Complexity
Philosopher
- Joined
- Nov 17, 2005
- Messages
- 9,242
Since your responses are devoid of content, I don't think it matters much whether you respond or not.
1.I think there is some confusion between the message and something quite different to is often attached to a message. You've seen why I gave the Genesis Seal that name. It is partly because it shows a stamp of authority. A more sophisticated variation on this idea is that of an error-correcting check-sum attached to an electronic message just before it is sent. I like to think of the Genesis Seal being a kind of check-sum that can help in testing the integrity of the message itself. That would be why lots of its components look for all the world like preparatory notes for what will appear later as extended narrative passages. The check-sum does not contain new information; only sufficient meta-data about the real message to help, if necessary, to re-construct the authors true purpose.
2. We are dealing here with a religious text that has been an input to many beliefs and philosophies. Suppose, just for example, that the Pythagorean School at Croton had been one of them. Like many other such organisations they were very secretive, requiring initiates to swear solemn oaths of loyalty and secrecy. One of the reasons that secret societies are popular targets for conspiracy theorists is precisely because their sacred texts and beliefs are inaccessible. Indeed, it is very likely that as the older societies died out, so did their inner secrets. Eventually, I shall show that the Genesis Seal maps so closely onto what we do know about such matters that it has to be prime candidate to fill in lots of the gaps in our knowledge.
I shall make my next submission tomorrow.
I have made an observation:Honestly, I'm not really sure what you have in mind.
This isn't relevant to what I'm talking about. We need to know what we can establish and how to establish things. If there are things we can never know, then we simply can never know them.Probably not what you expect me to say, but: unbeknown to me, my wife has been putting paracetamol and a cocktail of patent remedies in my mushroom soup, or extra magic-mushrooms from the garden, which made me feel better despite the cold. All I'm suggesting here, a little facetiously, is that there can be explanations that no amount of digging will reveal.
Sorry, David, but I don't really regard your interests (e.g. study of the torah, kabala) to be of any value. I don't respect superstition in any of its forms, and I think we all would be far better off without any of it.
Stokes234 said:Dawkins writes a good passage in one of his more recent books (either the god delusion or the greatest show on earth, can't remember) that basically explains why it's evolutionarily advantageous for humans to see patterns even where there aren't patterns. Seems to me that that is what is happening to you, and you've become too invested in it to admit it.
Its a good job my ancestor on the savannah didn't have to stop to make comparisons with control samples all the time.
yy2bggggs said:In order for me to see that it actually is the Cream of Mushroom soup affecting my cold, I have to test what happens both when I do eat Cream of Mushroom soup, and when I don't. I have to compare the results of the former to the latter.
If I only test what happens when I eat Cream of Mushroom soup, I might get the false impression that it helps even if it doesn't, because I don't know what the results mean; if I eat Cream of Mushroom soup and am better in two days, does that mean it helped?
Why is this different? You have a null hypothesis. Test it.However, there could be a quite different scenario that is a better analogue to the Genesis Seal. ...
This is exactly what my example addresses. You cannot tell anything at all without testing the null hypothesis, because you have no idea what your results even mean without doing it.The key question is this: Is there an analytical technique that can show this to be likely to be the result of deliberate design.
You're not eating corn dogs?I think you're way too emotionally invested in the Genesis Seal, but you're committing the same error over and over. I'm going to attempt to explain this error using something that is completely unrelated.
Let's suppose I have a cold one year, and I eat some Cream of Mushroom soup. I notice, after I eat the Cream of Mushroom soup, that I get better. So I form the belief that Cream of Mushroom soup is good for colds.
The next year, when I catch a cold, I eat some Cream of Mushroom soup. And sure enough, I get better. Let's suppose this goes on for a decade... every year, I catch a cold. Every year, I eat Cream of Mushroom soup. And every year after eating the Cream of Mushroom soup, I get better. I now have a lot of data points; and by now, I'm completely sold on the fact that Cream of Mushroom soup is good for colds.
However, there's a huge problem with my approach. Can you spot it?
I actually referred to the same principle in a much earlier post. I noted that there is survival advantage in being able to 'see the lion hidden in the bush'. I went on to what I suggest is a very important rider to the risk of false pattern recognition. It is the fact that sometimes there will be a real lion there.
Its a good job my ancestor on the savannah didn't have to stop to make comparisons with control samples all the time.
Why is this different? You have a null hypothesis. Test it.
Without testing it, how can you be sure there's even something special there?
This is exactly what my example addresses. You cannot tell anything at all without testing the null hypothesis, because you have no idea what your results even mean without doing it.
Stokes234 said:Think of it this way. How many people have fallen for confirmation bias? Millions, tens of millions, hundreds of millions. How many have successfully cracked ancient codes that have revealed an entire new slant on history? Perhaps a few clever historians have worked out something that nobody else would have seen in historical texts, but nothing really the same. Let's call it a 1 in a hundred million chance (being generous) that you have actually cracked a code here, rather than done what half of the human race has done and seen a pattern where there isn't one due to confirmation bias.
If your ancestor had spent several years looking at a bush that had a 1:100000000 chance of having a lion behind it, would he even have found time to reproduce to become your ancestor?


Any initial thoughts on my plan, so far?
My friend, you can't have it both ways. The results of suitable tests may answer your questions, according to a number of erudite posters on this thread. If it goes one way, I disappear without trace; but if it goes the other way, it could change the world. I believe that might be an adequate purpose.Yeah.
What's this thing supposed to be for? Why do we need it, why do we need to see it, what does it do for people, what's the point, what's the purpose?
My friend, you can't have it both ways.

The results of suitable tests may answer your questions
according to a number of erudite posters on this thread. If it goes one way, I disappear without trace; but if it goes the other way, it could change the world. I believe that might be an adequate purpose.
Any initial thoughts on my plan, so far?
Change the world in what way, specifically?