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More Fun with Homeopath Dana Ullman, MPH(!)

Well, exactly, that's the whole point of the exercise. And it's just SOP for homoeopathic discourse as far as I can see. He'll probably even boast that I agreed with him!

Classic argument by blatant assertion.

Rolfe.
 
But I hadn't finished with him! [stamps foot]

Rolfe.
That'll teach you not to finish them off before you are finished with them.

... But by all means continue. We love to watch. :popcorn1


Hans
 
Rolfe:

Oh, I see you finished in the meantime. Nice sum up.

Yes, I'm afraid it's about par for the homeopathic course. That is, for those of them who are at least literal. Seems they use their literacy to obfusciate. However, let's face it: What would happen if they were objective and honest?

Objective and honest homeopath:

"I must acknowledge that there is absolutely no backing for my claims, except some selected anecdotical material, most of which is ancient. However, I feel homeopathy is at least harmless, and I hope people will continue using it, because I hate to have to find a new line of work."

Riiight. No reason to hold your breath.

Hans
 
It was quite interesting how he switched from his original line of argumentation to focus on the presumably air-tight attack on a defenceless doctor in the 19th century, and put himself on the high horse accusing us and the poor Dr. Holmes of intellectual dishonesty, only to be unhorsed in the most ignoble manner, and ending up being the only intellectual dishonest person around.

And his victim Dr. Holmes has gained modern popularity in the process.

I, for one, will use the example of Dr. Holmes to point out how homoeopathy was exposed right from the beginning, and that homoeopaths have learned nothing of the past.
 
OK. We've left James with no data. We've blown up his attempt to hide in 19th Century literary criticism.

That leaves these questions still outstanding:

4. Can you tell us whether either of these machines works?

http://www.bio-resonance.com/elybra.htm

http://www.remedydevices.com/voice.htm

Bear in mind that the users of these machines rely on exactly the same anecdotal experience and fallacious post hoc reasoning that every other homeopath does. Are the homeopaths who use these machines right or wrong in thinking they work?

It's a very simple question and capable of a single-word answer.

I'll give you a new question just so you can show how well you understand the interpretation of clinical trial data;

9. I set a p-value for significance of 0.05 and run 100 trials. In no trial is the test substance distinguishable from the control. How many trials can I expect to show an apparent "effect" from my test substance?

Perhaps he'd like to try question 9. At least with that he could copy the correct answer from elsewhere even if he doesn't understand the question or its purpose.
 
No, I have not gone away yet, but I am just about to do so, not because I am "broken," but because this conversation is broken. While some of you may be a tad diplomatic, you still are so entrenched in your position, you don't even consider that you may be wrong.

I can and will assert that homeopathy is without merit if or when there is adequate evidence to prove it so, but the body of evidence (basic science, clinical research, AND historical empirical evidence) weighs much more heavily for homeopathy than against it.

And because GOOD scientists have humility and because I have not yet found a good scientist on this list (arrogance limits vision), this conversation is boring.

My previous longer posts were from a forthcoming book. I'm sorry if I do not have the time to include all of the references, but please know that what I've written is true. It is classic that all of you assume that I am "wrong," without even asking me to be more specific. This is part and parcel of your unscientific thinking processes (you are right; others are wrong). My references to Holmes' writing is from his collection of essays, not just one. The fact that you all will quibble with what he said or didn't say WITHOUT knowing the facts (and again, without humility) is typical of your mindset.

The worst that you seem to say is that I am "quote mining." Because I have no interest in quoting ALL of Holmes' work, how else can a writer quote work without being specific to one statement or another. Every quote from Holmes that I found could be found in other writing of his in slightly different language (THAT is not quote mining...YOUR critique is a weak effort to create a defense...a VERY weak effort).

I have provided evidence of the work of Rustom Roy, PhD (I mentioned that he had 13 papers published in NATURE, and I got attacked for not knowing that he had actually had 15 papers published in NATURE). His 2005 paper on water structure comes from some of world's leading scientists who understand WATER STRUCTURE, and I told you to watch out for a 2007 paper in which he conducts experiments that verify his previous writings on the subject. I could have provided you with a URL to a presentation on this new research, but I couldn't help but notice that no one inquired about what this new research was (the people on this list do not really want to learn; you want to attack, and you want to feel superior).

I referenced Rey's work in one of the most respected physics journals in the world, and the worst that could be said was quoted from Benveniste (who you normally attack!)...this "worst" statement is that the study wasn't blinded. So, if I fly and show the world that I can fly, you would say that it isn't true because I (or you!) wasn't blinded. Some physical phenomena, like Rey's work, cannot be influenced by belief, and it is not necessary to have every basic science study be blinded (especially in physics--don't take this out of context).

The Elia work is substantial and remains unrebutted...despite many references to this being forthcoming.

The influenza studies have been replicated by 3 independent groups of researchers. There have been 4 studies on allergic conditions by a group at the University of Glasgow and 3 studies on childhood diarrhea.

Even the CHEST study on COPD is weakly criticized. When you consider the results of that study (P<.0007), the initial state of the homeopathic treated group was still substantially significant (not just "significantly" different than the placebo group).

I cannot help but sense that most of the people on this are a bit like that angry SAM guy. He can blame homeopathy all he wants, but I know that we all know that his wife left him for good reasons that have nothing to do with homeopathy. I cannot help but sense that you folks were kidded as children for being smart-alec nerds, and now, you want to get back at anyone and everyone who simply has a different worldview.

Mr. Monkey has STILL not evolved and is still asking the same innane questions about some machine that I have never heard of...and yet, he insists that I answer this questions.

Someone else continually asks me about homeopathy for syphilis. I'm sorry that you or someone in your family may have been stricken with it, but why the broken record?
 
...The influenza studies have been replicated by 3 independent groups of researchers. There have been 4 studies on allergic conditions by a group at the University of Glasgow and 3 studies on childhood diarrhea.

Prove it. So far all we have to go on is your statement, which is of dubious value. But there is no link to the studies, or the data. All I had to go on is to check out www.pubmed.gov which led me to six reviews. All of them lukewarm and unremarkable.

......Someone else continually asks me about homeopathy for syphilis. I'm sorry that you or someone in your family may have been stricken with it, but why the broken record?

You have serious reading comprehension problems (no one in my family has syphilis).

And of course the reason I kept bringing it up is because you never answered the question!

Obviously because you did not understand it. The question was since one of the miasms that Hahnemann wrote about was the "syphilis" miasm. I even posted a link to the part of the Organon where he claims to cure it. Now the simplified question is: What is a better way to cure syphilis... the way Hahnemann did or with antibiotics?

Be sure to include links to actual research showing the efficacy of Hahnemann's method versus antibiotics for syphilis.
 
No, I have not gone away yet, but I am just about to do so, not because I am "broken," but because this conversation is broken. While some of you may be a tad diplomatic, you still are so entrenched in your position, you don't even consider that you may be wrong.

When you make statements that apply more strongly to yourself than to those you intend to insult, you run the risk of inducing a fit of the giggles in your audience. There is only so much of this sweet torture we can withstand, after all.

I can and will assert that homeopathy is without merit if or when there is adequate evidence to prove it so, but the body of evidence (basic science, clinical research, AND historical empirical evidence) weighs much more heavily for homeopathy than against it.

You know that can't be true, else you wouldn't need to convince us.

And because GOOD scientists have humility and because I have not yet found a good scientist on this list (arrogance limits vision), this conversation is boring.

I'm pretty sure that's not true. I can think of many counter-examples, and I cannot think why it would be necessary considering that humility will be thrust upon you once you start doing/saying silly and stupid things.

My previous longer posts were from a forthcoming book. I'm sorry if I do not have the time to include all of the references, but please know that what I've written is true. It is classic that all of you assume that I am "wrong," without even asking me to be more specific. This is part and parcel of your unscientific thinking processes (you are right; others are wrong). My references to Holmes' writing is from his collection of essays, not just one. The fact that you all will quibble with what he said or didn't say WITHOUT knowing the facts (and again, without humility) is typical of your mindset.

You've been caught in too many outright lies. And I like how you failed to mention the part about how further investigation confirmed the initial suspicion that you were lying yet again.

The worst that you seem to say is that I am "quote mining." Because I have no interest in quoting ALL of Holmes' work, how else can a writer quote work without being specific to one statement or another. Every quote from Holmes that I found could be found in other writing of his in slightly different language (THAT is not quote mining...YOUR critique is a weak effort to create a defense...a VERY weak effort).

You misunderstand. "Quote mining" is when you compile a selection of quotes, taken out-of-context, in order to provide the illusion of support, which obscures (or reverses) the original meaning of the text - i.e. what you did to Dr. Holmes.

I have provided evidence of the work of Rustom Roy, PhD (I mentioned that he had 13 papers published in NATURE, and I got attacked for not knowing that he had actually had 15 papers published in NATURE). His 2005 paper on water structure comes from some of world's leading scientists who understand WATER STRUCTURE, and I told you to watch out for a 2007 paper in which he conducts experiments that verify his previous writings on the subject. I could have provided you with a URL to a presentation on this new research, but I couldn't help but notice that no one inquired about what this new research was (the people on this list do not really want to learn; you want to attack, and you want to feel superior).

You do realize that this is recorded, right?

I referenced Rey's work in one of the most respected physics journals in the world, and the worst that could be said was quoted from Benveniste (who you normally attack!)...this "worst" statement is that the study wasn't blinded. So, if I fly and show the world that I can fly, you would say that it isn't true because I (or you!) wasn't blinded. Some physical phenomena, like Rey's work, cannot be influenced by belief, and it is not necessary to have every basic science study be blinded (especially in physics--don't take this out of context).

We've heard that excuse before. And yet we still have the Magically Disappearing Results Show when blinding is introduced. I'll ignore that your example shows a profound misunderstanding of what blinding means - presumably you were too rushed (or tired or impaired) to come up with a valid example.

The Elia work is substantial and remains unrebutted...despite many references to this being forthcoming.

Cute. It is the criticism of the Elia work that you have yet to rebutt.

The influenza studies have been replicated by 3 independent groups of researchers. There have been 4 studies on allergic conditions by a group at the University of Glasgow and 3 studies on childhood diarrhea.

None of which provided convincing evidence for the effectiveness of any specially prepared water.

Even the CHEST study on COPD is weakly criticized. When you consider the results of that study (P<.0007), the initial state of the homeopathic treated group was still substantially significant (not just "significantly" different than the placebo group).

A weak criticism is something like "the exact details of how the allocation was hidden weren't described". The discovery that the two groups were different before the treatment was given (meaning that the differences after treatment cannot be solely attributed to that treatment (if at all)) would be considered a moderate to strong criticism.

I cannot help but sense that most of the people on this are a bit like that angry SAM guy. He can blame homeopathy all he wants, but I know that we all know that his wife left him for good reasons that have nothing to do with homeopathy. I cannot help but sense that you folks were kidded as children for being smart-alec nerds, and now, you want to get back at anyone and everyone who simply has a different worldview.

I know you're trying to get this particular insult to stick (you've floated it several times now), but you aren't getting any takers. Maybe try something new? I'd get pissed off if you accused me of getting my medical info from WebMD, for example. Well, not now, but you get the idea.

Mr. Monkey has STILL not evolved and is still asking the same innane questions about some machine that I have never heard of...and yet, he insists that I answer this questions.

Because the skills and understanding necessary to answer those questions are also necessary to the evaluation of homeopathy. And the kinds of mistakes you make suggests that you do not have those skills. By asking you those questions, he's giving you the benefit of the doubt by providing you with an opportunity to demonstrate otherwise.

Linda
 
I'll not expand on what fls just said, but will instead point out that you have simply failed to grasp the purpose of the questions I have asked. Your smug condescension would carry more weight if you had even a little justification for it, but just take a step back and look at what you have just written. After 200 years the entire trial record that you find to rely on is a tiny handful of papers. Even those papers do not support the load that you need them to bear. Cann you really not see how pathetic your position is?

Let me say this in very simple terms so that even the hard of understanding might see the problem.

4. Can you tell us whether either of these machines works?

http://www.bio-resonance.com/elybra.htm

http://www.remedydevices.com/voice.htm

Bear in mind that the users of these machines rely on exactly the same anecdotal experience and fallacious post hoc reasoning that every other homeopath does. Are the homeopaths who use these machines right or wrong in thinking they work?


Homeopathy depends for its credibility almost exclusively on accumulated, unblinded, biased, partial and selective accounts of clinical cases. From that base homeopaths are sold, and are happy to use, a variety of wacky devices that purport to make homeopathic remedies but provide absolutely no validation that they really perform this purpose. Sadly, your critical faculties are at such a low level that you cannot even see when you're colleagues are effectively being scammed. And you seem unable to be able to draw the necessary inferences about the quality of your entire evidence-base.

You similarly failed to answer adequately as to the problem of some homeopaths thinking that X-rays disable their remedies and others are adamant that they do not.

It really is quite irrelevant whether or not a few controlled trials appear to show marginally positive effects for homeopathy (and we know how these marginally positive results fare under attempts at replication), the considerations I have just given you show that the entire clinical record of homeopathy cannot but be riddled with utter falsity. But, this clinical record, and nothing else at all, is all that you have to base your practice on.

I suppose someone needs to remind you that even if Roy's claimed findings were true they are completely irrelevant to the practical reality of giving sugar tablets onto which some water was once evaporated. So, please give up with this constant reiteration of Roy's work- it is irrelevant to your case.

You simply refuse to accept that the plural of anecdote is not data. If you cannot pass over this particular version of the pons asinorum then you are incapable of having a valid opinion on the topics under discussion. All that you have, and I do mean all that you have, is the tiny handful of properly conducted clinical trials of homeopathy. Even looked at in a generous light, the effects these show are tiny at best. But, they fail under replication. And, as has been pointed out repeatedly to homeopaths, these vanishingly small effects are in stark contrast to the claims made for the huge and reliable curative power of their sugar and water remedies that homeopaths constantly assert.

Hey, but you make a living selling sugar and water, so why should you worry.
 
The worst that you seem to say is that I am "quote mining." Because I have no interest in quoting ALL of Holmes' work, how else can a writer quote work without being specific to one statement or another.

Oh come on: do you really not know the difference between quote mining and correct quoting? What you're doing is fundamentally dishonest: you quote a segment out of context to apparently support your complete misrepresentation of what the writer actually said.

You pretend that Holmes at some point changed his mind about homeopathy, and criticise him for not asking his publisher to change what he had previously wrote. But Holmes didn't change his mind about homeopathy. You use this quote to support your claim:

"[homeopathy] has taught us a lesson of the healing faculty of Nature which was needed, and for which many of us have made proper acknowledgements"

Yes, Holmes wrote that. No, it doesn't mean that he had changed his mind: look at the context and the meaning becomes perfectly clear: he was talking about the fact that giving a homeopathic remedy was equivalent to giving no remedy at all, and therefore equivalent to letting Nature get on with healing.

Every quote from Holmes that I found could be found in other writing of his in slightly different language

Fine: give me another version of the quote above, with enough of the surrounding context to make the meaning clear.

YOUR critique is a weak effort to create a defense...a VERY weak effort

No: this is not a defence, it is an attack. I am attacking your dishonesty in misrepresenting the writings of Holmes.

But finally I must thank you for one thing: because of your silly attacks on him, I have been reading Oliver Wendell Holmes with interest. I have discovered a fine, intelligent writer.
 
I referenced Rey's work in one of the most respected physics journals in the world, and the worst that could be said was quoted from Benveniste (who you normally attack!)...this "worst" statement is that the study wasn't blinded. So, if I fly and show the world that I can fly, you would say that it isn't true because I (or you!) wasn't blinded. Some physical phenomena, like Rey's work, cannot be influenced by belief, and it is not necessary to have every basic science study be blinded (especially in physics--don't take this out of context).
We thought that you would appreciate Benveniste's comments because he himself learned the hard way why blinding is necessary in basic physical research. In Japan Dr. Emoto has shown that water can read read and knows Hitler, but there was no blinding (and nobody has replicated the research). The critique of non-blinded experiments in this sort of work is devastating.
 
this "worst" statement is that the study wasn't blinded.

OK. Some things do bear repetition.

That was possibly the most revealing thing that you have said in all of your posts. It really seems that you have no appreciation whatsoever of how a valid conclusion may be drawn from scientific observattions. If you really cannot see why a lack of blinding completely invalidates the inferences drawn from these kinds of experiments then you have no right to hold an opinion on any of the matters we are discussing.
 
We thought that you would appreciate Benveniste's comments...

It is also sadly all too common, in my experience, among the defenders of alt. med. that they are so po-faced and narrow in their outlook that, never mind failing to get the joke, they don't even see when a joke has been made or something is said that is loaded with irony.

Perhaps forcing yourself to accept the amusingly false as reality erodes your sense of humour.
 
While some of you may be a tad diplomatic...

Poor little James. The nasty sceptics are being rude when they point out the error of his ways.

But what's this?

Mr. Monkey has STILL not evolved and is still asking the same innane questions about some machine that I have never heard of...and yet, he insists that I answer this questions.


:i:

p.s. You do know that Lamarck was wrong, don't you? Or do your misconceptions about science extend beyond the field of medicine? For the record, Kipling's "Just So" stories were never intended as a formalised theory to compete with Darwin's. I hope that's clear for you now.

Glad to be of service.
 
It is classic that all of you assume that I am "wrong," without even asking me to be more specific.

Yes, we did: we asked you for proper references. We then tracked down the sections of Holmes's work that you claimed supported what you had posted (the preface to Medical Essays, and the essay "Currents and Counter-Currents"), and found that they did not say what you claimed they did. If you have quotations from Holmes that support your assertions, please provide them, and give references so that we can see them in context.

You still haven't said what "Dean, 2004" refers to, by the way, and you still haven't provided any reference for the reply from Frass et al. which you claim "blows Orac out of the water".

Please be more specific.
 
Poor little James. The nasty sceptics are being rude when they point out the error of his ways.

But what's this?

JamesGully said:
Mr. Monkey has STILL not evolved...


:i:

p.s. You do know that Lamarck was wrong, don't you?


Look at the dates, BSM:

Lamarck 1744-1829
Hahnemann 1755-1843
Darwin 1809-1882

Darwin didn't publish On the Origin of Species until it was too late for Hahnemann to know about it.
 
Look at the dates, BSM:

Lamarck 1744-1829
Hahnemann 1755-1843
Darwin 1809-1882

Darwin didn't publish On the Origin of Species until it was too late for Hahnemann to know about it.

Sorry, it's easy to forget that homeopaths have an intellectual Event Horizon sitting at the publication date of the Organon.

That's presumably why James got into such a muddle with his Oliver Wendell Holmes quotes- the ideas are too new-fangled and are positioned the other side of that infinitely distorting barrier.
 
OK. We've left James with no data. We've blown up his attempt to hide in 19th Century literary criticism.

That leaves these questions still outstanding:

4. Can you tell us whether either of these machines works?

http://www.bio-resonance.com/elybra.htm

http://www.remedydevices.com/voice.htm

Bear in mind that the users of these machines rely on exactly the same anecdotal experience and fallacious post hoc reasoning that every other homeopath does. Are the homeopaths who use these machines right or wrong in thinking they work?

It's a very simple question and capable of a single-word answer.

I'll give you a new question just so you can show how well you understand the interpretation of clinical trial data;

9. I set a p-value for significance of 0.05 and run 100 trials. In no trial is the test substance distinguishable from the control. How many trials can I expect to show an apparent "effect" from my test substance?

Perhaps he'd like to try question 9. At least with that he could copy the correct answer from elsewhere even if he doesn't understand the question or its purpose.
Experienced conventional medical experts have (in India) the good sense to say that they do not know much about homeopathy to be able to comment on it - however they do say that in medical college they were taught that it is placebo and so ethical guidelines require them not to use homeopathy in their practice. They use it for their children if / when it works and have witnessed "miracle" cures but these can not be the proof that medicine requires - the statistical evidence.

Similarly homeopaths have no experience in occult sciences - so can not comment on their effectiveness - classical homeopaths would not use those methods on ethical grounds.

For homeopathic trials which lack prior scientific results at present, a standard p> .05 level of significance trial is not appropriate.

A better method is to use p-rep methodology with RI confidence levels with minimum sample size of 40 patients.

See http://www.asu.edu/clas/psych/research/sqab/Forms/p_rep_pack.zip
 
For homeopathic trials which lack prior scientific results at present, a standard p> .05* level of significance trial is not appropriate.

A better method is to use p-rep methodology with RI confidence levels with minimum sample size of 40 patients.

See http://www.asu.edu/clas/psych/research/sqab/Forms/p_rep_pack.zip

I haven't read through all this stuff yet, but this is basically what I have pointed out before in this and other threads (using different terminology). It doesn't get homeopaths off the hook. It makes it more difficult to legitimately infer anything about homeopathy from the results of individual studies.

Which one of the papers describes "RI confidence levels"?

Linda

*This should be p<0.05.
 

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