours?
Then take a drop of your own medicine... see that the research has already been done, the logic is not faulty and the conclusions reached are, if not a confirmation that all circles are made by people, then at least it is not beyond the realms of human capability for them to have all been made by people.(Look, I'll give you a hint as you people still can't see the wood for the trees, I - yes me - don't believe crop circles to be other than of human origin HOWEVER you CANNOT apply faulty logic to make that point - THAT is what I object to! It is uncritical and antiscientific and a danger to rational thought. I also DON'T believe UFOs are extraterrestrial and I DON'T believe in ghosts, goblins fairies etc and so on. I DO believe in being able to make your point in a rational, scientific, logical manner and will come down especially hard on "skeptics" who pretend to that methodology yet do not apply it in practice).