According to Wikipedia, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) has about the same energy density as petrochemical aviation fuel, but is three times more expensive and accounts for about 1% of the market. One of the cited obstacles to further expansion of the SAF scheme is competition with food growers for suitable land. This makes me think that we're probably nowhere near on track for Net Zero 2050.
I also have questions about what "sustainable" is supposed to mean, in this context.
To me, it means full self-sufficiency of the entire production process. I.e., once you get it going, it sustains itself. Something like this:
So when someone says "sustainable aviation fuel", I wonder how close you actually are to having a biofuel plantation that pays for itself, with enough left over to fuel the entire aviation industry.
- You grow enough biofuel to power the entire agricultural process. Sowing, watering, fertilizing, harvesting, storing - all powered by the of the fuel you're growing. This includes things like the collection, transportation, storage, and distribution of water. The production, etc. of fertilizer. The manufacture and operation of farm equipment.
- AND you grow enough additional biofuel to power whatever industry you intend to be sustainably bio-fueled.
I suspect that's not what most people mean by "sustainable" fuel, though.
Caveat: While nuclear is not strictly "sustainable" in my view, supplanting biofuel with nuclear power to make the entire scheme self-sufficient would satisfy me.
Tangentially, it seems to me that we have approximately three main sources of energy available to us:
- Solar energy - sustainable over human timeframes.
- Tectonically-stored biomass - the so-called "fossil" fuels.
- Supernova fallout - the radioisotopes.
Thanks for that. Here's some more information on Sustainable Aviation Fuel from the SAF Coalition:
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is a globally accepted, industry umbrella term that covers a range of non-conventional fuels made from a variety of biogenic and non biogenic feedstocks and processing technologies such as used cooking oils, council waste, plant oils, agricultural residues and non-biological sources. Biogenic SAF has the potential to reduce lifecycle emissions typically by up to 80% compared to conventional jet fuel. Non-biogenic SAF — or synthetic fuel / efuels — is a pathway which utilises carbon dioxide, green hydrogen and significant amounts of renewable electricity to synthesise a liquid fuel with favourable sustainability characteristics (emissions can be reduced on a lifestyle basis by up to 90% compared to fossil fuels).
In order to be a 'drop in' compatible with existing aircraft and fuelling infrastructure, SAFs are required to be blended currently with fossil jet fuel up to a 50% blend limit. The industry is moving towards a 100% SAF blend and we expect that to occur in the second half of this decade.
With our goal to reach net zero by 2050, we're entering into partnerships with the aim of accelerating the use of SAF across our fleet, and the development of a SAF industry in Australia over time. While SAF is currently only a small part of our fuel mix, comprising 0.2% of our fuel use, we're targeting 10% of our fuel to come from SAF by 2030 and 60% by 2050.