Speculation on who Trump will pick for VP?

[Stacyhs]

Originally Posted by Stacyhs View Post
Ramaswamy has one thing that so many of Trump's base just can't get past: he's not white.

I'm not so sure. Have to give the right wing credit, they seem perfectly happy to set their various bigotries aside so long as the candidate shares those them and is sufficiently reactionary.

Lots of self-hating women and token minorities that seem to have no trouble in the American right.

Some could look past it, but there many who could not. Not all Republicans are white nationalists but white nationalists vote Republican. Look at the racist crap that was thrown at Obama and it wasn't because he's a Dem. There are a hell of a lot of people who will deny they're racist and they would vote for Ramaswamy in public or in polls, but wouldn't do so when it came time to vote. The best place to get a feel for it would be in right-wing chat sites where they let their bigotry run free.

 

[Trebuchet]

Vivek is looking shiny at PredictIt [qimg]https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20230830/5ac1239d72782f58abf3c60d88e16799.jpg[/qimg]

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In order:
Too brown, funny name.
Too female, but crazy enough.
Too black.
Too female, but doing a good job of hiding the brown.
Too female, but more than crazy enough.
Who? Sounds female.
Had the nerve to run against Trump! But sufficiently racist.
Who? But sounds male, sounds white, not running against Trump. There's your man!

 

[dudalb]

In the end VIvak will not come withink a hundred miles of either the nomination or the veep spot for the same reason: You damn well know too many MAGARATS will never vote for somebody of his skin color.
I suspect since Trump has given up all ateempts to appell to people outise his cult, he will go with Kari or MTG.
That is assuming he gets the nomination.I am not so sure he has it wrapped up.

 

[Solitaire]

Vivek is looking shiny at PredictIt.

Hmm! Let's have a look.

The Limits Of Vivek Ramaswamy’s Racist Con Game by Jeet Heer

These remarks, along with the general tenor of his campaign,
make clear that Ramaswamy belongs to a particular political niche:
the person of color who gains prominence by avowing an anti-anti-racist
ideology that is gratifying to right-wing voters. As such, Ramaswamy
is heir to presidential candidates like Alan Keyes (who ran in 1996, 2000,
and 2008), Herman Cain (2000 and 2012), and Ben Carson (2016).

All these candidates were Black men who affirmed a deeply conservative
racial politics that cited their own meritocratic success as proof that
systematic racism was no barrier to achievement. They all enjoyed brief
flourishes of popularity in the presidential primaries—until Republican
voters took a closer look.

Arguably and ironically, all were thwarted in part by racism, being
unable to convince either the majority or a plurality of the GOP to
back a Black candidate.

Oh... So no.

Perfect short then?

 

[d4m10n]

Always happy to bet against Jeet Heer.

 

[Orphia Nay]

Heard this morning: Vivek Ramasmarmy.

 

[gabeygoat]

Vivek can overcome MAGA racism with the fact that he's very anti-birthright citizenship. Therefor, he can make GOP pat themselves on the back for not being racist, because they'd vote for that specific policy for racist reasons

 

[Orphia Nay]

Vivek is looking shiny at PredictIt [qimg]https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20230830/5ac1239d72782f58abf3c60d88e16799.jpg[/qimg]

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I'm not a gambler. What does the 17 cents thing mean?

 

[The Great Zaganza]

When Britain did Brexit, we got Trump.

When they got Rishi Sunak, we get Vivek Ramasmarmy.

Don't we have any original ideas ?

 

[Darat]

Heard this morning: Vivek Ramasmarmy.

Or as Trump will say, Vick Smarmy is good people.

 

[TurkeysGhost]

I'm not a gambler. What does the 17 cents thing mean?

It's how much it costs to buy a bet that will pay out $1 should it win. For 17 cents you can buy a bet on Ramaswamy, and if he wins the primary that share would then be worth a dollar (or, alternatively, buy a share that he won't win for 83 cents, that would be worth a dollar should he lose the primary)

A higher price indicates a that the betting market thinks it's more likely to happen, so Ramaswamy seems to be the favorite Trump challenger at the moment.


It's set up like "shares", so unlike a normal bet you can buy or sell these shares at any time and could try to cash in on the odds wobbling over time rather than waiting for the bet to close.

The way it works: users buy “shares” of a market and can cash out anytime. Joe Biden, for example, is currently trading at 52-cents a share to be the 2024 Democratic nominee, and if that happens, people who bought a stake in him can sell each share for the full dollar.

Kelvin Brumm, a trader from Phoenix who lost his job at a construction company during the pandemic, says he’s won around $50,000 per year since then by placing wagers with PredictIt.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/lifestyle/2023/01/24/predictit-gambling-on-politics/

 

[d4m10n]

Also since all the final payouts are $1 per share, you can take the share price as a sort of subjective probability estimate, i.e. the market has Vivek at 17%.

 

[Orphia Nay]

Thanks, TG and Damion. Amazing how Ramaswamy's performance in the first debate got him so much popularity. Among Republicans perhaps. We know they like a showman.

 

[Brainster]

Also since all the final payouts are $1 per share, you can take the share price as a sort of subjective probability estimate, i.e. the market has Vivek at 17%.

Objective, right? The point of betting markets is to let fools bet their subjective beliefs against an objective market with a guaranteed rake to the house.

 

[stanfr]

My new theory is that Trump will pick Margot Robbie.

Since physical attractiveness and celebrity status is his only criteria, she is the perfect choice.

She is only 33 and Australian, but since Trump wants to throw out the constitution, that will not deter him.

Once elected (in a landslide) as Tucker Carlson predicts, Trump will be assassinated.

Therefore, Barbie will become the 47th President of the US.

 

[Donal]

We'll all be living in a Barbie world. What would the method of assassination be? Extra bacon on the cheeseburger?

 

[Stacyhs]

We'll all be living in a Barbie world. What would the method of assassination be? Extra bacon on the cheeseburger?

You can never have too much bacon!

 

[Gulliver Foyle]

My guess is that he'll name George Soros as running mate. Scared of his tantrums, his minders won't correct this obvious error and we'll have an epidemic of MAGAt heads exploding from the cognitive dissonance

 

[Donal]

That would be funny. He spends so much time hearing about George Soros, he gets Soros on the brain. Like Mr Burns unable to say anything but Homer Simpson.

 

[Gulliver Foyle]

That would be funny. He spends so much time hearing about George Soros, he gets Soros on the brain. Like Mr Burns unable to say anything but Homer Simpson.

Well my scenario would be that he mixed Santos up with Soros. And given his sheer narcissism he'd refuse to admit an error after the fact.