PartSkeptic’s Thread for Predictions and Other Matters of Interest

[Cosmic Yak]

The Telcos hired a company called Alphawave. The engineer who came to do the tests founded EMSS. It was originally part of a Telco but they formed an "independent" company.

Their readings confirmed my readings. Is that good enough for you? I notice that they did not claim the radiation was "safe". They stated it was within recommended ICNIRP guidelines.

Complete rubbish. You flatly refused to accept Alphawave's readings. This is in the court documents you linked to. (p. 353 of the 3rd one).
The issue of claiming the radiation was 'safe' was also covered in the court case. In short, you cannot claim anything is 100% safe: it's possible to injure yourself with almost anything. What is established are guidelines, which state levels at which the risk is minimal. This "prove it's 100% safe" argument is fallacious: nothing is 100% safe. This argument is used by anti-vaxxers, who demand the same level of proof, knowing it is an impossible standard.

 

[JayUtah]

There he goes again, having dropped the pretense of being a "friend".

"Everyone's being so mean to me!" Stop whining. I didn't say people here were your friends. I said they were trying to be on your side. Pointing out the logical flaws in your arguments is what people on your side do for you. I endured a withering engineering design review yesterday. Those people are on my side, but they are my colleagues, not my friends. You've obviously come here know that's what will happen to you. Your meter gave you a nonsensical reason, and you jumped to the very non-obvious conclusion in response to it. People showing you how you did that are people showing you they're on your side. They want you to succeed. They do so by helping you see and avoid potential pitfalls.

What utter rubbish. Claims without a scrap of anything to support them.

Other than the statements you made in this thread, of course.

And nasty as well.

Funny how I'm such a "nasty" person, yet none of my posts seem to have been moderated away. No matter how much you may desire a rosy reputation, you're not entitled to one that's not true. People telling you true things about yourself that you may find unflattering is pretty much how the world works. When you explicitly present yourself to forums where that's the norm, you have no right to complain.

 

[JayUtah]

Oh. So one can decide on the basis that one witness is very pretty...

I made no such claim.

Do you think that is reasonable?

I have no way of knowing upon what basis some other person considered a statement reasonable.

Read the SA High Court Rules about applications and evidence.

Cite the part I should read. The part that says, as you claim, that the trier of fact must require more evidence to be presented when he is confronted with conflicting evidence. An actual chapter-and-verse citation, if you please.

 

[varwoche]

Back to my prediction that the pandemic is going to impact the global system very badly and lead to systemic changes to stop over-population.

I said early on the pandemic would be sneaky and have a stealth spread. That is happening. Did anyone predict that aspect of this pandemic. No. To quote a high-up official "No-one saw this coming". Wrong. I did. ...

Pardon me. I overlooked these asinine qualifiers.

Is this prediction in writing? Link please.

How exactly is the pandemic sneaky/stealthy? How might I discern a sneaky/stealthy pandemic from a non-sneaky, non-stealthy pandemic?

 

[JayUtah]

How exactly is the pandemic sneaky/stealthy? How might I discern a sneaky/stealthy pandemic from a non-sneaky, non-stealthy pandemic?

I gather he means that exposure to nCov-19 precedes detection of symptoms by as long as two weeks, during which time the subject can unknowingly spread it to a greater number of other people. In contrast, other viral infections can show symptoms in as short a time as 1-2 days. That alerts the subject to curtail his behavior and avoid infecting others. The few days in which he was unknowingly contagious limits the number of people to whom it may have spread. R_t for these viruses remains small.

To answer the question: yes, literally everyone predicted this. This is because virology includes knowledge of the variation in incubation periods. It combines them with models of human movement and an understanding of disease vectors. Statements have been produced showing that world leaders (well, some world leaders, anyway) were well aware of the likely potential for an impending pandemic exhibiting exactly these characteristics. When one "predicts' something that is not only common knowledge within the relevant field, but has entered the arena of public policy and practical governance, one is unlikely to get traction for the notion that it was a personal message from a god.

 

[Lukraak_Sisser]

I've mentioned this before upthread when Partskeptic first claimed that this was a divinely designed virus to cull humanity, but if a God designed this virus fro that reason it's a total incompetent and we as humans could have designed on that was far better, but we are too ethical to do so.

This was countered with a 'god needs to design things to teach humanity a lesson in a way that can never be distinguished from natural mutation because......'

A real reason was never given, but since Partskeptic's god mainly seems to exist to make his world better and give out petty punishments to whoever Partskeptic dislikes today maybe it's just not that powerful? More a local household god?

 

[Cosmic Yak]

A real reason was never given, but since Partskeptic's god mainly seems to exist to make his world better and give out petty punishments to whoever Partskeptic dislikes today maybe it's just not that powerful? More a local household god?

If it is, it's a manifestly incompetent one, given that it has failed miserably to protect PartSkeptic's household.


ETA: In fact, thinking about it, it's actually a real son-of-a-thingy, as PS's court documents contain a number of submissions from his neighbours stating for the record that they've not had any health problems from the cell towers at all.

 

[gmanontario]

ETA: In fact, thinking about it, it's actually a real son-of-a-thingy, as PS's court documents contain a number of submissions from his neighbours stating for the record that they've not had any health problems from the cell towers at all.

They had to be bribed by the Telcos. What other explanation is remotely possible?

Which Telco do you work for?

 

[varwoche]

I gather he means that exposure to nCov-19 precedes detection of symptoms by as long as two weeks, during which time the subject can unknowingly spread it to a greater number of other people. In contrast, other viral infections can show symptoms in as short a time as 1-2 days. That alerts the subject to curtail his behavior and avoid infecting others. The few days in which he was unknowingly contagious limits the number of people to whom it may have spread. R_t for these viruses remains small...

For what it's worth: SARS incubation period is as long as 2 weeks. HIV as long as 4 weeks.

 

[catsmate]

The UK does not have a constitution. Period.

Ignorant rubbish.

One cannot cite an article of a written legal constitution.
And yet the UK's Supreme Court has made judgements on violations of constitutional law...

I speak from experience. Cite any peer-reviewed papers you want, there is a serious difference.

Oh good grief, the arrogant ignorance.

 

[catsmate]

I had a meter which is totally reliable. My wife got symptoms and asked me to measure. The meter is directional so there was no doubt. The reading showed it was operating at full power (about 3,000 uW/sqm). Even if every tower in the area was at full strength the value could never be above about 4 uW/sqm because of the inverse square law. I only had severe symptoms afterwards.

Oh good grief, the stupid, it burns.

Now how can I be mistaken?

Because you haven't the faintest understanding of basic, secondary school level, physics...

Do you not realize that you jump to bad conclusions because of your bias?

The judge said he accepted the metering companies evidence because they are a big corporate and as such they were the better witness.

No, he didn't. You're making stuff up again.

I will be laying a police complaint of statutory perjury because the "evidence" the company provided DOES show the tower had to be on for 36 hours during the month of January 2019. They distorted the graph so it was not immediately obvious but a careful analysis makes it clear.

Bollocks and bluster.

You know how the magician does the trick - he tells you what he wants you to see. The power company invoice will also show 36 hours of power instead of 1 hour of testing.

Let's see it then.

 

[catsmate]

Really. Prove it. Why was there no preparation?

There was. Many countries have weathered Covid-19 well. Unfortunately some national leaders are narcissists, ideologues or idiots.

 

[catsmate]

We don't have a million dead in the US (I think we're up to ~15% of that )

Yet.
Trump is lazy, he can't kill people that fast. But with >50,000 new detected cases each day, and an increasing infection rate, there's still time.

In fact, if we take New York's fatality rate (13,156 confirmed + 5,126 probably deaths from 166,883 confirmed infections and halve that rate [to allow for younger people being infected now]) that would suggest 3,000 fatalities per day in a couple of weeks. If, as Fauci predicts, the infection rate doubles then Trump could well manage a million deaths before he leaves office.

 

[catsmate]

The UK was also preparing for another pandemic. The problem was, they thought it would be flu-related. It wasn't that there was no preparation, it was that it was the wrong preparation.
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-one-of-best-prepared-for-pandemic

Also, in both the UK and US, stockpiles were run down to save money for more important things.

 

[Jim_MDP]

Yet.

Trump is lazy, he can't kill people that fast. But with >50,000 new detected cases each day, and an increasing infection rate, there's still time.



In fact, if we take New York's fatality rate (13,156 confirmed + 5,126 probably deaths from 166,883 confirmed infections and halve that rate [to allow for younger people being infected now]) that would suggest 3,000 fatalities per day in a couple of weeks. If, as Fauci predicts, the infection rate doubles then Trump could well manage a million deaths before he leaves office.

I made a semi-WAG here 3 months ago and felt bad about it the next day (thought I was being pessimistic after all). I figured we'd get in front of this thing by May at the latest. Feeling worse about it now.
The guess was... if it peters out next Spring, 200 to 500K US fatalities.
My "mental lifeboat" has sprung a leak.

 

[Pixel42]

I made a semi-WAG here 3 months ago and felt bad about it the next day (thought I was being pessimistic after all). I figured we'd get in front of this thing by May at the latest. Feeling worse about it now.
The guess was... if it peters out next Spring, 200 to 500K US fatalities.
My "mental lifeboat" has sprung a leak.

It's certainly worse than it needed to be, especially in the US, but global figures are still only about one ten thousandth of the 60% fatality rate PartSkeptic predicted. Let's hope that continues to look like his biggest miss since he predicted Trump would nuke North Korea in 2018.

 

[abaddon]

It's certainly worse than it needed to be, especially in the US, but global figures are still only about one ten thousandth of the 60% fatality rate PartSkeptic predicted. Let's hope that continues to look like his biggest miss since he predicted Trump would nuke North Korea in 2018.

And that is a problem. Partskeptic has already identified that he is not held to account for the failed predictions.

 

[p0lka]

And that is a problem. Partskeptic has already identified that he is not held to account for the failed predictions.

He predicted several weeks ago he would do a simple test to see if he could tell whether the wifi was off or on...

If he's unable to predict his own behavior, then I don't hold much hope for him being able to predict anything else.

 

[varwoche]

He predicted several weeks ago he would do a simple test to see if he could tell whether the wifi was off or on...

If he's unable to predict his own behavior, then I don't hold much hope for him being able to predict anything else.

Hold on a sec, let's be fair here.

He predicted Trump would win the nomination! Except that prediction was made after Trump was the runaway favorite. He tends to omit that part.

He predicted Trump would win the general! Except that's more or less a coin flip.

After Trump won the election but before inauguration, he predicted that Trump would succeed in becoming POTUS! Yes, you read that right.

These earth shattering predictions came to him via tarot cards.

It's like shooting darts at a board where the bullseye is the size of a tractor wheel. And then bragging about the bullseyes.

 

[abaddon]

Hold on a sec, let's be fair here.

He predicted Trump would win the nomination! Except that prediction was made after Trump was the runaway favorite. He tends to omit that part.

He predicted Trump would win the general! Except that's more or less a coin flip.

After Trump won the election but before inauguration, he predicted that Trump would succeed in becoming POTUS! Yes, you read that right.

These earth shattering predictions came to him via tarot cards.

It's like shooting darts at a board where the bullseye is the size of a tractor wheel. And then bragging about the bullseyes.

Well, that is a problem in itself. In all the nonsense about EMF, the Tarot card kettle of crazy gets swamped. That is, of course, an intentional tactic.

It used to be all about the Tarot, but now, god directly spoke to him and the Tarot matters not a whit.

Right now, we have a dubious meter supplied by a company with a vested interest that does not measure the frequencies at hand.

Ouija boards next, I suppose.