What evidence is there for evolution being non-random?

Why am I supposed to act like this doesn't resemble a witch hunt?

I'm sure if I were to speak my mind in honest intellectual discussion at various points in history I would have been called a heretic, a witch, an anarchist, a godless communist, and I'm sure some people today would say I have a bit of terrorist in me. I never thought I'd be called a creationist at all, and I never imagined that someone could think of creationists as being in some way heretical. As if creationists were somehow unsaveable, that their only allegiance is to a false god, and that they only go away when they die, that they are slaves of some creeping malevolent force. The whole thing is kind of too strange to take seriously. I never thought I'd see a day when the average atheist fears god more than the average Christian.

Even if I called Articulett the Grand Inquisitor, it wouldn't be with a tenth of the enmity with which she calls me a creationist.

As for Galileo:
Among the great men who have philosophized about [the action
of the tides], the one who surprised me most is Kepler. He
was a person of independent genius, [but he] became interested
in the action of the moon on the water, and in other occult
phenomena, and similar childishness.
Galileo, 1632

I acknowledge that Galileo may have been wrong about many things and still think very highly of him. Can you do the same for Dawkins?

Um...I think you called me a witch. And I'm the only one calling you a creationist, so how can it be a witch hunt or conspiracy or whatever. Yes, yes...I'm sure if we all spoke our minds at various times in history, we'd all be considered heretics. And exactly how are you measuring my enmity? --The same way you measure Dawkins inability to convey an idea while never having read anything he wrote?

Sure, I can acknowledge that Galileo and Dawkins can be wrong and still be people who brought great knowledge to the world in their respective fields. Galileo was right. And ever increasing evidence shows that the same is true for Dawkins. It is the creationists who speak with enmity for Dawkins and all those who understand evolution including their own (Francis Collins) while playing the persecuted god-fearing martyr.

BTW, you are confused yet again. Atheists don't fear god--just the crazy nuts who use faith and feelings to arrive at "the truth". It's hard to reason with faith--just like it's hard to reason with you. In the world of ther rational, we use facts and evidence to support our claims. Got any?

Oh, and as for creationists being unsaveable--it's just something I call articulett's theorem. The older the guy and the longer he's been a creationist the lesser the likelihood of him being able to grasp evolution--particularly the part that helps him keep his "intelligent designer" alive in his head. This is truly a well-known phenomena --on this board and amongst biologists and all those who help make science understandable for the masses. Everyone thinks that "it's just so simple...here, I know I can explain it to them..." but it's always like Kleinman and Behe and you. They just can't hear it. Young kids just cannot obfuscate the way old creationists can. They sort of can't help but get it--if they are halfway intelligent. Natural Selection is more intuitive than Galileo's theory that's for sure.

You can speak your mind all you want. It just helps to have a goal when communicating. And a clue. (And not sound like such a whiner.) Don't be dishing out nastiness, if you can't take it, honey. Hey, click on my link--it could be describing you...
 
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Evolution does not proceed by "random chance". Evolution proceeds because some organisms get parts of their genome copied and inserted into vectors before they die, though the majority do not. The organisms that pass on DNA are entirely selected by the environment they find themselves in. All life is the result of an unbroken chain of success when it comes to this blind process (the copying of DNA into the future and the building and honing of such DNA)--

Calling this "random chance" or a "stochastic process" is not only misleading--it takes away the beauty of one of the coolest things humans have the privilege of knowing IMO.
It isn't misleading, in fact it is accurate and to say it is non-random as some do is misleading. Don't leave it out because you can't explain "random" to people.
"Why would anyone who knows better leave out this detail by using ambiguous wording? I truly feel bad when people are not able to comprehend this stunningly simple and true bit of knowledge. It is so satisfyingly explanatory, that religious banalities and New Age claptrap are murky and pale in comparison.
I have no idea what "this" you are refering to is.
I don't care what words you use, but if you actually understand evolution, please don't leave out the way natural selection ratchets up the complexity and prunes it through the eons.
If you don't care about what word I use, why do you object so vehemently.

And natural selection does not rachet up complexity. A point you seem to miss. Mutation increases complexity, and selection decides what results, complex and simple, continue. Remember, with only selection we'd all still be bacteria. Until you realise that mutation is the agent of increasing complexity you don't understand evolution.
And Walter, I'm not advocating random or non-random...just answering the question in the first post. Remember, I and others have said, "random mutation coupled with natural selection", and so far nobody seems to have come up with anything better. Maybe you are speaking engineer, but I just never see your point. I know you aren't a creationist, but you just seem like kleinman--tangential and unaware of where the conversation is headed or unclear on what your point is. You seem to think I care whether evolution is defined as a "random" vs. "non-random" process. I think both are inanely uninformative. But the question was about the non-random parts, remember?
If you established in some way that natural selection was non-random, I'd go with it. When population are small, variation in natural selection (i.e. more fit animals being more likely, not guaranteed to reproduce) the results will have large potential variation. With each generation being a product of the last that variation will affect future generations greatly. So you have even established that natural selection is not random. It may be effectively non-random during periods where you have large populations, 6 billion people on the planet, unlikely that one of the "fitter" genes in the population is going to die out.

I have discussed small populations previously. With a large population that has many individuals established with some "fit" trait the odds of that trait not making it to the next generation are zero. But what about in a small population, what about a recent mutation?

You still haven't even established that natural selection is non-random, so discusing a non-random part is wrong.
You seem to think my definition of "random" is to narrow, but it's the one that most people seem to use in biology--but it's been said by me and others that there are so many definition that it's rather a useless word--or at least everyone in the conversation ought to agree to what it means...and random as it applies to mutation is not the same as random as it applies to evolution.
The definition you used (equal probabilities) is not the one used by most people. People call the sum of two dice random, they refer to trying to roll a 3 or higher on one die random. Heck, they refer to the bounce of a ball on an uneven field as random.
So what is mijo's definition of random? And yours? Is it the "lay persons" definition or a technical one? How does your definition clear up creationist conundrum #4?
I have mentioned one definition, the one you use exclusively, as one that doesn't apply. I have mentioned several that do:
- the technical one
- having many significantly different results for the same start conditions
- unpredictable

The vast majority of processes people call random, are not equally probable. You refer to random mutation, but that is not equally probable either. Your own definition is inconsistent with how you use the word. Nucleotide substitution for example has a different likelihood than addition or deletions. Mutations where large sequences or even whole chromosomes are added or deleted have a different probability still.
Or do you just not think it matters and somehow you have found the secret and special way to convey natural selection with the word random or stochastic? I just don't understand your point ever...
I think evolution should be taught honestly, instead of choosing language to thwart creationists (they will adapt their "arguments" to whatever you say). It may be more challenging, but doing so will give your students a better understanding of evolution. Also your students won't be left mystified when they realise they are using words like random in an inconsistent manner. "Ah, evolution is non-random because it doesn't have equal probabilities for the various outcomes; but mutation is random, particle position/movement in a gas is random, blackjack is random, movement in Monopoly is random ... even though none of them exhibit uniform probabilities."

Can you face that question?

Are you trying to say that mijo's definition sounds better than Dawkins definition and that people would understand it better? Or maybe you think that you've defined it well? Or maybe you think saying "evolution is random" says everything that needs to be said on the topic.
If I thought that was all that need to be said, I would have left after three words. As for Dawkins definition, his explaination is good, better than mine ever would be. However, he errs when he says it is "non-random". It is inconsistent with his own explaination of it.
Maybe you think the answer to the question is "there is no good reason to call natural selection "the opposite of random"? What's your point, I guess.
No good reason to call natural selection "the opposite of random", and a very good reason to avoid calling natural selection "the opposite of random". Essentially because it hasn't been shown by his explainations that it is the opposite of random. What is wore is that some people imply that this means that evolution is therefore not random.
Or is your ego just bruised because I think you've been taken in by a creationist... or there are some qualities in your dialogue that remind me of them. Look, it could just be the engineer mind thing--I know several of them, and they really do speak a different language. I think that's why engineers don't write popular science books. They don't have the same give and take in a conversation--an autistic leaning--conversational blindness...I guess that's how I perceive you. I never knowhow to answer you, because I can't tell where you are coming from and where you are going. I worked with autistic kids before, and they would talk on and on about their pet interests with nary a care as to whether someone actually was listening or not.
No bruising, I am simply surprised that explaination in things as simple as die rolls you don't still believe that lay people equate random exclusively with things with equal probabilities, or not being dependent on the past. I have explained such things to lay people before, and they realise as soon as it is pointed out that there definition of random as they use it includes things with prefered outcomes or things dependent on the past. Some already knew, some immediately realised the definition they recite from rote is erroneous, or at least at odds with how they use the word.

I had assumed since you taught the subject, and used words like stochastic and that you understood the subjects somewhat. Had I known I might have taken a tack more inline with your level of understanding. (Hey look, I can be passive aggressive too :D)
But you do that weird thing where you pretend you've won some point or conversation because someone didn't respond. You have to admit, that's a very creationist thing to do. They find victories when their befuddled responses lead them to declare the great scientists are at a loss for words.
I did not pretend I won a point, but that you seemed not to understand what claimed to be talking about. There is a difference. I don't think my argument was made any stronger or weaker because of the nature of responses. I think that your repeated responses of the same nature.

Other very creationist things to do in addition to not address people arguments directly: grossly mischaracterize the argument of another in order to come to some ficticious ridiculous conclusion (mijo's ideal gasseatbelt law), attempt to associate those who disagree with you a distrusted party (creationist, oops I doing that now), ... shall I go on.
I think we can agree, that when it comes to evolution--the facts are the same for everyone. There are simply more or less clear ways of describing it or characterizing it. I think mijo has one of the least clear ways of ever seen. I've never heard you sum it up... I'm sure others will speak up if they find you or his or someone else's description more clear-- or if they feel that you or mijo or someone else helped them see the answer to the question in the OP.
I have yet to hear a good short summary. Your "random mutation coupled with natural selection" mentions but does not define the roll of each in evolution. Most people I know can get that far. However, you describe natural selection as "racheting up complexity" which is simply wrong. So does your simple explaination lead to an understanding of it.
I think there is tremendous evidence that people find Dawkins and the Talk Origins and the Berkeley site very good and clear on the subject. They truly are responsible for educating millions.
They are very clear on many parts of the subject, they are even willing to talk about things in terms likelihood, chance, probabability. But for some reason they refuse to go another step, and instead cloud their great explainations by insisting on calling evolution non-random. As far as I can tell they do this only to pander to some misguided argument that the creationists put forward.
For some reason I just find it very entertaining. I love when blustery people get all aflutter. Why get your panties in a bunch.
That is highly entertaining considering how you have reacted. Calling opponents creationists, likening them to creationist when that didn't work, calling them arrogant when at the same time you insist that your argument is so clear that anybody should be convinced. Your knickers betray you.
We are just talking about the clearest way to describe evolution, right? Or the "non-random" aspects of evolution so that we can clear up the common creationist conundrum.
Not just for creationists. I am as, or more, concerned about those who are just learning about it. In any event, I believe any creationist who might be "ripe-for-the-picking" so to speak will be better swayed by an explaination that isn't framed in a way that appears to be shying away from a statement simply because creationist may use the statement against them. Such tactics tend to make one appear in a weak position. We shouldn't have to do that as we are in a very strong position in this argument.
Right? I have no emotional investment in being the "winner" in describing evolution or describing how it's non-random. There have been many who came before and all those quoted sites do it so much better than I do. I'm just telling mijo that his definition doesn't convey the ratcheting effect of natural selection. And I thought I'd answer his question or point him in the direction of answers lest someone with actual curiosity come by and hope to get an actual answer to the question asked. :)
Ditto.
To me, mijo's explanation is on par with the seatbelt example. The same words even. The problem with the seat belt example is the same with mijo's example. Random components do not make the whole process random. If that is the case, then all processes are random and thus the term is useless.
I've addressed this.
 
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Incorrect. The "85 years of research" you cited is only about stochastic processes in regards to mutation, allele sorting, and recombination. None of it is in reference to natural selection. No one in the biological sciences and nobody in any scientific paper refers to natural selection or evolution itself as a random process or a stochastic process. This is why we say "random mutation coupled with natural selection" when describing evolution. In this context, selection is the elimination round in the contenders amongst the random mutations. Life does not evolve any more "randomly" than technology does.

So simple. Unless you are a creationist.

You should refrain from making such blatantly false statement. Plenty of scientists have described evolution as a stochastic process. In fact they have described when and why evolution is a stochastic process.

Rodrigo (1999) said:
The notion that viral evolution is a stochastic process may explain, for instance, why some individuals take longer than others to develop resistance to identical antiretroviral drugs (12) or why it is frequently difficult to detect the effect of selection in regions of the HIV genome that one expects to be under heavy selection pressure (13). Although the effective sizes of natural populations are typically lower than their census sizes, the difference between an estimated HIV Ne of 103 and the HIV census population size in vivo of 107–108 is large enough to be perplexing.

Rouzine and Coffin begin by trying to determine whether HIV evolves as one would expect if the population were large (i.e., deterministically) or small (i.e., stochastically). They note that, because population size is a continuous variable, whether the genetic variation of a population is molded stochastically or deterministically also exists on a continuum. This continuum is segmented: when the population size is less than 1/s, where s is the relative difference in reproductive potential between a mutant and a wild type caused by selection, fixation and loss are caused largely by sampling; when the population size exceeds 1/µ, where µ is the mutation rate, the population can be modeled as though it were infinitely large. When 1/s < Ne < 1/µ, both stochastic and deterministic effects act on the population to a greater or lesser extent depending on whether Ne is closer to one or the other boundary. (With selectively neutral variants, the lower boundary does not exist, and the population is effectively stochastic below 1/µ and deterministic above.) Rouzine and Coffin define a simple yet cunning test that determines where the HIV population sits on this continuum. Their test is based on the following argument. Consider any two sites that sit close to each other on the genome, each site having two variants. For convenience, we shall refer to the selectively advantageous variants at both sites as A and B and the selectively disadvantageous variants as a and b, and we assume that the selective effects across sites are additive. In a large steady-state population (and consequently, under a deterministic regime), mutation will generate haplotypes of the form Ab, aB, and AB, each of which is more fit than ab. Although the population moves inexorably to a fixation of AB, for a large part of the time, all four haplotypes are present in sufficient numbers to be detectable if a sample of sequences is obtained (see simulation results in figure 4 of ref. 5).

What happens when the population size sits somewhere between 1/s and 1/µ? Still confining the discussion to only those sites at which two variants exist, Rouzine and Coffin argue that one of two scenarios must have happened. First, two haplotypes, Ab and aB, are generated by chance; the probability of generating the double-mutant AB is very small when Ne ≪ 1/µ. Both of these haplotypes increase in number until they pass a critical threshold of 1/s (see simulations shown in figure 3a of ref. 5), beyond which their increase in frequency can be predicted deterministically. These haplotypes displace ab from the population and are present in equal proportions until such time that a mutation arises in either Ab or aB that produces AB; note that AB must still cross 1/s before it, too, can increase deterministically. In this scenario, the probability of seeing all four haplotypes in any sample of sequences is very small, because AB is unlikely to appear before ab has been removed from the population. In a second scenario, either Ab or aB is produced first, passes the 1/s threshold, and acquires a second mutation, AB, which also increases beyond 1/s. As with the first scenario, the likelihood of seeing all four haplotypes simultaneously in a sample of sequences is low. Consequently, Rouzine and Coffin argue, if one does indeed see all four haplotypes, one can be reasonably certain that the population is large enough that stochastic effects minimally influence the evolution of the virus.

This is echoed in the review that I cited:

Blythe and McKane (2007) said:
In this instance, small means s ≪ 1, and not relative to 1/N. Hence, if at some fixed s one has the (effective) population size N ≫ 1/s, the effects of drift can typically be neglected.

In essence, the debate that we have been having is sort of silly. The individual events in evolution (i.e., births and death) are stochastic in the sense that they are based on probabilities imparted to the individual by the fitness of their genes. However, when the population is "large enough" (as defined in the passages above), sum total of all the stochastic events approach a deterministic process.
 
<snip>
Look, it could just be the engineer mind thing--I know several of them, and they really do speak a different language. I think that's why engineers don't write popular science books. They don't have the same give and take in a conversation--an autistic leaning--conversational blindness...I guess that's how I perceive you. I never knowhow to answer you, because I can't tell where you are coming from and where you are going. I worked with autistic kids before, and they would talk on and on about their pet interests with nary a care as to whether someone actually was listening or not.

LOL! :D
 
From a review of Michael Behe's new book:

"Furthermore, he repeatedly refers to the shortcomings of 'Darwin's theory-the power of natural selection coupled to random mutation,' "

It seems that Behe got the memo about selection being non-random, and yet it didn't change his thinking one bit. You'll see the same thing in lots of writing at the Discovery Institute. All the cool creationists/IDists all make sure to say "random mutation and natural selection" these days. Behe apparently even inverts it to make sure that there's no mistake that "random" might be modifying "natural selection" as well as "mutation".

It's almost as if Dawkins, in the four pages of "The God Delusion" he devotes to the topic, was addressing the wrong problem.
 
Here's an experiment: Try typing "random mutation and natural selection" into google.

Most of the top hits are either creationist sites, or references to creationist arguments.
 
The Natural Selection and the Evolution did not appear simply at random. All it is consequence of the Lex Vitae, the Universal Law of the Life. In last instance the life would evolve to such degree that some species would conquer the last level in the Evolution; Creative Intelligence.

The survival necessity allowed us to reach the last level in the Evolution; the Creative Intelligence is a gift of the Nature...

In other words, if the Dinosaurs were not extinct, one of the species would evolve until conquering the level of creative intelligence.

This process is repeated indefinitely in the entire Universe...

My Words in:
http://lexuniversalis.blogspot.com/2007/05/natural-selection-evolution-and.html

The intention of the Law of the Life is to Create more Life, this Universal Truth estimates the existence of the Life like something natural [for the eclectic ones; divine]

Nevertheless to continue with the Creation it only can be work of intelligent beings, beings who are able to assimilate the magnitude of this miracle and to preserve the life of all the living beings.

Our intelligence was the strategy more ingenious than it found the Nature to preserve the Miracle of the Life. If we acted against the Law of the Life we will be acting against the same Life and will be condemning us to our own extinction, nevertheless, when acting to favor, we will be deserving to call Intelligent Beings to us...


A little anthrocentric eh, make sure that you put intelligence such a vague and fuzzy critter at the top of the scale, that is why the LexVitae wrote so much about insects hmmmmm
 
Whiteyonthemoon said:
Why am I supposed to act like this doesn't resemble a witch hunt?

I'm sure if I were to speak my mind in honest intellectual discussion at various points in history I would have been called a heretic, a witch, an anarchist, a godless communist, and I'm sure some people today would say I have a bit of terrorist in me. I never thought I'd be called a creationist at all, and I never imagined that someone could think of creationists as being in some way heretical. As if creationists were somehow unsaveable, that their only allegiance is to a false god, and that they only go away when they die, that they are slaves of some creeping malevolent force. The whole thing is kind of too strange to take seriously. I never thought I'd see a day when the average atheist fears god more than the average Christian.

Even if I called Articulett the Grand Inquisitor, it wouldn't be with a tenth of the enmity with which she calls me a creationist.
This is all very lovely, but the fact remains that you said:
Articulett, few times on this page you have advocated death for people who have an ideology different than yours (you think, with or without evidence). Your profile says that you live in Las Vegas, but, can I ask, is that by way of Salem?
Would you like to justify this statement or retract it?

~~ Paul
 
Why am I supposed to act like this doesn't resemble a witch hunt?

?


Because this is the JREF, where a single word can become a huge derail and the off topic conversations are more substantial than the on topic conversation.

Because this isn't a system of people exploiting political power, do you just throw around the term witch hunt all the time?

Let us set the way back machine to the Enlightment Sherman.

Here we have powerful Xian men using the laws of the church to persecute women, some who own property. We also have the killing of people who support women in power. All by people like Isaac Newton who claim to use rational thought.

Perhaps there is politics involved.

Now lets us move forward to the McCarthy era shall we Sherman.

Here we have a political figure who is trying to ferret out alleged communists in an effort to whip up hysteria and convince his electorate that he is doing something about it, all to further his power and keep getting votes. He is also persecuting minorities.

Let’s set the Wayback machine to 1930s Russia shall we Sherman:

Here we have Stalin, trying to consolidate his power through the use of terror, isolation and killing the opposition.

Now lets us move to the early 1980s Sherman and watch some religious programming shall we:

Here we have Gary Greenwald on the Eagle's Nest saying that Care Bears (TM) are demonic and that Rainbow Bright(TM) after saying that Thundercats(TM) are Ancient Pagan Deities. Over here we have Tammy Faye and her doll Little Suzy, that is just a bit of fun Sherman. Over here is Lester Summerall preaching about the demonic powers in the world. Here he have the Theocrat himself Jerry Falwell, preaching about the decay of western society and urging people to have action.

Now we will shift to protestors marching around 'abortion' clinics, and if we move forward in time here we have them harassing women coming to get a pelvic exam, and here we have someone shooting people and another bombing people.

All to consolidate political power.


Now Sherman, here we have an electronic bulletin board where people like to argue about anything and everything. And here we have one poster who very strongly argues their point of view and lots of vigorous discussion on various topics concerning the theory of natural selection.


One of these things is not like the others, one of these things just doesn't belong, one of these things is not like the others, and can you tell me before I finish my song?
 
Walt...to repeat...most people do not have problems with the word random when it comes to mutation--moreover, I am well aware of how selection has random components. In fact, I imagine if Hitler's mom had hiccuped during sex and the sperm just to the left of the sperm that fertilized the egg fertilized the egg instead, everything about this world would be hugely different. There would be different bad guys and different people would have risen to power and different people would have lived, married, died, become famous, become infamous. The history books would be different and different people would meet and marry and have different lives. Many of us may not even exist. And suppose that sperm to the left had an X chromosome rather than a Y chromosome?

But the fact that much of history hinges on that and a trillion other events just as random as that--does not make history, itself random.

That is a mind game for those who have understood the basics of natural selection. That is a fine detail for people who already understand the basics.
There are many ways to convey the ideas simply. I just haven't heard anyone do it by calling the entire process "random"... to me it seem that those most critical of my descriptions and others descriptions (including Dawkins, Talk Origins, etc.) have offered nothing at all that is better in any way. And that is like creationist too--they make a ruckus about some little problem they have with "evolution" but they never offer any competing explanation, evidence, clarity on the subject, or a better way of understanding more.

And Dancing David--thanks for sticking up for me ;)

I actually got to talk to Dawkins at TAM3 and in by e-mail, and he replied very warmly to a particular detail about evolution and my way of explaining it...moreover, he specifically cautioned me against using the word "random" and "chance" because of how prone the word is to changing definitions mid explanation. I believe I've heard Massimo Pigliucci say the same thing--and his preferred explanation for evolution is "modification with descent"--with the details filled in from there.

I find it astounding that those who never deal with creationists think they know more about creationist reasoning and semantics than those who do. And rest assured even Behe's irreducible complexity hypothesis is about not understanding "natural selection"--just as kleinman's "gene de novo" is. "It looks designed so it must be".

It WAS "designed"--from the bottom up... by the force of natural selection. It's the same way cities evolve, and the internet, and ecosystems, and languages. Calling it "random" because random events are part of the process or because there are "non uniform probabilities" (btw, for whom is that a definition of random other than Walter and mijo?) is useless in regards to getting anyone to understand evolution.

And mijo--your quotes are about the genes and gene frequencies...not the forces that makes life forms carrying those genes more reproductively successful than another. It's about the first part of the definition--"random" mutation! Jeez. "Random mutation coupled with natural selection"--remember?

Some people only make sense to themselves. Is there anyone anywhere in biology that would refer to the natural selection part of evolution as "random" or "stochastic"--or all of evolution--the whole process in it's entirety using just that term as the descriptor? If so, are they successful at getting anyone to actually understand anything and convey that understanding?

And yes meadmaker...creationist know to use the words "random mutation coupled with natural selection"--they just define the natural selection part as random too and then claim creationist conundrum #4. That is what mijo is doing, in fact. You've been conned.
 
btw, for whom is that a definition of random other than Walter and mijo?

How about the editors of The American Heritage Dictionary:

[I]The American Heritage Dictionary[/I] said:
ran·dom (răn'dəm) adj.

  1. Having no specific pattern, purpose, or objective: random movements. See synonyms at chance.
  2. Mathematics & Statistics. Of or relating to a type of circumstance or event that is described by a probability distribution.
  3. Of or relating to an event in which all outcomes are equally likely, as in the testing of a blood sample for the presence of a substance.


idiom:

at random

  1. Without a governing design, method, or purpose; unsystematically: chose a card at random from the deck.
(emphasis in bold red and formatting mine)

Definition 2, the one in bold red is the one that I have always been using. My probabilities have been for a event p and its opposite ~p; what p actually was has, I admit, changed over the course of the discussion from the probability of "surviving and reproducing" to the "passing on genes to the next generation", but the uniform distribution of these probabilities has never been assumed. (While I think that these two formulations are actually identical, I thought it was best to acknowledge that I had at least changed wordings.)

None I think that it is interesting that the response to the posting of this definition was:

Oh my gosh--well good luck trying to get anyone to understand that definition.

Of or relating to a probability distribution means a particular probability distribution doesn't it? --that is that all outcomes are equally likely though uniformity is unlikely (which random number generators aim to do). And doesn't that definition refer to a single event or circumstance...just like a single flip of a coin in a series? The results become less and less random as possibilities are eliminated. Selection, like each subsequent coin toss, "de-randomizes" the outcome. A series of something...even random things...is not random in regard to being a series...the connection makes it non random.
(emphasis in bold red mine)

It is almost as if, by the insertion of "particular" and the subsequent equation of "particular" with "all outcomes are equally likely", there is a deliberate effort to misunderstand. Nothing in the above definition of "random" requires that the probability distribution be uniform. In fact, as described before for random variables, some of the most important probability distributions to the study of biology, the (standard) normal distribution and the chi-squared distribution, are always non-uniform.

Note:

There is a distinction here between "random variable" and "probability distribution". Random variables are function (measurable functions, to be exact) that map events in the sample space (i.e., the set of all possible events) to events in the state space (i.e., the set of all observed events), whereas probability distribution are functions that map events in the state space to the real number line, or some subset thereof. Nonetheless, nothing requires that either randoms variables or probability distributions be uniform.
 
Well, it seems like you two may kind of understand each other, but I doubt even that. "Of or relating to any probability distribution" like, say, grading (which is a probability distribution)...does NOT mean random. A random probability distribution is random. Comprende? The definition is not saying that anything that has a probability distribution is random. But feel free to feel like you are saying something others can understand. You just are not communicating anything of value. You may as well say that all probability distributions that are not uniform--are random. That's just insanely non-informative and incorrect. But I'll keep checking in and see if anyone else understands you two and/or Walter and/or whitey (do you guys even understand each other; I mean can you sum up what the other is saying and have them agree--and can you answer the OP question that "says it all"?) I just hope you aren't trying to teach anybody this stuff... I'm presuming that you all agree that Mijo's definition of evolution quoted above is informative in some way and you agree with it and even find it preferable than Dawkins definition, and all the other definitions here and at talk origins etc. And you all think the answer to mijo's question is--"there is no evidence for evolution being non-random, because it is so long as you are defining random as everything that has a probability distribution...or all processes that have random componenents...or anything that is not 100 percent deterministic...)

If you are lucky, maybe they'll quote you at pharyngula:

http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/

That's where all the most blustery and misleading descriptions of evolution go to be laughed at. And somehow, I don't think any dictionary describe evolution as poorly as mijo does--even though Webster was a religious dude and all.

You guys are as clear as the 747 analogy. Really. You aren't saying anything more than what is conveyed with that very misinformed analogy. But you ARE amusing. And that's worth a lot.

And no--no conspiracy--just the usual creationist claptrap--exactly like all the other creationist clap trap and an engineer who has poor social skills who can't appreciate how poorly he is communicating because of his poor social skills. One side is too socially inept and the other side is too clueless to form a successful conspiracy--(though if well funded...the latter can become the Discovery Institute and create the wedge document.)

The facts of evolution are the same for everyone. Some have a gift for explaining these facts. Others think they do, but they haven't a clue.
 
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Well, it seems like you two may kind of understand each other, but I doubt even that. "Of or relating to any probability distribution" like, say, grading (which is a probability distribution)...does NOT mean random. A random probability distribution is random. Comprende? The definition is not saying that anything that has a probability distribution is random. But feel free to feel like you are saying something others can understand. You just are not communicating anything of value. You may as well say that all probability distributions that are not uniform--are random. That's just insanely non-informative and incorrect. But I'll keep checking in and see if anyone else understands you two and/or Walter and/or whitey (do you guys even understand each other; I mean can you sum up what the other is saying and have them agree--and can you answer the OP question that "says it all"?) I just hope you aren't trying to teach anybody this stuff... I'm presuming that you all agree that Mijo's definition of evolution quoted above is informative in some way and you agree with it and even find it preferable than Dawkins definition, and all the other definitions here and at talk origins etc. And you all think the answer to mijo's question is--"there is no evidence for evolution being non-random, because it is so long as you are defining random as everything that has a probability distribution...or all processes that have random componenents...or anything that is not 100 percent deterministic...)

If you are lucky, maybe they'll quote you at pharyngula:

http://scienceblogs.com/pharyngula/

That's where all the most blustery and misleading descriptions of evolution go to be laughed at. And somehow, I don't think any dictionary describe evolution as poorly as mijo does--even though Webster was a religious dude and all.

You guys are as clear as the 747 analogy. Really. You aren't saying anything more than what is conveyed with that very misinformed analogy. But you ARE amusing. And that's worth a lot.
 
The facts of evolution are the same for everyone. Some have a gift for explaining these facts. Others think they do, but they haven't a clue.

Truer words were never spoken.
 
In the interests of keeping the thread on track, I'll retract my statement.
Actually, I kinda liked the seatbelt analogy, it's very "put your money where your mouth is".

Sorry if I got off topic a bit, but Articulett really rubs me the wrong way. I'm not a creationist, yet I believe that it is accurate to describe evolution as random. I expect to be able to say this and not have my view framed as a cannard of some group that I am not a part of. There is other stuff that Articulett says that I know to be false, for example that I have not read Dawkins. I'm about 200 pages into The God Delusion, which is kind of pointless, since I already agree with what he says for the most part, but I hate how he writes (I do like how he speaks, however). When she brings up Galileo, that bugs me too. Galileo was an ANTI authority figure, I don't think he'd like Talk Origins telling people what they should or should not say. I don't agree with her that people don't understand probability. Kids these days play craps, they figure out that seven comes up more often than other numbers.

Yes, I've seen Behe bring up randomness in defense of his position. In fact, I actually looked into what he was saying, and I can assure you, it's a non issue. From the Discovery Institute: "Contrary to the bravado of Darwinists, there is considerable empirical evidence of the insufficiency of the Darwinian mechanism. Research published by protein scientist Douglas Axe in the Journal of Molecular Biology shows just how astonishingly rare certain working protein sequences are, casting severe doubts that a Darwinian process of chance mutations could generate them. In the words of Dr. Axe, the rarity of these working protein sequences among all the possible combinations is "less than one in a trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion trillion."

Well, I looked up the Douglas Axe's paper
http://www.ingentaconnect.com/conte...00003/art03997;jsessionid=eks9tbe017k31.alice
I'm assuming that the above is the article mentioned in the Discovery Institute piece.

It seems that the researcher, Douglas Axe, has discovered something unexpected and profound about in vivo constraints on amino acid sequences which are unrelated to the enzymatic action of the protein. His interpretation of this is that there are subtleties of cellular context that have a decisive effect on the efficacy of an expressed amino acid sequence.

The alternative interpretation advanced by Bruce Chapman and John West is that these residues are required for biological action not due to intracellular conditions, but because of...God. God smote the TEM-1 bgr-lactamase when it went out into the cytoplasm looking like a tart, covered only by asparagine. Everyone knows that Glutamine is God's non-polar neutral amino acid with a low Hydropathy index. Any biblical scholar can quote you several biblical passages which he can interpret as saying just that.

So come on, how can there be any debate? Duh. It's no mystery. It was God. God did it in the microtubule with the glycosyltransferase. Put that in your peer reviewed journal and publish it.

The sad thing is that I actually think the ID people have a point. It's one I don't agree with, but they can do better arguing for it than this.
The randomness argument is NOT a strong point of ID rhetoric, it's a weak point. I don't see why Dawkins or any real scientist is afraid to go there, and yes, it makes me angry when they say that I shouldn't use the term random. It's like I'm being told to tow the party line, truth be damned. I won't be (rule8)ing censored!:)

I'll stop whining now.
Click on the link though, it actually addresses the original post.
 
I expect to be able to say this and not have my view framed as a cannard of some group that I am not a part of.
.....

The randomness argument is NOT a strong point of ID rhetoric, it's a weak point. I don't see why Dawkins or any real scientist is afraid to go there, and yes, it makes me angry when they say that I shouldn't use the term random. It's like I'm being told to tow the party line, truth be damned. I won't be (rule8)ing censored!:)


Way back when I started this snowball this was basically what I was getting at as well. Dawkins went on at length about "chance" and evolution in "The God Delusion", and I thought his criticism was rather misplaced. Moreover, I thought that his explanation had very little to do with accuracy in science or mathematics, but much more about "towing the party line". It seemed very much like "they say this so we can't".
 

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