Schneibster
Unregistered
- Joined
- Oct 4, 2005
- Messages
- 3,966
It's w00t.
Did anyone else laugh when this page was linked to by somebody as an aid to understanding the meaning of 'stochastic' w.r.t evolution?
How many people on the planet do you think have the required background knowledge to understand such a description? My bet would be <1%. I guess the other 99%+ will have to settle for the "misleading" descriptions provided by Dawkins et al.
Articulett, few times on this page you have advocated death for people who have an ideology different than yours (you think, with or without evidence). Your profile says that you live in Las Vegas, but, can I ask, is that by way of Salem?
<snip>
Evolution evolves very much the way technology does and scientific knowledge--what "works" stays and grows and is honed and evolves--what is obsolete, dies out and we can never know all the genius ideas that never were or never took off. But building technology is not a random process even though it's filled and molded by all sorts of random things, chance encounters, serendipity, etc.
I didn't necessarily link to that page to aid people's understanding but to demonstrate that a "stochastic process" is firmly rooted in probability theory. I admit that a full explanation of the definition in relatively intelligible terms (i.e., terms that would be understood by someone who has had some college calculus, as I assume anyone who is certified to teach any science has) is far beyond my capabilities at the moment, but I think that, by at least spending some time exploring the linked articles, one can come to the understanding that "random" in that case of the "random variables" that are part of a stochastic process is used in completely different way that the layman's use of "random". Thus, while it is unnecessarily confusing to use "random" to describe evolution by natural selection, the relation of evolution by natural selection to probability theory cannot be ignored and must be incorporated into its pedagogy by someone with more experience in math and science pedagogy that I.
And that's the crux of it for me: there are random components in every system. Progress comes when we can model the underlying processes.
Everyone else can answer the question at the top of the thread or at least explain why it's a bad question or why it's misleading to define evolution as a random or stochastic process.
And that is the problem: it is not misleading to describe evolution as a stochastic process. There is 85 years of research by some of the greatest luminaries in population genetics and evolutionary biology that say that evolution by natural selection can be modeled as a stochastic process where birth, reproduction, and death are probabilistic events. In fact, with some adjustment, the very equations that can be used to describe he macroscopic properties of gases and liquids as emergent properties of their microscopic components can be used to describe individual-level events can give rise to population-level events.
Say what? Would you like to justify this statement or retract it?Whiteyonthemoon said:Articulett, few times on this page you have advocated death for people who have an ideology different than yours (you think, with or without evidence). Your profile says that you live in Las Vegas, but, can I ask, is that by way of Salem?
I stand corrected.It's w00t.
Say what? Would you like to justify this statement or retract it?
~~ Paul
articulet-
I think you need to stop misrepresenting what I say. I have never said that evolution's being "random" (or any of the other words I use to describe it) makes it impossible. Therefore, my description of it as "random" is not the "bugaboo" you so want it to be; it does not prevent me from understanding how evolution works, but rather clarifies its underlying processes.
That is a pretty horrible interpretation of that. You did note the term non-uniform in that quote didn't you. Non-uniform probabilities, a term he used in that description, are one of the items that would lead one to choose one option over another when outcome isn't guaranteed. In this case making one decide for seat-belts. But thanks for highly encouraging us not to use seat belts.That is mijo's quote...but just plug in "death" where it says evolution and "seat belt use" where it says mutation. It's all crystal clear now isn't it? Certainly as clear as mijo's stellar explanation of evolution.
Really? How many people are you speaking for when you say everyone else?Everyone else can answer the question at the top of the thread or at least explain why it's a bad question or why it's misleading to define evolution as a random or stochastic process.
Exactly, we are products of an unbroken line going back millions of years. And break it just once, and humans aren't around. It is the nature of this chain that causes the randomness to show through in the end. Not only is it necessary that human evolution took the steps it did, but our "ecological neighbours" must go through the stages they did to put the selection pressures on us that they did.Everyone else seems to find this meaningful in regards to natural selection and not conveyed at all in the creationist explanation: all life forms alive today are the result of an unbroken line of millions of years of successful reproduction and mutations--From the one in 200 million sperm that fertilized the ova, all the way back in time, all life forms are the product of the very few potential life forms that were able to copy themselves. And the further back in time you go, the fewer times the turning events had to occur...just like the furthest tip of a tree, has it's origin in the seed that begat it.
If I am incomprehensible to you, I shall attempt to explain better. A couple points I have been trying to make amongst others:And as for you Walter Wayne, I don't speak gleebork or whatever you are saying. If I inadvertently confused you for a creationist it's because to me, you sound as incomprehensible and arrogant as one. I can never tell the point of what you are saying.
Dawkins descriptions of natural selection make a lot of sense to me, as did the descriptions of many biologist before them. It is by applying his description of the filter of selection that it becomes apparent that the evolutionary process as a whole (mutation, heredity and selection taken together) is in fact going to be random, not only on some technical sense but in layman's terms as well.If Dawkins and all the other summations of evolution by natural selection do not make sense to you...and if you can't understand how or why natural selection can be described as the "opposite of random", then you've got the makings of working at the Discovery Institute.
Section 6. Selection, page 45 - Here they begin expanding on the neutral selection model to include selection preferences.By the way...[mijopaalmc's] cite was referring to the allele frequency (mutation) as a stochastic process...not natural selection. Are you even able to understand the stuff you quote from.? It's akin to the phrase that "mutations are random" (more or less). In fact in goes out of it's way to say that it is not describing natural selection (page 3...I can't cut and paste from a pdf.) which it concedes is an important part of morphological changes!
Because creationist's will warp words whether we say it is random or non-random is precisely why the most accurate description is to be sought. Part of the simplistic beauty of evolution is how the sum of many small changes can have such a huge impact. But that same sum of small changes is what makes the random mutations have such an impact on the outcome, and why evolution is random. If a student does not understand how seemingly innocuous events can have such a large and lasting impact on the life we see around us, then they do not understand the simplistic beauty of evolution....But to get someone to actually understand the simplistic beauty of evolution, they must understand the selective process. And that is something creationists just cannot or will not grasp no matter how many ways it is presented to them.
And a non-random filter does not a non-random process make.Random events do not a random process make. If that were the case, then all processes could be described as random, couldn't they? And how useful is that for describing or understanding anything about evolution?
Why am I supposed to act like this doesn't resemble a witch hunt?