Hard to know, on that last one. I don't know how much real pressure Brown is capable of exerting on Salmond, to counteract the natural impulse to do anything Brown doesn't want just for the hell of it.
However, I just don't think that applies in this case. The opinion in Scotland among people who've actually followed the case is that Megrahi's conviction is "unsafe and unsound", and it's a scandal that the appeal process has been dragged out for so long, especially so now that he has no chance of living long enough to see its conclusion. I would be very surprised if Kenny McAskill didn't agree at least with the first part of that, though as a lawyer he possibly has no problems with the second part....
So, we know that Tony Blair wanted to send Megrahi back to Libya in 2007, and was only thwarted by the SNP at the time. Now the SNP government is also of the belief he should be sent back, though for different reasons. I really don't believe anyone in Westminster was going to stop this.
It's just politically expedient to let McAskill take the flak, and to use the affair for party-political point-scoring (much kudos to Malcolm Chisholm who broke Labour ranks and voiced support for McAskill). Also, apparently, to allow the Americans to believe that it was the Scottish government who had the trade agreement interest in seeing him released, not the UK government.
To do this, all Gordon Brown has to do is keep his mouth shut on the subject (while commenting on everything else from cricket to Michael Jackson), and let Ian Grey have his head. Ignoring the fact that if either Grey or McConnell had been First Minister in 2007, Tony would have said look, we need Megrahi sent home to secure these oil deals, and Ian/Jack would have said "yes, massa".
It's a shame the
Herald don't put their cartoons online. Todays shows a crowd of cheering people, some waving saltires. Others have placards of McAskill, and others are releasing yelow SNP-logo balloons. The caption reads, "Meanwhile at 10 Downing St...."
Rolfe.
ETA: Analysis of the
Herald letters column shows the following:
Monday, 9 for release, 2 against (both these from US addresses)
Tuesday: 12 for release, including 2 from US addresses, 2 against, again both US addresses.
If Ian Grey is right that the "silent majority" in Scotland is outraged by McAskill's decision, well, I've never known such a large number of outraged people keep quite so quiet about it.