Which is over 30 years old. So hardly novel.
But one needs to think about logistics as opposed to what looks intimidating in a parade.
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The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Part 4
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Which is over 30 years old. So hardly novel.
But one needs to think about logistics as opposed to what looks intimidating in a parade.
Well that certainly seems at odds with what is being reported in the West but if true then it should quickly become apparent when Ukrainian defensive lines crumble because of the high rate of losses and desertions.
My personal view is that both sides tend to exaggerate their own gains and their opponents' losses but Ukrainian figures seem to be consistent with observation of what is happening on the ground whilst Russian numbers seem seem less anchored in reality.
Childlike Empress
Banned
But people here are parroting since months how the Russians are running out of this and that and the other, and not achieving their (presumed) goals, but it never happened. This junk many parrot here is propaganda and should at some time be realized as that. Which doesn't mean that I think every world on the Telegram channel from a war party like MoD Russia is to be believed. But, remember, audiatur et altera pars, thousands of years old principle, if you want to form a sober judgement.
And the Russians do seem to have completely changed tack from the early days of the war so that they have a much lower requirement for humans, something that it's been said that they're short of. That's also consistent with them broadening the recruitment rules and now insisting that each federal unit provides at least one 400 man unit.
Likewise with the move away from complex, high value equipment. With the alleged hypersonic weapons it was, IIRC, one and out. There seems to be an increasing reliance on older tanks and other armoured vehicles which seems to strongly imply a shortage of the newer stuff.
As regards Russia's goals. They weren't explicitly stated at the start but their change from a multi-front war of movement (which went badly) to instead focus on one tiny part of Eastern Ukraine seems to reflect a fundamental change in approach forced upon them.
Your mileage clearly varies by a significant amount.
In the absence of primary information (and what military in its right mind would release details of their losses and failures), conclusions have to be drawn from secondary sources. Russia's broadening of, and increased urgency relating to the recruitment of soldiers seems to indicate that they are currently short of them.
The consolidation of positions on most fronts seems to indicate that they cannot (currently) advance on those fronts.
Withdrawing from Snake Island seems to indicate that they could not hold it at a cost they were willing to pay.
The "pause" on the Eastern front seems to relate to a lack of available ordnance.
There may be other reasons for the above, but they don't make sense militarily.
theprestige
Penultimate Amazing
A parade of transportation, teamster, and stevedore equipment would be pretty intimidating, to the right kind of military analyst. Columns of trucks, squadrons of forklifts, platoons of self-propelled container cranes...
lomiller
Penultimate Amazing
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"to the right kind of military analyst. "
Indeed, but not to someone who wants hypersonic missiles and stealth fighters but not, apparently, in date food for the troops. Or body armour with plates.
Andy_Ross
Penultimate Amazing
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Same in the UK.
Andy_Ross
Penultimate Amazing
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Or any actual working hypersonic missiles and stealth fighters
theprestige
Penultimate Amazing
Reminds me of General Schwarzkopf and the liberation of Kuwait. The battle lines are closely drawn around a strong defensive position in Kuwait City. So Schwarzkopf expands the map until Kuwait City is in the upper right hand corner, and the rest of the map is taken up by the vast inhospitable desert between Saudi Arabia and Iraq. Then he establishes these massive supply depots, way out there in the desert, where the Iraqis cannot possibly see them or get to them. Then he deploys major troop formations out there, supplied by those depots, and swings in on the Republican Guard with a devastating left hook straight out of the deep desert.
To this day I'm convinced that Saddam Hussein and his general staff never even imagined the deep desert would be a maneuver area in that war. I think they honestly believed that as long as they had Kuwait City buttoned up, and the road to Baghdad open behind them, they'd be okay.
kookbreaker
Evil Fokker
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On a side note, tourism is way down in occupied Crimea.
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/07/13/7357929/
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2022/07/13/7357929/
Drone swarms appear to offer many possibilities, quite unlike the boom boom stuff. Interesting.
Picture a Schwarm of, say, a dozen Switchblade 600s headed on a night attack toward Dump A. Russian radar is tracking them. Suddenly they disperse, reunite on a heading toward Dump B, converge for their final dives, and broadcast a chorus of Kimigayo in wierd newt voices just before impact.
Know what? The technology already exists to do exactly that.
Bold denial by The Great Denier coming soon.
Picture a Schwarm of, say, a dozen Switchblade 600s headed on a night attack toward Dump A. Russian radar is tracking them. Suddenly they disperse, reunite on a heading toward Dump B, converge for their final dives, and broadcast a chorus of Kimigayo in wierd newt voices just before impact.
Know what? The technology already exists to do exactly that.
Bold denial by The Great Denier coming soon.
I have been thinking along similar lines, and Iranian proxies have used a swarming attack on a Saudi refinery in 2019
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abqaiq–Khurais_attack
Separately,
And on a similar theme to Captain_Swoop's comment in post 1710,
https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1547576761105334274?s=20&t=QpqEcETZ-XRz7EBGh3ZL2A
It looks as though Russia thought it's S400 missiles would defend against US long range guided rockets.
I mentioned the Switchblade 600 just because it's well known and, as these things go, not very high tech. Swarm users would almost certainly deploy bigger and more ingenious drones for attacks on logistic centers.
When they want to strike command posts, smaller buzzers would be sufficient. Unless Gen. Pissodnavitch uses an armored latrine, he can be neutralized by a grenade's worth of plastique.
When they want to strike command posts, smaller buzzers would be sufficient. Unless Gen. Pissodnavitch uses an armored latrine, he can be neutralized by a grenade's worth of plastique.
Childlike Empress
Banned
Of course they were. I told you about it several times. They made demands of NATO going back to where they were, and promised to stay, in 1997. Demands were made in late 2021. NATO said we don't even talk to you. Russia said then we will do it ourselves, saw the point about the time that Green T-Shirt Comedy guy showed up at the Munich "Security" Conference and said that they plan to return to being a nuclear armed nation, which was the final drop in the bucket for Russia. In late January 2022.
The fact that all this context is not covered at all by the "western" "mainstream" media should tell you something if you had researched the topic. Well, it's all in the open, good luck.
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Yep, 8 years of live firing hones your skills pretty well. Why the Russians are still using 1980s tactics is beyond me, why on earth still sight your guns in nice neat firing lines?
ponderingturtle
Orthogonal Vector
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Why not have night vision and secure communications instead of open radios and cell phones?
Why should their tactics be better than the low standard all their gear is?
theprestige
Penultimate Amazing
I suppose one way to look at it is, the more primitive your gear, the more important it is to make up for it in other areas like organization, planning, training, and morale.
Childlike Empress
Banned
And let me repeat, Mr. Green-Shirt came to power the same way Putin did. Through the machinations of Oligarchs.
In Mr. Green-Shirts case it was Igor Kolomoiski, who played a very ugly role in the whole thing, also being the founder of the Nazi Azov-Battallion. Now in Israel. Zelenski does what his oligarch wants him to do.
In Mr. Putins case it was Boris Beresovsky, who died some line along his quest where people like this die: London. Putin didn't do what his oligarch wanted him to do.
In Mr. Green-Shirts case it was Igor Kolomoiski, who played a very ugly role in the whole thing, also being the founder of the Nazi Azov-Battallion. Now in Israel. Zelenski does what his oligarch wants him to do.
In Mr. Putins case it was Boris Beresovsky, who died some line along his quest where people like this die: London. Putin didn't do what his oligarch wanted him to do.
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