Powerball for April 8, 2005

mayday said:
I should have been more careful. When I was predicting the PB number with the pendulum, it started swinging yes between 28 and 33...I must have chosen too rashly, rather than take the ample time to really figure it out. I chose all the numbers too rashly.

I will do better for this Wednesday's drawing.
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Only psychic powers live in the fuzzy gray area between a yes or no answer.

JPK
 
If dowsing pendulums works so fine, how come mining companies still keep geologists like me in the field? Mines can be found from a confortable office dowsing at a map...

OK, that´s it. I´ll start to learn, since I see the opportunity. I will want a big office with a spetacular secretary. I will deserve it, after saving all that money. I wonder what the auditors from NYSE and TSX will think of it...
 
mayday said:
I should have been more careful. When I was predicting the PB number with the pendulum, it started swinging yes between 28 and 33...I must have chosen too rashly, rather than take the ample time to really figure it out. I chose all the numbers too rashly.

I will do better for this Wednesday's drawing.
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My prediction, which I produced by reading the tea leafs in my tea-cup, is that you are going to do no better or worse next time.
 
Nucular said:
Do make sure and post before the draw this time won't you - and get some cream for that rash :p
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I'm not sure what everyone is complaining about... she posted the day before the drawing...

(Drawings are every Thursday and Sunday at 4 AM UTC)

mayday said:
I should have been more careful. When I was predicting the PB number with the pendulum, it started swinging yes between 28 and 33...I must have chosen too rashly, rather than take the ample time to really figure it out. I chose all the numbers too rashly.

I will do better for this Wednesday's drawing.
Click to expand...

So, lets narrow this down.

You're predicting 1 number correct (about 1 in 5) or just the powerball (about 1 in 70) now?
 
DangerousBeliefs said:
I'm not sure what everyone is complaining about... she posted the day before the drawing...

(Drawings are every Thursday and Sunday at 4 AM UTC)
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Well I'll take it back if I'm confused (which I often am), but my board is set at GMT, and the time & date displayed for Mayday's first post is 04-09-2005 02:34 PM... that would be the GMT time wouldn't it? Which would be after the draw, which was on the 8th?

It's not hugely important since clearly no cheating took place, but I'd like to know for next time...
 
No, Mayday's post was in advance of the draw. She mistakenly said it was going to be drawn on the 8th, but it was made on the evening of the 9th (or early on the 10th if you're in Europe).
 
Nucular said:
Do make sure and post before the draw this time won't you - and get some cream for that rash :p
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I posted the morning of the drawing. Where did you ever get that I post after that fact?
 
TheBoyPaj said:
No, Mayday's post was in advance of the draw. She mistakenly said it was going to be drawn on the 8th, but it was made on the evening of the 9th (or early on the 10th if you're in Europe).
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Ah, I see - another mystery solved, thanks!
 
Good evening Mayday.

You have been claiming that there is something to your pendulum so far. I also note that you say that it will take some practice to get better. I suggest that you not forget your previous failures. You need to include these failures in your overall testing. Do you admit that so far you pendulum has been wrong everytime?

JPK
 
delphi_ote said:
The odds of getting one number right are m/n (m being the number of balls and n being the highest number on any of the balls.) In your case, I'm going to guess n = 50. With 5 balls, that gives you a 1/10 chance of choosing one number right.
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There are 53 numbers that the first five are drawn from. The probability of getting the first one right, and the rest wrong, are:

5/53 * 48/52 * 47/51 * 46/50 * 45/49 = 6.8%

The proability of getting any one of the five is this answer multiplied by five, or 34%.

So about one time out of three you could expect to get exactly one of the first five numbers right. Then there's about a 18% chance of getting two of the numbers right. And this is ignoring the possibility of a hit on the powerball number (which is independent of the other five).

Getting at least one number right in a lottery like this is completely unremarkable.
 
CurtC said:

Getting at least one number right in a lottery like this is completely unremarkable.
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Oh yea? Well it's a hell of a lot better than I was doing before.
 
CurtC said:
Then there's about a 18% chance of getting two of the numbers right.
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It's actually about 6% (to get exactly 2 numbers correct):

(5/53) * (4/52) * (48/51) * (47/50) * (46/49) * 10 permutations = 0.0603

But still, the chance of getting exactly one or exactly two numbers (which I don't believe actually gets you any money) is a little over 40% !
Getting at least one number right in a lottery like this is completely unremarkable.
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I'm not going to disagree with you there :D

Originally posted by mayday
Oh yea? Well it's a hell of a lot better than I was doing before.
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Well, I don't mean to trivialize your amazing achievement,..no wait - I do mean to do that. If you could get at least one number, every single time without fail, for a couple of months - that would be something (chance roughly less than 1 in 1000). But posting that you happened to get a single number is pretty comparable to letting us know that you happened to guess whether a coin would be heads or tails on one particular occasion. Call me a cynical skeptic if you like, but I'm not too impressed by that. Do it 20 times in a row, and we can talk.

(edited for formatting)
 
SpaceFluffer said:
It's actually about 6% (to get exactly 2 numbers correct):

(5/53) * (4/52) * (48/51) * (47/50) * (46/49) * 10 permutations = 0.0603
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You are correct, sir!

I erred in calculating the combination of five things taken two at a time - I came up with 30 somehow, but 10 is correct. I knew something was wrong, because I already knew that the probability of getting zero is 59%, and 34% for one plus 18% for two already add up to more than the missing 41%. Thanks for fixing my error.
 
CurtC said:
You are correct, sir!

I erred in calculating the combination of five things taken two at a time - I came up with 30 somehow, but 10 is correct. I knew something was wrong, because I already knew that the probability of getting zero is 59%, and 34% for one plus 18% for two already add up to more than the missing 41%. Thanks for fixing my error.
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Excellent work! Now we're all thinking!

(okay, all - 1)
 
Hi Mayday

You know when your thing on a string is moving what do you believe is happening?

Is it that you think an outside spirit type person, say a spirit guide, who knows the future is moving it for you, tipping you the wink so to speak?

Or that you yourself know the future so the info is coming from you? If so how do you know the future?

Not trying to put you on the spot but it's just I've never had a one-to-one with someone who practises this before and am keen to understand what you think is actually happening.

Sharon
 
mayday said:
Well it's a hell of a lot better than I was doing before.
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If you can consistently fail to predict a single number from six choices, there is definitely something odd going on. Perhaps you should aim for that, in view of your results when you try for correct predictions.
 
Just testing something here. Powerball picks for Wednesday, April 13, 2005:

Series 1:
-16- -26- -35- -40- -45- PB 20

Series 2:
-7- -13- -21- -23- -53- PB 42
 
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