Greta Thunberg - brave campaigner or deeply disturbed? Part II.

[Skeptical Greg]

This is the continuation thread for Greta Thunberg. The original thread may be referenced and quoted freely. It can be found here. Please note the modbox warning in this thread.

Posted By: Loss Leader

I apologize. You have indeed acknowledged climate change. I blame my comments on last night’s rum, but that is not an excuse. I was wrong.....

Thank you for your comments..

I understand I may be hard to read, but in this thread, I am mostly coming from the hyperbole surrounding Greta.. On both sides..

She has a message we should be listening to, not because she is the messenger, but because it is a worthwhile message..

At 70, people way older that 15 seem to be babies to me, and for me, babies are mostly entertaining, and not where I get my values and life strategies from..

 

[Steve]

Thank you for your comments..

I understand I may be hard to read, but in this thread, I am mostly coming from the hyperbole surrounding Greta.. On both sides..

She has a message we should be listening to, not because she is the messenger, but because it is a worthwhile message..

At 70, people way older that 15 seem to be babies to me, and for me, babies are mostly entertaining, and not where I get my values and life strategies from..

Well I am only 4 years younger. But I have an 18 yo daughter still at home so teenage views are front and centre every day. It has taught me to take serious teenage views seriously, even if they are not necessarily my own views. Sometimes she provides a viewpoint that I had not considered.

Looks like I was correct. Our views on climate change and on Greta and her actual message are not too different.

Cheers.

 

[8enotto]

Yes, I'm aware of how the industry operates but I guess, that in the grand scheme of things, nothing much is going to change. not in the next 11 years anyway.

Everybody is just going to demand that something be done yet push back against anything that involves any sort of lifestyle change except if it's something lame, like a government mandated $0.25 surcharge on a disposable coffee cup.

Not an awful lot anyone in the English speaking world can do to control what happens in the Amazon.

Good thing I haven't proposed a ban ( a policy solution ) on gas powered leaf blowers.

Brasil has all to do with the Amazon jungle and it's use or preservation. At least it isn't really that great lung of the world it's hyped up for. Oceans make 90% of oxygen, not plants.
Somebody who makes save the rainforest propaganda isn't listening to the scientific stuff.

 

[cullennz]

Used to work with a woman whose husband does/did the Antarctic core sample drilling.

Cool bloke.

Interesting job.

Got paid a shed load

They broke up in the end cos he was away so much, but that is off topic

 

[a_unique_person]

It does not show a heat comparison.



It shows a change in climate.



That's the point.



Hardiness zones are climate, which plants grow best in what areas.

It's not that hard to understand. As you say, it unambiguously shows climate change, one that can be personally experienced.

 

[Skeptical Greg]

Clearly, the climate has been changing for some time now..

Let's try to stay on topic..

 

[Loss Leader]

Clearly, the climate has been changing for some time now..

Let's try to stay on topic..

Indeed. Several posts discussing climate science have been moved to AAH. The topic of this thread is Greta Thunberg. Discussions of climate science may be held in existing threads or in any new thread any member may start. Further off-topic posts will be met with increasingly harsh moderator sanctions. Thank you.

Replying to this modbox in thread will be off topic  Posted By: Loss Leader

 

[qayak]

At 70, people way older that 15 seem to be babies to me, and for me, babies are mostly entertaining, and not where I get my values and life strategies from..

That's a lot of the issue with the problems in the world. Old people have the power, think they know best, and the status quo, good or bad, is maintained.

 

[lomiller]

I have been called a climate change denier a few times times on this thread when I am not and you expect me to just take it?

Well suck it up. I won't.

I called you a climate science denier, not a climate change denier. If you don’t like being called a climate science don’t repeat pseudoscience from the climate denier playbook.

What results of climate change, taking place in the next thirty years, will appear catastrophic to Thunberg's generation?

Moving goalposts noted. Greta has explicitly referenced changes being locked in in the next 30 years, she has not suggested the actual changes will occur in that timeframe.

It’s more then a decade old at this point but Mark Lynas’ “6 degrees: Our future on a warmer planet.” Should still be considered a must read. It explains the situation nicely, but one of the main takeaways is that once we exceed the Eemian maximum of (2 deg) we are at very high risk of a tipping point where 4+ degrees becomes inevitable. In a the 4 degree world there is no more agricultural in Australian, the Indian sub-continent is arid, The Amazon rainforest is dead, the Mediterranean and great plains of North America are deserts. Society and the global economy collapse as food production plummets and billions of people are migrating away from the tropics and costal economic centers are crippled by flooding.

Some links summarizing the degree by degree changes from the book.

https://owlcation.com/stem/Mark-Lynass-Six-Degrees-A-Summary-Review
https://www.sustainablewoodstock.co.uk/onetwo degrees summary.pdf
http://globalwarming.berrens.nl/globalwarming.htm

Posts: 422 Here's a facile question; when was the longest period in Earth's history when climate didn't change?

A better question: “What periods in the earths history has climate changed this rapidly?”
Answer = The only period were where comparable rates of change have been documented occurred 65 million when the dinosaurs went extinct. There are also similarities to the P-T extinction 250 million years ago (AKA “The Great Dying”) but those changes may have played out over a longer period of time.

 

[lomiller]

Brasil has all to do with the Amazon jungle and it's use or preservation. At least it isn't really that great lung of the world it's hyped up for. Oceans make 90% of oxygen, not plants.
Somebody who makes save the rainforest propaganda isn't listening to the scientific stuff.

Ocean oxygen production is under threat from rapidly warming waters and rapid changes in acidity do the Carbon the oceans are currently absorbing.

 

[Matthew Best]

Greta writes:

Day 18. We’re speeding towards Europe! Estimated time of arrival right now is Tuesday morning. We’ll be arriving at Doca de Alcantara, Lisbon. We are all looking forward to see you there!

Looks like she will be in time for COP25 after all.

 

[Steve]

Greta writes:

Day 18. We’re speeding towards Europe! Estimated time of arrival right now is Tuesday morning. We’ll be arriving at Doca de Alcantara, Lisbon. We are all looking forward to see you there!

Looks like she will be in time for COP25 after all.

Careful! Someone on that yacht might fly somewhere, someday. That will be her fault and it will negate the entire trip.

 

[Matthew Best]

There are 29,000 delegates at COP25. I'm pretty sure it's Thunberg's fault that some (or probably almost all) of them flew there.

 

[theprestige]

Careful! Someone on that yacht might fly somewhere, someday. That will be her fault and it will negate the entire trip.

Your analysis is out of date. We've already determined that this is a working vessel, at work on this run.

Greta-ists continue to misunderstand the nature of the critique of Greta-ism.

---

Is there anyone going to COP25 that you are especially hopeful will meet personally with Greta and get the full force of her insight?

 

[Steve]

Your analysis is out of date. We've already determined that this is a working vessel, at work on this run.

Greta-ists continue to misunderstand the nature of the critique of Greta-ism.

---

Is there anyone going to COP25 that you are especially hopeful will meet personally with Greta and get the full force of her insight?

Quite the contrary. The primary nature of the critique is pettiness.

I expect that the main consequence of Ms. Thunberg's attendance is the she will obtain more detailed evidence from the experts. I further expect that she will put this evidence to good use when she speaks with young people in the future. We all need reliable information. Ms. Thunberg is providing it.

ETA: I did not "analyze" anything in my previous post. If you wish to label it call it a prediction.

 

[theprestige]

Quite the contrary. The primary nature of the critique is pettiness.

I expect that the main consequence of Ms. Thunberg's attendance is the she will obtain more detailed evidence from the experts. I further expect that she will put this evidence to good use when she speaks with young people in the future. We all need reliable information. Ms. Thunberg is providing it.

ETA: I did not "analyze" anything in my previous post. If you wish to label it call it a prediction.

Personally?

Like, subject matter experts are going to sit down with Thunberg and explain stuff to her in more detail than the rest of us are getting from the IPCC? Is that what you're expecting?

And then you're expecting her to present this additional detail to young people?

Okay, sure.

Do you have examples of her in this dynamic already? Excerpts of her addresses to young people where she goes into scientific detail?

 

[Steve]

Personally?

Personally what?

Like, subject matter experts are going to sit down with Thunberg and explain stuff to her in more detail than the rest of us are getting from the IPCC? Is that what you're expecting?

The experts may but I do not expect that. It may be that you have never attended a conference and do not understand how they work. There are formal presentations where new information is presented. There are informal presentation/discussion sessions where new and existing information is discussed in more detail, and there are casual discussions outside of the organized schedule of the conference. Each of these circumstances can provide new information. It is exceedingly rare that any participant would "sit someone down" and talk at them. Delegates tend to have more respect for their fellow participants.

And then you're expecting her to present this additional detail to young people?

Okay, sure.

Do you have examples of her in this dynamic already? Excerpts of her addresses to young people where she goes into scientific detail?

Yes, I do expect her to present information that is new to her to anyone who cares to listen to her. It may not be new information to everyone who listens to her, but it will be to some.

Re the hilite. Exactly who are "the rest of us"? Do you imagine that most of the world regularly goes to the IPCC website for updates? If so, you are seriously deluded. Many posters in this forum, and particularly in the climate change threads here, are vastly more knowledgeable re climate change than the world at large. Never make the mistake of assuming everybody else has the same interest and knowledge in a subject that you do. Really, the baseline of Ms. Thunberg's success is that more people, especially younger people, are becoming aware of the implications of climate change and are looking at many sources and making an effort to gain the knowledge that you claim to already have. That is a thing to be encouraged, not disparaged.

 

[theprestige]

Personally what?



The experts may but I do not expect that. It may be that you have never attended a conference and do not understand how they work. There are formal presentations where new information is presented. There are informal presentation/discussion sessions where new and existing information is discussed in more detail, and there are casual discussions outside of the organized schedule of the conference. Each of these circumstances can provide new information. It is exceedingly rare that any participant would "sit someone down" and talk at them. Delegates tend to have more respect for their fellow participants.



Yes, I do expect her to present information that is new to her to anyone who cares to listen to her. It may not be new information to everyone who listens to her, but it will be to some.

Re the hilite. Exactly who are "the rest of us"? Do you imagine that most of the world regularly goes to the IPCC website for updates? If so, you are seriously deluded. Many posters in this forum, and particularly in the climate change threads here, are vastly more knowledgeable re climate change than the world at large. Never make the mistake of assuming everybody else has the same interest and knowledge in a subject that you do. Really, the baseline of Ms. Thunberg's success is that more people, especially younger people, are becoming aware of the implications of climate change and are looking at many sources and making an effort to gain the knowledge that you claim to already have. That is a thing to be encouraged, not disparaged.

Remember, the question is, why is Thunberg's attendance at COP25 so important. Last week, the implication was that there might be diplomats or scientists there who need to hear from her. I find this wildly implausible. Even if there were a scientist or diplomat there who wasn't fully on board with the message from their peers, it's unlikely they'd hear it from Thunberg instead.

But this week, you're suggesting she needs to go to COP25 not to give information, but to get information. But if she's not getting information over and above what's being presented through the normal channels, then she can just go to the IPCC website. So it doesn't really answer the question of why she needs to go to COP25.

Are the French and German diplomats going to consult with Thunberg, as they try to craft the next phase of European climate change policy? Are they going to meet with her over drinks, and explain in plain but detailed language what their policy plans are, so that she can pass them along to hundreds of thousands of young people?

Is Thunberg attending COP25 so she can give us a behind-the-scenes report on what really goes on at these conferences? Is there any expectation at all that she'll see any part of what really goes on at these conferences? I suspect her access will be just as restricted as any other NGO observer in attendance, plus a few publicity photo ops with the actual movers and shakers.

Still no plausible, compelling reason for her to go to COP25 at all.

 

[Stout]

Still no plausible, compelling reason for her to go to COP25 at all.

She's the halftime show.

 

[Steve]

Remember, the question is, why is Thunberg's attendance at COP25 so important. Last week, the implication was that there might be diplomats or scientists there who need to hear from her. I find this wildly implausible. Even if there were a scientist or diplomat there who wasn't fully on board with the message from their peers, it's unlikely they'd hear it from Thunberg instead.

But this week, you're suggesting she needs to go to COP25 not to give information, but to get information. But if she's not getting information over and above what's being presented through the normal channels, then she can just go to the IPCC website. So it doesn't really answer the question of why she needs to go to COP25.

Are the French and German diplomats going to consult with Thunberg, as they try to craft the next phase of European climate change policy? Are they going to meet with her over drinks, and explain in plain but detailed language what their policy plans are, so that she can pass them along to hundreds of thousands of young people?

Is Thunberg attending COP25 so she can give us a behind-the-scenes report on what really goes on at these conferences? Is there any expectation at all that she'll see any part of what really goes on at these conferences? I suspect her access will be just as restricted as any other NGO observer in attendance, plus a few publicity photo ops with the actual movers and shakers.

Still no plausible, compelling reason for her to go to COP25 at all.

None of this has any connection to my post that you quoted.