CFLarsen said:
What "crisis" are you talking about? I don't see a lot of desperate scientific wars. Could you be a bit more specific?
Who said anything about a war? There's lots of examples. The clash between the current believed age of the Universe and the current believed age of some of the stars is a classic recent example. There are stars in the observable Universe which seem to be older than the Universe itself. This problem is getting worse, not better, because recent Hubble images have thrown up structures in the far distant Universe which appear to be older than they could possibly be, given how old we believe the Universe is and how far away the objects are.
Another example I already gave you : the pentaquark. The first paragraph of last weeks lead article in NS :
"There is something the matter with matter. Around the world, several research groups have reported seeing a particle which does not fit comfortably with our standard picture of matter. As if that wasn't bad enough, the only group of researchers to predict the existence of this particle hold to a picture of physics so radical that most physicists just can't swallow it."
Not at all. I point out that there is no evidence of psi. I have not denied the existence of experimenter bias/effect. You want to mix two things together.
I don't actually. Unlike you, I haven't made my mind up already.
If you claim that there is evidence of psi, let's see it.
For the record, I did not claim there was evidence of PSI. What I claimed was that
if such evidence existed, the skeptics would refuse to believe it because they have already decided PSI could not possibly exist - because for the skeptics, PSI "doesn't fit".
No? I thought you wanted to "move on" and discuss the evidence of psi?
I said
you could move on, actually. I see little point in discussing the evidence with you, because it is already so obvious that you will reject any line of reasoning or any evidence that supports the existence of PSI. No point in flogging a dead horse, Claus. You are not capable of believing it, so why have the conversation?
Yes, I can. Now, are you arguing that there is evidence of a supernatural phenomenon or not? Please clarify your position.
I am not arguing that there is and I am not arguing that there isn't. I am arguing that if there was valid evidence, the skeptics would reject it anyway. If you go back and check my posts, that is what I have been arguing from the start.
No, you don't. But it would be nice if you were aware of one of the most fundamental discoveries in science, and - juuuust perhaps - the name of the man who discovered it.
Claus, this is silly. I have 3 science A-levels, a computer science degree, 20 years of reading New Scientist from one cover to the other and I am just about to go back to University to study cognitive science and philosophy. Science and critical thinking have been a central part of my life.
Have you had time to look him up to understand why I say you don't understand science?
I am perfectly aware of who you are talking about now. And I am aware of the episode of scientific discovery you mention because Kuhn talks about it in "The Structure of Scientific Revolutions" which I read earlier this year.
No, I don't agree. That would assume that psi experiments were the only experiments that we would see bias in. We know that experimenter bias/effect also shows up in other experiments, e.g. in placebo experiments.
I'm not sure I follow this. First you say PSI experiments were the only ones we see bias in. Then you say it shows up in other experiments. Eh?
The experimenter bias/effect has nothing to do with whether it is a supernatural phenomenon that is being investigated.
How do you know?
There is a history to this. The paranormalist involved had produced a positive result for this phenomenen, and repeated it. There were then lots of questions asked, and lots of challenges made. In response to the challenges, she asked a skeptic to carry out exactly the same experiment and he got different results. They then refined the experiment further and carried out a new set of tests with both the skeptic and the paranormalist experimenters, and again they got different results. This suggests two things to me. Firstly, that phenomenen does exist, and secondly that whether or not it manifests is dependent on the beliefs and attitude of the person carrying out the experiment. You seem to be arguing that all that has been shown is that the paranormalist was somehow doing the experiment wrong. Yes?