Heiwa,
Thanks, tk, for long post. Where do I provide a DEFINITION to prove a conclusion?
When you assert that a single point failure will never lead to a progressive collapse because ... single point failures don't lead to progressive collapses.
Circular. Illogic.
I noticed that you did not respond to the examples that I provided of cases where fires DID progress to total or near-total collapse.
Perhaps you'd care to discuss the ways in which the cable failure on the Tacoma-Narrows bridge lead to total, progressive, catastrophic collapse of that steel structure?
Or more to the point, how a single point failure on the Windor Towers led to a total, progressive, catastrophic collapse of all NON-INSULATED steel structures. While leaving all insulated steel structures still standing.
In all my articles about structural damage analysis I simply point out that you have to establish the path of all structural failures, step by step, to understand what happened. One structural failure causes a second structural failure and so on.
The attitude that you are suggesting - "Either you know everything or you know nothing" - may be appropriate for a lawyer or a political hack. But it has no place in the world of competent engineering. Engineering has ALWAYS been the art & science of deriving USEFUL knowledge in the absence of TOTAL knowledge. I am surprised that an alleged engineer with your experience would suggest what you did.
The choice of when to decide that you've got a handle on events is an engineering judgment. IMO, the level of detail provided by NIST's analysis was appropriate.
Re WTC1 one failure produced by gravity cannot produce the million of failures we see on all videos. The first failures would be arrested at once, which I clearly describe. No crush-down is possible. And that applies to all steel structures! You cannot destroy a steel structure by dropping a piece of it from above on itself!
This is simple & utter nonsense. It violates several fundamental principles of mechanics, specifically the definition of the term "toughness", which specifies that parts fail (i.e., rupture) when they are subject to input strain energies that exceed limits that are defined by a part's materials & size.
Perhaps a review of Charpy or Izod impact testing methods might help clarify this for you, since both of these are standardized "impact to failure" tests.
It is trivial to prove that your assertion is nonsense, either intuitively or rigorously.
Rigorously, one would use the equivalence of work & energy. In order to halt the fall of the upper segment, the lower segment would have to bring the upper one to a halt. In doing so, it would have to absorb the kinetic energy of the upper segment. This kinetic energy is equal to mass x acceleration x distance of fall.
The maximum amount of energy that a structure can absorb is fixed by its materials & assembly configuration. The amount of energy that the falling body can deliver can be increased by allowing it to fall larger distances. You will always be able to find some maximum distance that the upper body can fall, which the lower structure will just barely be able to arrest its fall. Any higher, and the lower structure will fail.
Your assertion that "You cannot destroy a steel structure by dropping a piece of it from above on itself" completely ignores the distance the upper body has fallen. As it ignores the amount of energy that the lower structure must absorb.
It is therefore trivially incorrect.
Intuitively, one would fully expect the lower structure to arrest the upper structure if it was (somehow magically) "dropped" one millimeter. One would be nothing short of astonished if the lower structure could successfully catch upper block after it was dropped 100 feet.
The little piece you drop will be destroyed prior to major failures of the structure below. Happens every time. Or the small piece will just bounce!
The "little piece" that you are referring to weighs something on the order of 25 thousand tons.
I don't care what sort of building onto which you are dropping something of that weight. From above a sufficient distance (that one author calculated as a couple feet), that structure WILL collapse.
Your silly assertion notwithstanding.
NIST thinks otherwise but ignores, e.g. friction between failed parts. So the NIST report becomes science fiction (no friction!). Include friction in the analysis and you will find why structural failures are arrested.
Really. So, it appears that you believe that friction somehow reduces the amount of energy that a falling body accumulates. And therefore the amount of energy that the lower structure will have to absorb.
This is, of course, rubbish. There is no friction term in the expression for the kinetic energy of a falling body.
Bazant is worse. His model is 1-D, a line, that shortens itself.
DOCTOR Bazant has developed a working one dimensional model for progressive collapse. This is a tremendously USEFUL model that any real engineer would appreciate when analyzing or predicting collapse. In precisely the same way that a 1D MODEL of a beam is a tremendously useful (albeit simplified) MODEL for a beam segment in FEA.
I have debunked it at
http://heiwaco.tripod.com/nist3.htm . Pls read it and point out any errors in my conclusions.
I scanned your work. "Debunked" is about the last word that occurred to me. "Bunk" is the first.
Sorry, I have seen here exactly how disrespectfully you interact with other competent engineers who have devoted time & effort to pointing out your errors. I'll not be wasting my time further than I already have.
A&E911truth.org liked that article very much and made me their personality for February 2009. Great honour.
Let's see: "Birds of a feather". "Ship of Fools". "Damned by Faint Praise".
Feel free to choose your homily.
Re Dresden ... Very few steel structures there! Most of it was stone and bricks.
Perhaps instead of dismissing this quite so glibly, you might want to wander over to the History Museum in Dresden and look at some of the photos & exhibits they have of the steel buildings that WERE there. You might learn something.
Perhaps you'd care to explain why the building industry spends billions of dollars per year on the insulation of steel structures if, as you appear to claim, this is needless.
Or perhaps you'd care to explain this column, from the base of WTC5.
http://911research.wtc7.net/mirrors/guardian2/wtc/fig-4-17.jpg
Buckling produced ONLY by heat from fire.
tk