Flu Flim Flam's First Victim

Rouser2 said:
Comment: A careful reading of the reference, does not inspire confidence, the upbeat summary notwithstanding. A lack of evidence for an adverse reaction is not evidence that there are no adverse reactions. And there is indeed evidence for some adverse reactions as pointed out in the body of the abstract.

In other words - "there are selective quotes that if taken out of context prove my theory." I would be more skeptical of a paper if it didn't consider all sides of the issue.
 
Originally posted by Rouser2
Comment: A careful reading of the reference, does not inspire confidence, the upbeat summary notwithstanding. A lack of evidence for an adverse reaction is not evidence that there are no adverse reactions. And there is indeed evidence for some adverse reactions as pointed out in the body of the abstract.

Then it comes down to a rsik/benefit ratio as with any drug. The rare incidence of an adverse reaction is not outweighed by the annual number of deaths from influenza infection.
 
Capsid said:
Then it comes down to a rsik/benefit ratio as with any drug. The rare incidence of an adverse reaction is not outweighed by the annual number of deaths from influenza infection.

Factoring in, of course, that doctors and hospitals save the lives of many more frail patients who fall ill with influenza.
 
Rouser2 --

when you are lying on the couch in a couple months, groaning, moaning, and unable to move, with every muscle aching from coughing so hard, you are going to be saying,

"Dang, wish I'd gotten that flu shot..."
 
Rouser2 said:
A lack of evidence for an adverse reaction is not evidence that there are no adverse reactions.
Sure it is, rouser. The difference is that (1) nurses and doctors actively monitor for reactions and (2) are asked to report any suspected adverse reactions to the VAERS system. This is not, then, a "absence of evidence" situation, by an "evidence of absence" situation.
 
Zep said:
Rouser, those people fooled all of the time includes YOU. But you aren't fooling us. Try finishing your quotes properly next time:



That sort of tactic of quoting out of context and misquoting for effect is typical fundie moron tactics.

So why the misquote, Rouser? Did you need to exaggerate your claim with more nonsense?

As Zep said, this is typical of people who realise they have a weak opinion. You wonder why people here are so tired of your arguments...

Because we've seen it all before; hit and run postings where nothing is seriously argued, but multiple thread-bare proposals are made containing intangible connections between the claim and what is proposed as evidence.

This one has to be the lamest though. I'm teaching immunology in school at the moment, and had a discussion about immunisation, talking about herd immunity. Most of the kids were outraged that parents did not vaccinate.

I love being a teacher.

Athon
 
I've never had a flu shot and I've never had the flu. Everyone I've known who has gotten a flu shot has ended up getting the flu. In my experience the flu shot doesn't have a good track record.
 
Originally posted by Tony

I've never had a flu shot and I've never had the flu. Everyone I've known who has gotten a flu shot has ended up getting the flu. In my experience the flu shot doesn't have a good track record.
If we're going to look at samples that small, I can report with confidence that the flu shot is an effective tiger repellant. And since I started getting vaccinated, I haven't been struck by lightening once!
 
Dymanic said:
If we're going to look at samples that small, I can report with confidence that the flu shot is an effective tiger repellant. And since I started getting vaccinated, I haven't been struck by lightening once!

Anymore strawmen?
 
BillHoyt said:
That's not the strawman fallacy, Tony. That was meant to point out the fallacy in your post.

Yes it is. He's bringing up irrelevancies to attack my position.
 
Tony said:
Yes it is. He's bringing up irrelevancies to attack my position.

That is not the defiinition of the strawman fallacy. Neither is it what he did. He gave you a sardonic response that points out your hasty generalization fallacy.
 
Capsid said:

No one seems to complain about chlorine in our drinking water which is a pretty nasty poison in high enough amounts.

My wife complains about chlorine in our drinking water. That is one of her reasons for drinking bottled water (another reason being flouride, I think.)
 
BillHoyt said:
That is not the defiinition of the strawman fallacy. Neither is it what he did. He gave you a sardonic response that points out your hasty generalization fallacy.

How is it a fallacy? Look at the facts:

1.I have never had the flu or the flu shot.

2. People I have known who got the shot ended up getting the flu.

3. In my experience, the flu shot has a bad track record.


Now, please point out the fallacy.
 
Lesseee, chlorine or microbes that can kill you...I'll take the chorine, and yeah, you can get filters or bottled water that has gone through a filter.

Unless anybody can suggest a safer way to make sure our water is clean when it comes through the tap.
 
Originally posted by Tony

1. I have never had the flu or the flu shot.

2. People I have known who got the shot ended up getting the flu.

3. In my experience, the flu shot has a bad track record.

Now, please point out the fallacy.

The fallacy is called: "generalizing from a small sample". This is something we all do to one extent or another (well, all the people I know do it, anyway).
 
wave a magnetically aligned crystal over the tap?

I'm all for flourine ... I don't see what the beef is about that.

I actually react to chlorine (in a swimming pool context) but tap water has no effect, there is hardly any there, and if you want rid of it it is as easy as pouring a jug full and leaving it in the fridge a few hours for the chlorine to evaporate. So I'm told. Forgive me if I just woo-ed ...
 
Originally posted by athon [/i]


>>So why the misquote, Rouser? Did you need to exaggerate your claim with more nonsense?
As Zep said, this is typical of people who realise they have a weak opinion. You wonder why people here are so tired of your arguments...

Alas, there was no misquote. You don't know what you are talking about.


>>This one has to be the lamest though. I'm teaching immunology in school at the moment, and had a discussion about immunisation, talking about herd immunity. Most of the kids were outraged that parents did not vaccinate.


Yeah, well be sure to tell them all about the history of Flu vaccinations -- and the guess-work contents of each vaccine. And be sure not to skip the Swine Flu fiasco in the US. Then have some discourse on just how it is that people can be so easily conned.
 
Tony:

Sorry, but they're right. An N=1 sample is meanignless. Just because .01% of the population doesn't get the flu or the shot ( or .1%, or 1%, or even 10%) does not mean that the shot does not help. Even in those cases where people develop flu-like symptoms after recieveing the shot, they are of shorter duration and lower intensity than if they had gotten the flu.

If we're going to rely on personal experience, I can shoot your argument down. I've been a medic in the military for several years. It's a requirement for servicemembers to get the flu shot every year. The latest was for our COmpany in Iraq (about 200 people). Those who got the flu shot did not get the flu, and only one of the flu-shot group got ill at all (a minor, single-day illness that passed quickly). We had some who did not get the shot due to being away on missions or medical reasons. We had three of those catch the flu, which developed into pneumonia, with one requiring hospitalization twice during the course of illness.

Of course, even my sample of 200+ people who were operating in similar conditions at the same time is not statistically significant. That was the point people were making. Your experience does not encompass a large enough sample of the target group to be a reliable guide. Neither does mine. It is exactly the same as claiming a blue rock works as a tiger repellant, because none of the people you know who carry blue rocks have ever been attacked by tigers. It's also similar to claiming that a red shirt attracts lightning, because a person you knew got struck by lightning while wearing a red shirt.
 
Tony said:
I've never had a flu shot and I've never had the flu. Everyone I've known who has gotten a flu shot has ended up getting the flu. In my experience the flu shot doesn't have a good track record.

Modern Medicine is not interested in your real life experiences. The official statistics prove that your reality, is make-believe.
 

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