Skeptigirl,
**Forgive me Raven but you have an overall poor understanding of some things and while you may be reading a lot and believing you are drawing legitimate conclusions, you are not.***
Forgive ME, but I don’t appreciate being talked down to, esp. when no counter arguments, complete with relevant citations, specifically rebutting my “understanding” and “conclusions” are forthcoming. I could just as easily say the same thing to you (something, for the record, I have not done), and I doubt you’d appreciate it any more than I do.
**Start with the basics. ***
I started with the “basics” about 14 years ago, and found the issue was much more complex than those basics, as presented in sound-bites and promotional materials, indicated. So I moved on to more advanced sources than the CDC and other advocacy groups’ talking points.
***It's risk benefit not risk alone. The diseases kill vastly more than the vaccines do.***
Where did I state the opposite? Again, I refuse to argue a thesis I never put forth. That is the job of the one who proposes it.
**“Health only goes do far in preventing disease. Just because the health of people in devastating poverty is worse than yours does not mean measles cannot kill you.***
Of course not, measles CAN kill you. So can the flu or a common cold or slipping in the shower. Or a vaccination.
My point was that measles (or any other infection) is FAR more likely to be complicated or fatal in those with underlying health issues, including inadequate nutrition and substandard living conditions.
Vitamin A deficiency is a well recognized risk factor for complications or death with measles, which is why the UN administers Vit A supplements along with measles vaccine in certain areas (that and the fact that the vaccine, like the infection itself, also rapidly depletes A, something which can prove disastrous in someone already deficient).
Adequate vit A intake, preferably from an adequate diet, would prevent a great many of the cases, serious complications (esp. blindness), and deaths from measles in Africa. (source, the UN). It is one of the main reasons (malnutrition in general coupled with traditional staples lacking vit A) the severe complication and mortality rates from measles is so much higher in Africa than elsewhere.
Even some studies done in the US have found significant associations between pre-existing and/or resulting low levels of vit A and measles complications or deaths, and it makes perfect sense that if someone is deficient to begin with or fails to get an adequate intake during the illness, they are at much higher risk of adverse outcomes.
Now, am I arguing that you or anyone else should not vaccinate their child against measles? No. I am simply pointing out some FACTS surrounding the issue of measles and risk factors associated with adverse outcomes. Nothing more or less. Whether one vaccinates or not, such information is useful, imo, both for its own sake as furthering comprehensive understanding of the issue and for practical purposes (say your child or you gets measles ANYWAY; a benefit to understand that adequate vit A intake, both in general and during the infection, when needs are even higher, is VERY important to full recovery, jmo)
**I think this is one of the biggest mistakes you are making in your assessment of the situation. You really need more information on how vaccine preventable diseases actually affect healthy people. Wherever you've gotten the idea the diseases are no big deal, the diseases are OK if you are a child but not a adult or vice versa, you have gotten very wrong information. ***
It is the consensus among reputable medical authorities that some of the illnesses DO, indeed, tend to be much more severe in adults than in children (as with measles, CP, mumps or polio), or vice versa (as in the case of pertussis in infants or rubella in fetuses).
If my information is wrong, blame the CDC, Medline, JAMA, medical textbooks, etc.
(You, quoted from a later post) **But I disagree with her conclusions on the morbidity and mortality statistics of these vaccine preventable diseases and to that she had supplied no supporting citations.****
I would be happy to share my information with you. You may PM me if you are interested, since I don’t think posting the entire thing here would be appropriate, esp. as it contains many links but mainly as it is rather LONG (and BTW, I HAVE noticed that I have a few Pms and will try to get to them ASAP; my internet time has been very limited lately, and I hope to catch up a bit over the weekend)
I have, actually, compiled detailed information on the illnesses, including rates of complications and mortality. I was curious so I consulted mainstream medical and scientific sources, and calculated the rates based on reported incidence and reported complications/deaths. ( percentages of those who GET the illness who experience complications or death.)
You are speaking in vague generalities (ie, “measles CAN kill you” or ( under ideas you consider wrong; ) “the diseases are no big deal” or “are OK if you are a child but not an adult”) all of which are technically true, of course, but are broad comments offering no statistical context from which to evaluate risk. (something I grew weary of being offered by way of “information”, so I set out to find some actual information with numbers and details attached so I could base my conclusions on more than highly biased editorializing.)
The reason I researched and compiled information on the actual RATES of such outcomes was to place them in as objective and specific a context as possible, something I would imagine critical thinkers might appreciate (if not demand from the authorities who tend to speak to them in such useless platitudes)
A few examples from my rather extensive collection of inaccurate, biased, incomplete, and/or otherwise insulting “informational“ materials from assorted official sources:
First, from recent information put out by the Tx. Dept of Health (on an “info sheet” on the risks of the illnesses which was included with the conscientious exemption forms I requested a few years ago) as an example of a typically vague, general statement of risk from one of the illnesses:
“ Polio.. Sometimes it does not cause serious illness, but sometimes it causes paralysis. It can kill people who get it..”
Compare that to the actual rates/stats, shown below, and it is obvious that the above statement, while technically TRUE, is so vague, dumbed-down, and slanted as to be worthless in any critical calculation of risk/benefit. Is, in fact, an editorial comment thinly disguised as a scientific statement and carefully designed to elicit an intended perception of risk from the illness and a concurrent intended response (fear of the illness and subsequent or continued vaccination against it. FTR, the statements on the other illnesses and on the safety of the vaccines were equally vague and distorted):
Polio:
(Mortality rate of between 2 one-hundredth’s of 1% and 3 quarters of 1%)
(Complication rate of less than 1% to 2%)
(Look it up for yourself and do the math, if you doubt my calculation/sources)
A more complete and accurate statement for our tax dollars to fund and for parents to be offered for their consideration would be “Polio…Usually, in up to 98% of cases,
it does not cause serious or even apparent illness, but rarely, between 1% and 2% of
The time, it cause paralysis. Very rarely, in less than 1% of cases, it can kill those who get it.”
Wonder why such a statement is not used, since the alleged goal of such presentations is public education/information? It is not much longer and much more accurate, merely adding numbers for consideration by those who might be so inclined, so why not present the public with as much and as accurate info as possible? Esp. as the statement is presented in the context of profuse editorializing regarding the necessity and mandated nature of vaccination anyway?
See below under “fear campaign”.
True, the general assumption of government officials, esp. public health officials, seems to be that the general public is too generally stupid to understand much (note the ubiquitous addition or even substitution of “shots” or even “baby shots” for “immunizations”, “vaccines”, or other more accurate terms) but that is, imo, a self-fulfilling prophecy which could do with reform. In a system supposedly based on “informed consent”, such practice is appalling, imo. To offer simplistic, condescending information like this and then to sneer at how uninformed and simplistic in their understanding the general public is the height of arrogance, imo.
Another example, from the latest issue of the newsletter from my childrens’ insurance, which cites the CDC and AAP as their sources):
“Infants and children need to be vaccinated (get shots) because they are more likely to develop complications or die from vaccine-preventable diseases.”
This surpasses “dumbed-down” and enters “outright falsehood” territory, since in the case of MOST of the “vaccine-preventable diseases”, infants and/or children are far LESS likely to “develop complications or die” than ADULTS. (Measles, mumps, rubella, CP, non-neonatal tetanus, polio). The ONLY “VPD”s in which infants or children are MORE likely to develop complications or die are Hep B (and this is the case ONLY in the case of infants infected at birth by an infected mother; those past early infancy typically experience sub clinical to mild symptoms, clear the infection, and develop life-long immunity with no further complications), pertussis (for those under 6 mths to 1 yr of age) and the meningitis/invasive illnesses targeted by HIB and Prevnar.
Another “VPD”, not yet on the recommended schedule, but coming soon, is the new and (hopefully!) improved Rotavirus vaccine would qualify as an illness in which infants and young children are more likely to suffer complications or die from.
Why not present a summation which is ACCURATE instead of such PAP? It may prove effective at convincing those with no basic understanding of the illnesses, but for those of us with such understanding, it only serves to insult us and drive us to seek out the whole truth and wonder why that truth is considered to be worth hiding/distorting. Such an approach certainly does not engender trust or faith in the sources who employ it, jmho.
Perhaps that may partially explain studies which have found that non or selective vaccinators tend to be more educated than the general population; perhaps they tend to see through such materials more easily and question them and go on to seek out more information, which their education has informed them on how to locate, which more fully informs their decision. Just a thought.
Re’ Measles:
Measles:
(Death rate between one-one-hundredth’s of 1% and 2.25%)
(Complication rate of between 0.000125% and 16%)
The complication rate for measles is commonly cited as 20-30% by the “usual suspects“ whose stated agenda is increasing or maintaining high vaccination rates. (who are just as guilty of distortion as those who claim it NEVER causes any hurt or harm, imo)
Measles complications range, however, from diarrhea, (at roughly 16% of cases), to ear infection, (at roughly 5%), to encephalitis, (at roughly one tenth of 1%) to SSPE, at app. than 0.000125% (of those who contracted measles at 2 yrs of age or younger).
To average out the percentages for complications, ranging from mild or moderate and virtually always self-resolving (which are much more common) to potentially life-threatening (which are usually exceedingly rare) presents a distorted picture of the risks from complications in general.
Further, complications, especially severe ones, tend to be higher in certain groups who are not representative of the majority of cases, such as in those who are malnourished, on steroids, chemotherapy, or with other underlying conditions affecting immunity and overall vulnerability to secondary infections and other complications.
Averaging high-risk rates in with those of non-high-risk cases further distorts the actual risks to the average individual.
From the CDC:
“When reference is made to "classic" measles, it means a case of measles that follows the typical, uncomplicated childhood illnesses. “
““Worldwide, there are estimated to be 30 million cases and 700,000 deaths each year. (*My note: an overall estimated mortality rate of app. 2.25%) More than half of the deaths occur in Africa. “
This is all information you can look up for yourself; not making any radical or grandiose claims here. I AM offering my opinion, at times, regarding interpretation, and am completely ok with others rebutting with THEIR interpretations/understanding. But to be repeatedly accused of 1. Doing my research in and basing my opinions on “anti-vax” sources 2. Not knowing my way around a search engine or study 3. Lacking basic understanding of scientific principles and concepts is already OLD.
Did *I* come here and accuse anyone of such incompetence? No. (well, maybe the author of that article, who, imo, didn’t sum up the gist of her subject accurately, but even then, I wasn’t questioning her basic intelligence or competence overall, just citing that specific instance)
I came in a spirit of mutual respect for the basic intelligence and competence of others, no matter how much I MAY or may NOT disagree with their ideas. It is something I grant everyone, at least until they prove me wrong, and even then, there has to be a certain level of general respect from one human to another. That is my philosophy of debate/discussion, and LIFE, ftm. JMHO.
***There is no fear campaign to get people to use vaccines.***
ROTFLMAO! Come ON, now, regardless of one’s position on vaccines in general, or one’s opinion on the purity of the motives involved, one would have to be blind not to realize that the vast majority of what passes as “information” presented to the general public is fear-based.
Someone above linked to an excellent source re’ the strategy for promoting the flu vaccine which spells it out very clearly; fear sells. Come on, read the whole thing (as I did many moons ago); they sit around and discuss how to best whip up fear in the population so as to increase vaccine coverage. They draw up charts and everything
From the above-referenced insurance newsletter: “If children do not get immunized, it could result in death” If that is not a “fear-based” message, I don’t know what is. If someone wrote, “If children get immunized, it could result in death”, most would be outraged at the obvious and irresponsible fear-mongering.
And yet BOTH statements are true. Both vaccines AND the illnesses they target COULD result in death. What is missing from both is enough information to critically consider the risks and benefits, and so both are appealing not to reason but to FEAR.
This is not to argue wrt the value of the vaccines, or the motives of those involved in promoting them, just to challenge the very idea that fear is NOT one of, if not THE, primary motivator used to promote vaccination. Of COURSE it is. It is something a majority of people respond to reliably, and thus it is utilized freely.
Some long ago public health official once said (and I have the credited quote somewhere, but I will paraphrase) “We tried education and we vaccinated a few hundred. We tried incentives and we vaccinated a few thousand. We tried fear and we vaccinated hundreds of thousands.” Fear WORKS on enough to make it the most economical and effective approach.
*** The rates (of complications and death) came down directly with use of the vaccines, not anything else.***
I challenge you to provide evidence of this statement. I do so quite fearlessly because I know it is WRONG. The evidence shows clearly that the majority of declines in mortality and complications from virtually all of these illnesses had occurred well prior to widespread vaccination against them.
Perhaps you are seeing only the tail end of the graphs/stats , which show a decline from what was already an all-time low (this type of distortion is common, ime.) If you look at the entire graph, from say, 1900 or so onwards, what you almost always see is an 80% to 95% decline by 1940 or so, when the first mass vaccinations for these illnesses were introduced, followed by much more modest declines to present day. But of course, if the graph is edited to BEGIN in 1939, then one can “show” a 80% to 95% decline from THAT point on and credit vaccination with that impressive figure.
Most medical historians and other experts on infectious disease readily acknowledged that factors other than mass vaccination were responsible for most of the declines in complications and mortality, which occurred well prior to vaccines. Incidence remained almost universal, but complications and mortality dropped dramatically.
Maybe what you meant to say was that INCIDENCE has declined directly with use of vaccines and nothing else, which would be closer to the truth (though still not completely valid, since other factors played important roles in incidence as well, esp. for certain illnesses, several of which declined dramatically or vanished altogether without any vaccination against them due to other factors)
**It isn't some mass experiment. We know what happens with and without vaccines.**
Actually, we know roughly what happened before vaccines, (though much of it was unrelated TO vaccines; just because it occurred BEFORE vaccines does not automatically mean it was BECAUSE of no vaccines) and roughly what has happened since vaccines, (though do we really, given the astronomical increases in certain conditions, mostly auto-immune in nature, which have coincided with mass vaccination? And the relative lack of well controlled, large studies looking at these conditions and their relationship, if any, to vaccines, something even the IOM has cited repeatedly as an obstacle to conclusive judgments; “…gaps and limitations in knowledge bearing directly or indirectly on the safety of vaccines. These include inadequate understanding of the biological mechanisms underlying adverse events following natural infection or immunization, insufficient or inconsistent information from case reports and case series, inadequate size or length of follow-up of many population-based epidemiologic studies, and limited capacity of existing surveillance systems of vaccine injury to provide persuasive evidence of causation. The committee found few experimental studies published in relation to the number of epidemiologic studies published.”) but we really have no clear knowledge of what WOULD happen in today’s world without vaccines. There are many variables involved, as always.
And when you go from few to no vaccines a few generations ago (1940) to 23 doses of 7 vaccines by age 5 yrs now and with a few more on the way as we speak (ftm, as recently as 14 yrs ago, the schedule contained only 15 doses of 4 vaccines, one of them new, HIB), how can it NOT be seen as, on some level, a “mass experiment”?
The human immune system and its complex relationships to/with microorganisms has evolved over many millions of years, and we think that a few centuries of monkeying around with such matters, and less than a century of widespread vaccination, informs us fully? I doubt it seriously. JMHO. Never yet heard an immunologist claim to fully understand the human immune system, much less say the infant immune system.
In fact, here is what one had to say not too long ago:
““I would challenge any colleague, clinician or research scientist to claim that we have a basic understanding of the human newborn immune system. It is well established in studies in animal models that the newborn immune system is very distinct from the adolescent or adult. In fact, the immune system of newborns in animal models can easily be perturbed to ensure that it cannot respond properly later in life.”
This testimony was given verbally to the United States Senate on May 12, 1999 by Dr Bonnie Dunbar, Professor of Immunobiology with specialist work in vaccine development and autoimmunity for over 25 years, the past 17 at Baylor College of Medicine in Houston.
*** Have you ever actually tried to look at the hundreds of citations the ACIP includes in their recommendations? Have you really taken the time to see who they cite, how thorough the studies were, what biases might or might not be in them? Or do you just have this idea it's all a conspiracy or the researchers have some evil goals in promoting vaccines?***
Yes to the first part; read hundreds of studies, followed up on thousands of citations, am fairly familiar with the usual suspects on both sides of the bias bar. I tend to take
everything with several grains of salt.
No on the last part. Yet again, where DO you pull these misperceptions of me from? You must try reading my actual lines, and stop trying to peer in between them for something I didn’t put there.
***You've taken the list of complications completely out of context. ***
How so? The context was a child was vaccinated with a vaccine and reacted exactly as had been documented and listed. That’s about as IN CONTEXT as you can get, imo.
What is out of context, imo, is to take a study dealing with one specific seizure disorder and attempt to use it to “quash” any association between vaccines and ANY form of seizure.
**Why not look up a few sources and read what the complications of the infections are?***
See above; I daresay I’ve done more research in reputable sources on the complications of the illnesses than you have. (judging by some of your comments)
*** A vaccine works in your system to stimulate immunity in very similar ways as an infection does but without the illness symptoms. It is not any more or less "natural" than the actual infection the way you seem to believe.***
Actually, vaccines tend to act very differently upon the immune system than natural exposures, esp. when administered to neonates. There is a documented tendency towards skewing of the immune response from a predominately TH1 mode to a predominately TH2 mode, with more of a stimulation of humoral as opposed to cellular immunity.
Immunology Today, 1998, Vol. 19, No 3 pg. 113-
“Modern vaccinations, fear of germs and obsession with hygiene are depriving the immune system of the information input upon which it is dependent. This fails to maintain the correct cytokine balance and fine-tune T-cell regulation, and may lead to increased incidences of allergies and autoimmune diseases...“Vaccination replaces recovery from infections with a rather different type of immunological stimulus. This can have unexpected effects. In the measles system, both vaccination and the infection itself have profound and long-lasting effects on the immune system, but these effects are not the same.”
“For example, recovery from natural measles infection reduces the incidence of atopy, and of allergic reactions to house dust mite to half the incidence seen in vaccinated children, suggesting a systemic and non-specific switch to Th1 activity.”
From PubMed:
“Although they are numerous, cytokines can be functionally divided into two groups: those that are proinflammatory and those that are essentially anti-inflammatory but that promote allergic responses…Th1-type cytokines tend to produce the proinflammatory responses responsible for killing intracellular parasites and for perpetuating autoimmune responses…The Th2-type cytokines include interleukins 4, 5, and 13, which are associated with the promotion of IgE and eosinophilic responses in atopy, and also interleukin-10, which has more of an anti-inflammatory response. In excess, Th2 responses will counteract the Th1 mediated microbicidal action. The optimal scenario would therefore seem to be that humans should produce a well balanced Th1 and Th2 response, suited to the immune challenge…Many researchers regard allergy as a Th2 weighted imbalance, and recently immunologists have been investigating ways to redirect allergic Th2 responses in favour of Th1 responses to try to reduce the incidence of atopy…”7/4/04
***Mercury is natural, that doesn't mean it is safe. Measles is not a mild disease in every healthy person and the attenuated strain is not some "unnatural" chemical. That is a naive belief and lacks understanding of both the immune system and of the bacteria and viruses themselves. ***
Not sure where you got the idea that I was referring to any of the above in my comments. When I mentioned “natural”, I referred to natural immunity (using the commonly employed and understood term for immunity deriving from the illness itself; coin another term, such as “disease immunity“ if you prefer) vs. vaccine derived immunity specifically. There are clear differences involved, including tendencies of duration, with natural immunity being more often longer lasting than vaccine immunity. Something which is not controversial according to most sources I’ve seen.
For example, infants born to naturally immune mothers carry measles antibodies for an average of 12 to 16 mths, vs. those born to vaccine immune mothers, who lose their maternal antibodies to measles by an average of 9 mths. This has been the reason for delaying the MMR until 18 mths until fairly recently, since natural maternal antibodies interfere with the vaccine’s effectiveness.
As the percentage of naturally immune mothers declines to virtually zero, the goal is to administer it by 9 mths or even earlier, since most children will have lost all antibodies by then and be vulnerable to infection (and successful vaccination)
Several of the illnesses are considered to confer lifelong or near lifelong immunity, with the consensus being that the vaccines typically confer immunity of lesser duration and/or strength, though it is usually assumed that this is not problematic due to “herd“ immunity.
example:
The rate of re-infection upon exposure to rubella among vaccinated women is estimated to be as high as 80% vs. an estimated 3% rate seen in naturally immune women. Fortunately, re-infection, following either natural infection or vaccination is far less likely to result in CRS in a fetus the woman may be carrying at the time than is initial infection. But this is but one example of the differences in duration/efficacy between the two forms of immunity, which is my point; they differ in certain ways. It is not as simplistic as “just the same as having had it except no getting sick, yay!”
Need we go into the efficacy rate and duration of immunity of the var./CP vaccine vs. immunity from a prior infection?
RE, flu vaccination and “fear-based” or other motives associated with recommendations, I suggest you investigate the association between the manufacturers’ threats to stop production unless government expand routine use to a “universal” level or as close to it as possible. These threats were closely followed by added recommendations (for those aged 6-23 mths of age, which have yet to be rescinded despite multiple studies showing little to no efficacy for the vaccine in this age group), increased promotions aimed at pg women and those in contact with “recommended” populations, and recently, an added recommendation for pre-school aged children. Expect a rec. for all school-aged children soon.
A primary goal is to promote annual flu vaccination of as many as possible to increase profitability of the vaccine and appease producers so they won’t drop the product as not profitable enough and leave us high and dry in the event of a pandemic. (they threatened to stop making vaccines before, unless they were absolved of liability and a system was set up to protect them from lawsuits while compensating those harmed or killed by their products. Same thing is happening now, and not just wrt flu vaccine. Recent attempts to absolve vaccine makers of liability have been several, incl. the thimerosal clause which was snuck into homeland security legislation a few yrs back and only blocked because of public and representative outcry.)
Overall, I do not at all mind you or anyone else disagreeing with me, but I do mind being condescended to and/or charged with making claims or holding sentiments I never stated.
I am more than willing to participate in a critical, in-depth discussion of the facts, and of the different interpretations equally intelligent people can apply to them, but responding to emotional rebuttals consisting mainly of opinion and baseless assumptions re’ my bias or intentions in participating hold no interest for me.
I cannot help it if you see my citation of certain facts as an attempt to convince people not to vaccinate or as an indication of some radical “anti-vax” tendency.
I have approached this issue critically from the beginning, and continue to do so. It seems some here find it difficult to do the same, choosing instead to defend their belief at all costs against perceived attack.
I am not here to attack anyone or their beliefs/views/conclusions.
I am here in the interest of honest discussion re’ a very complex issue which often defies black and white positions, ime. IME, anyone who thinks they know it all is either deluded or lying or both, lol!
I am interested in a “friendly but spirited” discussion, nothing more or less.
Apparently, some suspect me of being a mole or something, lol, but I swear, I’ve already fully disclosed my affiliations and interests here, and am simply trying to join in as a fellow critical thinker, since I enjoy discussion and feel I MIGHT have something to offer this one (even if only to serve as the whipping pole which stimulates others to consider and articulate their views more in depth)
Raven