Framing? Yes; when, why, and how.
I don't understand how you could interpret my confused and excessively long essay, which cribbed extensively from Amanda's memoir, as not being exact.
If "framed-up" means the police believed that Amanda was not guilty* and that they committed misconduct to show her as guilty, this only occurred starting on Nov. 5 at the interrogation.
I am aware of no clear police misconduct prior to Nov. 5.
I quoted from Amanda's memoir to attempt to show the indications or barely visible foreshadowing of the police intent. Their motivation for the Nov. 5 date was the anticipated arrival of Amanda's mother on Nov. 6 and the potential that her mom would help Amanda get a lawyer.
IIUC, Grinder believes that the police sincerely but wrongly believed that Amanda was guilty. I do not have evidence to disprove that, and I do not believe that Grinder has evidence to prove it.
And again, this is an argument truly about nothing but words and definitions. And things we can't be sure about due to a lack of reliable information.
There were two types of unlawful behavior committed by the police on Nov. 5/6: procedural and criminal. It is this official misconduct, and similar concrete matters, that would be examined by the ECHR for the calunnia application. Inferences could be made by the ECHR from the misconduct and concrete matters. The extensive questioning of Amanda Nov. 2 through 4, for example, might be viewed as a "softening-up" by the ECHR in preparation for the Nov. 5/6 interrogation. The second calunnia charge against Amanda, for calunnia against the police in her court testimony, may be interpreted as retaliation and an attempt to block an effective investigation of the police for misconduct by the ECHR.
ETA: *To more fully respond, by my imaginary examination of the brains of the police, I have concluded that the left halves believed Amanda was not guilty, but the right halves lacked an honest and genuine belief in her guilt. But this was true in only 50% of the police; in the other 50%, the attributes of the halves were reversed, so that the right halves believed Amanda was not guilty, while the left halves lacked an honest and genuine belief in her guilt. And this can be proven by any other objective imaginary examination by anyone who agrees with me.
ETA2: If not clear, let me state that I believe Giobbi was lying that he thought Amanda was guilty because of her behavior. That was a cover-up for arbitrarily selecting her and Raf and Patrick as the convenient suspects. The evidence: Giobbi's statement that the cat jumped and thus put blood on the light switch. That is not plausible. Thus, Giobbi's other marginally plausible or implausible statements I regard as fabrications.
Numbers, your post #1626 was terrific. I'll try to address a few points you've raised, along with others.
First thing on the highlighted point anything happening before Nov 5.
For one thing, there was the trip to the cottage with Amanda on November 4, where Napoleone asked her to pick out a utensil that could have been used in the murder. As I've argued before, the fact that Stef was able to generate Meredith's profile on the blade from Raf's kitchen knife, suggests she could have done the same with any knife Amanda had picked out.
If you doubt getting Amanda's prints or DNA on a knife wasn't the point of that Nov 4th visit to the cottage, then what reasonable alternative explanation is there for asking Amanda to handle a utensil that "could have been used for the murder"?
If you doubt this is an example of "FRAMING", under any definition, then please answer that question.
SECONDLY - You've reviewed Amanda's book, WTBH. Now add in information from Raf's Book, Honor Bound. Raf says he was warned by a police woman outside the questura, and I believe that is either Nov 3rd or Nov 4th (I think its the 4th), that
"he would need a lawyer for sure".
That's an indication RAF was officially a target of the police at that point in time. By deduction, it means Amanda was a target of the police at that point in time as well, because Raf has no other connection to the case.
THIRDLY - Also from Raf's book - When the knife at Raf's apartment was seized the morning of Nov 6th, Raf writes Officer Finzi selected the knife at random and asked if it was ok, and the senior officer (I forget who) responded, "it will do".
That statement seems unambiguous in representing that the police are selecting the knife as a prop, and do not genuinely believe it is connected with the murder. Moreover, that they have confidence that knife can be useful to the prosecution in some way, either to try to bluff a confession, or that evidence can be manufactured in the lab to create a "murder weapon" finding that will satisfy the courts.
FOURTH - MIgnini arrived at the crime scene at about 2pm, IIRC. Napoleone got there around 1pm (IIRC). When Mignini arrives, he is greeted by Zuagarini and Napoleone when he gets out of the car (its on a video clip I've seen somewhere). He appears to thank Zugarini, by my viewing and recollection.
Guede was known to the police for burglaries in Perugia prior to the kercher murder, as per testimony from Napoleone. Guede was caught in Milan five days before the murder with items from the burglary of the lawyers office in Perugia, in a second story entry with a rock thrown through the window. Also, neat piles of glass on the window sill or lawyers desk, a set of tools laid out neatly (IIRC), the office trashed with files overturned, made himself at home turning up the heat and (IIRC) eating food or drink.
In short, similar characteristics to the Kercher crime scene.
Guede was released from Milan after a phone call with the Perugian authorities, according to a policeman from Milan quoted in an interview (Not sure where, maybe Dempsy, Burleigh, or Graham?).
So the Perugian police knew Guede from Burglaries in Perugia. Knew 5 days before the Kercher crime that he had been arrested in Milan, with another unauthorized entry, while carrying a knife intended according to Guede, "for protection", and in possession of items stolen from the Perugian lawyers office in a 2nd story robbery utilizing a rock through the window.
Steve Moore claims the Perugian police recognized Rudy's "Methodology" at the kercher crime scene, and Judge Nencini actually agreed in his motivation report.
FIFTH - Stephen Bonassi gave a statement to police on Nov 3/4 that they had had a visitor, who they played basketball with, who had left an unflushed turd in the toilet, having fallen asleep on the toilet. From this information (IIUC) the police conducted interviews and were able to adduce Rudy Guede's identity, which they then confirmed by matching his immigration records of his palm print against a bloody palm print from the murder scene.
So the police were looking for 'the baron', by Nov 4th at the latest. This means they were chasing Rudy Guede because of Bonassi's statement,
not Patrick Lumumba.
SIXTH - There were hairs and blood found on Filomena's window, apparently (per Rose M) tested positive for blood, but no DNA typing could be done.
However, the hairs or DNA analysis performed, may have indicated a variety of African heritage.
Although I'm uncertain of this statement, its been reported here that a policeman saying Lumumba's phones were tapped within two days (either November 4, or 8, depending on whether you count two days from Nov 2 or Nov 6th arrest. Nov 4th seems more likely date Lumumba's phones were tapped.
SEVENTH - Mignini had just been indicted for his excesses in the Narducci trail, a transparent effort to insinuate himself into the MOF killings, which he had been pursuing since 2002 (or 2001). His theory was provided by Michele Giuttari, who was indicted along with Mignini. The claims Mignini alleged as sex orgy gone wrong and "rites of Halloween", are virtually identical to Giuttari's descriptions of the use of the female sex organs stolen from the female victims (post mortem) in the MOF killings. Winning a case on similar grounds would be undoubtedly be helpful to Mignini in salvaging his collapsing career.
Further:
Mignini and the Perugians may have felt vulnerable for having (possibly) helped Guede get released from Milan and returned to Perugia. Also vulnerable for not having prosecuted Guede for previous burglaries, which by Napoleone's testimony we know they were aware. Vulnerable because Guede may have been a low level informant, as speculated by Steve Moore and Bill Graham, and acknowledge by Mignini in Graham's article that Guede may have been an informant since his background was of the kind the police would normally use for an informant - a fact Mignini revealed to Graham 4 months after the original Dec 2009 convictions.
And Giobbi capturing a "serious criminal" is better for Giobbi's stature than capturing a minor criminal. Giobbi's attitude from the start was to over interpret "psychological evidence", rather than relying on real evidence.
EIGTH - The question keeps coming back to what the police actually believed, and when. I think the point that they didn't all believe the same thing at the same time, is true.
Paul Ciolno (?) described Mignini as "believing his own lies". So if Mignini is lying, but believes his own lies, then what is the state of his knowledge as to whether Amanda and Raf are actually innocent?
The question assumes a normal rational thought process for Mignini, and I don't think that assumption is justified.
Did the police frame a suspect? The question assumes the police have an ethic to begin with, that they care whether someone is guilty or innocent, not simply whether they can make a case. I think that assumption is also contradicted by the experts Rinaldi, Stefanoni, the postal police who destroyed the computers, the pathologist who said it had to be a multiple perps assault, and the judges who refused to allow and require full and fair discovery.
Was there framing? I think this is a cultural question that doesn't translate. There is an inherent corruption in Italian police culture that is not compatible with modern western democratic society expectations.
My answer Anglo: Yes there was framing. At first to sort out who would be framed, which took from Nov 2 and 3 at the latest. They had Bonassi's ID of Guede leaving a turd ion the toilet on Nov 3, they must have noticed the similarity of the unflushed turd at that point.
The only explanation is Mignini wanted Amanda, and he wanted her because he needed a girl for his orgy fantasy, to save his career. He knew this on day one. And he also knew on Day one that no matter what, it couldn't be 'poor Rudy'.
Best I can do. My suggestion is take the points one at a time, or any response will bloat beyond comprehension, such as we have never seen or heard before in our lives. (emoticon free post).