Outgoing energy flux is a function of temperature. It doesn’t increase until temperature rises.
I'm going to reply in very small chunks -perhaps not as small as needed- because it seems that the moment I depict the picture as a whole most of it is ignored and crumbs of it are taken into wild stretches, sometimes with extremely bad faith.
What you say is partially true -I'm not going into details, including what is lacking there to complete the picture nor when those parts are not 100% true- but there are elements to test it if it stands alone and most importantly, if it suffices to describe some phenomena:
The daily high temperature at every point usually happens -unless quickly changing local weather conditions command otherwise- after local noon -forget the time zone-, generally one hour, hour and a half or so in dry places with surfaces with high albedo, later, depending on the humidity at different pressure levels, and a little bit depending on albedo tending to 0 and special conditions of the ground. In downtown Big Dumb Metropolis, with all the dry artificial rocky and corrugated land, you may experience the date's high even at 5 p.m. if the area is wet enough. But whatever the situation temperatures start to drop and continue to drop through a very important geographic and climatological feature called "night" until the date's low temperature is reached some time before or a little after sunrise.
There are in this a lot of variations: air streams transport energy gotten elsewhere so you have other typical patterns for coastal locations or places with usual strong wind conditions. We could discuss all the details elsewhere.
The
important bit in this is showing that energy gained is energy to be lost almost completely -about half the days you lose more energy than that you get from the Sun and airstreams- not only in a 24 hour cycle but in a shorter cycle. Your statement "Outgoing energy flux is a function of temperature. It doesn’t increase until temperature rises" is completed by "and it doesn't decrease until temperature falls". The first part is valid, for Suchaplaceville on March 22nd, from 6 a.m to 3 p.m, and the second part is valid from 3 p.m to 6 a.m, next morning.
The planet as a whole, with its different regions and time zones, averages a temperature that changes a little bit mostly because of the sum of all weather conditions around the whole globe. For instance, for the last 10 days of last June, these are the average 2-m temperatures of the whole planet:
jun-21|15.897°C
jun-22|15.966°C
jun-23|15.970°C
jun-24|15.931°C
jun-25|15.853°C
jun-26|15.843°C
jun-27|15.870°C
jun-28|15.876°C
jun-29|15.855°C
jun-30|15.852°C
An interesting period to watch as TSI is dropping very gently those days towards its yearly minimum on July 3rd, 4th, 5th or 6th depending on minuscule variations usually depicted as TSI@1UA, while the distribution of that solar radiation also changes gently because we are so close to the solstice.
Anyone interested can do the math and take the maximum daily change of 0.078°C and apply it to the atmosphere, the first metre of soils and the first 15 metres of ocean and compare it with the daily energy budget of the planet. I promise your conclusion will be amazing. If any of you would like to do it but you are no sure about how, don't hesitate in asking here. Not the exact value but an order of magnitude is what we'd need to get.
Globally, the oceans moderate any rise in temperature and therefore must warm up before outgoing IR flux can increase.
Intuition tells you this, and you are not wrong for doing that, but take a look to
the map of outgoing longwave radiation for yesterday (the beauty of this is you can do it any day you read this post) and tell me if you can spot any recognizable boundary between oceans and dry land radiating back into space. We can discuss later the differences between OLR top of the atmosphere, OLR surface level or even OLR p
rad level, say 660 hPa, for instance . I left to the reader the task of identifying which OLR is depicted in all the figures in
this NOAA's Earth System Research Laboratory Physical Science Division webpage.
I got a few hundred figures to illustrate this and many related subjects, but there are situations regarding that: some are quick dirty plots made in a rush as part of our analysis, some are good but are old and/or made by students of mine or even students of other professors some time ago, so I would have to track former students and ask their permission or draw figures from scratch myself. That is not going to happen, at least, not a the pace explanations require.
Lomiller, I'll continue replying your last post and part of a previous post of yours as time allows me.