Plume in Flight 93 photo is different

Is the plume in this photo from Flight 93 crashing?

  • Yes.

    Votes: 129 90.8%
  • No.

    Votes: 13 9.2%

  • Total voters
    142
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regarding memory for time...In my psych classes, I have tried a replication of Asch's line-judgment experiment, but with an auditory target. In a class of 60-70 people, I ask them to guess (without watches, without counting to themselves, etc.) the length of a timed interval. Between "begin" and "end", I time 32 seconds with a stopwatch. I then ask them to estimate the amount of time that has elapsed. I have seen estimates as low as 12 seconds, as high as 2 minutes.

Yes, this is nothing like the circumstances in the present case. There is nowhere near the level of stress, excitement, or fear. If we look at the experimental findings on eyewitness testimony, we can expect Val's testimony to be shakier than this.

It is entirely possible that the picture was taken within the 10-12 seconds some are estimating. It is equally possible that the picture was taken close to a minute after the explosion.

I suggest not relying on one particular time for any arguments; unless the camera's memory chip recorded time to the second, we will never know when the picture was taken.
 
if the wind was blowing evenly it wouldnt appear "bent" because the collumn woudl also be moving SE at the same rate
And all the continuing smoke from the remaining burning fuel would just lie low to the ground that we can see?

Here is what a REAL jet fire looks like (left pic Val's, middle orndnance form Beiruit, right pic jet crash from Nam):

plume-comparison3.1.jpg
 
endofserenity-9-11-01.jpg


Thermal generated by the fireball of Flight 93 REAL crash. Distance from crash: ~ 2560 m.



concorde8x256.gif


Thermal generated by the fireball of Concorde REAL crash. Distance from crash: ~ 2700 m.
 
[qimg]http://www.shanksvillememorial.com/endofserenity-9-11-01.jpg[/qimg]

Thermal generated by the fireball of Flight 93 REAL crash. Distance from crash: ~ 2560 m.

[qimg]http://image.guardian.co.uk/sys-images/Guardian/Pix/pictures/2000/07/27/concorde8x256.gif[/qimg]

Thermal generated by the fireball of Concorde REAL crash. Distance from crash: ~ 2700 m.
Assuming your example is correct:

1) Why does the Concorde plume have a thick column and Val's has a thin empty column?

2) Did the Concorde nosedive at "nearly 90deg"?

3) Did the building it crashed in increase the size of the plume at all?
 
The extra smoke from the cash could be the result of the fire that was already on the Concorde at time it took off. We do know that flight 93 was not on fire at the time it crash. Which could be the reason.

Secondly we are comapring two different planes and the concord had a lot more fuel in it when it crash as well.
 
1) So educated guesses have no place in debate?


You guess doesn't appear to be educated.


2) Call it "explosion," call it "mushroom cloud," it's all the same the way I mean it. It refers to what ever was larger.

No, they're not even remotely the same.



3) a) Can you show me a plane crash that was dark then dissapated to be uniformily grey like Val's plume?

Eh gads, can I show you one that isn't! That concord one for example, is lighter. Look at ANY air crash photo taken a decent time after impact. Must I do all your work for you? Presumably you HAVE researched this right?





Well, this is the final straw for me. You are attempting to interpret a digital photograph, yet you know nothing about the properties and limitations of digital cameras.

Great. So in other words, you have no idea what you are doing. Thus further discussion with you is pointless.

For the record, consumer digital cameras do not have UV filters, which means photos of objects/landscapes a significant distance away are given "haze". This can be seen in Val's photo by the blue tint to the mushroom cloud - this is the blue sky hazing across the black smoke.

Further more, digital cameras have poor contrast ratios due to a very narrow exposure curve. On a bright sunny day there is high contrast, resulting in a "crushing" of the darkest and lightest elements in the picture. In Val's picture this is further exaggerated because she has caught the edge of her drain in the photo. This serves as the black end of the contrast ratio, thus everything else is shunted up to the bright end.

End result of no UV filter and digital camera? A dark mushroom cloud rising in the sky 2.3 km away appears significantly lighter coloured in the photo than it did in real life.


4) Hey, if you're afraid to, that's cool.

Afraid? I'm not afraid. I just don't see the point. As far as I can tell my graphic would be very much the same as yours (except I calculated the pillar location as well as the maximum width of the cloud).

The only difference is you then invented a "reasonable size explosion" (for some unknown reason) and then moved it a significant distance closer to Val's house (also for unknown reasons).

-Andrew
 
Assuming your example is correct:

1) Why does the Concorde plume have a thick column and Val's has a thin empty column?

2) Did the Concorde nosedive at "nearly 90deg"?

3) Did the building it crashed in increase the size of the plume at all?


Kill town, could you apply the same scrutiny to your own plane crash comparison?

The smoke plume in Val McClatchey's infamous photo originated at a different location than where we were told Flight 93 crashed:

[qimg]http://photos1.blogger.com/blogger/7508/1605/1600/93-plume-comparison.jpg[/qimg]

(Original photo source. Plume in right photo came from a real plane crash. See analysis of how this was determined here.)

[qimg]http://img142.imageshack.us/img142/4601/plumecomparisonns0.gif[/qimg]



So this means this plume in Val's photo was not from Flight 93 crashing.
 
about 5 seconds[\QUOTE]

It's a gross estimate, it's not a specific recollection.

after almost being knocked off her couch from the explosion.

From that link:
Val McClatchey heard the 757 roar over Indian Lake, three miles east of where it would crash. She had been watching the "Today" show, with footage from New York, and now the Pentagon.

She looked out the window, above the red barns. She caught a glimpse of it, like light off a watch face. Then nothing, and then a boom that nearly knocked her off the couch.

What else could possibly this explosion be? Was there any other reports of explosions in that area other than the crash of flight 93?
 
And all the continuing smoke from the remaining burning fuel would just lie low to the ground that we can see?


It would be my expectation that, in a crash like UA 93. the jet fuel would all fireball simultaneously, burning off in moments. The column from the ground is almost broken, confirming this. In addition this explains the size of the mushroom head.

Slightly to the left of the mushroom column can be seen a bulbous lighter grey shape just rising over the tree line. I would propose this is the beginnings of secondary fires burning in the woods as a result of the jet fuel. The smoke from this secondary fire, I would expect to be white. (Remember the sun is behind the photographer, reflecting directly off the smoke).

As per:

here

and

here

and

here

-Andrew
 
1) It's a gross estimate, it's not a specific recollection.

2) What else could possibly this explosion be?
1) she said the FBI timed her.

2) someting from a different area, or she made it up. Who else claimed the were almost "knocked off" their "couch"
 
It would be my expectation that, in a crash like UA 93. the jet fuel would all fireball simultaneously, burning off in moments. The column from the ground is almost broken, confirming this. In addition this explains the size of the mushroom head.

6-8,000 gallons can't burn simultaneously, some will stick around and keep burning.

Why didn't the grass around the rim of the crate get singed?
 
1) she said the FBI timed her.

So, it just means the FBI thinks she could have taken a photo within x seconds of becoming aware of the crash. It doesn't mean that it happened exactly that way.

2) someting from a different area, or she made it up. Who else claimed the were almost "knocked off" their "couch"

Do you see that this is a loaded question?

For one thing, she seems to be the only person in that area, at that time. Therefore, the lack of other witnesses isn't evidence of anything.

Secondly, what are the scare quotes around "couch" supposed to mean.

Really, what are you trying to argue?
 
1) So, it just means the FBI thinks she could have taken a photo within x seconds of becoming aware of the crash. It doesn't mean that it happened exactly that way.

2) For one thing, she seems to be the only person in that area, at that time. Therefore, the lack of other witnesses isn't evidence of anything.
1) So those 3 FBI guys were too stupid to figure out she couldn't have done it in 5 seconds?

2) What about the workers at the scrap yard next door?
 
1) So those 3 FBI guys were too stupid to figure out she couldn't have done it in 5 seconds?

That is not at all what I am saying.

2) What about the workers at the scrap yard next door?

What about the workers next door, this is the first time you have brought them up.

What did they say they saw or heard?
Were they sheilded by anything?
 
1) she said the FBI timed her.
she seems to say alot of things you dont provide a source for


6-8,000 gallons can't burn simultaneously, some will stick around and keep burning.
isnt this what most CTers claim happened to fuel at the WTC?

Secondly, what are the scare quotes around "couch" supposed to mean.

Really, what are you trying to argue?
this all a massive coverup to hide the fact that she really owns a futon
 
1) That is not at all what I am saying.

2) What about the workers next door, this is the first time you have brought them up.
1) What are you saying then that the FBI believed her 5 second time?

2) If Val almost got knocked off and she was a lot further away, certainly the workers at the scrap yard should have been knocked over and all their windows should have shattered.

Sounds like the blast, if there was one, originated closer to her house.
 
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