And we should take your word for that ---- because ?
I don't suggest you take my word - that's why I supplied links. Do your own research.
No, a reasonable expectation would be this year as promised; not another year ..
the June 2008 press release said:
The new technology could be on the UK market as early as 2009.
"As promised"?
You clearly have no knowledge of the process (and the challenges, pitfalls
and delays) in bringing scientific innovations to the marketplace. I'd say this one has gone impressively quickly from the first press release to a working prototype and a major commercial partnership.
My analogy to Steorn is that they spend their time researching and raising funds through publicity for fanatasical claims
That's wrong in every possible way.
Professor Burkinshaw and his department spend their time teaching, researching, and publishing scientific papers. The funds for further development of the Xeros process (which are completely separate from other research and teaching funding) are not raised through 'publicity', but through establishing the science (in peer-reviewed publications) and the technological potential (by prototypes and demonstrations). Also, the basic claim is not in any way 'fantastical'.
Matty1973, you have to take press releases from any University about scientific research (and probably any other sort) with a pinch of salt. I have found the following rule of thumb useful over the years: unless a claim is in quotes, with a researcher's name attached to it, it doesn't come from the research team - it's an oversimplification, gross exaggeration or misunderstanding, by the press office. I wish this were not the case, but you get used to it in time - it's just like reading or watching adverts and extracting the nuggets of information from the dross.
I'm not suggesting the press release includes downright lies, but you can imagine the brief telephone interview with Prof Burkinshaw:
Reporter: So you're saying that your invention will lead to a new kind of washing machine that uses much less water?
Prof: Sort of - the way it works is {scientific explanation that doesn't make it into the press release}
Rep: Ah, a good angle. What would you say is the least amount of water it will need if everything works according to theory?
Prof: Well, theoretically the amount of water needed to wet the fabric wouldn't be much more than a cup or so. Of course, we couldn't get anywhere near that in practice, because {more scientific explanation that doesn't make it into the press release}
What somewhat got up my nose (and please excuse me for being a bit snippy in my previous post) was your assumption that you could meaningfully relate a prestigious University department, and a researcher with expertise, international academic recognition and many peer-reviewed publications, to the Steorn frauds.
I doubt it's Prof Burkinshaw's fault that his process is being promoted with sloppy journalism and a rather imaginative claim (though I'm not too keen on the Xeros website - it's a bit too slick, and lacking in detailed science, for my taste). In Steorn's case, though, the problem isn't with publicity, reporting or misrepresentation (by a third party), it's that the 'process' itself has no basis in fact.
(btw, I could find nothing in this latest round of media reports to suggest that anyone had bothered to contact either the University research team, Cambridge Consultants or GreenEarth for information, rather than simply cloning the press releases - that's 'science journalists' for you.)
Let's have a look at your supposedly similar cases:
| |
Steorn free energy technology
| |
Xeros cleaning process
Company
| | Steorn: a former dot.com business | | University of Leeds:
Russell Group
University; Textile Department (in the Institute for Materials Research): long-established (1887) and internationally-recognised centre of innovation and excellence in textile technology
Track record and expertise of 'inventor' in relevant scientific field
| | Sean McCarthy, CEO Steorn: none | | Prof Burkinshaw, Head of Textile Chemistry: leading academic in the field, numerous relevant publications, previous commercialised innovations
Plausibility of 'invention'
| | Proven to violate laws of physics | | Doesn't violate any scientific principles; related to existing consumer technology (e.g. colour-catchers)
Motive for pulling scam that's certain to be exposed within a year or two
| | Short-term financial gain; publicity stunt to build up their business, perhaps as marketers of 'unusual' technology; (also possible they're all bonkers) | | Can't think of any
Reason for not pulling this scam
| | Might not work | | Public disgrace for individuals and institutions, possible prosecutions and sackings
Progress of 'product'
| | None - no successful demonstrations, no commercial interest from industry (all funding from individual backers of 'exotic' ventures)| | Backed by technology-transfer experts
IP Group
; partnered with
Cambridge Consultants
to produce successful prototype; commercial partnership with dry-cleaning licensors
GreenEarth
Now, don't you think your analogy was just a wee bit fanciful?
Several posters in this thread don't seem to understand what technological innovation is about. You take risks. You very often begin with an idea that seems 'fanciful', and it may turn out that it actually is fanciful - so you write off the loss and go onto the next idea.
Critical thinking isn't about being equally 'skeptical' of all unusual claims - that's just a mirror-image of the lack of judgement that causes 'woos' and cranks to embrace pseudoscientific nonsense. I think that anyone claiming the title 'skeptic' is taking on some responsibilities - including doing some research before rubbishing any novel technological claim that doesn't obviously violate any scientific principles.