Ziggurat,
So unless you want to accuse that whole unit of lying, your suspicions about the nature of the event aren't true.
You are missunderstanding me. I am not saying those few Iraqis were carried there at gunpoint.
The images came to or TV's with the message of Iraqis massively celebrating Saddam's demise. This is propaganda, the message did not correspond with the images at all (and I don't have acces to the facts). I have seen images of national liberation celebrations, and the few images that came from Iraq pale at comparison.
Ah, and of course I doubt of the correction of any information coming from warzones. Heck, I suspect of nearly all information I see on the media. I use to compare news from different sources and they rarely match.
But the joy of those Iraqis was quite genuine, and one of the biggest factors holding it back from being more visible was people not knowing for sure if this would all stick, that Saddam really was gone for good
You say "Saddam could be back". I just say "the people of Saddam's regime could be back", no matter which flavour of regime. And for every Iraqi feeling joy, maybe there is another feeling fear for his old support to Saddam.
Depends what you mean by "big". 4% of the population of Iraq (random example) is big in the sense that it's a million people, but it's small compared to the other 96%. I'm not sure what percent actually supported Saddam, but it was a lot smaller than the number who either hated him (which WAS a majority of Iraq) or were basically neutral. A lot of people who "supported" the regime in the sense of working for it (ie, probably the majority of government workers) likely did so because that made their own lives easier under Saddam, but felt no loyalty towards him. But you are correct about general suspicion, that's something that doesn't disappear overnight.
I mean supported in the sense of working for him (bureaucracy, education, political party militance, etc...) or simply advocating his dictatorship in public.
As I said I am extrapolating from the old situation in my country, Spain. In Franco's time a really big part of the country was vocal on his support of the dictatorship. The common reasons were ambition or fear, but also there was huge popular support; most people viewed him as a father or protector; they thinked he bring unification, peace, and even economic prosperity.
However, when democracy came, the party who carried Franco's torch (FN) did got very few votes! His old supporters just voted moderated right.
I'm not sure what you mean by a country being "prepared". But the existence of terrorists and geurilla insurgents doesn't mean the job can't be done.
I am talking about long term dictatorships, with a big support infrastructure already built in the society.
Imho for a pacific transition, you need to have a good balance between old regime elements and reformist. If this is not the case, the old guard feels menaced and the guns start talking.
An exception could be Portugal, for example. However I can't think of any good example of long term dictatorships removed by country invasion; Germany maybe, but a lot of the population died in the process.
Of course, some people don't give a d*mn about pacific transitions.