So, because the US now has incontrovertible evidence that the Assad regime has used chemical weapons against its own people, the Obama administration are now prepared to offer increased support for the opposition to the Assad regime up to and including military assistance.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-22899289
I'm very uncomfortable about this development. Clearly I abhor the use of chemical weapons but I'm concerned about Western support because:
- The opposition to Assad is a very mixed bunch. The US could find themselves supporting some very unpleasant characters
- This will increase the motivation for Russia and Iran to up the ante and provide more support for the Assad regime, taking the whole war up a notch
- We have no clear idea what the post-civil war Syria will look like. IMO there's a very real risk it may be far worse than Syria under Assad
- This feels to me like an excuse to provide support to counteract Hezbollah which may then backfire if the use of chemical weapons is found to be false or exaggerated
Syria is a mess and as usual meddling of external powers on both sides seem to be making it messier. Even if US intervention is successful militarily it could still be devastatingly unsuccessful diplomatically.