More Fun with Homeopath Dana Ullman, MPH(!)

classical homeopaths would not use those methods on ethical grounds.

So, what are we to conclude about the homeopaths who most definitely do use those machines? Need I remind you that their clinical experience is just as valid as yours.
 
Experienced conventional medical experts have (in India) the good sense to say...


Hi manioberoi.

Now that you're back, perhaps you can answer the question I asked you in relation to an anecdote you posted:

How would you go about establishing that the homoeopathic treatment did not cause the storm?
 
I would never expect you or anyone to say that a single study or a replicated study would "prove" entire system of homeopathy, just as I wouldn't expect you to say that it would disprove the entire system of homeopathy.

However, I would expect scientifically-minded people to say that Oscillococcinum IS effective in the treatment of influenza and inflenza-like syndromes because three large, independently conducted double-blind studies have shown this to be true.

It is simply interesting that no one on this list has enough of a backbone to make this statement. Sadly, it is almost as though you are afraid of each other and almost as though you are all vying to seem to be more anti-homeopathic than the other.

Ahh yes... The Winston Wu defense: "you are not skeptical you are cynical"
Our judgement is based on the entire body of evidence, which is not in your favor. I can only speak for myself, but I feel I can still doubt myself on many fronts and think the mere fact that this discussion has lasted this long is a testimony to the willingness to be open to any evidence you may present. But to make up for all the bad science in the past and the vast amount of data disproving the effect of homeopathy is a though task.

Nevertheless, we do listen to what you have to say and maintain open to new evidence, even when by most standards it should already have been rejected many decades ago. So we're not the cynics...

How open are you to new ideas? :rolleyes:

You have been presented with arguments opposing yours, but remain relentless and steadfast in your belief, based on ... ?
If tomorrow these studies would turn out to be untrue, would you give them up?
I have a feeling you wouldn't, you would present it as evidence eventhough it has already been refuted, you would hang on to it, like all the other studies that came before it and have been refuted. Basically the vast amount of bad studies and refuted claims has decreased the credibility of the homeopaths to an abominable level. This explains the hesitancy.
You don't feel any hesitancy, maybe because you don't need a study to tell you homeopathy works. We do...

If the 3 studies check out, I would suggest you present it to Mr. Randi. Let's see what happens. (You might want to double check)

Good luck,

SYL :)
 
Ahh yes... The Winston Wu defense: "you are not skeptical you are cynical"
Our judgement is based on the entire body of evidence, which is not in your favor. I can only speak for myself, but I feel I can still doubt myself on many fronts and think the mere fact that this discussion has lasted this long is a testimony to the willingness to be open to any evidence you may present. But to make up for all the bad science in the past and the vast amount of data disproving the effect of homeopathy is a though task.

Nevertheless, we do listen to what you have to say and maintain open to new evidence, even when by most standards it should already have been rejected many decades ago. So we're not the cynics...

How open are you to new ideas? :rolleyes:

You have been presented with arguments opposing yours, but remain relentless and steadfast in your belief, based on ... ?
If tomorrow these studies would turn out to be untrue, would you give them up?
I have a feeling you wouldn't, you would present it as evidence eventhough it has already been refuted, you would hang on to it, like all the other studies that came before it and have been refuted. Basically the vast amount of bad studies and refuted claims has decreased the credibility of the homeopaths to an abominable level. This explains the hesitancy.
You don't feel any hesitancy, maybe because you don't need a study to tell you homeopathy works. We do...

If the 3 studies check out, I would suggest you present it to Mr. Randi. Let's see what happens. (You might want to double check)

Good luck,

SYL :)

HA! Shows what you know! ;)
 
Experienced conventional medical experts have (in India) the good sense to say that they do not know much about homeopathy to be able to comment on it - however they do say that in medical college they were taught that it is placebo and so ethical guidelines require them not to use homeopathy in their practice. They use it for their children if / when it works and have witnessed "miracle" cures but these can not be the proof that medicine requires - the statistical evidence.

Similarly homeopaths have no experience in occult sciences - so can not comment on their effectiveness - classical homeopaths would not use those methods on ethical grounds.

For homeopathic trials which lack prior scientific results at present, a standard p> .05 level of significance trial is not appropriate.

A better method is to use p-rep methodology with RI confidence levels with minimum sample size of 40 patients.

See http://www.asu.edu/clas/psych/research/sqab/Forms/p_rep_pack.zip
Hi manoiberoi,

You do realize that the skewed curve of the Prep or PR, makes the likelyness of a distiguishable significant or insignificant result harder, because the incremental differences become smaller in the range where you are looking.
In more understandable terms: the difference between a p<0.05 and >0.05 is harder to see.

I would suggest that it may be an added control to a p-value as the authors suggest, but I would not choose it as your criterium to determine significant from insignificant.
(You know the p-values are not without reason: Do you know where these cut-off point come from?)

SYL :)
 
Hi 3bodyproblem,
nice to see you again :D

You agree with the idea that 3 studies confirming each other deserve another look? I'm not saying it must therefore be true (considering all the previous attempts to show it works ), but it would be interesting to look at.

The 3 confirming studies idea that we present each time, comes from the idea that there are no other studies denying it (in a Z distribution, chances are that the results are most likely not explained by chance). In homeopathy the score is more like 3 vs 100 or more, but I'm willing to look at it. I think that's more then fair, don't you?

SYL :)
 
Last edited:
Hi 3bodyproblem,
nice to see you again :D

You agree with the idea that 3 studies confirming each other deserve another look? I'm not saying it must therefore be true (considering all the previous attempts to show it works ), but it would be interesting to look at.

The 3 confirming studies idea that we present each time, comes from the idea that there are no other studies denying it (in a Z distribution, chances are that the results are most likely not explained by chance). In homeopathy the score is more like 3 vs 100 or more, but I'm willing to look at it. I think that's more then fair, don't you?

SYL :)

I thought you had disappeared :) More than fair that's for certain. In fact merely entertaining the notion that any homeopathic/homeopaths have any merit whatso ever is too fair. Personally I don't like to entertain fantacists. Unfortunately however, the potential for harm by allowing this "medicine" to continue to go unchallenged is too great. Any chance to dispell the myth must be pursued agressively.
 
I haven't read through all this stuff yet, but this is basically what I have pointed out before in this and other threads (using different terminology). It doesn't get homeopaths off the hook. It makes it more difficult to legitimately infer anything about homeopathy from the results of individual studies.

Which one of the papers describes "RI confidence levels"?

Linda

*This should be p<0.05.
That should have been replication levels
 
The null hypothesis would be absurd so there would be no need to establish any such thing!!!



So if an alleged causal relationship appears absurd, there's no need to test whether there is an actual causal relationship? We can just assume that there is no causal relationship?

Would this also apply to absurdities such the suggestion that remedies from which the allegedly active component has long since been diluted away can have an actual effect?
 
Manioberoi: if your anecdote isn't evidence that homoeopathy causes storms, then neither is it evidence that homeopathy cures.
 
No, I have not gone away yet, but I am just about to do so, not because I am "broken," but because this conversation is broken. While some of you may be a tad diplomatic, you still are so entrenched in your position, you don't even consider that you may be wrong.
Please re-read what you write and consider whether the accusation would sit more comfortably on your own shoulders.

I can and will assert that homeopathy is without merit if or when there is adequate evidence to prove it so, but the body of evidence (basic science, clinical research, AND historical empirical evidence) weighs much more heavily for homeopathy than against it.
This historical evidence ... is that basically anecdotal? What "basic scientific evidence"? Which generally accepted "clinical research"? Do you ever tire of making unsupported claims? You have nothing ... or at least you have shown nothing ...

You keep posting but it's like a broken record. It is sooooo easy to prove that homoeopathy works - it only needs one good quality, reproducable study. That's your job. Disproving it means disproving the many, many claims of people who hide behind smoke-screens of statistical anomalies, stories, wishful thinking and poor studies. That's our job.

And because GOOD scientists have humility and because I have not yet found a good scientist on this list (arrogance limits vision), this conversation is boring.
I must be confused here ... I would have thought that you might have been more likely to use words like "mistaken", "embarrassed", "caught-out", "dis-credited" when describing your position on Holmes. The concept of boredom here doesn't convey much "humility" and "arrogance". Do you always claim to be bored when you are wrong? Do you normally arrogantly accuse others of arrogance?

My previous longer posts were from a forthcoming book. I'm sorry if I do not have the time to include all of the references, but please know that what I've written is true. It is classic that all of you assume that I am "wrong," without even asking me to be more specific. This is part and parcel of your unscientific thinking processes (you are right; others are wrong). My references to Holmes' writing is from his collection of essays, not just one. The fact that you all will quibble with what he said or didn't say WITHOUT knowing the facts (and again, without humility) is typical of your mindset.
Sorry - we just "typically" like to check things for ourselves lest we naively believe the witterings of charlatans. Oh to be humble and gullable ;)

If you have additional information (facts) to support what he did or didn't say, then provide it - otherwise please stop wishing to be right - it just makes you look very foolish.

The worst that you seem to say is that I am "quote mining." Because I have no interest in quoting ALL of Holmes' work, how else can a writer quote work without being specific to one statement or another. Every quote from Holmes that I found could be found in other writing of his in slightly different language
... well wasn't it a bit unfortunate that you provided references to examples that said the exact opposite of what you claimed they said. Why don't you provide the "slightly different language" versions of these quotes with a source that we can check for ourselves? ... and why don't you save us all time by reading a sentence or two on either side of the quote you lift to make sure we don't catch you out again ...

(THAT is not quote mining...YOUR critique is a weak effort to create a defense...a VERY weak effort).
So comprehensively showing that you ... took statements totally out of context, reversed their meaning for your own purposes, and then claimed it was an illustration of "intellectual dishonesty" ... that is a VERY weak effort!!! :D How deluded are you? :boggled:

Quote mine this: "James Gully is both a hypocrite and intellectually dishonest." Prove me wrong.
 
The null hypothesis would be absurd so there would be no need to establish any such thing!!!
Just to re-iterate what Mojo is saying ... why don't you ever think to apply this selective "null hypothesis" of yours to homoeopathy?
 
No, I have not gone away yet, but I am just about to do so, not because I am "broken," but because this conversation is broken. While some of you may be a tad diplomatic, you still are so entrenched in your position, you don't even consider that you may be wrong.

This is the "beauty" of the internet. It is possible to receive the equivalent of being run over by a steam-roller, and pretend nothing has happened. This gives it all an erie cartoon-like quality, where a character is flattened, floats around in a paper-like fashion for a few seconds, then pops back in shape.

However, you are fooling nobody but yourself, James/Dana: Everybody else here (with Manioberoi as a possible exception) can see how you have been devastated. You can put your fingers in your ears and scream "lalalala" at the top of your voice, but you are devastated and ridiculed.

I can and will assert that homeopathy is without merit if or when there is adequate evidence to prove it so, but the body of evidence (basic science, clinical research, AND historical empirical evidence) weighs much more heavily for homeopathy than against it.

So you think that a, carefully selected, few tentative results from poorly designed studies outweigh the mass of modern knowledge of physics, pathology, and pharmacology? Well, well, .......

And because GOOD scientists have humility and because I have not yet found a good scientist on this list (arrogance limits vision), this conversation is boring.

Your arrogance certainly limits your vision, yes. For instance, the thing you see around your head is not your halo, it is your horizon.

My previous longer posts were from a forthcoming book. I'm sorry if I do not have the time to include all of the references, but please know that what I've written is true.

How can we know that what you have written is true, when it has just been proven to be lies? I understand your preference for writing books, however. Relieves you of all those pesky contradictions.

It is classic that all of you assume that I am "wrong," without even asking me to be more specific. This is part and parcel of your unscientific thinking processes (you are right; others are wrong).

Who do you think you are fooling? People here proved you wrong. Especially Mojo and Rolfe tore your lies apart.


My references to Holmes' writing is from his collection of essays, not just one. The fact that you all will quibble with what he said or didn't say WITHOUT knowing the facts (and again, without humility) is typical of your mindset.

This is simply so ridiculous that I wonder how you can look in the mirror. It was by finding the facts that they showed you wrong. Richard/Dana, you were

The worst that you seem to say is that I am "quote mining." Because I have no interest in quoting ALL of Holmes' work, how else can a writer quote work without being specific to one statement or another. Every quote from Holmes that I found could be found in other writing of his in slightly different language (THAT is not quote mining...YOUR critique is a weak effort to create a defense...a VERY weak effort).

Keep eroding your credibility. If you don't know what quite mining is, look it up. You can look up "straw man" while you are at it.

I have provided evidence of the work of Rustom Roy, PhD (I mentioned that he had 13 papers published in NATURE, and I got attacked for not knowing that he had actually had 15 papers published in NATURE).

No, you got ridiculed for not knowing it. Afterward you got attacked for not mentioning that not one single of those papers were relevant to the subject at hand. Look up "appeal to false authority".

His 2005 paper on water structure comes from some of world's leading scientists who understand WATER STRUCTURE, and I told you to watch out for a 2007 paper in which he conducts experiments that verify his previous writings on the subject. I could have provided you with a URL to a presentation on this new research,

Yes, that would have been the proper thing to do.

but I couldn't help but notice that no one inquired about what this new research was (the people on this list do not really want to learn; you want to attack, and you want to feel superior).

Pot, meet mr Kettle.

I referenced Rey's work in one of the most respected physics journals in the world, and the worst that could be said was quoted from Benveniste (who you normally attack!)...this "worst" statement is that the study wasn't blinded.

Showing that we are not biased. Where Benveniste is right, he is right. For a medical study, lack of blinding is very serious.

So, if I fly and show the world that I can fly, you would say that it isn't true because I (or you!) wasn't blinded.

Better look up "straw man" again, so you are sure you know what it means.

Some physical phenomena, like Rey's work, cannot be influenced by belief, and it is not necessary to have every basic science study be blinded (especially in physics--don't take this out of context).

Of course not.

*snip*

Mr. Monkey has STILL not evolved and is still asking the same innane questions about some machine that I have never heard of...and yet, he insists that I answer this questions.

Yes, that question is essential, for two reasons:

1) Those machines base their function on the same type of anecdotical evidence as conventional homeopathy.

2) As a prominent homeopath, it is very surprising that you should not have an opinion on such sensational devices.

Someone else continually asks me about homeopathy for syphilis. I'm sorry that you or someone in your family may have been stricken with it, but why the broken record?

Have you no shame? Apparantly not. You know why the question is asked. You know the central role of syphilis in classical homeopathy. So don't try to dirty the person who asks about it.

James/Dana, there is an advice we use to give people here, when they have gotten themselves in a position like yours: When you find yourself in a hole, you should stop digging.

Hans
 
Last edited:
So if an alleged causal relationship appears absurd, there's no need to test whether there is an actual causal relationship? We can just assume that there is no causal relationship?

Would this also apply to absurdities such the suggestion that remedies from which the allegedly active component has long since been diluted away can have an actual effect?
I fear this level of logic is quite a bit over our friend's head.

Hans
 
I can and will assert that homeopathy is without merit if or when there is adequate evidence to prove it so, but the body of evidence (basic science, clinical research, AND historical empirical evidence) weighs much more heavily for homeopathy than against it.


Talking of getting bored, I get very bored nitpicking the detail of these tediously complicated and badly designed studies the homoeopaths rely on for their "scientific" proof. I think BSM has put it elegantly well.

After 200 years the entire trial record that you find to rely on is a tiny handful of papers. Even those papers do not support the load that you need them to bear.


If there was really a powerful healing force at work there, it would be possible, indeed easy, to convince the most sceptical by means of well-designed, repeatable studies. Isn't happening. I think BSM's comment sums it up admirably.

My previous longer posts were from a forthcoming book. I'm sorry if I do not have the time to include all of the references, but please know that what I've written is true.


Did you actually read my post with the bulleted points in it? Have you no response other than to reassert that what you've written is true, even after that has been explicitly shown not to be the case?

Regarding your references to Oliver Wendell Holmes, I think we can all see from reference to Holmes' own writings that what you have written is demonstrably false. You are taking the view that if what someone has written has been shown to be false, he should amend what he has written if he has the opportunity. I think everyone here would agree with that. So.
  • You wrote that Holmes "worshipped" a Dr. Rush. However, we can see from Holmes' own words that he was highly critical of Dr. Rush, and was in fact holding him up as an example of what was wrong with the medical establishment of the day. Will you change what you have written?
  • You wrote that Holmes "got his calculations confused, and he incorrectly assumed that the homeopathic manufacturer had to have 10 times or 100 times more water than in the previous dilution". You have explicitly admitted that this is not the case, and Holmes assumed nothing of the kind. (And by the way, Holmes was talking about alcohol, not water.) Will you change what you have written?
  • You wrote that Holmes never talked with any homoeopath, and never read a single book on homoeopathy. You have admitted that the former is merely an assumption for which you have no evidence, and anyone can see that the latter is not true simply by observing the extent to which Holmes quotes from the sritings of Hahnemann himself. Will you change what you have written?
Those are just the most clear-cut points, without even getting into James' lack of acknowledgement that Holmes was well aware of the criticism of Andral's work and addressed it to his satisfaction, or James' dishonest use of the word "confessed" when referring to Holmes' remarks that homoeopathy had taught us a valuable lesson (about how well people recover naturally when given no treatment), leading to the false implication that Holmes was admitting that homoeopathic methods were effective.

These are points which have been unambiguously shown to be erroneous. James thinks that people should change what they have written if it is shown to be in error. Anybody holding their breath for James to show even the tiniest glimmer of intellectual honesty here? :nope:

Rolfe.
 
Last edited:
Regarding your references to Oliver Wendell Holmes, I think we can all see from reference to Holmes' own writings that what you have written is demonstrably false. You are taking the view that if what someone has written has been shown to be false, he should amend what he has written if he has the opportunity. I think everyone here would agree with that. So.
  • You wrote that Holmes "worshipped" a Dr. Rush. However, we can see from Holmes' own words that he was highly critical of Dr. Rush, and was in fact holding him up as an example of what was wrong with the medical establishment of the day. Will you change what you have written?


And not from just anywhere in Holmes' own writings: the passages I quoted included all the mentions of Rush in Holmes' essay Currents and Counter-Currents in Medical Science: the very words that "James" claimed supported his assertion:
To clarify, Holmes' worship for Benjamin Rush was evidenced in Holmes' essay "Currents and Counter-Currents" written in 1860.
 
This is simply so ridiculous that I wonder how you can look in the mirror. It was by finding the facts that they showed you wrong. Richard/Dana, you were...


Richard? Has James/Dana been using a third identity?

Not that the expression "Richard the Third" is entirely inappropriate when discussing James' writings.
 
Richard? Has James/Dana been using a third identity?

Not that the expression "Richard the Third" is entirely inappropriate when discussing James' writings.
I made a mistake. Sue me.....

Heheh, there was this guy, they called him Lous 14th. ... Because he was only ever invited to avoid being 13 seated.

Rolfe, you will notice that James/Dana ignores anybody he can't answer. I assume it's his general way of staying alive: Simply ignore everything that doesn't fit.

Hans
 

Back
Top Bottom