Stacyhs
Penultimate Amazing
People really need to start adding the caveat 'at the moment' to these pessimistic predictions.
I've seen nothing to make me think otherwise if past history is any indicator.
People really need to start adding the caveat 'at the moment' to these pessimistic predictions.
If you don't consider notes showing and Trump himself even admitting that he asked a foreign leader to start an investigation into a political opponent, a smoking gun, what do you need?
Public opinion is inching towards favoring impeachment
https://www.npr.org/2019/09/26/7647...-americans-split-on-house-impeachment-inquiry
These numbers could change quickly as this saga continues
I wonder how many of those who are against impeachment oppose it because they're deathly afraid Trump will survive and use that to win another term. No sitting president has ever been succesfully impeached and the last time it was tried it backfired on the party pushing for impeachment.
I posit the number is nonzero and may be sufficiently large to be relevant.
McHrozni
This. Even if they personally like Trump, and they think he is the greatest president there ever will be, if they consider him a liability in their reelection or election they will turn on him in a heartbeat.I'm not sure it's that simple. There is another kind of math you're not considering and that is election polling. These guys are going to do what keeps their own political careers alive. And they will turn on Trump in an instant if they believe it is the most politically smart thing to do.
I'm not sure it's that simple. There is another kind of math you're not considering and that is election polling. These guys are going to do what keeps their own political careers alive. And they will turn on Trump in an instant if they believe it is the most politically smart thing to do.
Why all this talk about the Senate? The house hasn't voted to impeach yet and from all appearances, it won't for some time. This is mostly about keeping Trump's impeachable offences in the front pages until well into the 2020 election in the hopes of draining votes away from Trump.It's a value judgement really. By now we have all heard the conversation, my opinion is that it won't be enough to convince Republicans to vote to convict Trump in the Senate. Therefor we have a Clinton type event, the House impeaches but the Senate does not convict. Trump claims exoneration and uses it to forward the narrative that he is being persecuted, leveraging this into a win over Biden or Warren. I'm not saying this necessarily will happen, but I see it as a definite possibility.
I have to agree with you; the Senate will not convict. They wouldn't convict Trump of anything short of him admitting he sold the nuclear codes to Russia along with video and with at least 30 GOP senators seeing him do it AND having the entire event played live on FOX News.
I disagree, they wouldn't convict even if that happened.
I think you're right. I amended my post. But maybe not even then.
I don't understand what you mean. Even if the house impeaches, it won't disqualify Trump from running again. Only a Senate trial can do that.Democrats could delay Impeachment ... but only if there was some judicial mechanism in place safeguard the 2020 elections from Trump.
I don't see that as a possibility.
I don't understand what you mean. Even if the house impeaches, it won't disqualify Trump from running again. Only a Senate trial can do that.
The obvious intent is that the constant publicity should cause Trump to lose the next election.
Saw this by Frank Bruni in the New York Times, and I kind of agree:
Why a Trump Impeachment Should Terrify You
So many people are so quick to jump ahead using the GOP narrative today as if nothing could possibly change.
History of the Nixon impeachment demonstrates these things are not static.
You watch, that Trump narrative is getting stale. Maybe all it needs is someone standing up and pointing out the Emperor has no clothes.
The question is what is the best strategy for getting him out of office. Earlier this year Pelosi had the right idea saying that impeachment would be counterproductive, This time I think she jumped the gun, probably thinking that the audio recordings would contain more than they did.
Why would Trump fear what the House will do? He knows that the Senate won't go along with it.The Ukraine deal is about election meddling - if you let this stand even if just until after the elections, Trump will do more of the kind.
If he gets impeached because of it, there will be a lot fewer collaborators willing to help him do more of the same.
Why would Trump fear what the House will do? He knows that the Senate won't go along with it.
It's not in the interest of criminals and grifters to be placed under the microscope.Why would Trump fear what the House will do? He knows that the Senate won't go along with it.