• Quick note - the problem with Youtube videos not embedding on the forum appears to have been fixed, thanks to ZiprHead. If you do still see problems let me know.

House Impeachment Inquiry

Status
Not open for further replies.
If you don't consider notes showing and Trump himself even admitting that he asked a foreign leader to start an investigation into a political opponent, a smoking gun, what do you need?

He's done that before though, openly, and his supporters don't seem to mind.

I refer to "Russia, if you're listening, please find Hillary Clinton's missing emails."

This is "Ukraine, please find dirt on Joe Biden and his son."

The question here seems to be not whether he did it. He did. It's whether people think it's an impeachable offense or something they can condone.
 
Public opinion is inching towards favoring impeachment
https://www.npr.org/2019/09/26/7647...-americans-split-on-house-impeachment-inquiry
These numbers could change quickly as this saga continues

I wonder how many of those who are against impeachment oppose it because they're deathly afraid Trump will survive and use that to win another term. No sitting president has ever been succesfully impeached and the last time it was tried it backfired on the party pushing for impeachment.

I posit the number is nonzero and may be sufficiently large to be relevant.

McHrozni
 
I wonder how many of those who are against impeachment oppose it because they're deathly afraid Trump will survive and use that to win another term. No sitting president has ever been succesfully impeached and the last time it was tried it backfired on the party pushing for impeachment.

I posit the number is nonzero and may be sufficiently large to be relevant.

McHrozni

Well, we're still hearing that from pro-Dem pundits, so it's definitely greater than zero. The article actually mentions that this is early days. Most people polled hadn't had a chance to read the whistleblower's report - the poll was taken Wednesday night.

I think you'll see shifting in those numbers. The first thing to watch for is Trump's fervid support poll at Rasmussen. He went from Approve +6 to Approve +5 on the first day this was starting to break. The next day he's dropped to "Tie".

Of course, approval polls aren't everything, but they could give an indication that he's devotees aren't going to have quite so willing a bunch of stooges in the hustings.
 
I'm not sure it's that simple. There is another kind of math you're not considering and that is election polling. These guys are going to do what keeps their own political careers alive. And they will turn on Trump in an instant if they believe it is the most politically smart thing to do.
This. Even if they personally like Trump, and they think he is the greatest president there ever will be, if they consider him a liability in their reelection or election they will turn on him in a heartbeat.

Problem of course is that Trump is not such a liability.
 
I'm not sure it's that simple. There is another kind of math you're not considering and that is election polling. These guys are going to do what keeps their own political careers alive. And they will turn on Trump in an instant if they believe it is the most politically smart thing to do.

That's true, however Trumpistanis will support the Dear LeaderTM to their graves and beyond. GOP has no stronger base of support and no way to replace those votes with anything. If they made the switch today no one would believe them come next November - it's too soon. Yet Trumpistanis would reject them in an instant.

Therefore I expect them to stick by Trump for at least another year.

McHrozni
 
It's a value judgement really. By now we have all heard the conversation, my opinion is that it won't be enough to convince Republicans to vote to convict Trump in the Senate. Therefor we have a Clinton type event, the House impeaches but the Senate does not convict. Trump claims exoneration and uses it to forward the narrative that he is being persecuted, leveraging this into a win over Biden or Warren. I'm not saying this necessarily will happen, but I see it as a definite possibility.
Why all this talk about the Senate? The house hasn't voted to impeach yet and from all appearances, it won't for some time. This is mostly about keeping Trump's impeachable offences in the front pages until well into the 2020 election in the hopes of draining votes away from Trump.

Once it gets into the Senate, it will become a Republican controlled agenda - unless the Dems manage to regain control at the next election. All the more reason to delay an actual impeachment vote until after the elections.
 
Democrats could delay Impeachment ... but only if there was some judicial mechanism in place safeguard the 2020 elections from Trump.
I don't see that as a possibility.
 
I have to agree with you; the Senate will not convict. They wouldn't convict Trump of anything short of him admitting he sold the nuclear codes to Russia along with video and with at least 30 GOP senators seeing him do it AND having the entire event played live on FOX News.

I disagree, they wouldn't convict even if that happened.

I think you're right. I amended my post. But maybe not even then.


Having it broadcast on Faux News would only convince his supporters it must be legitimate and okay.

After all, they wouldn't broadcast it if it wasn't.

:rolleyes:
 
Democrats could delay Impeachment ... but only if there was some judicial mechanism in place safeguard the 2020 elections from Trump.
I don't see that as a possibility.
I don't understand what you mean. Even if the house impeaches, it won't disqualify Trump from running again. Only a Senate trial can do that.

The obvious intent is that the constant publicity should cause Trump to lose the next election.
 
I don't understand what you mean. Even if the house impeaches, it won't disqualify Trump from running again. Only a Senate trial can do that.

The obvious intent is that the constant publicity should cause Trump to lose the next election.

The Ukraine deal is about election meddling - if you let this stand even if just until after the elections, Trump will do more of the kind.
If he gets impeached because of it, there will be a lot fewer collaborators willing to help him do more of the same.
 
If it were all going to happen now, and probably in the next few weeks at least, I believe the result would be Trump out of office. The only question is whether Pelosi can succeed in her quest to protect him by delaying & bogging it down long enough for the current mood to fade into "if it were important they'd just do it so this must all just be for show".
 
Last edited:
For a person who supposedly been "double dog daring" the Dems to impeach him, Trump is apparently pissing his pants behind the scenes. He desperately tried to cut a deal with Pelosi the other day. The unstable ignoramus thought that releasing the pseudo-transcript would put everything to rest. link
 
So many people are so quick to jump ahead using the GOP narrative today as if nothing could possibly change.

History of the Nixon impeachment demonstrates these things are not static.

You watch, that Trump narrative is getting stale. Maybe all it needs is someone standing up and pointing out the Emperor has no clothes.

Maybe but I have the impression that partisanship is a bigger issue now than then.
 
The question is what is the best strategy for getting him out of office. Earlier this year Pelosi had the right idea saying that impeachment would be counterproductive, This time I think she jumped the gun, probably thinking that the audio recordings would contain more than they did.

What are you chattering about?
 
The Ukraine deal is about election meddling - if you let this stand even if just until after the elections, Trump will do more of the kind.
If he gets impeached because of it, there will be a lot fewer collaborators willing to help him do more of the same.
Why would Trump fear what the House will do? He knows that the Senate won't go along with it.
 
Why would Trump fear what the House will do? He knows that the Senate won't go along with it.

Does he?
Trump is paranoid, after all. And Republicans will have to decide what will do more damage:.to themselves: being primaried or losing the election. Trump can't campaign against all defectors at the same time.
 
Yeah I also remember Trump being "scared" and "paranoid" during parts of the Mueller investigation and the Russian probe, he got over it.
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Back
Top Bottom