Presidential Primaries 2012

I think that Jon Stewart had it right the other day when he said it's time to just invoke the little-league mercy rule and declare Romney the winner. He's already up by more than 10 runs in the 4th inning and it's just getting uglier. But, fortunately or unfortunately, there is no mercy rule in politics and so the spectacle will continue. :D

By the way, just look at how toxic the other candidates are to the general electorate, compared to Mitt Romney:

Obama vs. Romney
47% ------- 51%

Obama vs. Gingrich
53% ------- 45%

Obama vs. Cain
53% ------- 43%

Obama vs. Perry
52% ------- 45%

Obama vs. Bachmann
54% ------- 42%


Meanwhile, over at Intrade:
Romney: 70.0% -0.3%
Gingrich: 14.1 +7.2%
Paul: 3.7% +1.4%
Perry: 3.4% -7.6%
Huntsman: 3.1% +0.3%
Cain: 2.9% -3.4%

As I noted last time:
Puppycow said:
Looks like Newt may have a turn as the next "flavor of the week" pretty soon.
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That Newt Gingrich is getting a second look really shows how slim the pickings are, other than Romney.
 
Even if it's all wrapped up by then, I think I'm going to go troll my local caucuses. I'd debating between the Gays and the Social Security shirts:
http://imvotingteaparty.com/
 
Puppycow said:
By the way, just look at how toxic the other candidates are to the general electorate, compared to Mitt Romney:

Obama vs. Romney
47% ------- 51%

Obama vs. Gingrich
53% ------- 45%

Obama vs. Cain
53% ------- 43%

Obama vs. Perry
52% ------- 45%

Obama vs. Bachmann
54% ------- 42%
Click to expand...

The McClatchy-Marist poll (11/15) shows:

Obama 47% Gingrich 45%
Obama 48% Romney 44%
Obama 49% Paul 41%
Obama 51% Perry 40%
Obama 49% Cain 39%
Obama 54% Bachmann 35%

http://www.mcclatchydc.com/2011/11/15/130356/mcclatchy-marist-poll-of-15-november.html
 
Democracy Simulator said:
Um, Ron Paul is now polling second in NH and Iowa:

http://ivn.us/2011/11/16/ron-paul-well-positioned-to-win-iowa-caucuses/
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Um, it doesn't say that. There is nothing about a NH poll.

And in Iowa the poll (not the opinion piece you linked to) says Paul is in a statistical dead heat with Gingrich, Romney and Cain. BTW: Romney hasn't done much campaigning in Iowa. And it's still viewed as Romney's race.

“In Iowa, it’s long been a two-person race between Romney and someone else,” said J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll for Bloomberg. “It is now a four- person race between Romney and three someone elses.”
Click to expand...
 
Spindrift said:
Um, it doesn't say that. There is nothing about a NH poll.

And in Iowa the poll (not the opinion piece you linked to) says Paul is in a statistical dead heat with Gingrich, Romney and Cain. BTW: Romney hasn't done much campaigning in Iowa. And it's still viewed as Romney's race.
Click to expand...


Sorry, here are the proper links:

Ron Paul 2nd place in Iowa poll:

http://www.thestatecolumn.com/texas/ron-paul-takes-2nd-in-an-iowa-poll-for-2nd-time-in-4-days/

Ron Paul 2nd place in NH poll:

http://exeter.patch.com/articles/report-ron-paul-second
 
So is Ron Paul going to knock Newt out in the rotation of playing the lead in "I'm Not Romney"?
 
Not Romney roulette seems to be speeding up as the year wraps up.
 
Puppycow said:
No. The man wants to legalize heroin never mind pot. Plus he's against the wars.
Click to expand...

And he's polling second in these primaries. What explains it? Is it the general lack of enthusiasm for the other candidates, or is it that his ideas are actually getting some traction?
 
Democracy Simulator said:
And he's polling second in these primaries. What explains it? Is it the general lack of enthusiasm for the other candidates, or is it that his ideas are actually getting some traction?
Click to expand...

Ideas getting traction? Not likely. I happen to think that libertarianism has a hard ceiling of acceptance, and that be low. But then Paul is a cafeteria libertarian -- he has certain statist policy views to thrill the religios.
 
Democracy Simulator said:
So what is it then? He doesn't have Presidential Hair.
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I'd assume a combination of an overall poor showing from the rest of the lineup and his extremely devout following. Some of his overly simple "solutions" probably resonate with the GOP voters too, regardless of their efficacy.
 
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