In Alaska people have been watching their houses tilt quite alarmingly as permafrost melts, and have been thinking "Here's that warming those guys were talking about". AGW is no longer a prediction, it's going on.
Hansen full exposed - admits to being an alarmist!
Well, I don't want to talk in the abstract about Alaska, which is an outstanding, amazing frontier. but my prior note about the Aleut who was looking forward to sipping his pina coladas, that is pretty accurate, IMHO.
Now please note regarding Hansen -
He's the one saying he's alone, not I (although I'll be happy to confirm it). Send him an email. By all means, let him know there are others. I just pasted the article here because it looked interesting and pertinent.
Churchill was called an alarmist in the 30's. And he was trying to alarm people about something he (and quite a few others) had reasonably concluded was alarming.
Hansen (and quite a few others) have reasonably concluded that what's in store for the human race is alarming. Have you considered the possibility that he (and quite a few others) are right?
Churchill (and quite a few others) were proved right, but rather late in the day.
But I'm an alarmist on the subject of the serious damage global warming alarmists can cause. Churchilll (.... same logic applies).
Concerning the issues of taxation, carbon credits and the entire sordid mess of non functional, proven worthless penalty systems to "change people's behavior" in the desperate attempt to create that radical green environmentalist's world, here is a serious and interesting study.
Study and model for global warming mitigation by Dr. Nordhaus.
a new study revealed that severe global warming reduction policies sought by GW activists would cost two to three times the benefits they would achieve. Yale University's Sterling Professor of Economics William Nordhaus, probably the world's foremost authority on the economic effects of climate change and climate policy, released the study July 24. The study assumes the reality of manmade warming and the IPCC's projections of the climate effects of rising greenhouse gases, then projects the economic effects of those climatic changes, and then projects the climate and economic effects of various policies proposed to reduce climate change.
Go
here
then
here and click on A, 1. for the downloadable paper (260+ pp) or download and run the model with your own parameters. I think that's what it said, will try it later. Basically....the people pay $27 trillion in taxes/higher costs, get $13 trillion in benefits.
Now that's if everything works exactly as the holy AGW script says. 100% GW caused by CO2.
If you think a risk factor must be assigned to that, say 20-40% GW caused by CO2 (rest by aerosols, land use, etc), then your numbers become....
20% $27 trillion, $2.6 trillion in benefits
40% $27 trillion spent, $5.2 trillion in benefits
That's only with assigned risk factor to one issue. And there are numerous issues to which they could be assigned.
It'd be a mistake to just shrug this kind of modeling off as being "anti-AGW". Same true for Armstrong as previously mentioned in this thread and others.