Labor is not the primary cost in extracting raw materials, so cheap labor is of little importance to cheap raw materials.
I think you're a bit confused here. Take a look at the global trade. Consider what would happen if all the poor countries stopped producing raw materials. You don't think prices would rise greatly?
It has nothing to do with these countries being more efficient at this. They are definitely not efficient. But they are kept doing this by "experts" from the IMF/World Bank because it is in the interest of the more powerful nations to keep them doing this. To get out of poverty, they would have to produce something more than just raw materials.
You keep saying this, with no evidence. Raw materials are ALWAYS going to be cheap.
I agree with you on this. Well, relatively cheap. That's because they are relatively easy to produce, which makes for plenty of competition. I think you would also agree that more developed countries are more productive. That's all I'm saying too - except I believe the way to development would go through giving these countries more economic freedom to control their own trade, and build their own industry.
As I said, that they did it does not mean it helped. Can you name a single poor country with low trade barriers? That would go a long way to demonstrating your point.
Botswana, Madagascar and Namibia are three very poor countries with low or very low trade barriers.
I already agreed that high trade barriers
by itself does not guarantee development in any way. Trade barriers are not good or bad per se, they have their good uses and their bad uses.
That assumes you can even pick the right industry to foster.
Of course. I'm not saying it is easy. But so far, every industrialised nation seems to have gone this way. Can you give a counterexample?
Look, trade ALWAYS balances. Imports must equal exports.
Tell that to the US government. Sure - in the
long run. But that can be a very, very long time. Look at it as taking a loan for investment. Using your static approach to it, this seems senseless. After all, you end up paying more money than you get. But it makes sense because it's a dynamic story. It's the same with trade barriers. It only makes sense because it enables you to do something you would not be able to do otherwise. Yes, in the long run it also harms you - but the good effects may outweigh the bad.
South Korea didn't get wealthy by selling cars they couldn't export, they got wealthy by selling what they COULD export competitively. And they can only sell cars now because they're wealthy enough to afford the capital investment to make cars worth selling.
Yes, although it is not only about wealth, but also (a lot) about experience. Step one is to sell cars that cannot compete on the global market, but which are good enough for domestic use, provided they can be sold a little cheaper. Then gradually, they can get better, until you can compete with foreign brands. This does not only apply to a specific industry, but to the industry as a whole. You may start with fruit baskets, but you'll never get to the next stage if you allow any fledgling industry to be swept away by the global competition. It's a process.
I know that popular economic theory tells you otherwise. However, that theory is popular not because it works (it obviously does not), but because it is a theory that allows more powerful countries to keep poorer countries producing raw materials rather than becoming industrialised. Even IMFs own evaluations show that they are failing. But they don't question their theories, because they are a given. But again - give me an example of a country that has managed to build an industry without protecting it. If the theory holds, you should be able to find plenty of examples.