Google CEO Eric Schmidt envisions a radically changed internet five years from now: dominated by Chinese-language and social media content, delivered over super-fast bandwidth in real time. Figuring out how to rank real-time social content is "the great challenge of the age," Schmidt said in an interview in front of thousands of CIOs and IT Directors at last week's Gartner Symposium/IT
xpo Orlando 2009.
<snip/>we've excerpted 6 minutes that we believe is of interest to anyone who's touched by the web.
Highlighted comments include:
- Five years from now the internet will be dominated by Chinese-language content.
- Today's teenagers are the model of how the web will work in five years - they jump from app to app to app seamlessly.
- Five years is a factor of ten in Moore's Law, meaning that computers will be capable of far more by that time than they are today.
- Within five years there will be broadband well above 100MB in performance - and distribution distinctions between TV, radio and the web will go away.
- "We're starting to make signifigant money off of Youtube", content will move towards more video.
- "Real time information is just as valuable as all the other information, we want it included in our search results."
- There are many companies beyond Twitter and Facebook doing real time.
- "We can index real-time info now - but how do we rank it?"
- It's because of this fundamental shift towards user-generated information that people will listen more to other people than to traditional sources. Learning how to rank that "is the great challenge of the age." Schmidt believes Google can solve that problem.
There's lots more in the full 45 minutes of Schmidt's interview, including a statement that a Google OS Netbook will be here in 2010, with
HTML5 local caching for offline use.
<snip/>