I certainly agree. But I don't see Constantine's move to legitimise Christianity as some sort of masterstroke of leadership, so much as bowing to the inevitible. I think the Church certainly presented him that way, for obvious reasons.
I don't think anyone had said (at least in this thread) that Constantine's legitimizing Christianity was a masterstroke of leadership. Kirsch does contend that it was a pivotal moment in Christian history and without it Christianity might not have become one of the major world religions and that most of the world might not even have become monotheistic. (If there was no Christianity, Islam may not have come into existence.)
If my understanding is correct, by the 4th CE the pagen faith had lost its hold upon most of the Roman people and the majority of them now considered the myths to be just fanciful stories and not actual explanations of how the world came about and worked. While religious rites were still required, the underlying reason was to ensure the loyalty and obedience of the citizens to the state rather than for any theological reasons.
I think it was inevitable that the Roman pagen faith would be eventually be superceded by a more intellectually complex one that addressed moral concerns. I can see why Christianity was a good candidate. It not only did that but it also included familiar trappings of popular pagen ideas (Virgin mother, trinity, etc) but wasn't that demanding as say Judaism. * Judaism was similar to Christianity but it required circumcision and a special diet (no more Roman banquets with the neighbors), and other demanding rites of faith. But I still don't see that it was inevitable that it had to be Christianity and that this had to get jumped started in the 4th Century. I can see why Kirsch gives Constantine credit for that.
Most of what I know about the early Christian religion I learned in Kirsch's book. I can see why the Church is a big fan of Constantine. For example, despite the fact that Constantine wasn't a religious leader let alone even a Christian he was asked by Christian leaders to settle the Arianism controversy. ** Instead of doing so, he asked the Christian leaders to meet and settle the dispute themselves as well as some other theological ones. They did meet at the Council of Nicaea and while they didn't get much settled, I still think that this [ETA: act of delegation] went a long way towards building up the early church's power and structure, and helped put them firmly on the path towards becoming a world religion for over two millenniums.
* This was already mentioned by Loss Leader and Lukraak_Sisser upthread, I believe.
** Life certainly was different in the 4th CE. Can you imagine Christian Church Leaders asking a politician to settle a matter of theological dispute today?
And other historians believe that he personally preferred Sol Invictus and promoted Christianity for mostly political reasons. There are at least a few things he did that are inconsistent with the Christian faith such as consulting with pagen seers and erecting a victory arch honoring some of the pagen gods.Like I say, historians aren't even sure it was a true conversion so much as acknowledging he had always been a Christian.
I don't know about specific percentages, but based solely on the interaction of various Roman Emperors around that time it clearly was neither small nor powerless. Christians held key positions of power, had wealth, and land.
I don't think thats really enough information to make that determination. Those Christians could simply have been exceptions. As already posted Constantine's parents and Licinius were born to the peasant class. But they were exceptions, most peasants had very little power.
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