Border Reiver
Philosopher
- Joined
- Sep 6, 2011
- Messages
- 6,726
Probably not. The might have won in the 1860s but after that the gap in terms of population and industrial capacity was widening pretty much constantly. The earlier the Civil War the better things would go for the South. Perhaps if the New England states had seceded in the War of 1812 leaving the South the dominant block in the USA.
Maybe the US could have fallen apart given a worse Great Depression and severe incompetence at Federal level leading to a multi-polar North America with a 'New Confederacy' amongst the successor states (I used this in the eWhoniverse) but I think it pretty doubtful.
Leaving Canada the dominant nation state in North America.
Or not. A large part of the drive to Confederation up here was the ACW and the desire to set up a unified defence force should the US try to do something with that large military force after their bout of unpleasantness.
You may have ended up with a Maritime Confederation of the New Englanders, Nova Scotia, New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island (I'm presuming the Newfoundlanders will still want to go it alone), Canada (the provinces of Ontario and Quebec), Rupert's Land (the lands draining into Hudson's Bay and the Arctic Ocean, which was the property of the Hudson's Bay Company until 1870, and British Columbia forming a number of independentish Dominions of the British Crown.
