Proof of Immortality, VII

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jond,
- If you figure likelihood from a singularity before the big bang, according to most scientific perspectives, the likelihood of either the current existence of a particular body, or a particular body plus a particular self, is virtually zero.

Lets put numbers to it:
Likelihood of your body: .000000000001
Likelihood of soul: .01
Likelihood of Body & Soul: you do the math, it is impossible for that number to be more likely than your body alone.
 
Also Jabba do you plan on addressing your continued claims that people are agreeing with you when they are not? Or will you just ignore that as well and continue to falsly attribute arguments and agreement to people?
 
- In my opinion, there was a very reasonable possibility -- prior to any inclusion of implications from my current existence -- that there would be something more than what we now consider to be physical. My opinion is that the probability of such is really much greater than .01, but using .01 still works in the formula. In fact, .0000001 would work.
Your "opinion" is not a rational method of estimation.
 
jond,
- If you figure likelihood from a singularity before the big bang, according to most scientific perspectives, the likelihood of either the current existence of a particular body, or a particular body plus a particular self, is virtually zero.
This statement simply recommits a number of the fatal errors in logic you've demonstrated you cannot fix.
 
Originally Posted by Argumemnon View Post
Worthless until you justify your numbers.

stevea,
- In my formula, I allow that P(~H) is .01. In the past, I've presented what I consider to be "some evidence" for immortality (the official H is OOFLam, i.e. each of us "selves" has Only One Finite Life (at most)).
- I think that, in part, you're suggesting that even .01 is a big overstatement -- at least. Is that right?
No it's not right. The objection is that you aren't following any detectable or rational method for assigning values to any of the quantities in your model. Asking people to agree to the magnitudes or supply their own guesses is not rational estimation. You're simply pulling arbitrary numbers out of your bunghole and pretending they mean something.

When you do this while also claiming to be a "certified statistician," the only real response we can offer is hearty laughter.
 
jond,
- If you figure likelihood from a singularity before the big bang, according to most scientific perspectives, the likelihood of either the current existence of a particular body, or a particular body plus a particular self, is virtually zero.

"Virtually zero" is meaningless from a scientific perspective.
 
Robo,
- Most of us here have agreed that a perfect copy of my brain and body would not bring me (my sense of self) back to life.


But nobody has agreed with your claim that this is because there would be something present in the original that would be missing from the copy, or that the copy would be somehow different from the original.

Pretending that people have agreed with you on this point is therefore dishonest.
 
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- In my opinion, there was a very reasonable possibility -- prior to any inclusion of implications from my current existence -- that there would be something more than what we now consider to be physical. My opinion is that the probability of such is really much greater than .01, but using .01 still works in the formula. In fact, .0000001 would work.


How did you arrive at the figure of 0.01?
 
jond,
- If you figure likelihood from a singularity before the big bang, according to most scientific perspectives, the likelihood of either the current existence of a particular body, or a particular body plus a particular self, is virtually zero.


In other words, if your argument disproves the materialist hypothesis under which all that is required for your existence is your body, it also disproves the hypothesis that you have an immortal soul in addition to your body.
 
- How about 10-100?

Multiply that by .01 and you get an even bigger number.

ETA: it doesn’t matter what numbers you pull out of your nether regions. You cannot get around the fact that your body existing is more likely than your body and a soul.
 
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But nobody has agreed with your claim that this is because there would be something present in the original that would be missing from the copy, or that the copy would be somehow different from the original.

Pretending that people have agreed with you on this point is therefore dishonest.
- You've all agreed that it wouldn't bring me back to life. The new sense of self would not be ME.
 
- How about 10-100?

How about any number you're just making up out of thin air? One piece of random nonsense is as good as another.

Your statements are so detached from reality you could have said "At least two" and it would have been just as valid, which is to say not valid at all.
 
- You've all agreed that it wouldn't bring me back to life. The new sense of self would not be ME.

We have all agreed that the duplicate would self identify as Jabba, which means there is no difference.
 
- You've all agreed that it wouldn't bring me back to life. The new sense of self would not be ME.

That's a lie. A bold faced lie. Not one person has said that.

Hell even in your world, you haven't tricked somebody into making some surface level agreement to that. Even using your dishonest definition of "agree" it would still be a lie.
 
- You've all agreed that it wouldn't bring me back to life. The new sense of self would not be ME.


It would, at the moment it was created, be identical to you as you were at that particular moment. There would be nothing different about it, nothing missing. The soul that your argument requires does not exist under materialism. Your argument therefore fails to disprove materialism.
 
Robo,
- Most of us here have agreed that a perfect copy of my brain and body would not bring me (my sense of self) back to life.

I've been introduced to a wonderful phrase that I think describes Jabba's ideas wonderfully.

Fractal wrongness.

It's wrong from every conceivable angle and from every level of detail. A high level overview shows it to be wrong. Every detail you drill down to is wrong in some fundamental, catastrophic manner.


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