Beerina
Sarcastic Conqueror of Notions
- Joined
- Mar 3, 2004
- Messages
- 34,347
Well it is based on some shaky assumptions. One for instance is that intelligent life will create civilizations. And that advanced civilizations will use radio.
I don't know if that's a shakey assumption. The same claim was made about a civilization being expansionist. It was quickly pointed out that the one and only civilization we actually know of was, in fact, expansionist.
The same would apply to civilization and radio. While some might not, that we do surely indicates it's a definite non-trivial possibility, if not probability.
More likely, the temporal "radio window", during which a civilization uses EM spectrum may only be a few hundred years, then they turn to something much better. So at any given moment, there won't be much EM floating around that's non-natural and detectable. When we say "not detectable", we mean "not detectable within a few hundred to few thousand light years, at best." That's a far, far, far cry from pretending we're scanning the entire universe, all 400 billion galaxies of 100 billion stars each.
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