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Worlds Largest Virus Party?

CaptainHowdy said:
If the China Virus was anything close to what we were promised, they should all be dead in fourteen days.
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Really ? :confused:

Firstly, it's not the "China Virus", that's a lazy racist term, it's Covid-19.

Secondly, AFAIK there has been no suggestion that the fatality rate from Covid-19 is 100% or anything close to it, nor that 100% of people who are exposed to it will catch it.

Thirdly, it's not clear how long the the incubation period is - up to 14 days seems to be the current best guess - but even then the disease can take weeks to kill its victims.

What can be reasonably expected is hundreds of new Covid-19 cases as a result with non-zero fatalities
 
The Don said:
Really ? :confused:

Firstly, it's not the "China Virus", that's a lazy racist term, it's Covid-19.

Secondly, AFAIK there has been no suggestion that the fatality rate from Covid-19 is 100% or anything close to it, nor that 100% of people who are exposed to it will catch it.

Thirdly, it's not clear how long the the incubation period is - up to 14 days seems to be the current best guess - but even then the disease can take weeks to kill its victims.

What can be reasonably expected is hundreds of new Covid-19 cases as a result with non-zero fatalities
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For example,

In the UK, the excess deaths during the first peak (April & May) is about 0.1% of the population - you can get the official data here:

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...nalfiguresondeathsregisteredinenglandandwales

and do your own maths to confirm.

There are about 58-million people in England & Wales

The latest sereological survey suggests that this was with 6% infected.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...-population-may-have-had-covid-study-suggests


Which would suggest an IFR of about 1.6%
 
Another example is the Faroe Islands (scroll down!): So far, 362 cases, no deaths. 137 active cases from a very recent outbreak, 900+ in quarantine, but no current hospitalizations.

ETA: Number of tests: 65,948; population: 48,885!!! :) There is probably no other place in the world where the number of registered cases is as close to the number of actual cases.
 
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Virus parties have been taking place for months where have you been?

30365692-8488409-image-a-108_1593809688804.jpg


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Loser criminals in Portland have one practically every night:

https://www.yahoo.com/news/portlands-violent-unrest-almost-endless-021952914.html

Stay tuned, from what I hear Chicago is having a huge virus party tonight, even bigger than the shootings and lootings that took place the other day and last month. No surprise really, that's the norm for Democrat run cities.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PFSXnbjHf0U
 
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Picture's too small to tell if anyone's wearing masks, but I do see a lot of empty spaces. Are they criminals, or is that out of your ass?
 
Silly Green Monkey said:
Picture's too small to tell if anyone's wearing masks, but I do see a lot of empty spaces. Are they criminals, or is that out of your ass?
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There's a fricking t-rex coming at them from the bottom of the photo, I doubt a virus is even close to the biggest concern they had at that moment!

eta: and the t-rex seems to be wearing a mask!
 
nelsondogg said:
I'd give them a year... If Trump gets reelected he might bail them out, if not they're screwed. They were in trouble before covid as young people weren't buying their bikes.
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Now that the Stars & Bars is no longer acceptable in general society, the loud obnoxious Harley takes top spot for deluded losers who want to portray themselves as "rebels". It's destined to be a relic of a fringe culture.
 
CaptainHowdy said:
If the China Virus was anything close to what we were promised, they should all be dead in fourteen days.
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Have you considered visiting the Real World something? It'll be a nice change from Trumpette Fantasy Land.
 
FreshHat said:
Now that the Stars & Bars is no longer acceptable in general society, the loud obnoxious Harley takes top spot for deluded losers who want to portray themselves as "rebels". It's destined to be a relic of a fringe culture.
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You write as if this is something new. Stripped down Harleys have been a symbol of rebelliousness for a long, long time.
 
Blue Mountain said:
...

As others have mentioned, in a couple of years there could be a lot of used motorcycles for sale. I wonder if next year's rally, if it happens, will be noticeably smaller?
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I don't know the expected attendance this year. I only found "up to 700,000". So lets use 500,000. Death rate, 1/2%? Maybe 2,500 deaths? They made 240,000 Harleys in 2017 alone. Maybe 300,000 at Sturgis? Millions all over the country?

I doubt 2,500 extra will effect the price of Harleys,
 
casebro said:
I don't know the expected attendance this year. I only found "up to 700,000". So lets use 500,000. Death rate, 1/2%? Maybe 2,500 deaths? They made 240,000 Harleys in 2017 alone. Maybe 300,000 at Sturgis? Millions all over the country?



I doubt 2,500 extra will effect the price of Harleys,
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I think ~250,000 is the norm and they're just about there this year. 200k sounds about right for a safe guess.
But they're just about ALL in higher risk categories.I won't be surprised if 10% of them don't see Christmas.
 
Jim_MDP said:
I think ~250,000 is the norm and they're just about there this year. 200k sounds about right for a safe guess.
But they're just about ALL in higher risk categories.I won't be surprised if 10% of them don't see Christmas.
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I would be surprised if it was anything near that level.

There will almost certainly be new outbreaks as a consequence, but most attendees are likely to get away without catching anything.

We have some figures from the UK.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/global-...orting-events-may-have-led-coronavirus-death/

You are talking about several thousand additional cases, and several score - maybe several hundred additional deaths


But of course each of those additional *cases* will have a chance of creating a chain of infections and depending on the r-number in the location where the return, they could be responsible for additional deaths.

So still a really bad idea.
 
Fidelio said:
Well other than the plague...didn't EA Poe do a thing?
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Ironically, in Poe's tale, all the celebrants were masked.

As others have mentioned, there's nothing particularly dangerous about the outdoor crowds. If this event were like Woodstock the risk would be minimal. It's the restaurants, bars, and wherever all those people are sleeping (I doubt they all brought tents, or were able to book safely run hotel rooms) that are putting them at risk.
 
Jim_MDP said:
I think ~250,000 is the norm and they're just about there this year. 200k sounds about right for a safe guess.
But they're just about ALL in higher risk categories.I won't be surprised if 10% of them don't see Christmas.
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Those risk factors are bogus.

If half the population is obese, and half the Covid patients are obese, then obesity is not a risk factor.

The one risk factor that I know of is living or working or commuting in close quarters. Were meat packers obese? How about cruisers? (plug any supposed risk factor in instead of obesity)

Health condition making it worse? Higher death rate? Sure, and it holds for flu, cancer,....

But NOT for catching the disease to begin, or spread, a pandemic.
 
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