Posted here from the JP murder thread as this relates to and supports the opening subject.:

Poster: Steve Grenard:

Keen Responds
First, some general thoughts about sceptical criticisms of the supposed paranormal: it is prudent and rational to look for normal explanations, and both fair and desirable to follow the general precept that extraordinary claims require extraordinary levels of proof. And there can be no disputing that the Jacqui Poole case is extraordinary, although not for the reasons most sceptics would accept. It is extraordinary in the abundance and impressiveness of the evidence of paranormality, and the poverty of alternative explanations. It is not extraordinary as apparent evidence of discarnate communication, since the literature supporting this is vast, and widely ignored or neglected.

Secondly, the methods used by determined sceptics to criticise such cases have been recognised and exposed for 120 years: they are to ignore the best and concentrate on the least impressive pieces of evidence; to disparage the competence or sometimes question the sanity of the investigators; to misrepresent or distort what they cannot accept or account for, and to divert the issue into one of their own choosing, which is what has happened in this case, as I will show.

What makes their task so difficult to square with the norms of rational debate and scientific objectivity, to say nothing of plain honesty and integrity, was apparent a century ago when the deceased George Pellew, communicating through Mrs Piper, recognised and gave intimate details about a very large number of his earthly friends and relatives: here the critics were forced to dismiss as mere telepathy what appeared to be evidence of survival.

No such option is allowed to the determined sceptic. If it were, we could have a civilized debate evaluating the competing merits of the two hypotheses: communication from the dead or telepathy from the living. But since this admission is not allowed it follows that the critic must account for all the information transmitted by a medium as based on prior knowledge or cold reading, or both. A study of the evidence in this case exposes the absurdity of any such claim. Hence the critics' subtle twist of the plot, so that the debate turns on the extent to which, if at all, the retrieval of the murderer's pullover was or was not a factor which influenced or even determined the successful prosecution of Ruark. This is clearly of great interest, but the outcome in no way affects the principal issue: did Holohan give genuine and meaningful evidence about the circumstances of the murder which she could not have acquired normally.

Now let me come to specifics:

Tony Batters was a detective for many years both before and after the Poole case. and is currently a civilian detective employed by the police. There was a brief period when, for administrative reasons, he was in uniform while attached to a CID murder squad, but this makes not the slightest difference to the role he played during the investigation.

Batters was principal in the sense that he was the officer deputed to investigate when the victim's non-response to calls was first reported to the police; it was he who broke into the apartment and spent five hours making notes; it was he, accompanied by Detective Andy Smith, who responded to Holohan's offer to provide information and kept notes of the interview. It was never suggested that he was actually in charge of the murder squad, but he worked closely with Lundy, the officer in charge who (contrary to the firm belief of "Stumpy", aka Detective Adrian Shaw, of whom Tony Batters and his colleagues have never heard, and who had nothing to do with the murder squad involved in the case), interviewed many of the suspects himself.

Furthermore, it was Batters who kept his fingers on the huge volume of papers which accumulated, and it was he who was in the witness box at the eventual trial for two days. He was the only police officer to be in attendance throughout the trial. DCI McKinlay, who, of course, had nothing to do with the original inquiry in 1983, and could not have been expected to know anything about Holohan's evidence (which is what our Report is about), was not regularly at the trial, and had no need to be.

My statement that Batters recovered the pullover was a minor error which I immediately corrected, as Professor French will confirm. It is difficult to believe that Youens was unaware of this — not that it matters one whit who collected the pullover.

I never asserted that Batters' notes were part of the evidence at the trial. On the contrary, it is obvious that, since a deceased entity cannot give evidence, statements made by a medium would be regarded as inadmissible. It is therefore astonishing that Youens should have asked why the evidence obtained from Holohan was not discussed in the court proceedings. I was not aware that the notes from the Holohan interview were typed up and "submitted to the enquiry" but perhaps this was just routine. Whether "enquiry" refers to police records or to the court proceedings 18 years later is not clear, and doesn't really matter.

Nor is it clear what is meant by "Officer X" having denied any knowledge of the notes scribbled by Holohan. Officer X is presumably Detective Sergeant Andy Smith who accompanied Batters and who has signed a statement confirming the accuracy of our account. That account refers to and reproduces the single page on which the medium wrote when in semi-trance. There were no "notes" made by her. This was the page containing, among other matters, the name "Pokie" which Smith, with local knowledge, recognised as the nickname of Ruark.

The issue of the pullover is another red herring. Despite Detective Superintendent Lundy's recollection of what took place twenty years earlier, the facts are that Ruark, one of a large number of suspects who were male and likely to be known to the victim (since there was no sign of forced entry), had provided the police only days before the Holohan interview with a persuasive alibi, when the crucial matter of times was backed by a couple of his drinking partners. Although well known as a thief, Ruark had no record of violence.

Despite any current, and understandable, claimsby police to have been completely self-sufficient in the decision to focus on Ruark, it was at least partly in consequence of the profound affect the Holohan interview had on the two police officers that Lundy, who was otherwise satisfied with Ruark's alibi, ordered a search to be made of Ruark's apartment, where the discarded pullover was removed. Had he not acted promptly the pullover may well have been lost to the rubbish tip. As for the relevance of the pullover in securing a conviction, see below.

Further evidence that this was the order of events is seen from Lundy's order for gardens to be dug up, presumably in the hope of retrieving the missing jewellery. This arose entirely from the scribbled message written in semi-trance by Holohan in response to further questions by the police officers. As will be seen from the facsimile we shall be reproducing in our report, in addition to the word "Pokie", the medium had written "garden" , as well as a number and a name which, at the time, meant nothing to the detectives. Only eighteen years later, when puzzling over his retrieved notebook and the mysterious message, did Batters conclude that this might well have been the medium's attempt to identify the place where the jewellery was temporarily hidden (there were good reasons why Ruark would not have wished to take it home, or to hand it to his usual fence). What transpired was a brilliant piece of detective work which confounds those who argue that Holohan's message was valueless. But you will have to await details in our paper.

It is said that Lundy has refuted the statement that Pokie was not at the time of the Holohan interview a prime suspect. He has done nothing of the sort. Refutation is disproof. He has relied upon a less than perfect memory to deny the statement. For someone whose proud claim it was never to have failed to solve a murder, it is perfectly understandable that recollection of these events should have been slightly remoulded. There is still a strong dislike of acknowledging that mediums could ever play any role in a police investigation. The report that DCI McKinlay also refutes this is even more misleading: the fact is that he was not involved in the case in 1983 and would be most unlikely to have any knowledge of the details of interrogations of scores of people as part of the murder squad's duties.

As for the value of the evidence from the pullover, it is in no way material to the question of the accuracy of statements made about the murder by the medium. However, contrary to the suggestion put about that either there was no pullover or that, if it existed, it played no part in the evidence, forensic witness Nick Boyall, who at the time of the pullover-retrieval was Jim Fraser's assistant, gave evidence relating to the pullover, and Jim Fraser confirmed it.

Now for Batters' notes. They were made during the interview, as Holohan was speaking (It is barely conceivable that they would have been put together in any other way). They were in his writing, using abbreviations as normal when shorthand is not used, and have been inspected by Guy Playfair, my wife and myself. They played no part in the trial.

I have made no reference to what appears in the public files and court records. We have not reviewed any such records. They seem to me to be of little if any relevance to the issue under discussion: did Holohan convey accurate evidence to the police which she could not have known by any normal means

There is clearly some dispute about Ruark's status as a prime suspect before the Holohan interview. While I prefer to rely upon the evidence of the man most intimately involved - and for a lengthy period - in the minutiae of this case, I must emphasise that it really has no bearing on the case, even if it suggested that the CID publicly voiced their suspicions within days of the murder, so that they came to Holohan's ears and thereby enabled her to discover, e.g. that he had a tattoo on his body, or that he had been recently engaged in an insurance swindle — a fact which remained unknown to the police until long after the event; or that the dead woman had visited her boyfriend in "bird" a fortnight previously, the boy friend also being a friend of Pokie .... - or indeed scores of previously unknown details which sceptics have been unable to explain.

Detective Shaw, your insatiable correspondent, appears to assume that "everyone is now in agreement that the information provided by Holohan in no way contributed to the conviction of Ruark." I have previously explained, and must firmly reiterate, that there are good reasons why it may well have done. Without it, there would have been no reason to retrieve the pullover. Remember that Ruark, unlike the other twenty four or so suspects, had not only gone voluntarily to the police but had an alibi supported by two witnesses, and no record of violence. The pullover was a garment retained for forensics, and it showed exchanges of blood and saliva from her to him. This was strongly suggestive of an act of violence, as opposed to the consensual intimacy, which was Ruark's defence claim at the Old Bailey trial. This evidence was aided both by the failure of the two original alibi supporters to give evidence in Ruark's favour, and by his claim to have had an earlier sexual relationship with Poole at a date when the police were able to show that he was at a football match.

In sum, the detailed information given by the medium, some of it unknown to the police at the time, and some of it not confirmed until 18 years later, is impossible to write off as cold or hot reading; and it is an affront to common sense to go on pursuing that vain argument or seeking to divert interested readers away from the essential issue of paranormality.
 
And here the case rests.

No one has been able to provide a rational eaxplanation which is backed up by evidence. Lots of assumptions, no substance. Lots of wishful thinking, no critical thinking. Ergo; the case remains undebunked short of personal opinion and unsubstantiated supposition.
 
Where these matters stand right now is that we are awaiting Keen's publication of the Pool Case in the January, 2004 issue of the JSPR. I usually get my copy two to three months late in the U.S. so I am going to ask someone to send me a photocoppy by airmail as soon as they have it in the UK. In addition it may be useful to point out to skeptics interested in the subject of this thread that the late and highly respected Marcello Truzzi, a co-founder of CSICOP, and a well known, honest skeptic investigator published TWO books on this subject, both of which are available inexpensively (used from $1.45 to $5.00) online from sources like amazon.com or b&n. I attached
reviews to both entries. fyi:

The Blue Sense: Psychic Detectives and Crime

by Arthur Lyons, Marcello Truzzi




From Publishers Weekly:

The "blue sense" is a heightened sort of intuition capable ofinsights far beyond what a police officer can ordinarily see, hear orsmell. Here Truzzi, professor of sociology and director of the Centerfor Scientic Anomalies Research at Eastern Michigan University, andLyons ( Other People's Money ) combine their talents in a fair-minded assessment of what parapsychology can bring to law enforcement, arguing that cops have something to learn from psychics. Only about 10% of police forces in the U.S. admit to using practitioners of telepathy, clairvoyance, precognition and psychokinesis, claim theauthors, but many more may do so sub rosa, fearing accusations ofprofessional tomfoolery. Devastating in their exposure of charlatanismin the field, Truzzi and Lyons nevertheless also cite important contributions made by psychics to criminal investigations. And, they cogently caution readers, simply because many benefits of theparanormal are unproved does not mean they have been disproved.


Ingram

An examination of the increasing use of psychics by police departments for the investigation of crimes discusses cases solved with the help of psychics and more. Reprint. K. PW.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Psychics: The Investigators and Spies who use Paranormal Powers

By Sarah Moran and Marcello Truzzi



Reviewer: A reader from California
This book is the most interesting book on psychics I have enjoyed reading. It has given me so many facts about how the working world view and uses psychics, like your local police department and the F.B.I.. They sweep them under the carpet, rarely giving them the credit because it doesn't hold up in a court of law. This needs to be changed, the evidence to a murder of a child or loved one "found" and led to the killer!. Chapter one The sixth sense Investigators; psychic detection through history "the woman, the witch, the medicine man". How religions run our society, for the most part, get there way, in pretending psychics aren't responsible for the intuitive works they have done, even though many don't get paid for there efforts, like on page 52 Greta Alexander. quote from book "Police do not openly praise the usefulness of a psychic on an investigation not lest because of the existing preconception that second sight is somehow akin to witchcraft". ? She was accused of being occult. Yet her work was extraordinary. "A retired captain of the homicide division of Washington, D.C. told the Winnipeg Sun that Gretta Alexander has got extraordinary psychic powers-and that is a fact." Even Debbie Reynolds believed in Gretta's psychic sight. Then there was Vanga Dimitrova the blind prophetess in Bulgaria. She was investigated by numerous scientists, and every time she survived their scrutiny, leaving her examiners unable to explain her extraordinary powers of intuition. She was even tested by Dr. Georgi Lozannov, at Sofia Inst. of Parapsychology in Petrich who concluded that Dimitrova's powers were real, not faked.

There are endless stories to read in this book and I loved them all. I was happy that it took me a while to get through it!
Renee
 
Bob Carroll's skeptic's dictionary puts a slightly different spin on the term "blue sense" by the way and it is also worth considering that "argument" which they ascribe to, I guess, warm reading or the ability to read people's body language, appearance, vocal intonation, etc etc. I am certain this is true as well but it is not the entire thesis offered by Lyons and Truzzi in their monograph on this subject.


entry from skepdic.com:

"The "blue sense" is a cop's intuition about impending danger, about whether a suspect is guilty, about whether someone's lying, about hunches regarding cases or people. The term is used by Lyons and Truzzi to refer to something akin to psychic power possessed by good cops. "It is that unknown quantity in the policeman's decision-making process that goes beyond what he can see and hear and smell." (Lyons and Truzzi, p. 11)

Studies have not validated the "blue sense," but there is good evidence that some people, including some cops, reliably infer others' emotions, intentions, and thoughts by their demeanor and facial expressions
(Eckman and Friesen1975; Eckman and Rosenberg 1979)."
 
Lucianarchy said:
And here the case rests.

No one has been able to provide a rational eaxplanation which is backed up by evidence. Lots of assumptions, no substance. Lots of wishful thinking, no critical thinking. Ergo; the case remains undebunked short of personal opinion and unsubstantiated supposition.

I can not believe that you really, honest to god, believe what you are writing. It is not possible that a person capable of using a computor could have such altered mental processes.
 
Hi Steve

Studies have not validated the "blue sense," but there is good evidence that some people, including some cops, reliably infer others' emotions, intentions, and thoughts by their demeanor and facial expressions

Studies since then have found that Police score no better than chance in guessing whether someone is lying or not (Ekman and O’Sullivan, 1991). We certainly had a period of studying the body-language of suspects included in out interview training in the early to mid 1990's. This was later withdrawn when studies concluded that such techniques were wholly unreliable.

In relation to "blue intuition" I can recall a few events where I have experienced that feeling of impending danger prior to an incident. However the times where I have had the feeling and nothing happened far out-weigh the times when something did.
There may well be a rational explanation for that feeling of impending danger. For years UK Law Enforcement have been doing crime pattern analysis whereby crime "hot-spots" are identified. I would imagine that when entering one of these "hot-spots" your expectation of something happening is going to be raised. Indeed if the crime pattern analysis is correct I would suppose that statistically there is a much higher chance of something occurring in that area, so it should be no great surprise that you feel something will happen and then it does. Also, tension indicators are collated that try and predict where and when events involving civil disorder will occur. Obviously recources are directed into the predicted area of disorder at the correct time. It is almost inevitable that any officer deployed in that way will have an increased sense of tension, leading her/him to feel that something might happen, again, there is a statistically higher chance that those fears will be realised if the tension indicators have been collated properly. Even prior to the formal analysis of such indicators, any cop worth his salt was aware which pubs were liable to be the venue for fights, or which areas were favourite for burglars or car-thieves. Again, this knowledge is likely to increase the officer's awareness and make it more likely that something will actually happen.

regards

Stumpy
 
Of course some, but not all, people get antsy, nervous, and upset when they are being questionned by the police, even for minor things like traffic stops let alone major cases. And of course, on the opposite side of the coin, you could be talking to a guilty party who is calm, cool, collected and a pathological and very convincing liar. Thus I can see where you say this is not a 100% reliable or valid means of drawing any conclusions but it is not meant to.

If a suspect is being questionned,
especially interrogated or grilled intensively, there comes a point when the investigator has to decide they are still in the pool or they are innocent regardless of their behavior, body language or vocal intonation. There was and still is a lot of controversy in the U.S. over such methods which, in a celebrated case, caused a teen to confess to a murder he did not commit but the interrogators were so skilled and so relentless they ended up making the kid believe he did the deed.
So even a confession may not always take the place of physical evidence (DNA, fingerprints, powder residue,
fibers, etc).


Adrian -- while we are on this subject and I have your attention, I would be interested in your thoughts as a professional police investigator on the following method which can be found at:

www.brainwavescience.com
 
Ed said:
I can not believe that you really, honest to god, believe what you are writing. It is not possible that a person capable of using a computor could have such altered mental processes.

Yes, it is. Sadly.
 
Stumpy you seem to have a total grasp of the subject.The more I read your posts the more I get impressed. It's not that you have the knowledge but you also have the ability to express yourself clearly. I know that your work is tiring and time consuming , I also know from my experience that police officers, even the most educated ones are very modest and they avoid to show off but have you ever thought to compose an article or a series of articles on this subject ?

We know for sure somebody who is dying to have an article from you ;)
 
Lucianarchy said:
And here the case rests.

No one has been able to provide a rational eaxplanation which is backed up by evidence. Lots of assumptions, no substance. Lots of wishful thinking, no critical thinking. Ergo; the case remains undebunked short of personal opinion and unsubstantiated supposition.

There have been lots of rational explanations with plenty of substance.

You are appealing to ignorance by trying to shift the burden of evidence. Try backing up your claims with evidence.
 
Yet no one can actualy provide any evidence to support the various suppositions proposed.

You see why we call this 'wishful thinking'.

Ms H, I believe, now has a career in politics and a background of integrity , honesty and public duty/spirit. The suggestions that she may have been involved in deception here is without any evidence what-so-ever. It is quite stupid and cheap to suggest it as a rational explanation in this case.

There is no evidence to support the supposition of deception.

The case of the Police Fed article remains undebunked.
 
Lucianarchy wrote

Yet no one can actualy provide any evidence to support the various suppositions proposed.

Are you are including the suppositions made by the supporters of the claim in this statement?

The concept of accepting any claim as truth until disproven hardly needs the reductio ad absurdum pointing out. If I claim that there are column of ants on pluto wearing football boots and manufactuing Mars bars for domestic consumption, this is de facto the truth until someone can conclusively prove otherwise by your reasoning.

Put simply there are a number of possibilities of how Holohan obtained the information that she supplied to the PC Batters. The reader is invited to decide which, if any, of the claims have any validity. Whatever you decide the process is entirely subjective and therefore cannot be relied upon for establishing what actually happened 2 decades ago. We do know from an interview that Holohan, post trial, claimed to have provided detailed information about the murder two decades that simply isn't true.

In case you missed it, she claimed in this article: http://www.100megsfree4.com/farshores/pghost27.htm that she saw
his hands go round her throat and pull the cord tight.
Yet she failed to mention this to Batters during the original interview. There is no mention in Batters notes and Batters has no recollection of Holohan ever mentioning this. The first time Holohan ever mentioned strangulation with a cord is post-trial wherein this fact was publicly disclosed.

BTW, I couldn't help but smile when you linked the qualities of honesty and integrity with politics.

regards

Stumpy
 
Lucianarchy said:
Ms H, I believe, now has a career in politics and a background of integrity , honesty and public duty/spirit.
Stumpy,
I also found that to be an oxymoronic statement.
It seems things are alike on both sides of the pond.
 
Ms H, I believe, now has a career in politics and a background of integrity , honesty and public duty/spirit. The suggestions that she may have been involved in deception here is without any evidence what-so-ever. It is quite stupid and cheap to suggest it as a rational explanation in this case.

Hello again,

I have been sent a copy of a reading given by Christine Holohan. To say the least it is one of the most appalling readings I've ever heard - and I've heard a few. Such is the interest she has for her client she yawns virtually all the way through. She bombed on everything.

As for her "career in politics", the person who sent me the reading said the charge was 40 euros. She had 7 names on her list for that afternoon alone and they conservatively estimated that if this was a typical day she should be making around 64,000 Euros a year. Not bad really considering how her powers seem to have waned.

Cheers to all,

Tony Youens
www.tonyyouens.com
 
I have to admit that I didn't read the 16! pages all that thorougly but I want to address the original post.

I don't really see the big point in denying that policemen think psychics are helpful in a case now and then. After all why would policemen all be immune to human defects as after-the-fact wishful thinking?

When it comes to psychics detectives in general the problem is that no cases are documented in a way that would persuade a hardline sceptic like myself and most other sceptics here. Media is way to unreliable to be the base of any conclusion pro or con which goes for any topic from politics, economy and whether that guy from Big Brother really is that stupid as he looks.

And whatif police agencies have written policys on how to deal with information from psychics? They have to relate somehow to the reality that a lot of alleged psychics come to help in cases. The presence of a policy doesn't make the claims true.
 
tonyyouens said:


Hello again,

I have been sent a copy of a reading given by Christine Holohan. To say the least it is one of the most appalling readings I've ever heard - and I've heard a few. Such is the interest she has for her client she yawns virtually all the way through. She bombed on everything.

As for her "career in politics", the person who sent me the reading said the charge was 40 euros. She had 7 names on her list for that afternoon alone and they conservatively estimated that if this was a typical day she should be making around 64,000 Euros a year. Not bad really considering how her powers seem to have waned.


First of all, Tony, we are skeptics here and you need to provide evidence for your above claim. In fact, whilst you're at it, perhaps you could provide some rational evidence which could possibly support your supposition that Ms H used decpetion. I'm only asking, becuase, to date, neither yourself nor Stumps have provided anyhting, short of your opinion, and you will remember, we are skeptics here and don't rely on opinion and supposition.
You know, hand waving and impugning that someone is a fraud is really stupid without any evidence what so ever.

Cheers.
 
Vitnir said:


And whatif police agencies have written policys on how to deal with information from psychics? They have to relate somehow to the reality that a lot of alleged psychics come to help in cases. The presence of a policy doesn't make the claims true.

Nor do they make them false. In fact, Officer Stumpy offered to get a copy of the CPO guidlelines for working with psychics. But to date, he has been unable to detect where they are.
 
Lucianarchy said:
First of all, Tony, we are skeptics here and you need to provide evidence for your above claim.

First of all, Lucianarchy, you are not a skeptic. But you are a hypocrite for demanding evidence of others, when you yourself never give any.

But since you mention evidence...
"Questions for Lucianarchy"
 

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