Hybrid warfare in the 2020s

[Helen]

Kremlin backs covert campaign to keep Viktor Orbán in power - https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/b8184d52-6ef1-42eb-8759-cbe66dcdf891 via @FT

Of course they do. Orban's really worried, now that the election is only a month away, so they're pulling all the stops, the two of them...

 

[jimbob]

Video about jamming GPS




TLDW

Russian Cosmos 2546 satellite looks to have been very interfering with GPS signals over the whole of Europe for about 3 seconds every couple of months. Why is still unknown. The signal peak frequency isn't optimal for jamming, so it be for other reasons, or possibly testing the coverage and with the ability to change if needed

 

[theprestige]

Or maybe they're just kind of incompetent.

 

[jimbob]

Or maybe they're just kind of incompetent.

Nice idea, but it's not a good idea to assume that. I'd personally put that at about a 20% chance.

 

[theprestige]

Nice idea, but it's not a good idea to assume that. I'd personally put that at about a 20% chance.

Really? I'd put it at at least 80%, evenly divided between normal malfunction and jamming attempt malfunction, with about 20% it's a normal (for Russia) satellite behaving normally (for Russia).

 

[jimbob]

Not exactly surprising,

Not so strange bedfellows: An aspiring MAGA influencer’s Russian friend turns out to be an FSB officer with ties to the Wagner Group

An aspiring MAGA influencer who speaks with an indistinct European accent and specializes in spreading conspiracy theories appears to have close personal ties…

theins.press

An aspiring MAGA influencer who speaks with an indistinct European accent and specializes in spreading conspiracy theories appears to have close personal ties to Russia — in the form of an FSB officer who fought for the Wagner Group. Elizabeth Lane, who has called America “the cancer of the world,” was virtually unknown just a year ago. However, she has rapidly gained popularity thanks in large part to help from the two most famous right-wing American social media personalities to have traveled to Moscow in recent years: Tucker Carlson and Candace Owens.

 

[jimbob]

Norfolk and Suffolk US airbase drones 'from Russia shadow fleet'

A think tank report says the drones were likely launched from commercial vessels in the North Sea.

www.bbc.co.uk

Swarms of drones that flew over three air bases in Norfolk and Suffolk were likely launched from Russia's shadow fleet of cargo ships, according to experts.

Unmanned aerial vehicles were spotted over RAF Lakenheath and RAF Mildenhall in Suffolk and RAF Feltwell in Norfolk in November 2024, sparking a major alert.

 

[jimbob]

Attempted drone attack on Ukrainian transport aircraft in Leipzig

 

[jimbob]

Russia-linked accounts spread far-right narrative online during Ceuta migration crisis, analysis finds

Counter-disinformation group says social media channels connected to Pravda network helped amplify message

www.theguardian.com

Unsurprisingly, Russian accounts were using the Ceuta incident

 

[jimbob]

https://twitter.com/x/status/2094814604358533554

Germany identifies Russia as behind the drone attack at Leipzig airport on 4th August

https://twitter.com/x/status/2094818411066904731

 

[Safe-Keeper]

A YT commentator made the comparison to how Hitler kept escalating up to WWII because he was sure the Allies wouldn't dare go to war with him. He was shocked when Britain and France declared war over Danzig. The same scenario could, in the worst case, play out with russia escalating until there's a major NATO response putin will be equally shocked by.

 

[jimbob]

A YT commentator made the comparison to how Hitler kept escalating up to WWII because he was sure the Allies wouldn't dare go to war with him. He was shocked when Britain and France declared war over Danzig. The same scenario could, in the worst case, play out with russia escalating until there's a major NATO response putin will be equally shocked by.

Related.

I have linked to this video by a Finnish intelligence colonel several times. Including at the start of the war when talking about how the West should provide long range weapons to Ukraine. Something which I think was a consensus here and which has been borne out.

Post in thread 'The Russian Invasion of Ukraine Part 4'

May 31, 2022

From that video I posted earlier of a lecture in Finnish with English subtitles by a retired Finnish intelligence colonel on why and how Russia does things differently to the West. With a lot of focus on so-called "strategic culture"

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kF9KretXqJw&t=1600s

Lenin once said 'try it with a bayonet, if it's soft, push, if it's hard, leave'

Seems entirely accurate for discussing how Russia has reacted to ramping up support for Ukraine and indeed the other provocations by Russia.

• jimbob

And his quote of Lenin.

Lenin once said 'try it with a bayonet, if it's soft, push, if it's hard, leave'

It's the same thing. Putin will keep pushing and escalating until there's serious push back

 

[jimbob]

And now bombs planted on German substations and high voltage power lines.

Saboteurs Target Critical Brandenburg Power-Grid Node - https://eutoday.net

The Brandenburg attack exposes a broad vulnerability shared across Europe. Electricity networks contain thousands of remote pylons, substations and cable routes

eutoday.net

 

[jimbob]

And some of what we know.

Cont: Post in thread 'The Russian Invasion of Ukraine part 9'

Sep 2, 2026

A russian hacker group just took down the websites of several Norwegian colleges and universities, apparently to punish us for something.

And yes, this kind of attacks, both from private actors and the russian state, will only escalate.

View attachment 75262

I'm going to link to Grant ◊◊◊◊◊◊◊ Shapps (ironically about the only name he's not chosen for himself)

https://twitter.com/x/status/2095105334935220524

Also this map.

https://twitter.com/x/status/2094982120901144913

450 examples

• jimbob

• 
• 

 

[jimbob]

Paywalled

Russian spies 'recruiting UK teenagers' to carry out acts of violence and sabotage

Agents are believed to have 'hijacked' online chat groups where children plan and encourage each other to commit extreme acts – from vandalism to sexual abuse and murder

inews.co.uk

Russian spies are targeting violence-obsessed UK teenagers and offering them money, guns and training on making explosives and poisons, a new investigation suggests.

It marks a worrying new escalation in Russian-linked use of “disposable” agents in the West to carry out acts of violence, sabotage and intelligence-gathering.

Analysis of open source material has found online networks have been used to attempt to recruit young people in Britain willing to carry out acts of violence.

 

[Helen]

Paywalled

Russian spies 'recruiting UK teenagers' to carry out acts of violence and sabotage

Agents are believed to have 'hijacked' online chat groups where children plan and encourage each other to commit extreme acts – from vandalism to sexual abuse and murder

inews.co.uk

It is happening here in Sweden as well.

 

[jimbob]

Russian Trawlers Go Fishing for Cables

London’s Daily Telegraph has published a lead story outlining how a Russian fleet of trawlers has been surveying and loitering over cables in the wate...

maritime-executive.com

London’s Daily Telegraph has published a lead story outlining how a Russian fleet of trawlers has been surveying and loitering over cables in the waters around the United Kingdom. There is nothing new in Russian trawlers being tasked with non-fishing duties, with some never having been seen to have landed any fish; the novel element of the story is the scale on which the Russians are carrying out this operation.

The Telegraph has logged more than 500 separate incidents where Russian trawlers have either loitered above cables linking Britain with the United States to the West of to Europe to the East, or have precisely followed their routes over long distances. The data was gathered by Global Fishing Watch since 2021, and identified 17 trawlers in particular involved in the activity.